Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - June 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(2/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(2/7/1/4)-(8/9/1/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/1/4)-(8/9/1/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/4)-(8/9/1/10/7)-(2/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-3   WIN (8/9/1/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/10/7)-(8/9/1/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/10/7)-(8/9/1/10/7)-(8/9/1/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/1/10/7)-(2/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/9/1/10/7)-(2/5/3)-(4/3/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
PEN-4   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(4/3/6)-(8/7/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(8/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(8/7/5/4)-(6/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (8/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/5/4)-(6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/4)-(6/1/5)-(4/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-8   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   06/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOLO CONTESTO Jun11 May21 May12 Apr15 Feb19 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.80 17% 5.00    
KHAKI JACK May31 May10 Apr27 Mar15 Feb17 (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50    
A T M AWESOME Jun01 May11 Apr27 Mar03 Feb10 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00    
ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT May31 Mar31 Mar02 Feb08 Dec21 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
MAGIC SPIN Jun09 Mar15 Feb16 Jan25 Dec30 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00    
CONDITION ONE May31 May10 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-2   06/21/2023 5490ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA PAZ May26 Jan19 Dec06 Nov15 Oct05 (smith thoma)INIRIO J 122 4.00 11% 8.10    
AIRMAN Mar22 Mar05 Feb10 Jan27 Jan14 (cruz jaime)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 1.40 56% 0.80    
CABAR SUL May31 May03 Jan12 Dec07 Nov09 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 119 8.00    
COMBATING May25 May10 Mar23 Feb15 Dec16 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
RIVERBOAT BANDIT Jun14 May17 Apr27 Mar29 Mar02 (cifarelli fra)ROJAS MARTINA 112 15.00    
BENCH PRESS May31 May05 Mar16 Feb16 Jan13 (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
KAZ MUNNINGS May10 Apr19 Mar23 Feb15 Jan19 (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.50 11% 7.80    
 
PEN-3   06/21/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHINTHENIGHT May28 May07 Apr16 Dec09 Nov20 (salvaggio jr)CORA D 120 3.50 8% 10.80    
NAUTICAL NATURE Mar23 Mar02 Dec21 Nov15 Oct21 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00    
CASH IN A FLASH May31 May10 Mar30 Mar09 Feb01 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50    
SPIKES SHIRL May17 Apr26 Mar23 Feb24 Feb08 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
ACT OF VALOR May17 Mar23 Mar08 Feb22 Jan20 (murtough step)TUNON JORDANO 118 20.00    
SCR  YES IT'S ROO May17 Apr19 Mar22 Feb13 Jan27 (jacklin theodora )LLOYD W 120 10.00    
KING ECLIPTICAL Oct25 Oct03 Sep23 Sep09 Aug25 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 8.00 7% 12.60    
STANHOPE May17 Apr24 Nov15 Oct07 Sep07 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
GONE INZANE Nov12 Sep23 Sep06 Aug22 Jul29 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 20% 3.90    
10  GRAB THE GOLD May18 Apr28 Mar16 Feb17 Jan11 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 8% 11.30    
 
PEN-4   06/21/2023 5490ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR GREENTHUMB May10 Apr19 Mar29 Mar02 Feb16 (rathman elisha)AGUILAR M 119 8.00    
AUCHINCRUIVE Nov04 Sep19 Aug25 Aug05 Jul13 (pino mich)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 45% 1.20    
THE MAN TO SEE May25 May10 Mar15 Feb15 Feb01 (dowling w)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 9% 10.30    
SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Jun09 May25 May06 May06 Mar24 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL null      
LAST SECOND LOUIE May28 Feb01 Oct22 Sep09 Jul29 (alvarado diane)HIRALDO JOHN 122 2.50 13% 6.40    
RED DEVOLUTION Apr27 Feb23 Jan04 Dec16 Nov20 (albright amy)CORA D 122 10.00    
DON'T QUESTION ME Jun14 May26 May05 Apr19 Mar29 (jacavone j)CHIAPPE R 119 12.00    
 
PEN-5   06/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIFTINGGEARS May31 May03 Apr05 Mar13 Jan31 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 3.50    
SYNONYM Jun02 Apr28 Apr21     (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 119 12.00    
LUCKY RUNNING CAT May31 May10 Aug25 Jul18 May09 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 15% 5.50    
CATTY'S UNCLE May22 Apr18 Apr03 Feb21 Jan25 (pattershall ma)ADORNO ABNER 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
EYE ON THE CANDY May31 Mar22 Mar31 Feb18   (alvarado diane)HIRALDO JOHN 122 3.50    
FLETCHER STATION May26 May11       (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 8.00 7% 13.50    
 
PEN-6   06/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA PRIMA May06 Aug19 Aug03 Jul01 Apr20 (rodriguez frankli)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
QUEEN'S DREAM May25 Mar22 Mar01 Feb08 Jan19 (beattie cod)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
TODO SOLA May09 Mar24 Dec14 Nov15 Oct06 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50    
MOONSAFE May31 May06 Mar02 Feb17 Jan13 (salvaggio micha)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 7% 13.20    
ATHENA BEACH May18 Mar30 Feb23     (synnefias d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
TAPIT'S GIRL May31 Dec14 Nov18 Nov04 Oct14 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
KNICKERSINATWIST May25 May06 Apr21 Mar22 Mar01 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 24% 3.10    
DATE NIGHT KISSES May29 Apr11 Feb13 Jan18 Dec21 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
PEN-7   06/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNAMATED MOON May18 Apr26 Mar29 Mar16 Dec06 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
VIOLENT PASS May28 Apr15 Mar23 Mar08 Feb22 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
OBROTHER ITSYLVIA May26 May12 Apr28 Dec21 Oct21 (shea lydee)CORA D 122 15.00    
FEDERAL CASE May17 Apr19 Mar23 Feb28 Feb20 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
TOMATER GATOR Jun06 Apr25 Apr05 Mar20 Mar01 (rodriguez m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKET BLAST May06 Mar16 Feb24 Feb01 Jan11 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 1.50 36% 1.70    
 
PEN-8   06/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VISHNU May17 Apr21 Mar17 Mar01 Feb15 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00    
POLITICAL May17 May05 Apr12 Mar24 Feb22 (johnston )HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 11% 8.20    
HE CAME TRUE May24 May05 Apr20 Mar25 Mar01 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 4.00    
TRIPLE A. PLUS May26 May06 Mar29 Mar15 Feb01 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
CHARGING LION May26 May06 Mar17 Mar03 Feb10 (mcclellan c)CORA D 120 2.50    
ALL TIME CLASSIC May17 Apr21 Mar30 Mar16 Feb16 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 8% 12.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.