Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - October 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(8/4/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (8/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/5)-(8/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/5)-(8/4/1/5)-(8/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/1/5)-(6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/5)-(6/5/4)-(2/7/3/1) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-3   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(2/7/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (2/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/3/1)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/3/4) 4 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 4 $0.50 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(6/5)-(5/8/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-7   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(5/8/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-8   WIN (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/7)-(5/8/7) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7)-(5/8/7)-(5/8/7) 6 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AFTER NOON KISSES Oct10 Oct04 Sep20 Aug15 Jul17 (spanabe)BRAVO MISAEL 111 10.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of BIMMELBAHN by XCHANGER)
HIGHWAY ROBBERY Sep25 Sep13 Sep04 Jun05   (sipp k)LEON A 118 30.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of JAY AT NINE by STORM CAT)
FRACING LUCKY Feb18         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 1.00 41% 1.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SKYLUCK by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
MELINOE Oct08 Aug28 Jul18 Jul08 Jun15 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 118 4.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PERSEPHONE'S DAWN by GHOSTZAPPER)
DONT CROSS BOUDICA         (reed r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 6.00 9% 10.40    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SMOOTH STRIDE by CASTLEDALE (IRE))
MS. LADY T Oct09 Sep25       (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 23% 3.40    
  (by BANDBOX out of YSABELL T. by GATORS N BEARS)
IMA SURE BET Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 Jun26 Jun19 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of SURE FOOT SUE by BRAHMS)
PROVOLONE Oct07 Sep21       (fernandez a)DIAZ R 123 15.00    
  (by PALACE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
MNR-2   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY SUNRISE Oct08 Sep20 Sep06 Aug29 Aug08 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 8.00 14% 6.10    
CAPE MARCO DRIVE Sep28 Sep20 Sep07 Aug26 Aug15 (lopez carlos )BRACHO A 120 20.00    
ELUSIVE MOTION Oct08 Aug27 Aug07 Jul17 Jun20 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00    
PAPA CHARLES Oct03 Sep20 Sep06 Aug13 Jul31 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00 25% 3.10    
I'LL FINISH Sep07 Apr01 Feb12 Jan29 Jan15 (delong ben)RIVERA R 120 6.00 7% 12.90    
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Aug29 Aug13 Aug01 Jul24 Jul11 (robillard j)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 2.00    
RECKLESS AFFAIR Sep20 Sep03 Aug09 Jul17 Jun26 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 118 12.00    
LONE LEADER Sep04 Aug15 Jul03 Jun05 Apr22 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 1.80 31% 2.20    
 
MNR-3   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIDER PIG Oct11 Sep16 Aug06 Jul21   (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of TRAVELERS' WAY by AFLEET ALEX)
KOLTEN'S PRIDE Aug26 Aug08 Jul12     (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of FIGHT WITH PRIDE by PROUD CITIZEN)
ROYALLY FLUSHED Oct06 Sep23 Sep05 Aug18 Jul12 (short travis )BRACHO A 118 3.50    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ROYALE HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
EL KOZAN         (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by KHOZAN out of M C'S MAGIC by INDYGO SHINER)
JEAN JET         (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 5.00 26% 2.90    
  (by OUTWORK out of MISSJEANLOUISE by VICTORY GALLOP)
I'LL SMOKEM Oct11 Sep03 Jul30 Jul08   (si)DA FAUSTO 118 0.80 28% 2.60    
  (by SMOKEM out of ELUSIVE BEAUTY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
MNR-4   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEN TWENTY NINE Oct01 Sep19 Aug23 Aug08 Jul17 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
GILLIGAN Oct01 Sep20 Sep13 Aug29 Aug12 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
PRETTY STORMY Oct11 Sep26 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 (murillo r)HERNANDEZ H 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
KICKSTARTER Oct04 Sep19 Jul30 Jul05 Jun11 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00    
HARD N'SWEET Sep05 Aug13 Aug02 Jul18 Jul10 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 6.00    
EL CARDINAL Oct03 Sep18 Sep06 Aug27 Aug14 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 8.00    
JULIE'S FERRARI Oct01 Sep03 Aug23 Aug14 Jul26 (welsh )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 17% 5.10    
SOUTHERN SENSE Oct02 Sep20 Sep05 Aug14 Jul31 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 4.50    
 
