Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Saturday - February 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (8/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/2)-(8/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/2)-(8/4/5/2)-(8/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/5/2)-(5/3/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/2)-(5/3/4/2)-(1/8/6/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/2)-(5/3/4/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/2)-(5/3/4/2/6)-(5/3/4/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/4/2)-(1/8/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/2)-(1/8/6/4)-(5/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-3   WIN (1/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/6/4)-(5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6/4)-(5/6)-(5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-4   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/2/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/2/4/1)-(5/6/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(5/3/7)-(4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-5   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7/1/2)-(5/3/7/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(4/1)-(7/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-6   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/8/7)-(4/1/8/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/1)-(7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(7/2)-(2/9) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
FG-7   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/5/1/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/5/1/8)-(7/2/5/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2)-(2/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(2/9)-(9/6) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
FG-8   WIN (2/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/9)-(2/9/7/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/9)-(2/9/7/4/5)-(2/9/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9)-(9/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FG-9   WIN (9/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/6)-(9/6/4/8/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (9/6)-(9/6/4/8/1)-(9/6/4/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY YOUR PERFECT Feb04 Dec18       (zeringue j)CULP BRIANNE 115 12.00    
2  SENSE OF HEART Jan20 Dec19 Nov25     (lovell mic)ALBERT S 115 3.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  PUTTIN' PRESLEY Dec23         (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
4  DE' ANS EIGHTY         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.00 11% 7.90    
5  UNBRIDLED ANNSLEY Feb04 Aug15       (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00 9% 9.90    
6  KEEP LEFT Feb04 Jan16 Dec23 Dec03 Nov12 (rodriguez edua)GREEN AUBRIE 120 5.00    
SCR  PUABIS GOLD         (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 120 6.00 10% 9.50    
8  DAPHNE'S FIRE         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
 
FG-2   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIARTOWN Jan21 Dec09       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50    
2  ALILNALOT         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 7% 13.50    
3  MO MOVES Jan20 Nov18 Jul12 Jun19   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
4  DE SAIX Dec16 Nov18       (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.50 16% 5.40    
5  PERMAFROST Jan15 Nov13 Oct19 Sep11   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
6  GREEN BEANS Jan07 Oct14 Sep16     (gabriel terry)CULP BRIANNE 115 3.00 ★    
 
FG-3   02/25/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID KETCHUM         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by TAPIT out of MOLLY MORGAN by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  ODDSONTONY Jan21 Dec26       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
  (by TONALIST out of LA SOMBRE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
3  SIR LIAM         (gelner scott)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ZOOEY by ZAFARRANCHO (ARG))
4  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Feb03 Jan06 Dec09 Oct28 Sep24 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.00 8% 11.70    
  (by KINGMAN out of DECCAN QUEEN by FLATTER)
5  SAM STORMY Oct30 Sep08       (kenneally e)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of MIDNIGHT MANGATA by MAXIOS (GB))
6  MORE THAN FIVE Feb02 Dec26 Dec03 Oct23   (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50 8% 11.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FIVE STAR MOMMA by FIVE STAR DAY)
7  JOINT VENTURE Dec26 Oct15 Sep24     (flint bern)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of ABBEYVILLE MISS by GRAND SLAM)
8  SIR Feb02 Jan05 Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 (mcpeek ken)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of TAYLOR A. LITTLE J by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  MIDNIGHT PRANKS Jan21 Dec16 Nov26 Oct30   (calhoun william )PARKER L 122 4.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MIDNIGHT GIRL by DROSSELMEYER)
SCR  DUAL MONARCHY Feb02 Jan05 Dec03     (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 6% 16.70    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SURFER'S PARADISE by CONGRATS)
 
FG-4   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILCREASE Aug07         (stall m)LANERIE J 119 5.00 ★    
2  TODDCHERO Dec26 Dec03 Nov12 Oct28 Sep25 (gelner jay)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  F J'S FLACO Aug03 Jul03       (maturin c)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
4  INVULNERABLE Jan21 Dec17 Nov24     (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 ★    
5  DISTORTED PRO Dec26 Dec03 Nov03 Oct02   (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
6  NATURAL HARBOR Dec16 Nov03 Oct13     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 31% 2.30    
 
