Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Saturday - January 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6/7/1)-(5/2/6/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(3/4)-(3/6/1/4/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
FG-2   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/4)-(3/6/1/4/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(3/6/1/4/2)-(3/6) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
FG-3   WIN (3/6/1/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/4/2)-(3/6/1/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/4/2)-(3/6/1/4/2)-(3/6/1/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/1/4/2)-(3/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/4/2)-(3/6)-(6) 10 $0.50 $5.00 
FG-4   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/4/1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/4/1/5)-(3/6/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6)-(6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(6)-(4/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
FG-5   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/5/3/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6)-(4/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (6)-(4/8)-(1/6/3/5) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
FG-6   WIN (4/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/8)-(4/8/2/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/8)-(4/8/2/7/1)-(4/8/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8)-(1/6/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/8)-(1/6/3/5)-(7/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
FG-7   WIN (1/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/4/5)-(1/6/3/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/3/5)-(7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/5)-(7/3)-(6/3/1/8/7) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/3)-(6/3/1/8/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
FG-9   WIN (6/3/1/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/8/7)-(6/3/1/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/8/7)-(6/3/1/8/7)-(6/3/1/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B B GUN BULLSEYE Dec15 Sep25 Sep06 Aug28 Aug15 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 4.50 ★    
2  ANSLIE'S GUMDROP Dec29 Mar25 Feb26 Jan28 Jan07 (ladner jo)HERNANDEZ J 125 5.00 17% 4.80    
3  BLESS D'SOUTH Dec15         (schmidt denise)COHEN DAVID 125 12.00    
4  EASY ACES Nov25 Jun18 May06 Mar25 Feb19 (ladner herman)MELANCON G 125 4.50    
5  HONEYSUCKLEDELIGHT Dec17 Nov26 Oct27 Mar12 Feb19 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 1.20 52% 0.90    
6  GRACE'S VISION Dec21 Dec08 Nov17 Oct19 Aug27 (senegal da)ALBERT S 120 12.00 7% 13.30    
7  SADIE'S PORT Dec15 Aug27 Aug06 Jul08 Jun25 (ladner chad)CULP BRIANNE 120 20.00 ★    
8  MY ROYAL PRINCESS Dec15 Nov03 Aug27 Mar10 Feb19 (zenon charles)MURRAY M 125 12.00    
 
FG-2   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COPPER MOON Dec22 Aug26 Aug10     (richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 8.00 ★    
2  SWEET CRYSTAL Oct29 Sep15 Aug11     (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.00 ★    
3  ARKLAHOMA SOUL Dec19 Sep26       (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  SWEET SLEW Dec19 Dec03 Nov11 Sep23   (hartman chris)LANERIE J 119 3.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  ELECTRIC SENSE Dec23 Nov20 Oct26 Sep14 Aug07 (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 1.40 36% 1.80    
 
FG-3   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHY WAIT Oct26 Sep19       (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 11% 7.80    
2  JUST ANOTHER WIN Dec15 Nov25 Oct22 Aug28 Jul08 (woodley j)GRAHAM J 125 6.00 8% 12.00    
3  REALITOS Dec22 Dec02 Aug06 Jul08 Jun09 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 112 4.50 25% 3.00    
4  SUNSHINE STAR Aug25 Jul27       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
5  RUBY BEGONIA Mar16         (balderas )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
6  SWEET VIDALIA Dec22 Nov25       (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
7  MRS. NECAISE Dec29 Dec08 Nov26 Jul06 Jun18 (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 5.00    
 
FG-4   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY LIL DUDE Dec22 Dec01       (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 ★    
2  STIFF DRINK Dec31 Dec04 Nov19 Sep27 Sep13 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
3  Z RESURRECTION Dec31 Dec10 Nov19     (hodges e)CULP BRIANNE 114 2.00 63% 0.60    
4  MANGUM Dec19 Nov12 Oct20     (delhomme )HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 ★    
5  GOBOT Oct15 Aug18 Aug03 Jul02   (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 ★    
6  THE BOSS SOSS Dec10 Dec01 Nov11 Oct15 Oct07 (landry ra)LANERIE J 119 3.00 9% 9.70    
 
FG-5   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISTY DAY Dec17 Nov16 Feb02 Jan07   (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
2  QUICK MUNNY Dec17 Aug19 Jul16 May05 Apr15 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
3  READY FOR CHANGE Dec17 Nov10 Sep25 Aug07 May14 (pessin neil )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 ★    
4  O'BABE Dec14         (scherer gary)MELANCON G 120 6.00 ★    
5  DONYA KNOW IT Dec15 Nov23 Oct20 May26 Feb11 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 3.00 ★    
6  ONAMARGARITADAY Dec22 Nov04 Oct12 Jul29 Jun20 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 2.50 60% 0.70    
 
