Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - June 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(4/2/3)-(6/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(6/3/5)-(4/8/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-3   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(4/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(4/8/2/6)-(7/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-4   WIN (4/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/2/6)-(7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2/6)-(7/5/4)-(4/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-5   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4)-(4/2/1)-(7/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-6   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(7/6/5)-(7/8/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-7   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(7/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(7/8/1/4)-(3/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-8   WIN (7/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/4)-(7/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/4)-(7/8/1/4)-(7/8/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/1/4)-(3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1/4)-(3/2/1)-(8/7/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-9   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(8/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-10   WIN (8/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/1)-(8/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/1)-(8/7/6/1)-(8/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTY FOR ONE Jun10 Jul03 Jun19 Jun05 May21 (velasquez rig)VALDES ALEXIS 123 12.00    
2  MILEYS BLUECAT Jun09 May29 May20 May06 Apr08 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 1.40 34% 1.90    
3  GOLD RUSH CANDY May29 May21 Apr04 Mar19 Mar06 (velasque)AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00 11% 8.10    
4  CONTINUE ON VICTOR May21 Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 Jul23 (gibson vince)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 10.00    
5  IRON ROB May29 Sep11 Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 123 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  MINOSO May29 May20 May13 Mar26 Feb25 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.50    
 
EMD-2   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONSDALEITE Oct15 Oct08 Sep03 Aug20 Jul10 (bean a)RADKE K 123 12.00    
2  KEEPINMYPROMISE May06 Feb25 Jan18 Dec19 Dec01 (pierce l)MONTALVO C 123 1.80 21% 3.70    
3  BANDON BRIDGE May21 Feb14 Feb06 Dec19 Nov12 (pierce michael)ANAYA V 123 8.00 8% 12.30    
4  YOUONLYLIVETWICE May06 Apr12 Mar29 Mar14 Mar05 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  TYCHE AWAITS YOU Jun03 May21 Mar09 Jan21 Nov24 (crowe shelly)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.00    
6  PURPLE NIGHT May29 Feb25 Jan22 Dec26 Dec09 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 121 6.00    
 
EMD-3   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUIET CHARM May21 Feb25 Feb12 Feb04 Jan02 (perez hilario)VALDES ALEXIS 125 5.00    
2  FRANKS FIX IT Jun10 May28 May14 Apr08 Mar18 (cryderman cand)ENRIQUEZ D 125 3.50    
3  EYE CANDY RANDY Jun09 May21 May06 Mar20 Mar05 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 1.60 22% 3.50    
4  OUR EMPIRE May29 May14 Mar11 Mar05 Feb21 (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 12.00    
5  SPIRE Jun03 May05 Apr25 Apr10 Mar13 (kereluk edward)RADKE K 125 8.00 21% 3.70    
6  MISO FAST Jun09 May29 May14 Nov19 Oct29 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
EMD-4   06/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 7:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. EXECUTIVE         (wright blaine)VALDES ALEXIS 120 4.50    
  (by GRAZEN out of CHARMER LO by GIROLAMO)
2  FREIGHTLINE         (bullock steve)CRUZ M 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of KNIGHT RAIDER by TOUGH KNIGHT)
SCR  MOKKI         (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 120 20.00    
  (by GOLD RUSH DANCER out of HETTY by CAHILL ROAD)
4  BOURBON DANCER         (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by BAYERN out of BAUHAUS BOURBON by BEHRENS)
5  GENERAL CROOK May06 Apr15       (kereluk edward)ANAYA V 120 15.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of A P PEPPER by A. P. WARRIOR)
6  CHESHIRE KID         (wisdom anne)OROZCO E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DONTMESSWITHKITTEN out of CHEESE DANISH by IN EXCESS (IRE))
7  K R RULES         (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 120 4.50    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of MISS GINGER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  POWERIZED         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TRADITIONALIST by APTITUDE)
9  JOKERS FOUR         (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 120 12.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of MANITOBA MISS by D'WILDCAT)
SCR  CONNECTER         (gibson vince)RADKE K 120 10.00    
  (by CONNECT out of COPPER BEAUTY by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
 
EMD-5   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Auburn Purse ($50K) 3 C/G PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOVISCONNECTION Apr30 Apr08 Mar17 Dec03 Nov12 (wright blaine)RADKE K 123 1.40    
  (by VRONSKY out of LA DARLING by PERFECT MANDATE)
2  STEALING HEARTS May21 May20 May14 May06 Apr29 (conway )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 119 30.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DEAR FAY by GHAZI)
3  ROYAL HALO May27 May14 Mar25 Jul23 Jul01 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 6.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of SUNPENNY by GOOD REWARD)
4  LLOYDS LOGIC Sep18 Aug14 Jul31 Jul10 Jun24 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 119 3.00 16% 5.40    
  (by THE FACTOR out of LA GRANGE by CURLIN)
5  COMPANY'S DREAM May14 Feb28       (gibson vince)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 4.50 23% 3.40    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of DOUBLE DIP by FRENCH ENVOY)
SCR  JIN TONG Jun10 Jan01 Dec02 Nov04 Sep17 (toye joe)ANAYA V 119 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of EVER ADORED by FOREST WILDCAT)
7  TABLE BAY May27         (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 119 8.00 32% 2.10    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of CAPE GRACE by ABRAAJ)
 