FG-5   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE TOLD YOU SO Jan13 Sep04 Jul19     (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 ★    
  (by UPSTART out of SKY ENTRY by POINT OF ENTRY)
2  NEW DESTINY Jan21 Dec31 Dec16 Nov22 Nov05 (gelner j)LANERIE J 122 4.50 ★    
  (by TAPITURE out of MY MELLA BELLA by GRAYDAR)
3  GUITAR WOMAN Jan13 Dec02 Nov18 Oct14 Sep20 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of WELL SPUN by HARD SPUN)
4  HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY Feb04 Dec31 Dec09 Nov18 Jul19 (hodges e)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SILVER SPRING by SEATTLE SLEET)
5  FREE DROP MADDY Feb04 Dec10 Nov18 Oct14 Sep15 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of SOLO BUENA by HALF OURS)
6  AGAMI Jan13 Dec18 Dec02 Nov18 Sep20 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of KARMA by CONGRATS)
7  OLIVIA G Feb04 Jan21 Dec29 Dec02   (west g)PARKER L 117 3.50 9% 10.50    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of ADRIANNE G by INDYGO SHINER)
8  FOR HARPER Feb12 Jan21 Oct15 Aug26 Aug10 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of HOLDONTOYOURDREAM by HOLD YOUR PEACE)
 
FG-6   02/25/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESERT DUKE Feb03 Jan06 Dec16     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DESERT DUCHESS by HARD SPUN)
2  ICE TIME Feb02 Jan05 Dec03     (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SIRENUSA by TIZNOW)
3  MINNESOTA MOON Jan19 Sep30 Sep07     (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CHORAGUS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  HE'S GOT SWAGGER Feb03         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 50% 1.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of LISA JEAN by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  TEXAS ADOPTER Feb17         (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 120 30.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of SHENANDOAH DREAMIN by AFLEET ALEX)
6  CLASSIC DANCER Feb05         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of DUCHESS DANCER by CONGRATS)
7  TWO RIVERS OVER Jan21 Nov25 Oct16 Sep25   (calhoun william )PARKER L 120 6.00 ★    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of AMERICAN COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
8  SCAT DANZ         (casse nor)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 ★    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BACK TO LOVE by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  SILVER BULL Jan21 Dec16       (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 ★    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of BUNEYA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
FG-7   02/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT Feb02 Jan12 Dec26 Nov25   (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 ★    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of GINGERTINI by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  BENOIT Dec19 Nov11 Sep27     (tracy greg)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of KATIEBARTHEDOOR by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
3  STIFF DRINK Jan14 Dec31 Dec04 Nov19 Sep27 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
  (by BIND out of DRINKING FUND by PLACID FUND)
4  REAL ACTION Jan21 Oct08 Jun04 May19   (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of MERCY SAKES ALIVE by WOODMAN)
5  MANGUM Jan14 Dec19 Nov12 Oct20   (delhomme )HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 ★    
  (by MO TOM out of BOVELL ROAD by GRAEME HALL)
6  GOBOT Feb04 Jan14 Oct15 Aug18 Aug03 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of SASHIMI BLASTER by QUALITY ROAD)
7  JACK HAMMER Feb04 Dec31 Nov19     (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.40 54% 0.90    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LIPSTICK JUNKY by FLATTER)
8  MY LIL DUDE Jan14 Dec22 Dec01     (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 20.00 ★    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of KINDLING by BOUNDARY)
 
FG-8   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($51K) 3 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Feb10 Jan28 Jan16 Dec31 Dec15 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 15.00    
2  TOPSY Jan07         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
3  FLAMAND Jan28 Dec26 Oct28 Oct06 Aug30 (lopez elia)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00    
4  TAYLORS TAP Jan28 Dec02 Nov11 Jul23   (gelner j)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 ★    
5  SHOPLIFTER Nov04 Sep17 Aug14 Jun29 Jun08 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 6.00 ★    
6  JUST LIKE MAGIC Dec26 Nov27 Jul04 Jun17   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
7  VARMLANDER Jan22 Dec15       (sharp joe)PARKER L 119 4.50 ★    
8  NEUTRALIZE Jan28 Dec26 Nov23     (stall albe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
9  TITLED LADY Jan22 Dec19 Nov10     (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
FG-9   02/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIGHT SPARK Feb04 Dec31 Dec09 Oct16 Sep23 (flint bernar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 ★    
2  SETNA THE WISE Oct26 Sep05 Jul16 May18 Apr16 (barkley j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
3  TRIGGER HAPPY Feb03 Nov25 Nov10 May21 May01 (habeeb don)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00    
4  JEEPER Feb03 Jan01 Dec09 Jul12 May30 (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 ★    
5  GUNTOWN Jan29 Dec31 Nov27 Apr29 Mar25 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
6  BRIGADIER GENERAL Sep17 Aug20 Jul04 May12 Apr14 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 10% 8.60    
7  RICKY BOBBY Jan29 Dec31 Nov26 Nov10 Jul16 (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
8  COUSIN LARRY Jan19 Nov06 Oct13 Sep17 Aug15 (lovell michelle)PARKER L 122 4.00 ★    
9  CRUMP Jan06 Dec15 Feb28 Feb03   (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 65% 0.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.