FG-6   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAIT ON ME Dec19 Sep26 Aug29     (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 115 15.00    
  (by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA out of SPEEDY ANALYSIS by CITY ZIP)
1A  SMART IZZY Sep18 Sep04 Jul19     (hatcher d)MURRAY M 117 15.00 ★    
  (by MO TOM out of SEA OF DREAMS by SMART STRIKE)
2  LADY DREAMER Dec19 Nov26 Oct29     (briley lo)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 ★    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of HOUT BAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  BELLA PALOMA Oct12 Sep14 Aug23     (rubley kelly)PARKER L 120 8.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of STRAWBERRY TEQUILA by DAAHER)
4  CHARRIERE Dec19         (mckeever and)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by CONGRATS out of RUN ON BUY by LEMON DROP KID)
5  DIVINA DULCE Dec19         (margolis r)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of DIVINA LUZ by WILD EVENT)
6  ROLL GYPSY ROLL Dec03 Sep09 Aug07 Jun24   (scherer gar)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 15.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of STORMY DIXIE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  MARGOINABUBBLEBATH Sep22 Aug13       (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 3.50 ★    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of STORM SWEPT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  BLAME DAY Dec15 Nov16       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 21% 3.90    
  (by BLAME out of FANCY DAY by SHAMARDAL)
 
FG-7   01/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CAPTIVATING MOON Dec26 Nov13 Jun25 May28 Mar26 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  JOB SECURITY Nov24         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00    
2  BIG BLUE LINE Nov27 Oct20 Sep24 Aug20 Jul09 (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 120 3.50    
3  NELSON AVENUE Dec11 Oct15 Aug18     (stidham mich)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 8% 11.90    
4  NEPOTISM Nov27 Nov02 Oct13 Sep17 Jul04 (scherer er)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 ★    
5  BEAVER HAT Dec26 Jun05 Apr15 Mar13 Jan28 (williamso)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  TREASURY Dec17 Nov24 Oct20 Aug27 May07 (forster t)PARKER L 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
FG-8   01/14/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW BOSS Dec03 Oct29 Jul13     (calhoun william)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of DENALI DREAMSCAPE by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
2  TOUCH OF CLASS (GER) Dec03 Oct22 Sep13 Aug07 Jul13 (flint bern)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
  (by BE MY GUEST out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  ASTUTE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 7% 13.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DISCERNING by LANGFUHR)
4  VIOLENZA Oct29 Sep10 Aug07 Jul18 Apr16 (walsh p)LANERIE J 118 3.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SOUTH STREET GAL by STREET SENSE)
5  CHARLIE T Oct19 Sep21 Aug17 Jun24 Jun03 (thomas lee)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of THAT REAL WORLD by ROGER THAT (GB))
6  EVE'S DELIGHT Dec10 Oct07 Sep27 Aug17 Aug06 (goins ga)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of PRADO STRUTTER by EL PRADO (IRE))
7  OEUVRE Dec03 Oct22 Oct02 Sep13 Jul27 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.00 21% 3.90    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOVE THIS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  ABOUKIR BAY Oct19 Sep03 May14 Feb26 Jan08 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 122 15.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of FAIRY STAR by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  TIZPLENTY Dec17 May14       (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 ★    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PLENTY O'TOOLE by RAISE A CUP)
SCR  CHARLIE'S PENNY Dec26 Nov06 Sep10 Aug01 Jun04 (block chris)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 48% 1.10    
  (by RACE DAY out of SWEET LORRAINE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
SCR  PERFECT HAPPINESS Dec03 Nov10 May29 Apr30 Mar20 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 ★    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of DIVINE HAPPINESS by DIVINE PARK)
SCR  MINUTE WALTZ Dec03 Nov10 Oct22 Oct01 Sep05 (bauer a)COHEN DAVID 118 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of IS IT SAFE by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  HAZY COMMAND Dec09 Nov20 Oct04 Jul20 Jun26 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of JUSTASPRINKLE by GILDED TIME)
 
FG-9   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN Dec19 Nov19 Oct11 Sep28 Aug30 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 124 4.50 7% 13.70    
  (by FROSTED out of LITTLE JUDE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  G'S MILLION Dec19         (west g)PARKER L 124 15.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of YANKEE MILLION by YANKEE VICTOR)
3  OVERANALYTICAL Dec18 Jan17       (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 6.00 14% 5.90    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of BOLD KITTEN by JACINTO)
4  WAR ROOM Nov09 Oct16 Sep22     (lejzerowicz)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WHISPER NUMBER by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  TRYSTINTHENITEAWAY Dec19         (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 15.00    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of LIME TRYST by LIMEHOUSE)
6  BOSS' DIALIN IN Dec19 Nov25 Feb19 Jan22   (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by DIALED IN out of LADY VI by ELECTRIC FLAG)
7  TIM TAL Jun24 May15 Apr09 Mar05 Feb10 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of CRYPTO RISING STAR by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
8  BOURBON DAY Dec17         (bourgeois )ALBERT S 119 6.00 6% 15.20    
  (by RACE DAY out of PENROSE by LEMON DROP KID)
9  TRUMPTASTIC         (tomlinson )HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of TWENTY IN ONE by INVASOR (ARG))
10  LITTLE MAN CAN         (lovell michel)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of CHEYENNE AUTUMN by FOUR SEASONS (GB))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.