Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Monday - May 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-7   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-3   05/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EARLYNTHEMORN Apr19 Apr03 Mar26 Mar12 Feb21 (o'brien debbi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
SCR  MISS GHISLAINE Apr24 Apr04 Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50    
FAT AND FURIOUS Apr04 Mar11 Feb20 Jan28 Jan10 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 21% 3.70    
PANCAKES AND BEER Apr19 Apr08 Feb15 Apr28 Apr06 (grissom w)ZUNINO L 122 4.00    
CURIOUS INJI Apr08 Mar25 Mar05 Feb16 Jan30 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
IMPULSUS Apr12 Mar05 Feb20 Feb01 Jan24 (kenney ryan)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 9% 10.20    
 
TUP-4   05/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 F PT- 5:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEF MAME Apr22 Apr01 Mar12     (mcfarlan)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 2.50    
FULL SPIRIT         (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  SLOWDOWNTOGOFAST Apr04 Oct11       (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00    
PRINCESS JAYLEEN Apr22 Mar27 Mar12 Feb20 Jan28 (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 3.00 14% 6.00    
IZE SMILING         (hone bart)ZUNINO L 121 4.50 26% 2.80    
DONNA'S MISCHIEF Apr19 Dec20       (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 121 3.50    
 
TUP-5   05/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO LAKER GO Apr04 Mar18 Mar06 Feb18 Jan28 (barraza s)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
SUGAR SHANE Apr01 Mar25 Mar12 Feb28 Feb16 (torres-casas a)YBARRA MICHAEL 118 8.00 10% 9.30    
ANNA'S IRON MAN Mar19 Feb05 Jan03 Dec14 Nov01 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
RIGHT TO SUE Apr17 Mar25 Mar06 Feb26 Feb06 (villamar candel)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00    
PARTYOFSIXTEEN Apr04 Mar19 Feb22 Feb11 May02 (barraza sos)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
UNSTOPPABLE ME Apr01 Mar21 Feb22 Feb08   (ortiz sr)ANAYA V 124 2.00    
 
TUP-6   05/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIMONY Mar08 Feb20 Feb11 Jan30 Jan12 (torres-casas a)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00    
SCR  SHARK HARBOR Apr02 Mar18 Mar11 Mar01 Feb07 (magrady ron)JENSEN P 124 6.00    
RHODIUM RUNNER Apr11 Mar26 Feb24 Feb04 Jan27 (christian billy)ZUNINO L 124 8.00    
D K'S CROWN Apr04 Mar25 Mar01 Feb18 Feb09 (villamar cand)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 61% 0.70    
SIR DEPUTY Mar28 Mar04 Feb19 Jan31 Jan07 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50    
KOVACS Apr18 Mar25 Jan23 Jan05 Nov30 (silva g)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 13% 6.90    
DIXIELAND DELIGHT Sep14 Aug19 Aug07 May29 May13 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00    
 
TUP-7   05/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD CRUSHER Apr11 Mar14 Jan26 Dec13 Nov14 (ortiz frank)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00    
TRY TO CAPTURE Apr03 Mar04 Feb13 Jan26 Jan10 (evans justin)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.50 9% 10.10    
RECKONING DAY Apr04 Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 Feb09 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50    
SILVER DASH Mar26 Mar04 Jan25 Dec20 Nov16 (mart)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
HI HO CHEERIO Mar27 Mar05 Feb19 Jan25 Jan09 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 15% 5.60    
NUMEROLOGIST Mar12 Feb28 Jan31 Jan10 Nov07 (buechler j)ZUNINO L 122 6.00    
LINCHTOWN Apr15 Mar21 Mar08 Feb25 Feb02 (gutierre)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 8.00    
 
TUP-8   05/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURNIN VERNON Apr18 Apr05 Mar06 Jan05   (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 6.00 14% 5.90    
GOOD BOY ROY Apr10         (lawrence heath)DEONAUTH P 124 5.00 43% 1.30    
WESTERN CHARM Apr10 Mar19 Mar05 Feb08 Dec09 (woolley )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 6.00    
SUPER INTENSE Apr10 Mar19 Feb26 Feb13 Jan24 (o'brien danny)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00    
DALE'S ADDICTION Feb13 Jul16 May06     (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00    
GATO SICILIANO Apr01 Sep03 Apr02 Mar18 Mar12 (orte)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00    
SCR  DANZINGINTHEDARK Sep04         (rollins scott)ANAYA V 118 12.00    
MIGHTY TIGER Apr12         (caraman micha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  BIG PEN TEN Apr12 Jan28       (o'brien danny)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.