Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - February 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2/1)-(5/4/3/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/3/2)-(4/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/2)-(4/5/6/1)-(6/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/1)-(4/5/6/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/1)-(4/5/6/1/2)-(4/5/6/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/6/1)-(6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/1)-(6/1/5)-(6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/4/7)-(6/1/5/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(6/4)-(6/12/10) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/4)-(6/12/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(6/12/10)-(5/2/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/12/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/12/10)-(6/12/10/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/12/10)-(6/12/10/5/7)-(6/12/10/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/12/10)-(5/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/12/10)-(5/2/3/6)-(6/5/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/6)-(6/5/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3/7)-(6/5/1/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSITIVE FORCE Jan19 Dec28 Nov29 Oct14 Sep21 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 5.00 ★    
2  SUSIKIN Dec16 Nov04 Oct12 Sep21 Sep01 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00 6% 15.80    
3  TERPEYE Dec28 Dec14 Nov22 Nov04 Oct24 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 13% 6.60    
4  SOUTH HOUSE Jan25 Dec20 Dec02 Nov18 Oct19 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 15% 5.70    
5  MELODIOUS SINGER Jan25 Dec28 Dec03 Oct19 Sep21 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.60 38% 1.60    
6  KATY THE CAT Jan25 Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 Oct12 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
7  ROSES FROM HEAVEN Jan25 Dec02 Nov18 Nov04 Oct19 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 6.00    
 
PEN-2   02/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S CELEBRATE Jan25 Jan04 Dec21 Nov21 Nov08 (perez ruperto)PEREZ M 122 6.00 10% 9.40    
2  ICE COLD GOLD Jan20 Nov17 Nov10 Oct30 Oct20 (geist dav)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.60 ★    
3  MASKED HEROINE Jan12 Nov09 Oct11 Jun24 May25 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00    
4  MISS REMMIA Dec10 Nov07 Oct07     (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
5  LOIS'S CAUSE Jan27 Dec27 Nov23 Oct26 Jun11 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 12% 7.50    
6  SAKARI Jan27 Jan12 Dec27 Dec16 Nov30 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 10% 9.40    
7  TALENTED TAPPER Dec06 Nov09 Oct26 Oct05 Sep23 (harigeorgiou)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00    
 
PEN-3   02/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C C'S KINGDOM Jan18 Dec11 Nov18 Oct23 Sep25 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
2  TUCKERTON BAY Jan18 Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 Sep14 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
3  SOUL STORY Nov04 Oct11 Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 (albright ge)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
4  DATHOSS Jan16 Dec09 Jul23 Jun17 May20 (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 120 8.00 ★    
5  BOKERMIN Jan17 Jan02 Nov11 Oct14 Sep22 (linder loui)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 6.00 6% 16.60    
6  RUNYONESQUE Jan06 Dec10 Nov04 Sep28 Aug26 (graham edward)CEDENO CAROL 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
7  FACTOTUM Jan11 Dec20 Dec08 Oct30 Oct14 (chircop steven)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3 F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIVEALARM FREAKOUT Jan15         (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 122 6.00    
2  FINISHING TOUCH Dec14         (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 5.00    
3  APRILS LUCK Jan27 Dec27 Dec02 Nov15 Oct22 (lucas bon)VARGAS L 122 4.50 ★    
4  OUTSPEND Dec14 Oct26 Oct05 Aug11 Jul27 (agnew naois)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  COAST TO GLORY         (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 14% 6.00    
6  FAIRVIEW Nov15 Oct20       (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  OUT OF PAYNT         (agnew naois)INIRIO J 122 6.00 12% 7.20    
 
PEN-5   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALLYOURIGHTBACK Oct14 Sep23 Sep17 Sep05 Aug28 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00    
2  THE LITTLE SPROUT Jan12 Dec09 Nov16 Oct26 Oct07 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00    
3  SINGLINO Jan21 Dec07 Nov27 Nov14 Nov02 (worsley j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
SCR  PRINCIPALITY Jan18 Dec20 Dec06 Nov23 Oct21 (bobadilla f)BEATO INOEL 120 50.00    
5  KAZTHAROS Jan20 Dec14 Nov25 Nov09 Oct18 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 ★    
6  VIOLENT PASS Jan20 Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 Oct22 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 51% 0.90    
7  SASSY LAD Jan12 Dec28 Nov15 Oct26 Oct04 (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50 ★    
8  SPEED SLOT Jan20 Jan04 Aug24 Aug10 Jul15 (stites flin)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 20.00    
9  DREAMERS REWARD Jan20 Dec02 Sep08 Aug18 Aug03 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
10  TIZ HANDSOME Dec09 Nov09 Oct25 Oct04 Aug29 (albright amy)FLORES E 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BAR ON THE BEACH Jan16 Nov29 Oct26 Sep28 Sep05 (flores-coba f)MILAN GERARDO 120 3.00    
12  EASY STRIDE Dec06 Jan26       (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
 
PEN-6   02/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADMONISH Dec08 Nov12 Nov03 Sep18 Aug26 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50    
2  MORE RANSOM Dec30 Nov30 Oct17 Sep06 Aug10 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
3  SPECTACULLARI Dec07 Oct25 Sep14 Aug18 Jul28 (beattie m)AGUILAR M 120 5.00 13% 6.80    
4  PAYNT BY NUMBER Jan11 Dec02 Oct19 Sep28 Aug24 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
5  HOLD ME CLOSER Sep15 Aug24 Jul28 Jul11 Jun15 (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  ISTHATYOURHARLEY Sep28 Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SEALITHIC Dec30 Nov07 Oct13 Sep07 Aug15 (wames j)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 5% 18.50    
 
PEN-7   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONGRATS ANSWER Feb01 Jan11 Oct24 Oct10 Sep21 (pino michae)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 17% 5.00    
2  SLEEPY N JOYFUL Jan26 Dec16 Oct05 Sep16 Aug05 (harigeorgiou )TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00    
3  FAIRY DUST Jan18 Dec20 Nov04 Oct05 Sep09 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
4  STARSHIP REINA Jan18 Dec16 Nov25 Nov01 Oct07 (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 122 4.50    
5  BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD Jan18 Dec16 Nov25 Oct19 Sep21 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 17% 4.70    
6  MEMPHIS MAFIA Jan18 Dec28 Dec16 Nov25 Nov02 (hayes kirsten)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
7  CALL THE PO PO Feb01 Jan11 Dec19 Nov30 Nov08 (perez ruperto)PEREZ M 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  MAGICALLYDELICIOUS Jan18 Dec16 Nov18 Nov01 Oct05 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.