Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - November 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(7/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-2   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/2/5) 4 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 4 $0.50 $4.00 
    DD (7/5)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(1/4/3)-(5/6/3/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
MNR-3   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(5/6/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (5/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/3/8)-(4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(1/6/3)-(3/1/2) 27 $2.00 $54.00 
MNR-7   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(3/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-8   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOV LANE Oct31 Oct17 Sep26 Aug29 Aug16 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 18% 4.50    
2  ELARY Oct30 Mar01 Jan01 Dec14 Nov04 (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 8.00    
3  FIRST IMPRESSION Oct17 Sep26 Sep12 Aug30 Aug20 (logston chris)NELSON TYRONE 120 8.00 12% 7.30    
4  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Oct11 Sep04 Aug10 Jul13 Jun20 (suarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 15.00    
5  LIGHTNIN RUNNER Oct17 Sep30 Aug25 Jul29 Jul11 (brown ronney )CEDILLO MAURO 121 0.80 45% 1.20    
6  GET A GRIP MARILYN Oct31 Oct18 Sep19 Sep06 Jun04 (morzan javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 15.00    
SCR  TIMELY SECRET Oct01 Jul22 Jun04 May20 Apr14 (jackson l)CULLUM W 118 5.00    
8  CASTLE REVIEW Aug16 Jun26 Jun13 Jun05 Aug22 (shuler r)VIGIL NOEL 120 10.00    
 
MNR-2   11/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CIRCLE INDY Nov01 Oct17 Sep05 Aug21 Nov17 (spiess shan)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 8.00    
2  OMEGA GOLD Nov06 Oct03 Aug29 Aug16 Jul03 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 2.00 ★    
3  BLACK BULL Nov06 Oct25 Oct15 Oct02 Sep19 (knowles c)MAILHOT P 120 30.00    
4  A B G GUERRERO Nov05 Sep10 Jun20 Jun13   (gilbert timothy )DAVILA M 120 30.00    
5  RESVALON Oct25 Oct10 Aug14 Jul18 Jul12 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  BORN HAPPY Oct23 Sep13 Jul19 Jun06 Mar22 (albrig)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00    
7  WICKED REVIEW Nov07 Oct08 Sep25 Sep17 Sep03 (larue steve)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 1.20 73% 0.40    
 
MNR-3   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUSIKIN Oct22 Sep24 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 (poole jami )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 4.00 47% 1.10    
2  ALICIA'S WAY Oct30 Oct04 Sep19 Aug21 Aug09 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 0.80    
3  MANHATTAN LADY Oct18 Sep20 Sep03 Aug23 Jul26 (brown j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MALIBU MARLEE Nov07 Oct10 Sep19 Sep03 Jul26 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
5  MYRA FLEENER Nov08 Oct29 Oct02 Sep19 Sep10 (lopez jose )BARRIOS RICARDO 120 20.00    
6  IRON BERTIE Oct25 Oct17 Oct01 Sep19 Aug30 (fiesman r)HERNANDEZ H 120 12.00    
 
MNR-4   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYSVILLE MISS Oct15 Sep26 Aug08 Jul26 Jul16 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 6.00    
2  MY PINK BABY BIRD Oct24 Oct04 Aug30 Aug09 Jul31 (vickers t)MAILHOT P 120 15.00    
3  SECRET SEDUCTION Nov01 Oct22 Oct10 Sep19 Aug21 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.00 8% 10.80    
4  SURCHARGE Oct26 Oct06 Sep16 Aug17 Aug02 (jones micha)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 5.00    
5  BIG AMBITION Nov02 Oct18 Sep20 Aug09 Jul23 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 1.40 30% 2.30    
6  TEXAS DANA Nov05 Oct17 Sep26 Aug30 Aug15 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 25% 3.00    
7  BOUJEE KITTEN Nov05 Oct10 Sep11 Aug28 Aug16 (welsh g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 30.00    
8  GOLD PASS Oct29 Sep27 Sep11 Aug29 Aug14 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 10.00 8% 11.60    
 
MNR-5   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD ASTRAY Oct29 Sep26 Sep11 Jul18 Jun19 (zook w)YARANGA Y 123 4.00 14% 6.30    
2  TEXTPECTATION Oct16 Oct02 Sep19 Aug31 Aug17 (morzan javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 10.00    
3  LOKOYA ROAD Nov01 Sep29 Aug11 Jul27 Jun23 (jones )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50    
4  HIATUS Oct31 Oct09 Sep26 Sep18 Sep05 (voyce jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
5  CAMP PENDLETON Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 Aug31 Aug09 (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00    
SCR  SMASH Oct31 Sep26 Sep11 Aug15 Jul31 (bernardini ja)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.50    
7  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF Oct09 Sep20 Aug29 Jul30 Jul17 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 18% 4.50    
 
MNR-6   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EL GAVILAN Oct24 Sep30 Sep14 Aug23 Dec28 (fernandez a)YARANGA Y 118 20.00    
2  MASAI MAN Oct23 Sep28 Sep15 Sep03 Aug08 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 120 2.50 18% 4.60    
3  TWO BIT KID Dec13 Nov23 Oct19 Sep24 Sep13 (hetrick kri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00    
4  MUNI MUNI SLEW Oct24 Sep13 Aug12 Aug03 Jul14 (cannon st)GONZALEZ A 120 5.00    
SCR  EL PIQUIN Nov01 Oct06 Sep13 Dec14 Nov10 (calvo kelsie)DIAZ R 120 50.00    
6  OUT OF CENTS Oct18 Oct01 Sep09 Aug16 Jun21 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.00 11% 8.10    
7  KOZY'S WILDCAT Nov05 Sep26 Sep03 Jul30 Jun21 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
MNR-7   11/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICING Nov01 Oct24 Sep22 Jun17 Jun10 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 123 0.80 57% 0.80    
2  BANKX TURBO Oct11 Sep17 Sep04 May28 May14 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00    
3  SHELTOWEE'S BALI Oct11 Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 (larue steve)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00 7% 13.00    
4  CHOCO ROCO Oct30 Oct15 Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 (alamo)MONSERRATE A 120 12.00    
5  CALL ME LATER Oct26 Oct10 Oct03 Sep13 Aug28 (grace john)CCAMAQUE M 120 5.00    
6  DEACON DOUGIE Aug12 Jul24 Jun24 Aug22 Jul14 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 118 2.50 12% 7.50    
 
MNR-8   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRODYTHEOXMAN Nov07 Oct16 Oct02 Sep21 Sep02 (lopez carlos )BRACHO A 120 5.00 15% 5.60    
2  PARADE GRAND Nov02 Oct11 Oct02 Sep19 Aug30 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00 15% 5.80    
3  MR HOOVER Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 Aug11 Jul14 (brown ronney )CEDILLO MAURO 120 2.50 33% 2.10    
4  CANDY CRUSHEM Nov02 Oct09 Sep26 Sep11 Jul27 (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 120 3.50    
5  REDOUTE'S LIGHT Nov01 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 Aug25 (robillard j)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 5.00    
SCR  PRECIOUS JULES Oct23 Sep07 Aug22 Jul13 Jun14 (shanyfe)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 20.00    
SCR  BACK ALLEY CAT Nov05 Oct23 Oct11 Sep26 Sep19 (gomez alejandro)YARANGA Y 120 8.00    
8  RY'S REVENGE Oct11 Sep13 Aug21 Jul31 Jul09 (depas)MONSERRATE A 120 15.00    
SCR  ARTEMUS EAGLE Nov02 Oct18 Oct09 Sep20 Sep08 (cline )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.