MNR-5   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS SUEDOO Oct16 Oct02 Aug15 Jun27 Oct10 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00    
ANNA VOLANTE Oct17 Sep24 Sep09 Aug19 Jul04 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 1.00 39% 1.60    
TIME FOR CUPID Oct15 Sep27 Sep11 Aug29 Aug14 (norris stephani)LEON A 120 6.00 31% 2.30    
MY BOSS Sep15 Sep02 Aug18 Jul13 Jun18 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.50    
BIZZY GAL Oct04 Sep19 Aug28 Aug05 Jul15 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 20.00 8% 11.00    
MOSE DEFINITELY Jun06 Apr26 Mar17 Feb10 Jan20 (bissell cheyan)GILBERT KYLE 120 10.00    
MY PINK BABY BIRD Oct04 Aug30 Aug09 Jul31 May29 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 30.00    
 
MNR-6   10/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Q BOND Sep22 Sep06 Jul29 Feb19 Jan14 (lobo paulo )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00    
TIMEISGOLDEN Aug31 Jul29 May09 Apr13 Feb25 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 4.50    
FAIRY CAKES (GB) Oct13 Sep28 Sep18 Sep09 Aug15 (mcentee)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00    
GO STELLAIRE Oct04 Sep18 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SASSY JUSTICE Oct15 Oct03 Sep18 Aug30 Jul16 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 2.50 71% 0.40    
REVEIRS MINUTE Oct14 Sep08 Aug19 Aug03 Jul20 (hess j)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00    
POLYESTER BRIDE Oct03 Aug30 Aug13 Jul18 Jul02 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
 
MNR-7   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALEXIS S Oct07 Sep23 Aug22 Jul15 May29 (moreno-)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.50    
SCR  JUST DEAL WITH IT Aug19 Jul20 Jun17 Jan11 Dec31 (moreno-barban l)LEON A 120 30.00    
ICING Sep22 Jun17 Jun10 May13 Apr22 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 120 3.00    
SCR  FREEDOM RIDER Oct02 Sep17 Aug25 Jul31 Jun10 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00    
DOCTOR WU Sep17 Aug16 Jul25 Jul01 Jun15 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 120 5.00 29% 2.50    
MORE LOVE Oct02 Sep13 Aug21 Jul11 Jun21 (jackson r)RIVERA R 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
EL GAVILAN Sep30 Sep14 Aug23 Dec28 Nov14 (fernandez a)DIAZ R 118 15.00    
SCR  HILLBILLY LOGIC Oct03 Sep17 Sep02 Aug23 Aug02 (howard)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
 
MNR-8   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAY BEAU Oct16 Sep20 Sep06 Aug14 Jul20 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
RUN AWAY FEVER Oct01 Aug28 Aug13 Jul31 May29 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 15.00    
SCR  MEDWAY QUEEN Oct15 Sep06 Aug13 Jul26 Jul06 (delong ben)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.50    
THE REIGN SONG Oct17 Sep23 Aug24 Jul28 Jul04 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 114 1.60    
MISS NUCKOLS Oct01 Sep11 Aug16 Jul11 May16 (godsey marshal)AVILES YAN 120 8.00 52% 0.90    
BROOKLYNN'S DABOMB Sep22 Aug29 Aug04 Jul20 Jul07 (anderson su)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.50    
O K BABY Sep24 Aug28 Aug14 Jul20 Jun10 (londono o)HERNANDEZ H 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
PASSINGTHEMISTERY Oct15 Oct04 Sep24 Sep13 Aug24 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 8.00 26% 2.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.