Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Monday - May 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(5/4)-(4/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(4/1/3)-(2/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(2/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(2/6/3/4)-(1/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-4   WIN (2/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/4)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/4)-(1/2/3)-(6/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-5   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(6/3/2)-(3/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-6   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(3/5/6)-(4/3/7/6/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-7   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(4/3/7/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(4/3/7/6/2)-(9/7/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
EMD-8   WIN (4/3/7/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/6/2)-(4/3/7/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/6/2)-(4/3/7/6/2)-(4/3/7/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/7/6/2)-(9/7/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EMD-9   WIN (9/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/5/2)-(9/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/5/2)-(9/7/5/2)-(9/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   05/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUTE'S DIAMOND May14 Apr12 Mar27 Mar14 Jan25 (pierce michae)VALDES ALEXIS 120 8.00 7% 12.90    
2  FLORA May06 Apr05 Mar22 Sep28 Sep16 (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 123 3.50    
3  TED'S CANDY GIRL May21 May06 Mar15 Feb16 Jan25 (gibson v)AMADOR RUIZ 123 2.50 12% 7.50    
4  GUNNHILD May13 Sep17 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 (crowe shelly)RADKE K 120 3.00 47% 1.20    
5  ZARAGOZA May21 May06 Apr04 Mar17 Feb25 (baze robert)MONTALVO C 120 15.00    
6  BOSSY PEGASUS May21 May06 Apr07 Mar25 Mar04 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 2.00    
 
EMD-2   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISO FAST May14 Nov19 Oct29 Oct16 Oct10 (perez hilario)RADKE K 121 2.50    
SCR  FAMOUS ROCK STAR May20 Mar21 Feb25 Feb04 Jan23 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 121 3.50    
3  D K'S CROWN May14 May01 Apr04 Mar25 Mar01 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 121 4.50    
4  DYF Mar13 Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 (silva-martin)OROZCO E 121 10.00 25% 3.00    
5  BRONY BOY Sep11 Aug27 Aug05 Jul10 Jul03 (soranno jill)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  QUIET CHARM May21 Feb25 Feb12 Feb04 Jan02 (perez hilario)ANAYA V 121 5.00    
 
EMD-3   05/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOSQUITO FLEET May06 Apr11 Mar08 Feb15 Jan19 (pierce michae)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00 15% 5.90    
2  YOU'RE THE CAUSE May06 Mar28 Feb26 Feb11 Jan30 (van debbie)MATIAS J 121 4.00    
3  HYDROGEN Jan31 Jan12 Dec19 Nov26 Nov07 (lowe nick)RADKE K 121 8.00 6% 16.20    
4  ALLEVA Apr26 Apr11 Mar27 Feb27 Feb13 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.20 57% 0.70    
5  MINOSO May20 May13 Mar26 Feb25 Feb04 (evans )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 121 15.00    
6  BOSS NINE Apr25 Mar26 Mar06 Dec17 Nov09 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.50    
 
EMD-4   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTHER TEN Apr04 Mar05 Feb01 Jan10   (troiani niccol)SAMUELS JAKE 120 6.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of INCREDIBLE TEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
2  SECRET HOTTIE May14         (jenne bonnie)OROZCO E 120 3.50 46% 1.20    
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of JADELET by SKIP AWAY)
3  PLATINUM PHANTOM         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of JOY'S JAGUAR by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  SAILING IN Jun19 Jun04       (cooper kay)NEGRON LUIS 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PEACEFUL NATION by NATIONHOOD)
5  YOGYA Sep02 Jul17       (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 120 5.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of CHAMPAGNEANDCAVIAR by VAN NISTELROOY)
6  UNBRIDLED SCHOLAR         (crowe shelly)RADKE K 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of RACHAE LEIGH by STORMIN FEVER)
7  ENGLISH MEADOW         (leonard w)WHITAKER J 123 20.00    
  (by CONNECT out of ENGLISH GARDEN by BERNARDINI)
8  GOAT ROCKS May14 Sep17 Sep02     (navarro jose)CRUZ M 120 4.00    
  (by LINCHPIN out of NIGHTWALKER by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
 
