Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fair Grounds
Saturday - February 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (8/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-2   Win (5/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-3   Win (1/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-4   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FG-5   Win (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-6   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FG-7   Win (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FG-8   Win (2/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FG-9   Win (9/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FG-1   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY YOUR PERFECT Feb04 Dec18       (zeringue j)CULP BRIANNE 115 12.00    
SENSE OF HEART Jan20 Dec19 Nov25     (lovell miche)ALBERT S 115 3.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  PUTTIN' PRESLEY Dec23         (duhon o)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
DE' ANS EIGHTY         (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.00 11% 7.90    
UNBRIDLED ANNSLEY Feb04 Aug15       (scherer gary)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00 9% 9.90    
KEEP LEFT Feb04 Jan16 Dec23 Dec03 Nov12 (rodriguez eduard)GREEN AUBRIE 120 5.00    
SCR  PUABIS GOLD         (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 120 6.00 10% 9.50    
DAPHNE'S FIRE         (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
 
FG-2   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIARTOWN Jan21 Dec09       (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50    
ALILNALOT         (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 7% 13.50    
MO MOVES Jan20 Nov18 Jul12 Jun19   (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
DE SAIX Dec16 Nov18       (faucheux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.50 16% 5.40    
PERMAFROST Jan15 Nov13 Oct19 Sep11   (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
GREEN BEANS Jan07 Oct14 Sep16     (gabriel terry)CULP BRIANNE 115 3.00    
 
FG-3   02/25/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KID KETCHUM         (cox h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
ODDSONTONY Jan21 Dec26       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
SIR LIAM         (gelner scott)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Feb03 Jan06 Dec09 Oct28 Sep24 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.00 8% 11.70    
SAM STORMY Oct30 Sep08       (kenneally edd)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
MORE THAN FIVE Feb02 Dec26 Dec03 Oct23   (calhoun willia)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50 8% 11.50    
JOINT VENTURE Dec26 Oct15 Sep24     (flint bernar)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00    
SIR Feb02 Jan05 Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 (mcpeek kenne)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  MIDNIGHT PRANKS Jan21 Dec16 Nov26 Oct30   (calhoun br)PARKER L 122 4.00    
SCR  DUAL MONARCHY Feb02 Jan05 Dec03     (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 6% 16.70    
 
FG-4   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILCREASE Aug07         (stall m)LANERIE J 119 5.00    
TODDCHERO Dec26 Dec03 Nov12 Oct28 Sep25 (gelner jayde)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.00    
SCR  F J'S FLACO Aug03 Jul03       (maturin cha)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
INVULNERABLE Jan21 Dec17 Nov24     (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50    
DISTORTED PRO Dec26 Dec03 Nov03 Oct02   (cox h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
NATURAL HARBOR Dec16 Nov03 Oct13     (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 31% 2.30    
 
FG-5   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE TOLD YOU SO Jan13 Sep04 Jul19     (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
NEW DESTINY Jan21 Dec31 Dec16 Nov22 Nov05 (gelner j)LANERIE J 122 4.50    
GUITAR WOMAN Jan13 Dec02 Nov18 Oct14 Sep20 (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY Feb04 Dec31 Dec09 Nov18 Jul19 (hodges e)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00    
FREE DROP MADDY Feb04 Dec10 Nov18 Oct14 Sep15 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
AGAMI Jan13 Dec18 Dec02 Nov18 Sep20 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00    
OLIVIA G Feb04 Jan21 Dec29 Dec02   (west g)PARKER L 117 3.50 9% 10.50    
FOR HARPER Feb12 Jan21 Oct15 Aug26 Aug10 (ducoing s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
 
FG-6   02/25/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESERT DUKE Feb03 Jan06 Dec16     (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
ICE TIME Feb02 Jan05 Dec03     (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
MINNESOTA MOON Jan19 Sep30 Sep07     (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
HE'S GOT SWAGGER Feb03         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 50% 1.00    
SCR  TEXAS ADOPTER Feb17         (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 120 30.00    
CLASSIC DANCER Feb05         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00    
TWO RIVERS OVER Jan21 Nov25 Oct16 Sep25   (calhoun br)PARKER L 120 6.00    
SCAT DANZ         (casse norm )HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
SCR  SILVER BULL Jan21 Dec16       (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
 
FG-7   02/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT Feb02 Jan12 Dec26 Nov25   (faucheux ron)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50    
BENOIT Dec19 Nov11 Sep27     (tracy greg)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
STIFF DRINK Jan14 Dec31 Dec04 Nov19 Sep27 (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
REAL ACTION Jan21 Oct08 Jun04 May19   (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
MANGUM Jan14 Dec19 Nov12 Oct20   (delhomme je)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
GOBOT Feb04 Jan14 Oct15 Aug18 Aug03 (flint steve)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
JACK HAMMER Feb04 Dec31 Nov19     (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.40 54% 0.90    
MY LIL DUDE Jan14 Dec22 Dec01     (brinkman brett)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 20.00    
 
FG-8   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($51K) 3 F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Feb10 Jan28 Jan16 Dec31 Dec15 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 15.00    
TOPSY Jan07         (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
FLAMAND Jan28 Dec26 Oct28 Oct06 Aug30 (lopez elias)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00    
TAYLORS TAP Jan28 Dec02 Nov11 Jul23   (gelner j)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00    
SHOPLIFTER Nov04 Sep17 Aug14 Jun29 Jun08 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
JUST LIKE MAGIC Dec26 Nov27 Jul04 Jun17   (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
VARMLANDER Jan22 Dec15       (sharp joe)PARKER L 119 4.50    
NEUTRALIZE Jan28 Dec26 Nov23     (stall albert)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
TITLED LADY Jan22 Dec19 Nov10     (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
FG-9   02/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIGHT SPARK Feb04 Dec31 Dec09 Oct16 Sep23 (flint bernard )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
SETNA THE WISE Oct26 Sep05 Jul16 May18 Apr16 (barkley jas)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
TRIGGER HAPPY Feb03 Nov25 Nov10 May21 May01 (habeeb donal)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00    
JEEPER Feb03 Jan01 Dec09 Jul12 May30 (desormeaux )HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
GUNTOWN Jan29 Dec31 Nov27 Apr29 Mar25 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
BRIGADIER GENERAL Sep17 Aug20 Jul04 May12 Apr14 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 10% 8.60    
RICKY BOBBY Jan29 Dec31 Nov26 Nov10 Jul16 (schwandt emile)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
COUSIN LARRY Jan19 Nov06 Oct13 Sep17 Aug15 (lovell michelle)PARKER L 122 4.00    
CRUMP Jan06 Dec15 Feb28 Feb03   (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 65% 0.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.