Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - March 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(3/2/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(3/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(3/2/4/5)-(1/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (3/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/5)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/5)-(1/4/3)-(2/1/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(2/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(2/1/8/6)-(4/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-7   WIN (2/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/6)-(4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/6)-(4/2/5)-(2/7/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/9/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/9/2/5)-(4/9/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TUP-9   WIN (2/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/5/1)-(2/7/6/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHOCOLATE FRECKLES Feb21 Feb06 Jan12 Dec18 Nov20 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00    
2  WORK N FLIRT Feb26 Feb15 Feb07 Dec04 Nov26 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
3  ROSES FOR SUZZETT Feb21 Feb05 Jan12 Nov13 Oct18 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SUPER ANNIE Feb26 Sep17 Jun26 May08 Apr17 (evans justi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00    
5  POETIC PURSUIT May02 Mar01 Feb02 Jan07 Nov14 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00    
6  MARY MARGARET Feb06 Jan21 Jan06 Dec10 Nov24 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 122 8.00 17% 4.70    
 
TUP-4   03/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMARETTO DI AMORE Feb26 Feb05 Jan07 Dec30 Nov24 (lund valori)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.50    
2  GODDESS OF WAR Feb19 Jan31 Dec31 Apr01   (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  DORITA'S HAPPY Feb19 Jun26 May08 Apr10 Mar20 (hernandez m)MORALES ROBERTO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  STAY QUIET Feb26 Aug06 Jun09 May20   (schnell don)PENA BRYAN 116 5.00    
5  RUBY RAY Jan31 Nov25 Mar12 Feb20 Jan29 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.00    
6  BANGIE GO Feb26 Mar19 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 (mccartney jac)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 17% 5.00    
 
TUP-5   03/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECHO CANYON May13 Apr17 Mar27 Mar11 Feb27 (schnell don)CRUZ M 122 4.00    
2  BUGLER Feb19 Jan29 Aug17 Jul22 Jun17 (kenney ryan)CORBETT W 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
3  STABILITY Feb09 Jan12 Dec18 Sep13 Aug27 (garrett t)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
4  THIRSTY JOHN Feb22 Feb12 Feb01 Dec02 Nov03 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
5  ECONOMICAL Feb22 Feb06 Oct21 Sep24 Sep08 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  PRECEDENT Oct13 Sep23 Sep02 Jul29 Jul02 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
7  TENTH STREET DON Feb27 Jan26 Dec30 Nov26 Jun03 (lund valori)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 4.50    
 
TUP-6   03/11/2024 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET SHADOW Nov24 Mar11 Feb11 Jan28 Jan11 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  SINGLE LADY Feb13 Feb01 Sep25 Aug14 Jul17 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
3  DADDY'S GIRL Apr10 Mar26 Mar11 Feb08 Jan18 (grissom roberta )MAWING A 122 6.00 6% 16.20    
4  FINANCIAL ADVICE (FR) Feb19 Dec30 Nov24 Oct27 Oct07 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
5  SILENT GUROO Dec16 Dec02 Nov09 Oct19 Oct05 (evans justin)REYES R 122 5.00    
SCR  UNA PALABRA Feb01 Nov25 Aug17 Jul22 Jun10 (belvoir v)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00    
 
TUP-7   03/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAILING ALONG Feb29 Feb13 Jan30 Nov21 Oct22 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
2  BLESSED ANGEL Feb19 Dec08 Nov02 Apr10 Mar27 (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  FREEBRITNEY Dec20 Nov28 Sep13 Aug20 Aug03 (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
4  UNRIVALED QUEEN Feb13 Feb01 Dec31 Oct28 Sep13 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
SCR  COASTLINE HOTTIE Feb27 Feb01 Mar26 Mar11 Feb21 (se)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00    
6  SHE'S RESILIENT Dec15 Nov26 Oct27 Sep29 Aug17 (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  ALBERTA SUN Feb01 Jan19 Dec20 Nov28 Nov01 (evans justin)REYES R 122 3.50    
8  FOR LOVE NOT MONEY Feb02 Oct07 Sep03 Mar05 Feb19 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 8.00 8% 12.30    
 
TUP-8   03/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARIMONY Feb21 Jan30 Jan19 Jan12 Dec19 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00    
2  LIMITED OFFER Feb26 Apr25 Feb06 Jan18 Dec27 (hop mik)BRAVO MISAEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DAD BOD Dec08 Nov03 Oct13 Sep18 Aug26 (caraman michael)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00    
4  PERFORMATIVE Dec10 Oct15 Oct08 Sep09 Aug26 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 3.00 69% 0.50    
5  FIGHT ME Feb26 Feb12 Jan30 Oct27 Sep09 (figueroa )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SWITCH BACK Apr02 Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 Feb12 (ortega jesu)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
7  LEFT THE BAR Jan30 Dec03 Aug21 Jul10 Jun25 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50    
8  LIL LATIGO Feb15 Feb02 Jan25 Dec19 Nov20 (lavanway dayson)RADKE K 124 12.00    
9  A LATE ONE Jul11 Jun25 May21 Apr27 Feb07 (wolf ashlee)CORBETT W 124 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-9   03/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JADED TIGER Feb26 Sep24 Aug27 Jul08 May27 (nelson amy)RADKE K 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  LATER DAYS Feb22 Feb14 Dec10 Oct21 Oct16 (silva juan )MORALES ROBERTO 122 3.50 69% 0.40    
3  LUCY TREASURE Sep03 Aug11 Aug03 Jun23 May06 (mccartney )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00    
4  ELDORADO DREAM Feb29 Feb19 Jan30 Dec12 Nov21 (valerio raymo)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.00    
5  THREAD COUNT Feb22 Jan21 Jan01 Nov23 Oct28 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 117 5.00 ★    
6  FEEL FREE Feb15 Jan31 Dec04     (martinez )VALENZUELA A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  WHERE'S FRANKIE Sep10 Aug13 Aug05 Jul26 Mar18 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  MAYCEE JO Nov18 Oct22 Sep30 Aug06 Apr30 (uranga jes)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00    
9  MAMALONA Feb26 Dec12 Nov19 Aug13 Jul31 (soto antoni)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 15.00    
10  GHOST OF GENEVIEVE Feb19 Feb07 Sep13 Aug30 Aug13 (gutierrez ju)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 15.00    
11  PRINCESS JAYLEEN Feb22 Jan29 Jan19 Dec19 Oct29 (torres-casas al)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.