Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - May 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(6/7/3)-(1/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(1/6/2)-(4/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-3   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(4/5/2)-(3) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
EMD-4   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(3)-(1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
EMD-5   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (3)-(1/3)-(4/3/5/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
EMD-6   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(4/3/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(4/3/5/1)-(7/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
EMD-7   WIN (4/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1/8)-(4/3/5/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/5/1)-(7/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/1)-(7/4)-(4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-8   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/9/1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/9/1/5)-(7/4/9/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(4/3/1)-(4/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-9   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EMD-10   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/8)-(4/6/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   05/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG FASHION Aug27 Aug07 Jul10 Jun17 Jun04 (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 120 4.50    
2  QUEEN BREEZY Jul29 Jul16 Jun25 Jan19   (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 120 1.80 36% 1.70    
3  BELLS AND WHISTLES Apr18 Mar29 Jan17 Jan02 Dec21 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 120 8.00    
4  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI Apr08 Mar21 Feb21 Jan30 Jan17 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 120 3.50 11% 8.30    
5  MEAN SHARON Feb27 Feb19 Jan23 Dec26 Dec15 (gibson vince)RADKE K 120 6.00    
6  LOW DOSE Apr01 Mar18 Mar14 Feb19 Jan30 (bullene michael)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
EMD-2   05/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNBRIDLED SCHOLAR         (crowe shelly)RADKE K 123 2.50    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of RACHAE LEIGH by STORMIN FEVER)
SCR  SAILING IN Jun19 Jun04       (cooper kay)CRUZ M 123 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PEACEFUL NATION by NATIONHOOD)
3  A FRIEND INDEED         (balcom cliff)ZUNINO L 120 15.00 7% 13.90    
  (by LORD LOCHINVAR out of WINGS ARE THE WAY by IHTIMAM)
4  RAINBOW STEW Apr24 Mar14 Feb21     (toye joe)NEGRON LUIS 120 1.60    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SUMMER RAINBOW by SUMMER SQUALL)
5  MANY MEMORIES         (balcom c)AMADOR RUIZ 120 12.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of SUGAR SLEET by SEATTLE SLEET)
6  GOAT ROCKS Sep17 Sep02       (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 120 6.00 41% 1.40    
  (by LINCHPIN out of NIGHTWALKER by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
7  SECRET HOTTIE         (jenne bonnie)OROZCO E 120 4.50 17% 4.90    
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of JADELET by SKIP AWAY)
 
EMD-3   05/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS FLASHY HARBOR Apr17 Mar26 Feb26 Feb06 Jan10 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
2  JAMIES INHERITANCE Apr28 Apr01 Mar11 Feb18 Feb01 (essex charle)OROZCO E 121 3.00 10% 8.70    
3  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP Apr16 Mar24 Feb11 Jan21 Jan08 (cryderman s)RADKE K 121 2.00    
4  SCATALICIOUS Apr19 Mar19 Feb13 Jan07 Dec14 (metz jeffrey)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00    
5  FLY PATTI FLY Jul09 Jun25       (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 118 10.00    
6  CALYPSO PRINCESS Aug22 Jun18       (essex charles)NEGRON LUIS 118 5.00 11% 7.80    
 
EMD-4   05/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONNE CATTIVE Jul10 Jun26 Jun05 May22   (lopez pat)MATIAS J 117 8.00    
2  FOR YOU ONLY Jun19 May22       (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 117 10.00 7% 13.30    
3  SIGNATURE COLORS Apr10 Mar18 Feb28 Feb06 Jan09 (toye joe)ANAYA V 123 6.00    
4  RESERVOIR Apr21 Feb03       (wright blaine)RADKE K 123 1.40 37% 1.70    
5  WESTERN DREAM Jul24         (cooper kay)OROZCO E 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
6  MISS BELLA Jan22 Jan08 Dec10 Nov18 Oct01 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 120 4.00    
 