EMD-5   05/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARBARIAN May20 Feb15 Feb02 Jan11 Dec09 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.80 31% 2.20    
2  AFFIRM CHIEF May20 May06 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
3  RUNAWAY KRISTIN May06 Apr15 Mar25 Mar04 Feb12 (gabriel med)RADKE K 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
4  WARRIORS HERO May20 Mar07 Dec21 Nov28 Nov15 (pierce l)MONTALVO C 122 5.00    
5  PICK BYMY FRIEND Apr08 Mar05 Feb18 Jan20 Jan02 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 124 8.00    
6  TAP THE BANK Mar12 Feb19 Jan24 Jan10 Dec17 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 124 15.00    
 
EMD-6   05/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R B EYE May14 Sep17 Aug28 Aug12 Jul23 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 12.00    
2  HEY SEQUOIA May06 Feb22 Feb06 Jan18 Dec19 (nunnally jennif)CRUZ M 121 3.50 7% 13.20    
3  SPROSTON May21 Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 Jan16 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 1.80 34% 1.90    
4  ALPINE HYPNOSIS May06 Feb14 Jan23 Nov29 Nov16 (pierce l)MONTALVO C 121 8.00    
5  VINTAGE KITTEN May06 Feb02 Jan18 Jan09 Dec20 (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 121 4.00    
6  RIVER ROSE Apr15 Mar25 Mar01 Feb16 Feb02 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
EMD-7   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMACALLMEBOO May14 Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 Aug12 (velasquez rigob)CRUZ M 121 3.50    
2  FREESTONE Apr03 Mar08 Feb13 Sep11 Aug27 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 121 12.00    
3  IRON ROB Sep11 Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 Jul03 (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 121 4.00 39% 1.50    
4  UPPER ROOM May21 Apr24 Mar28 Mar04 Feb04 (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 6.00    
5  GOLD RUSH CANDY May21 Apr04 Mar19 Mar06 Feb22 (velasquez rigo)SAMUELS JAKE 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
6  TRY TO CAPTURE May21 May01 Apr03 Mar04 Feb13 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.80 13% 6.80    
 
EMD-8   05/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOUNT OLYMPIC Apr15 Mar12 Feb04 Aug18   (raudales jose)MONTALVO C 124 6.00    
2  OUR EMPIRE May14 Mar11 Mar05 Feb21 Feb02 (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO May14 Feb26 Feb02 Jan18 Jan09 (gibson vince)MATIAS J 124 5.00 15% 5.50    
4  HEREDIA BOXER May14 Apr15 Sep09 Aug07 Jul24 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
5  MOJAVE (GB) May14 Mar28 Feb26 Feb09 Jan26 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 121 12.00    
6  NEW EVERY MORNING May14 Feb26 Feb09 Jan26 Jan18 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  WHATWASITHINKING Oct23 Oct01 Aug28 Jul02 Jan15 (perez hilario)RADKE K 121 4.00 13% 6.50    
8  WHOS DALLINS DADDY Feb12 Feb02 Jan12 Dec26 Dec13 (gibson v)AMADOR RUIZ 124 10.00    
9  MILEYS BLUECAT May20 May06 Apr08 Mar18 Feb24 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00    
 
EMD-9   05/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOSCOW LADY Sep10 Aug27 Aug20 Jul30 Jul16 (bullock stev)OROZCO E 120 12.00    
2  LA POPIS Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 (troiani niccolo)MATIAS J 120 15.00 7% 12.60    
3  PURPLE NIGHT Feb25 Jan22 Dec26 Dec09 Nov24 (wright blaine)RADKE K 120 10.00    
4  AWESOME DAZE Sep09 Aug19 Aug07 Jul16 May29 (jenne bonnie)ZUNINO L 120 12.00    
5  SHEMAKESCENTS May13 Apr23 Mar12 Feb11 Jan27 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 120 3.50 10% 8.90    
6  LUCINDA RELLA May13 Aug28 Jul10 Jun18   (harwood m)MONTALVO C 120 8.00    
7  CAMDEN HIGH May13 Apr01 Mar13 Feb27 Feb06 (pierce michael)ENRIQUEZ D 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  KETANJI Apr29 Apr08 Jan16 Nov25 Oct14 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 117 2.50    
9  FOR YOU ONLY May14 Jun19 May22     (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 120 6.00 38% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.