Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - January 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (11/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/6)-(11/6/14/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (11/6)-(11/6/14/7/1)-(11/6/14/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/6)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (11/6)-(3/6/2)-(4/5/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(4/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(4/5/7)-(8/4/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(8/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(8/4/7/6)-(1/8/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (8/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/7/6)-(8/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/7/6)-(8/4/7/6)-(8/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/7/6)-(1/8/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/7/6)-(1/8/3/5)-(4/1/2/3/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/5)-(1/8/4/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/5)-(1/8/4/3/5)-(1/8/4/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/3/5)-(4/1/2/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3/5)-(4/1/2/3/6)-(8/2/9/3/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (4/1/2/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/3/6)-(4/1/2/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/3/6)-(4/1/2/3/6)-(4/1/2/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/2/3/6)-(8/2/9/3/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/3/6)-(8/2/9/3/6)-(2/6/10/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (8/2/9/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/9/3/6)-(8/2/9/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/9/3/6)-(8/2/9/3/6)-(8/2/9/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/9/3/6)-(2/6/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/2/9/3/6)-(2/6/10/4)-(4/7/5/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (2/6/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/10/4)-(2/6/10/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/10/4)-(2/6/10/4/8)-(2/6/10/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/10/4)-(4/7/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/1)-(4/7/5/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/1)-(4/7/5/1/3)-(4/7/5/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/06/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORETHANICANHANDLE Dec01 Oct06 Sep09 Jul09 Jun04 (breen kell)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00 ★    
2  PHRASEOLOGISM Dec24         (lilly p)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00    
3  LEMONADEATTHELATCH Dec22 Dec06 Oct19 Oct06 Sep24 (mendieta alej)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 15.00    
4  LORD OF THE NILE Nov24 Oct06 Jul01 May06 Apr19 (dobber arnoud )CEDENO CAROL 119 10.00    
SCR  TUDDENHAM MILL (IRE) Dec03 Apr02 Feb18 Jan07 Dec03 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 2.50    
6  CALZONE Dec27 Sep13 Aug27 Jul30 Jul02 (rarick lynn)LINDSAY CHAD 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ARTICO Dec22 Nov18 Nov11 Oct06 Jul28 (downing william)SPIETH S 119 10.00 ★    
SCR  SPANISH NOBLE Dec23 Dec06 Oct06 Jan27 Jan06 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 123 3.50    
9  DON'T BLAME FREDDY Oct11 Sep15 Aug28 Aug05 Jul04 (wilson tony)ALICEA JEREMY 112 15.00    
10  DIAL HIM UP Dec22 Dec06 Nov22 Nov11 Oct06 (mendieta ale)ARROYO S 119 20.00    
11  HUMBLE WARRIOR Nov16 Oct10 Sep13 Jul15 May31 (granitz anth)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00 74% 0.30    
12  RULE IT Nov29 Nov12 Oct22 Sep24 Sep10 (orseno joseph )CASTANON L 119 15.00    
SCR  DECEITFUL Oct06 Sep18 Aug24 Jul19 Mar22 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 3.50    
14  FUNNY MAN Nov01 Oct13 Sep25 Aug07 Jun12 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 119 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-2   01/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 3 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R FASHIONABLY LATE Nov29 Sep19 Aug25 Jul29 Jul14 (wilson tony)ALICEA JEREMY 111 15.00    
2  AMIRATI Dec08 Nov23 Oct25 Oct07 Jul29 (potts wayne)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 4.50 15% 5.50    
3  CARSONSTRONG Dec26 Nov29 Oct18     (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  KHO KHO Nov29 Oct28 Sep24 Sep01   (fisher david)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00    
5  PRINCESS PEANUT Oct27 Sep20 Aug26 Jul26 Jul08 (potts wayne)FERRER C 118 12.00    
6  LIVING IN STYLE Nov29 Oct25 Sep20 Aug24 Jul13 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 2.00 19% 4.20    
7  FLORINDIA Nov29 Nov11 Sep09 Aug13 Jul29 (rodriguez an)BATISTA A 118 6.00    
 
