Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Wednesday - April 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(11/1/3/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(11/1/3/7/9)-(7/1/2/6/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
KEE-2   WIN (11/1/3/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/1/3/7/9)-(11/1/3/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/1/3/7/9)-(11/1/3/7/9)-(11/1/3/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/1/3/7/9)-(7/1/2/6/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/1/3/7/9)-(7/1/2/6/3)-(8/9/13/3/6) 125 $1.00 $125 
KEE-3   WIN (7/1/2/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/6/3)-(7/1/2/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/6/3)-(7/1/2/6/3)-(7/1/2/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/2/6/3)-(8/9/13/3/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/6/3)-(8/9/13/3/6)-(3/8/6/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
KEE-4   WIN (8/9/13/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/13/3/6)-(8/9/13/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
KEE-5   WIN (3/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/1)-(3/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/1)-(3/8/6/1)-(3/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/6/1)-(4/5/9/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/6/1)-(4/5/9/11/7)-(6/5/7/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
KEE-6   WIN (4/5/9/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/9/11/7)-(4/5/9/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/9/11/7)-(4/5/9/11/7)-(4/5/9/11/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/9/11/7)-(6/5/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/9/11/7)-(6/5/7/3)-(2/11/6/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
KEE-7   WIN (6/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/7/3)-(2/11/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
KEE-8   WIN (2/11/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/11/6/5)-(2/11/1/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/23/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONIAL ROSE Mar06 Dec26 Nov29 Oct17 Sep04 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 125 2.00 42% 1.40    
2  PULA Mar09 Feb16 Sep13 Aug15 Dec31 (bauer philip )ORTIZ JR 125 4.00    
3  NO PARDON Dec26 Oct20 Sep10 Jul30 Jun24 (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  A DOLLAR A DAY Feb14 Dec22 Dec05 Oct24 Oct04 (butcher jame)CALLEJA ANDRES 125 12.00    
5  SIGHT TO SEE Feb15 Dec29 Dec13 Nov24   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
6  HELEN'S LITTLE SIS Mar29 Dec07 Oct19 Mar16 Feb24 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 125 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
KEE-2   04/23/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACIE'S DELIGHT         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ULTIMA D by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  BAYTOWN CASSINA         (mcentee paul)SERPA ANGEL 119 30.00    
  (by YAUPON out of SUGAR JONES by OLD FORESTER)
3  NONNA'S LOVE         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 12% 7.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of NONNA BELLA by STAY THIRSTY)
4  PERCY'S BAR         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00    
  (by UPSTART out of HONESTLY DEB by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  VALIANT WAR GIRL         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of STARLIKE by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  FLAMING MAMA         (sands sh)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MONEY FOR MAMA by STRONG MANDATE)
7  IN THE AGGREGATE         (caramori caio)CURTIS BEN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RAGING BULL out of ALLEGING by WAR FRONT)
8  CAT ISLAND         (mott riley)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of VANILLA CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
9  MIDNIGHT EVE         (hancock l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of CATECAL by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
10  FETCHMYDIAMONDS         (catalano wayne)ASHTON GAVIN 119 10.00    
  (by MODERNIST out of NIVA by OVERANALYZE)
11  KONTIKI         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
12  CHIQUITA'S WAY         (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CARRIE by GONE ASTRAY)
SCR  GIVEMETHEBEAT Apr06         (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of DRIFT AWAY by CONGRATS)
SCR  CELESTIAL HARMONY Apr11         (torres e)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of HUMBLE STREET by STREET SENSE)
15  SUPER PACHI         (anderson cori)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of STRIKE OF HONOR by HONOR CODE)
SCR  STARDIALED         (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of FLY TO THE STARS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
KEE-3   04/23/2025 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPHA OMEGA Mar28 Feb05 Dec04 Aug03 Feb11 (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 4.50 23% 3.30    
2  SHOGUN (IRE) Mar12 Feb15 Jan11 Nov30 Oct27 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
3  MIDNIGHT SURVIVOR Apr06 Mar08       (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MISSILE CRUISER Mar22 Feb17 Jan03 Oct20 Sep28 (brinkerho)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00    
5  SPECIAL AWAKENING Mar18         (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
6  CHACHACHING Apr06 Mar15 Feb28 Feb13 Jan23 (williams c)HERNANDEZ N 126 6.00 9% 10.60    
7  SPURGEON Mar29 Feb15 Jan17 Dec13 Nov22 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 30% 2.40    
8  STRATEGIC FORCE Feb13 Dec21       (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
9  HARD SPUN TO RUN Mar13         (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
 
KEE-4   04/23/2025 6270ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3 ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EARNED NOT GIVEN Feb15 Jan20 Jan03 Aug18   (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
2  COILED Mar05 Dec20 Oct05     (delacour arnaud)CURTIS BEN 118 10.00    
3  AMY'S MUSIC Mar23 Feb28 Feb01 Dec18 Nov08 (trombetta m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  KING OF ASHES Feb22 Jan18 Nov24 Oct17   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
5  BOY BOY Nov08 Oct12 Sep07 Aug05   (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
6  ANEGADA Mar28 Mar08 Nov30 Oct05 Sep05 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  DESPERATE PROPOSAL Feb08 Jan24 Dec05 Nov14 Oct11 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
8  EARLY ADOPTER (GB) Mar08 Nov16 Sep28 Aug31   (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 54% 0.80    
9  BULLDOZE Mar02 Jan25       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 13% 6.90    
10  ATTACK Mar13 Feb09 Dec06 Nov17 Oct06 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
SCR  CONCORD GREEN Mar09 Oct19 Sep28 Aug17   (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
12  HOT PROPERTY Jan30 Jan04 Nov24     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50    
13  CAPITOL HILL Mar14 Feb15       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 8% 11.00    
SCR  MCILROY Mar22 Feb08       (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
SCR  LAZLO Jan20 Dec01 Oct10 Sep09 Sep01 (thomas jona)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 20.00    
SCR  TEPEYAC Mar08 Jan29 Oct25     (azpurua edua)MORELOS E 118 15.00    
 
