Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - March 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(2/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(2/1/7)-(5/4/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(5/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(5/4/1/3)-(4/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/3)-(4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/3)-(4/6/2)-(5/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(5/6/7)-(6/4/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(6/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(6/4/7/2)-(8/5/3/9/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-6   WIN (6/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/2)-(8/5/3/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/2)-(8/5/3/9/10)-(7/4/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-7   WIN (8/5/3/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/9/10)-(8/5/3/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/9/10)-(8/5/3/9/10)-(8/5/3/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/3/9/10)-(7/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/9/10)-(7/4/2)-(1/8/5/4/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(1/8/5/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(1/8/5/4/2)-(6/1/3/2/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
AQU-9   WIN (1/8/5/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/4/2)-(1/8/5/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/4/2)-(1/8/5/4/2)-(1/8/5/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/5/4/2)-(6/1/3/2/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
AQU-10   WIN (6/1/3/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/2/5)-(6/1/3/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/2/5)-(6/1/3/2/5)-(6/1/3/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN IT Mar07 Feb08 Dec29 Dec06 Nov23 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
SCR  KAHALA Mar02 Feb07 Jan24 Nov14 Oct17 (kantarmaci i)HARKIE K 123 3.00    
2  CELESTIAL MOON Jan13 Dec16 Nov23 Nov05 Oct19 (ness j)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 5.00    
2B  AMITY ROAD Feb16 Jan13 Dec29 Nov06 Oct05 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  MARGIN OF AIR Mar07 Dec12 Nov15 Oct18 Sep21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50    
4  LEGAL DEAL Feb06 Jan03 Nov14 Oct05 Sep23 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 20% 4.10    
5  FROMANOTHAMUTHA Feb06 Oct18 Sep20 Aug28 Aug07 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CASTLE ISLAND Feb27 Jan31 Jan16 Dec06 Jun08 (abreu fern)RIVERA R 121 4.00    
 
AQU-2   03/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY MINE Jan25 Dec27 Nov29 Feb29 Jan19 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00 13% 6.60    
1A  MAJESTIC RETURN Aug16 Jun23 May26 Apr18 Feb17 (giangiulio)RIVERA R 121 2.00    
2  ALL CLASS Jan25 Dec27 Oct26 Sep07 Jul20 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 1.60 60% 0.70    
2B  SARIR Jan25 Nov29 Oct10 Jul29 Jun06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.60    
3  ROYAL POPPY Feb21 Jan22 Dec20 Nov22 Sep13 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00    
4  CARESS Jun29 May12 Apr14 Mar15 Feb11 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
SCR  JUSTTHEFACTSJACK Jan25 May17 Jun24     (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 121 6.00    
6  ON COMMAND Feb23 Dec27 Dec01 Oct25 Aug31 (green j)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00    
7  SHESALITTLE EDGY Mar02 Feb01 Jan10 Dec12 Oct20 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-3   03/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUAZARAH Feb13 Jan11 Dec27 Dec01 Nov17 (trites lan)CASTELLANO J 121 6.00 9% 9.70    
2  VINSANITY Jan19 Jan11 Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 (arriaga antoni)LUZZI J 123 4.00    
3  RAGAZZO DIABOLICO Feb02 Jan03 Nov15 Nov02 Sep01 (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ABADIN Feb21 Jan26 Jan04 Dec06 Nov03 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 8.00 28% 2.60    
5  J D FACTOR Feb23 Feb13 Jan16 Dec28 Nov29 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 34% 2.00    
6  LIGHT THE WAY Feb28 Jan18 Dec07 Nov11 Oct14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.80    
7  CONCORDE SPIRIT Mar09 Feb22 Feb02 Jan19 Jan11 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00    
 
AQU-4   03/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURN AND COUNT Feb07         (martin car)RIVERA R 120 12.00    
  (by CURLIN out of TIZAHIT by TIZNOW)
2  GRAND COMMANDER Mar01 Feb07 Jan11     (brown b)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 6.00 14% 6.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of UNDISTORTED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  GRIFFIN'S WHARF Feb23 Dec28 Nov29 Oct26   (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AUTONOMOUS by QUALITY ROAD)
4  SUMMIT RIDGE Feb15         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40 38% 1.60    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SUMMER LOVE by SUMMER FRONT)
5  KULAPAT Feb23 Jan25       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SUCAT by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  RADAUTI Jan25 Dec07 Nov10     (clement christo)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
  (by TONALIST out of RAUCOUS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  I'M READY TO GO         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SILVERPOCKETSFULL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
AQU-5   03/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESPO'S DREAM Feb15 Jan23 Oct16 Sep25 Aug18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50    
SCR  SANDI'S SATIRE Mar09 Jan31 Dec15 Nov16   (kantarmaci i)HARKIE K 123 8.00    
3  AMY'S LIGHT Feb06 Dec15 Nov17 Nov01 Oct17 (pringle)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 4.00    
SCR  SHE'S COOL Mar09 Jan24 Jan12 Dec27 Nov22 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
5  PROUD DIVI Mar01 Feb03 Dec13 Nov13 Oct28 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00 63% 0.60    
6  BLENHEIM BABY Feb22 Jun27 Jun15 Apr17 Feb10 (potts wayne)GONZALEZ MELVIS 116 8.00 8% 12.10    
7  SAUCY SIX Mar09 Jan31 Jan12 Dec27 Nov22 (keithan rachae)CEDENO CAROL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  DAT DARES RIGHT Mar09 Feb09 Jan16 Dec08 Oct13 (keithan rachael)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00    
 