TAM-3   01/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYERA Dec15 Nov04 Oct20 Oct07 Sep20 (aguayo r)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 6.00    
2  QUEENS RANSOM Nov25 Sep04 Aug20 Aug05 Jul08 (perkinson cc)BATISTA A 119 20.00    
3  CSILLA Dec20 May06 Apr19 Apr05 Mar18 (de ka)MARIN A 119 8.00    
4  LA CHICA LATERAL Dec06 Aug27 Jul15 Jul02 Feb26 (barboza v)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 1.60 41% 1.40    
5  SHALL RETURN Dec30 Dec20 Oct21 Aug27 Aug06 (simone michael)CEDENO CAROL 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
6  DEL REY DOLLY Dec20 Nov25 Sep20 Jul23 Jul02 (guciardo ka)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 4.00 ★    
7  LINAHASPECSHOES Nov09 Oct19 Sep15 Sep02 Aug12 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 119 3.50 12% 7.20    
 
TAM-4   01/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON CONNECTION Nov29 Nov01 Oct18 Jul30 Jul02 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 118 10.00    
2  PRINCELY GOD Dec27 Sep01 Aug02 Jul14 Jun28 (smith robert )ALICEA JEREMY 111 4.00    
3  THE GOLDEN ONE Dec23 Dec13 Nov25 Oct25 Oct14 (lopez mar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 6.00    
4  MIDNIGHT GETAWAY Dec15 Nov29 Nov17 Nov05 Oct13 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 18% 4.50    
5  COLLECT REDEMPTION Dec15 Nov24 Oct25 Oct04 Aug23 (sepulveda carl)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00    
6  LOVIELEE Dec26 Aug31 Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 (marrero nest)MENESES MARCOS 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  JACKSON STRONG Dec15 Aug03 Jul12 Jun01 May05 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 118 6.00 16% 5.20    
8  FUTURE PERFECT Nov05 Oct21 Aug03 Jul15 Jun11 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 3.50 40% 1.50    
 
TAM-5   01/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISHING ON A STAR Nov25 Sep04 Jun16 May04 Apr13 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 58% 0.70    
2  TRULY A DREAM Dec23 Dec06 Nov22 Oct18 Jul06 (mendieta al)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00    
3  HEARTBURN Dec29 Oct17 Sep30 Sep06 Aug11 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 12.00 5% 17.40    
4  DANCE STEP Dec23 Dec06 Nov15 Nov02 Oct19 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00 ★    
5  MYSTIC DREAMS Dec29 Nov29 Oct06 Sep10 Aug11 (nunn douglas)ALLEN D 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISTY GALE Dec20 Oct31 Sep20 Aug28 Aug09 (falk jacquelin)MBATHA LUCKY 108 12.00    
7  R LOVE ON THE RUN Dec23 Dec06 Nov22 Oct19 Sep15 (torres pablo)ARROYO S 118 3.50    
8  RITAAN Dec16 Nov22 Oct08 Sep18 Jul18 (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 4.00 9% 10.10    
9  MONTANA JOYCE Dec23 Dec06 Nov25 Nov02 May25 (mcgoey mo)HERNANDEZ H 118 30.00    
 
TAM-6   01/06/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEEPING GIANT Dec01 Nov22 Oct20 Oct05 Jun16 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 9% 10.40    
2  GHOST STALKER Sep13 Aug03 Jul23 Jul02 Jun14 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 6.00 5% 17.30    
3  STAY HOME Dec29 Dec13 Jan25 Jan14 Dec31 (nunez mau)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 12.00 5% 17.70    
4  HERCULES Dec22 Nov19 Oct07 Sep08 Aug27 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.80 54% 0.90    
5  LAST PROMISE Dec22 Dec01 Jun03 May06 Apr29 (nunez maurici)SOSA LAUREANO 115 12.00    
6  ERIC THE SALESMAN Nov29 Sep30 Sep21 Sep03 Aug24 (roque elis)LOPEZ E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHAKEM N BREAKEM Dec22 Oct05 Sep06 Aug10 Jul21 (dominguez r)FERRER C 122 15.00    
8  PHARAOH FANCY PANT Dec22 Oct12 Sep28 Aug30 Aug17 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 15.00    
9  ROARING RIVER Dec29 Nov22 Oct13 Sep30 Sep08 (smith robert )JIMENEZ MANNY 122 20.00    
10  ALBIE Dec22 Aug16 Jun13 Apr29 Apr08 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 115 15.00    
 