KEE-5   04/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORMAN Mar14 Jan12 Dec16 Nov05 Sep25 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  RUN OF THE HOUSE Mar16 Feb14 Jan03 Dec08 Aug31 (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50    
3  SHARP SWINGER Mar21 Feb07 Dec28 Nov22 Oct19 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 30% 2.40    
4  BIG LAMBROS Apr02 Mar01 Feb07 Jan15 Nov29 (leitch daniel)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 6.00    
5  CHARBONNAY Mar15 Feb08 Jan25 Nov07 Oct22 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
6  TAKE FIVE CHARLIE Oct29         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00 11% 8.40    
7  RULOOKINFORRAYRAY Mar27 Feb14 Jan31 Nov08 Jul22 (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 113 8.00    
8  COMPLEX MUSIC Jan26 Jan11 Dec13 Oct22 Oct03 (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 19% 4.30    
 
KEE-6   04/23/2025 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURLOIN Jan23 Jun06 Apr12 Feb09 Nov25 (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00    
2  MISSY BEE Mar22 Feb22 Feb06 Jan23 Dec18 (foster er)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 15.00    
3  ROMANTICA Feb22 Jun22 Jun01     (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
4  TARNEEMA Mar14 Feb13 Dec28 Jun13 Apr25 (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 118 2.00 52% 0.90    
5  PARISH LANE Mar28 Sep05 Jul08 May22 Jan12 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 14% 5.90    
6  SUGAREE (IRE) Mar14 Feb13       (delacour arnau)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
7  SACRED IMAGE Dec26 Aug16 Jul25 Jul07 Apr25 (caramori eduard)SERPA ANGEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  CHA CHA CHUKKA Feb12 Jan15 Dec19 Nov30 Oct23 (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
9  FAITH UNDERSTOOD Jan25 Nov29 Jun01 Apr28 Apr05 (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  SACCHARINE Nov17 Oct26 Sep29 Sep08 Aug03 (halden rach)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50    
11  WHAPPEN Mar28 Jan31 Dec19 Oct26 Aug31 (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-7   04/23/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHILLED Apr06 Nov29 Nov13 Oct17 Sep05 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
2  CAT'S CAVE Nov29 Nov08 Oct11 Aug25 Jul15 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 118 5.00    
3  MUSICAL NOTE Mar26 Feb14 Dec15 Oct23 Aug26 (troiani niccol)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  PULP FICTION (ARG)         (motion grah)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
5  LITTLE JAMIE Feb08 Jan11 Nov13 Sep21 Jul27 (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
6  LANDED Feb23 Oct23 Aug25 Jun09 Apr07 (ward a)PENNINGTON F 118 2.50 58% 0.70    
7  INDY LABEL Feb23 Jan19 Dec20 Nov16 Sep29 (shirer mat)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-8   04/23/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDY'S HALO Mar15 Feb28 Jan31 Dec27   (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 126 5.00 ★    
  (by LORD NELSON out of TOP MISSION by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
2  JUST SO PRETTY Feb28 Jan05 Oct17 Aug23 Jun16 (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 126 1.60 63% 0.60    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BATTLE GIRL by BATTLE CRY)
SCR  HIGH SHOT Feb22 Jan31 Dec19 Nov23 Oct23 (simms jr)SAEZ GABRIEL 126 6.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of SMART SHOT by SKIPSHOT)
SCR  SWIFT TEASE         (mcentee paul)CURTIS BEN 118 30.00    
  (by BALANCE THE BOOKS out of ISLAND RUNNER by CHEROKEE RUN)
5  SPINNING CLASS Feb28 Mar03 Jan20 Nov18   (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MY IMPRESSION by SKY MESA)
6  ATHALIAH Apr07 Feb23       (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of DIVINE ELEGANCE by UNCLE MO)
SCR  GLAMORAMA Mar22         (arnold georg)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of QUEEN NEFERTITI by GALILEO)
8  ZAPPERA Feb14 Jan17 Dec19 Nov23 Oct23 (brown paul )GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 50.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ETINCELLE by DYNAFORMER)
9  MILDRED PIERCE         (toner j)ORTIZ JR 126 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of WAR FLAG by WAR FRONT)
10  ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY Mar09 Nov16 Sep21 Jul27 Jul05 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 126 20.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of REACHFORTHEHEAVENS by PULPIT)
11  LOVE SONG Mar22 Feb20 Jan19     (stidham mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 10% 8.90    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of MUSIC NOTE by A.P. INDY)
12  LADY MEIS (IRE) Oct09 Sep05 Jul21 Jun15 May18 (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 126 10.00    
  (by CAMELOT out of ASAWER by NYQUIST)
SCR  KIMBER SPICE Mar21 Jun15 May17 Apr18 Mar03 (lovell michell)DOYLE SOPHIE 126 15.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET PROMISES by BERNARDINI)
SCR  HALSTYN ROSE Mar29 Mar01 May25 Apr20 Mar08 (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 4.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CASHING TICKETS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  CELEBRITY RO May25 Feb16 Jan28     (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 126 6.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BACCHANAL LADY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  TAKE NOTE OF THIS Mar22 Nov30 Oct19 Sep08 Aug04 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.