EMD-6   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG MAMA THORNTON Jun10 May14 Mar12 Dec11 May27 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  PATRICIA L May28 Sep09 Aug12 Jul17 Feb12 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 123 3.50 18% 4.40    
3  FOGGY BOTTOM May06 Nov11 Oct21 Oct01 Sep10 (simkins rosie)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.00    
4  GOLDEN HALO May28 May14 Apr19 Mar29 Mar14 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 2.50 57% 0.70    
5  DATQUICKCAT May14 Dec01 Nov14 Nov04 Sep23 (van debbie)MONTALVO C 123 3.00    
6  BELLE MY BELLE Mar18 Feb27 Feb04 Jan09 Dec14 (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 125 4.50    
 
EMD-7   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEAR THE CROWN May28 May13 Apr11 Mar25 Feb04 (toye joe)RADKE K 125 1.80    
2  STEPHEN JAMES Sep02 Aug13 Aug05 Jul22 Jun26 (pirone e)ZUNINO L 123 10.00    
SCR  WHATWASITHINKING May29 Oct23 Oct01 Aug28 Jul02 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  PICK YOUR BID Jun09 May20 Nov23 Nov07 Sep17 (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 123 20.00    
5  NATIONHEART May28 Sep04 Aug21 Jul16 Jun25 (soranno jill)OROZCO E 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  FAMOUS ROCK STAR May20 Mar21 Feb25 Feb04 Jan23 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 4.50 23% 3.40    
7  BRONY BOY May29 Sep11 Aug27 Aug05 Jul10 (soranno jill)VALDES ALEXIS 123 3.50 30% 2.40    
 
EMD-8   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Seattle Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEPUP May28 May13 Aug19     (navarro jose)CRUZ M 118 5.00 18% 4.50    
  (by UPSTART out of PARK IN BACK by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  JAMIES INHERITANCE May28 May14 Apr28 Apr01 Mar11 (essex charles)ZUNINO L 118 15.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of BETH ANN'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  ME GUSTA LUNA May20         (velasque)AMADOR RUIZ 118 20.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of TAKE D' TOUR by TOUR D'OR)
4  PEPPER MILL May28 Apr24 Apr04 Mar19 Feb26 (kereluk edward)RADKE K 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of A P PEPPER by A. P. WARRIOR)
5  TENNESSEE MOON Jun03 May13 Mar31 Feb10 Jan06 (baze robert)NEGRON LUIS 118 20.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of TENNESSEE WHISKEY by PERSIAN TURBAN (IRE))
6  GET MY POINT Apr30 Apr22 Apr07 Mar04 Feb11 (rosales jorg)OROZCO E 118 20.00    
  (by STANFORD out of DIDUGETMYPOINT by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  ALOHA BREEZE May13 Dec21 Aug07 Jul10 Jun25 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 118 1.00 41% 1.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of FLASHY DOLL by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
8  MISS DYNAMIC May20 Aug28 Aug07 Jul10 Jul02 (velasquez rig)VALDES ALEXIS 118 2.50 20% 3.90    
  (by DYNAMIC IMPACT out of MISS SALOME by HARBOR THE GOLD)
 
EMD-9   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD COAST GIRL Apr19 Apr04 Feb28 Jan07 Sep10 (bullock )AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.50 8% 11.00    
2  ALICESHOUSEOFHEART May20 Apr10 Mar14 Feb06 Jan07 (essex charles)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50 14% 6.20    
3  ABOVE THE STARS May27 May13 Mar12 Jan16 Dec26 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 121 5.00 50% 1.00    
4  CRAZY ABOUT YOU May28 Apr05 Aug25 Aug07 Jun26 (raudales jose)MONTALVO C 125 10.00    
5  DANIELLE'S SECRET May13 Apr08 Feb19 Jan29 Jan14 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 4.00    
SCR  MS FLASHY HARBOR May28 May14 Apr17 Mar26 Feb26 (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 2.50    
 
EMD-10   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUNDFORJAMAICA Jun04 May21 May05 Mar26 Mar05 (toye joe)RADKE K 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  LOW DOSE Jun10 May27 May14 Apr01 Mar18 (bullene )AMADOR RUIZ 125 8.00    
3  ROLINGA Apr29 Apr03 Mar05 Feb19 Feb03 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 2.50    
4  BRITE TAN Jun04 Apr01 Mar13 Feb21 Feb12 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 6.00    
5  PARTY POLICE May27 Apr25 Apr12 Mar29 Mar05 (kereluk edward)NEGRON LUIS 125 12.00    
6  BELLS AND WHISTLES May14 Apr18 Mar29 Jan17 Jan02 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 125 12.00 9% 10.30    
7  SQUARE FOOTAGE May28 Apr05 Mar14 Feb25 Feb06 (troiani nicco)VALDES ALEXIS 125 3.50 14% 6.10    
8  MEAN SHARON Jun04 May14 Feb27 Feb19 Jan23 (metz jeffrey)OROZCO E 125 4.00 53% 0.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.