TAM-7   01/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAVEL GUIDE Dec09 Nov24 Nov11 Oct22 Sep29 (garcia pedro)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
2  WILD TIME Dec09 Oct27 Oct06 Sep13 Sep03 (robertson m)VILLASMIL EDGAR 118 4.00 24% 3.20    
3  GENERAL COMMAND Dec13 Aug20 Jul29 Apr22 Apr12 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 111 6.00 10% 8.80    
4  STELLWAGEN BANKER Dec23 Oct27 Oct14 Sep27 Sep16 (lopez mario )GARCIA GEOVANY 118 20.00    
5  JEST ABOVE Dec23 Sep06 Aug26 Aug16 Jul26 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 118 6.00    
6  NATHANIEL'S HOPE Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Aug28 Aug07 (cheeks p)SPIETH S 118 12.00 6% 16.20    
7  TOES N THE SAND Dec13 Jun30 Feb03 Dec30 Nov25 (stewart chad )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 12.00    
8  VEGAS PLAYBOY Dec27 Nov22 Oct14 Sep29 Sep01 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 29% 2.50    
9  JOYFUL GHOST Dec27 Dec09 Nov25 Oct19 Oct02 (potts g)ALLEN M 118 4.00 11% 7.80    
10  ACTION DREAM Dec23 Dec09 Nov25 Oct14 Sep30 (dobber arnoud)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00    
 
TAM-8   01/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNIQUE PATH Dec09 Aug26 Aug06 Jul15 Jun28 (rhone bernell)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00    
2  TIZ A BEAST Oct10 Sep12 Aug11 Jun17 May08 (gatis chris)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  BAD HENRY Dec09 Nov22 Oct20 Aug18 Dec30 (wasiluk peter )CEDENO CAROL 118 12.00    
4  POSEIDONS MYTH Dec22 Aug05 Jul01 May27 Apr28 (ubide max)MENESES MARCOS 118 8.00 7% 12.40    
5  ALBOROTO Dec27 Oct18 Oct05 Sep22 Aug19 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 12.00    
6  POWERTRAIN Nov02 Jul27 Jun17 Apr16 Mar19 (richards )MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 2.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  CAPE COD SUMMER Dec09 Nov01 Oct14 Oct06 Sep15 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 118 10.00    
8  AMBUSHED Nov22 Oct28 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 (guciardo kathy)LOPEZ E 118 12.00 ★    
SCR  MR MURGO Dec09 Nov25 May30 May17 Apr08 (romero rafa)ORTIZ A 118 15.00    
10  TUCKER ROAD Dec22 Dec06 Nov04 Oct20 Oct06 (sepulveda c)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00 13% 6.90    
 
TAM-9   01/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THATSAFACTJACK Dec27 Sep30 Sep20 Aug10 May27 (cahill steven )ALLEN D 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MR. PENNY PINCHER Nov22 Sep15 Sep02 Aug13 Jul09 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
3  CAMPTON Apr13 Feb24 Jan14     (morey e)CENTENO E 118 10.00 ★    
4  SPIKEZONE Dec16 Nov17 Jan18 Dec13 Nov16 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 3.00 64% 0.60    
5  CHARGING AERO Dec16 Nov18 Nov03 Oct14 Sep01 (ryan s)CASTANON L 118 6.00 7% 14.40    
6  MR. BONES Nov25 Oct25       (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 15.00    
7  FEAST Dec22 Nov22 Sep03 Jul21 May29 (bennett s)FERRER C 122 2.50 8% 11.70    
8  BIG LOUIE Dec15 Nov22 Oct12 Sep21 Sep06 (marino g)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 12.00    
SCR  WORLDS ON HIGH Dec29 Dec08 Nov24 Oct19 Sep27 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
10  SONG RUNNER Dec01 Oct29 Sep16 Sep08 Jul14 (dobber arnoud)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00    
SCR  BANG A RANG Dec23 Oct25 Oct12     (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.