EMD-5   05/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAVERNELLE         (essex charles)CRUZ M 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by BERNARDINI out of APOLOGY ACCEPTED by CANDY RIDE)
SCR  J C'S A LEGEND Apr26 Sep18 Aug07 Jul17   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 120 1.40 28% 2.60    
  (by LEA out of LOVE'S ILLUSION by MAZEL TRICK)
3  AMARA MIKE May15         (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by ABRAAJ out of ILA VEIW by RALLYING CRY)
4  ALL THE KING'S MEN Aug13 Jul31       (martinez dav)SARMIENTO RIGO 120 20.00    
  (by LORD LOCHINVAR out of ANDIAMO DEB by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
5  BEAU MISCHIEF Sep02 Aug12       (wright blain)OROZCO E 120 12.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of BEAULENA by BEAU GENIUS)
6  LANGSTON ROAD Jan02 Nov27 Oct30 Sep18 Aug14 (wright blaine)RADKE K 120 3.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of STORMY BELOW by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
EMD-6   05/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN HALO Apr19 Mar29 Mar14 Feb27 Feb04 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 123 2.50 67% 0.50    
SCR  BELLE MY BELLE Mar18 Feb27 Feb04 Jan09 Dec14 (nunnally jennif)NEGRON LUIS 123 5.00    
3  WARREN'S MEMORABLE Apr19 Mar25 Mar14 Mar05 Feb25 (metz jeffrey)RADKE K 123 3.50 9% 10.20    
4  DATQUICKCAT Dec01 Nov14 Nov04 Sep23 Sep04 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 123 8.00    
5  BIG MAMA THORNTON Mar12 Dec11 May27 Jan16   (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 123 6.00    
6  FEATHER INTHE WIND Sep17 Sep03 Jul29 Jun25 Jun11 (navarro jose)CRUZ M 123 4.00 ★    
7  LAFONDA Aug27 Aug12 Jul30 Jul10 Jun18 (harwood m)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
 
EMD-7   05/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMACALLMEBOO Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 Aug12 Jul30 (velasquez rigob)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 11% 8.20    
2  DUSALUT Apr12 Mar20 Feb25 Feb04 Dec20 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 121 15.00    
3  OUR EMPIRE Mar11 Mar05 Feb21 Feb02 Jan24 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
4  MINEHUNTER Feb19 Feb05 Jan10 Dec13 Feb25 (birdwell ten)OROZCO E 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
5  TAINO HOUSE Mar11 Mar01 Feb06 Jan14 Jan02 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 124 8.00 13% 7.00    
6  R B EYE Sep17 Aug28 Aug12 Jul23 Jul10 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 12.00    
7  NEW EVERY MORNING Feb26 Feb09 Jan26 Jan18 Jan04 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 124 4.50    
8  FOSTER BOI Sep03 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (soranno jill)RADKE K 121 5.00 ★    
9  FRANKS FIX IT Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Feb13 Jan25 (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 121 10.00    
 
EMD-8   05/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISO FAST Nov19 Oct29 Oct16 Oct10 Sep17 (perez hilario)RADKE K 121 5.00 ★    
2  MOJAVE (GB) Mar28 Feb26 Feb09 Jan26 Sep17 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 121 10.00    
3  COMMISSIONER DAVID Feb21 Feb07 Jan15 Dec01 Oct25 (pierce l)MONTALVO C 121 15.00    
4  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO Feb26 Feb02 Jan18 Jan09 Dec13 (gibson vince)MATIAS J 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
5  CALIBOGEE Apr04 Feb09 Dec26 Nov28 Sep12 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 121 8.00 ★    
6  WARFRONT FIGHTER Mar08 Feb20 Feb09 Jan10 Dec27 (velasquez ri)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 15.00    
7  D K'S CROWN May01 Apr04 Mar25 Mar01 Feb18 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 121 4.00 38% 1.70    
8  HEREDIA BOXER Apr15 Sep09 Aug07 Jul24 Jun26 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 121 3.00    
9  DEMOCRAT Mar12 Feb14 Jan24 Jan02 Dec15 (peery debbie)WHITAKER J 124 8.00 ★    
 
EMD-9   05/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 9:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPANY'S DREAM Feb28         (gibson vince)RADKE K 119 5.00 16% 5.40    
2  ICE TOWER Sep18 Sep04 Aug14     (gibson vince)MATIAS J 119 8.00    
3  ROYAL HALO Mar25 Jul23 Jul01 Jun12 May14 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 119 2.00 17% 4.90    
4  IT'S TURBO Apr17 Mar14 Sep18 Aug07 Jul10 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 1.80 39% 1.60    
5  GOLD RUSH JUNIOR Aug28 Jul31 Jul10     (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 119 12.00    
6  MISTER MIDAS Dec30 Dec09 Nov18 Sep10 Aug07 (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 119 4.50    
 
EMD-10   05/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3 F PT- 9:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A LITTLE GRACE Feb10 Jan13 Nov27 Oct29   (dronen sam)CRUZ M 121 4.50    
2  VANDULIE         (bullock steve)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 12% 7.70    
3  SETTLER'S COVE Sep17 Aug19 Jul31     (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 12.00    
4  MISS ACCELERATE Mar24 Mar04 Feb10 Jan13 Nov26 (wright blaine)RADKE K 121 1.80 37% 1.70    
5  POCKET KNIFE Sep11         (carlson a)ZUNINO L 121 15.00    
6  STARRY BEACH Aug19 Aug07 Jul23 Jul10   (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
7  SHESRSECRETWEAPON Aug19 Aug06       (j)RODRIGUEZ MARIA 116 8.00    
8  LUTE'S DIAMOND Apr12 Mar27 Mar14 Jan25 Dec20 (pierce michae)VALDES ALEXIS 121 20.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.