AQU-6   03/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAND THE RAIN Jan23 Dec27       (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SUPER SURPRISE by GIANT SURPRISE)
2  LUCKFORYOU Feb27 Jan23 Dec13 Aug22 Jul04 (romero jes)RIVERA R 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SCAT MAGGIE by SCAT DADDY)
3  THAT'S FUNNY Feb15 Jan26       (sacco gregor)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of THAT'S SMART by SMART STRIKE)
4  MORE THAN GRACE Jan10 Nov08       (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TRACE OF GRACE by PETIONVILLE)
5  OCEAN RAIN         (nevin m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of NAMAKA by DECLARATION OF WAR)
6  MADAM OPUS Jan12         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 29% 2.40    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CHOIR by COX'S RIDGE)
7  STONE COLD KELLY Feb27 Jan23       (lawrence james)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of FLY THE FLAG by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
AQU-7   03/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTE AVI Feb23 Jan18 Dec07 Nov02 Oct05 (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00    
2  NINE N FOUR Mar01 Feb14 Jan17     (kantarmaci )GONZALEZ MELVIS 113 3.00    
3  SO SPIRITED         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
4  KING SOLOMON Mar01 Feb14       (d'alessandro r)LUZZI J 120 6.00    
5  PERFECT SHEPHARD         (bond ja)COA J 120 8.00 20% 4.00    
6  WAITING FOR A. I. Jan18 Nov27       (grusmark karl)CEDENO CAROL 120 30.00    
7  CALL ME CALVIN Mar01         (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
8  TARPAULIN         (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
9  GOODBYE Feb23 Jan18 Dec07     (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  SOLO MIO Oct18 Sep22       (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-8   03/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Feb01 Dec12 Oct19 Sep20 Aug07 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.50    
2  PROUD FOOT Feb01 Jan12 Dec12 Aug04 Jun09 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE Feb01 Dec01 Oct04 Aug10 Jun22 (rice li)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
4  CUPID'S HEART Jun30 Oct05 Aug30 Jul22 Jun23 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
5  CARA'S TIME Jan25 Dec08 Oct27 Oct04 Aug31 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 123 10.00    
SCR  CALDWELL LUVS GOLD Feb23 Jan25 Dec13 Oct27 Sep14 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50    
7  STRIKER HAS DIAL Jan25 Dec13 Nov14 Oct10 Sep21 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
AQU-9   03/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTE DE BAYEUX Feb22 Jan31 Dec28 Nov30 Nov09 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.60 36% 1.80    
SCR  PIRATE Jan25 Nov21 Oct18 Sep20 Aug07 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 1.60    
2  FRIZZANTE Feb22 Jan11 Dec13 Sep29 Aug16 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  HAMILTON'S WAY Nov03 Sep29 Sep01 Jul26 May26 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 12.00    
4  GOOD MONEY Feb22 Jan19 Apr06 Mar09 Jan26 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MIKEALICIOUS Feb22 Jan25 Dec28 Dec01 Oct31 (maker m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00 8% 11.30    
6  FINDANAME Feb28 Feb14 Jan16 Nov18 Nov04 (sells rachel)DIAZ J 121 50.00    
7  GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE Jan25 Nov10 Aug25 Jul29   (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00    
8  SHADOW DRAGON Feb22 Jan23 Dec14 Nov22 Sep28 (mott william)CASTELLANO J 123 4.50 34% 2.00    
9  HERO'S MEDAL May04 Apr06 Mar02 Feb09 Jan06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00    
 
AQU-10   03/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTAL SILENCE Feb21 Jan11 Dec07 Nov02   (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
2  MONOMOY BEACH Feb23 Jan18 Dec28 Nov29   (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOOD MOMENTS Mar10         (sanchez-pin)GONZALEZ MELVIS 113 8.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  OAT COUTOUR Mar01         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00    
SCR  GOOD QUESTION         (brown r)LUZZI J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  RUM CAY Feb14         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
7  RENEW THE BLUE Feb08 Nov23 Oct27 Oct06   (donk david)CEDENO CAROL 120 20.00    
8  KING OF THE CASTLE Mar02 Feb01       (giddings m)RIVERA R 120 8.00    
9  CADA DIA MEJOR Feb23 Jan26 Jan18 Dec28   (kantarmaci i)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
10  EL BOMBI         (de paz)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
11  CONSIDER IT DONE Feb08         (clement chris)OLVER MADISON 120 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.