Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Friday - June 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(1/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(1/2/4/6)-(4/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/6)-(4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/6)-(4/2/3)-(5/8/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(5/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(5/8/1/7)-(8/2/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/1/7)-(8/2/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1/7)-(8/2/3/5)-(5/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-5   WIN (8/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/5)-(8/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/5)-(8/2/3/5)-(8/2/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/3/5)-(5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3/5)-(5/1)-(2/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   06/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOM'S START May18 Apr28 Mar22 Feb23 Feb15 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
MAINE May04 Jul27 Jun25 Jun16 May30 (lopez r)ALICEA JEREMY 113 4.00    
SON OF A BEAST May18 May04 Apr21 Feb13 Jan31 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
SUPER ROCKER May14 Apr23 Mar29 Nov25 Aug01 (salinas jose)BEATO INOEL 117 3.00 10% 9.00    
MIZZEN MONEY May18 Apr28 Mar30 Feb16 Jan25 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 6.00    
NEON SIGN May18 May06 Mar29 Mar01 Jan25 (salinas j)RODRIGUEZ R 117 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
PEN-2   06/09/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIEF REIDER Sep24 Jul29 Jul09     (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
ZOOMSTER May18 Apr29 Jan07 Sep05   (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 119 4.50 16% 5.40    
BROTHER SHOWTYME Apr26 Oct28 Oct23 Aug22   (sanche)GONZALEZ JR 119 12.00    
POLSAR May27 May13 May05 Apr15 Mar24 (moreno-barb)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 3.00 8% 11.20    
UNCLE REMI May31 May15 Oct30 Oct21 Oct09 (smith lawre)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.00    
KNOCKDOWN KID May04 Apr19 Apr01 Mar08 Feb23 (salinas jose)CORA D 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE J P May06 Sep27 Sep01 Jun09 May23 (padilla hugo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 3.50    
 
PEN-3   06/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FED CHAIR Apr26 Mar17 Feb15 Jan13 Dec07 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50    
KEFI May09 Apr05 Mar09 Feb16 Jan25 (lopez r)ALICEA JEREMY 113 3.50 8% 11.30    
LAST MINUTE MARIO May10 Apr19 Jan12 Dec18 Nov02 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOX OF CHOCOLATES May17 Apr01 Feb12 Jan21 Jan06 (jacobson da)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00 56% 0.80    
MAGIC SPIN Mar15 Feb16 Jan25 Dec30 Nov11 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 2.00    
SCR  HE CAME TRUE May24 May05 Apr20 Mar25 Mar01 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 12.00    
 
PEN-4   06/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKE NAKURU May12 May04 Mar24 Mar03 Feb15 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 15% 5.70    
EYE OF GUNFIGHTER May13 May07 Mar31 Feb22 Feb18 (smith lawre)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 12.00    
FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY May19 May04 Apr21 Mar16 Feb24 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50    
EGOT A POKER FACE May19 Apr26 Mar31 Mar10 Feb17 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
MEAN MACHINE May04 Mar15 Mar03 Feb10 Jan18 (dimitriou h)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 5.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  MAJOR THOMAS May26 May10 Dec07 Oct21 Feb01 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00    
CALL ON CLARA Nov09 Oct15 Sep21 Sep02 Aug19 (reck christo)VILLEGAS JERRY 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SAKETUMI May06 Oct11 Sep25 Aug04 Jul13 (dowling willia)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
 
PEN-5   06/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONG TOM Jun02 May24 May06 Apr20 Mar16 (salinas jos)INIRIO J 120 30.00    
INNUENDO (IRE) May24 May05 Mar30 Mar02 Jan26 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
SALTY HEIR May10 Apr14 Mar03 Feb16 Feb01 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 3.50 13% 6.90    
TYLER TIME May06 Apr14 Mar04 Feb19 Jan25 (mcfarlane b)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00    
PRATT May24 Apr26 Mar30 Mar16 Feb22 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  JAY'STALKER May30 May06 Mar30 Feb18 Dec10 (taylor jos)RIVERA R 113 12.00    
ADY'S MUNNY May17 Apr19 Mar01 Jan11 Dec20 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50    
MR BOLDACIOUS May17 May05 Apr26 Mar30 Mar02 (salinas j)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
 
PEN-6   06/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE'LL SEE Apr10 Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 Dec14 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 117 2.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  CUP OF LIFE May15 Apr11 Mar22 Feb22 Feb07 (noble f)BOWMAN ADAM 122 3.00    
UNION RALLY Apr26 Mar29 Feb17 Feb01 Jan11 (wolfe jr)ROJAS MARTINA 113 12.00    
SCR  SHARP CATCH May19 Mar10 Jan20 Dec14   (maymo j)AGUILAR M 117 6.00    
MORE RANSOM May24 May10 Mar22 Feb17 Feb09 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
SWEET TALIA Apr30 Apr06 Mar19 Feb20 Feb03 (mcfarlane brandon)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00    
 
PEN-7   06/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHO YOU SAY I AM May26 May12 Mar09 Feb23 Dec09 (smith thomas )ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00    
BEYOND THE BEND May12 Apr28 Apr01 Mar16 Mar03 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  HIGHWAYTWENTYSEVEN May12 Mar29 Feb02 Dec30 Nov02 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 20.00    
DROSSELMOON May12 Apr28 Mar29 Mar09 Feb08 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 13% 7.00    
KING'S HOUSE May16 May01 Apr19 Apr11 Mar20 (gonzalez-mi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 119 3.00    
TRUE GOLD May17 Apr19 Mar23 Mar08 Feb22 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
COAST TO COAST May26 Apr28 Apr20 Mar29 Mar03 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.