Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - May 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (4/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/3)-(3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/3)-(3/4)-(4/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/4)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(4/7/1)-(7/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/3)-(4/7/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(7/4/2)-(7/10/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(7/10/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(7/10/2)-(7/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (7/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/10/2)-(7/10/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/10/2)-(7/10/2/4)-(7/10/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/10/2)-(7/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/10/2)-(7/2/4)-(6/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/4)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIZAAM Mar29 Mar16 Jan27 Dec21 Dec09 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00    
2  MINE TO HOLD Apr07 Mar03 Feb15 Jan25 Jan11 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00    
3  POCOPSON STATION Apr21 Mar17 Feb15 Aug11 Jul28 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 8% 12.20    
4  PEPE TONO Mar16 Feb24 Dec21 Nov30 Oct18 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 3.50 30% 2.40    
5  DIGGERS DIAMOND Apr20 Mar24 Mar01 Feb15 Jan12 (geist w)BAKER J 124 4.50    
6  POLITICAL Apr12 Mar24 Feb22 Jan20 Nov29 (johnston )HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 27% 2.80    
7  RONIN WARRIOR Mar27 Mar06 Feb22 Jan23 Dec30 (bravo-est)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 9% 10.60    
 
PEN-2   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN LAURA RUN Feb24 Feb01 Jan11 Dec16 Nov30 (king lawren)INIRIO J 120 4.00 ★    
2  SASSY MARTINI Apr21 Dec01 Nov05 Oct22 Sep01 (beattie san)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
3  MIZZEN Apr08 Mar25 Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 (farrior a)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 49% 1.00    
4  JACK'S LILLY Feb22 Feb10 Jan28 Dec30 Dec09 (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
5  TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER Mar16 Feb24 Feb16 Jan26 Jan12 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50    
6  BILLIEANNE Apr24 Apr10 Mar28 Mar08 Nov09 (farro patri)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 6.00 ★    
7  AMEN SYLVIA Jan19 Dec28 Dec02 Nov22 Oct26 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 10.00    
 
PEN-3   05/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INNUENDO (IRE) Mar30 Mar02 Jan26 Dec28 Nov29 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 10% 9.10    
2  D BLACK MAMBA Apr25 Mar29 Feb15 Jan26 Jan16 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 15.00    
3  HE CAME TRUE Apr20 Mar25 Mar01 Feb01 Jan11 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 ★    
4  MR BOLDACIOUS Apr26 Mar30 Mar02 Feb17 Jan26 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
5  BOSSY CAT Apr20 Mar25 Mar02 Feb17 Jan18 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
6  PEAKY BLINKERS Apr20 Feb17 Jan18 Dec20 Dec06 (kravets bru)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
7  ANTE UP ALEX Apr20 Mar29 Mar06 Feb22 Jan31 (simone mich)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 4.50 30% 2.30    
8  BODE LYNX Apr14 Feb26 Dec29 Nov24 Oct29 (milosevic m)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.50    
 
PEN-4   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANTAFE EXPRESS Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Jan26 Jan11 (hayes kir)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00    
2  TRECHMO GIRL         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 4.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  PERSWAYMEAGAIN Mar30 Feb11       (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 10.00 ★    
4  KAZ LUCKY NUMBERS Mar15 Feb10 Jan27     (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 21% 3.90    
5  WIN FOR LAILA Apr26 Mar30 Mar15 Feb10 Jan26 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00    
6  MISS MIA LIA Apr20 Mar08 Jan12 Oct16   (kulp brandon )ROJAS MARTINA 111 12.00    
7  LONDON LADY Apr21 Apr10 Feb24 Feb01 Apr14 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
8  THATSJUSTLOVELY Jan26 Dec20 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00    
 
PEN-5   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABBY'S SPIRIT         (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 111 12.00    
  (by GOLDDIGGER'S BOY out of ABIGAIL S by LITE THE FUSE)
2  SHY DA RUNNER Mar28 Mar02 Feb02     (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00 5% 18.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of UNIMAGINEABLE by TWIRLING CANDY)
SCR  ZEALOUS LEGACY Mar18 Feb02       (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 7% 14.20    
  (by HERE'S ZEALOUS out of PENNYMINE by MINESHAFT)
4  SNIP THE ROSES Mar31 Mar10 Feb20 Dec09 Nov18 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 121 4.50 ★    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PLEASANT CHIMES by PLEASANT TAP)
5  FUZZY NAVEL         (stowers mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 12.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of FOREVER FAMOUS by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  SENSE OF IRELAND         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 124 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MIA LADY by SALT LAKE)
7  MONEY MAKING KAZ         (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by BANK HEIST out of BEHRNIK by CHIMES BAND)
8  THE LAST JUMPSTART         (aguirre antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 12.00    
  (by JUMP START out of HAPPY HAUNTS by HARD SPUN)
9  LETSGETLUCKYTONITE         (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 15.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of SARA THE GREAT by GREATNESS)
10  POLSAR Apr15 Mar24 Feb15 Aug31 Jul27 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 124 6.00 30% 2.40    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of ALL STAR BUB by MIDSHIPMAN)
 
PEN-6   05/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIRENETTA Apr17 Apr05 Mar22 Mar13 Mar02 (gallimore trevo)RUIZ ELISEO 109 8.00    
2  BO RUNKLE Apr26 Mar15 Feb24 Jan27 Jan12 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 3.00 13% 7.00    
3  ALL THE WAY MAE Feb11 Nov04 Oct21 Aug24 Aug12 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00 ★    
4  BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY Mar09 Feb22 Dec02 Oct25 Oct10 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 8% 12.10    
5  CRIMSON LILLE Feb22 Jan25 Jan11 Nov18 Oct15 (deiter l)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
6  SIMPLE JUSTICE Feb22 Dec06 Nov09 Oct11 Sep23 (mick r)LLOYD W 122 10.00    
7  ALWAJD Apr20 Apr12 Feb17 Jan13 Dec15 (farro patri)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 2.00 57% 0.80    
 
PEN-7   05/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEJUCO Feb24 Feb10 Jan12 Nov29 Nov09 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 121 6.00 ★    
2  SYLVIA I AM Apr21 Mar24       (shea lydee)CORA D 124 20.00    
3  DON'T QUESTION ME Apr19 Mar29 Mar02 Feb02 Jan25 (jacavone j)CHIAPPE R 121 5.00    
4  BENCH PRESS Mar16 Feb16 Jan13 Jun24 May13 (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  SIR STEELE Mar16 Mar08 Feb02 Dec09 Nov08 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 124 2.50 9% 10.20    
6  HE'S FANCY FREE Apr19 Mar24 Mar09     (albright r)AGUILAR M 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
7  ALWAYS THERE Mar31 Sep13 Sep06 Aug22 Jul23 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.