Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Friday - January 31, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-3   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-5   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-6   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-8   Win (2/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   01/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATCHPHRASE Dec13 Nov22       (green j)CARMOUCHE K 122 0.80 44% 1.30    
LONG LEGGED QUEEN Nov16 Oct20 Aug17 Jun25   (lee joseph)CIVACI SAHIN 122 1.80 31% 2.20    
FOXY FRANCES May24         (arriaga )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00    
EASTERN STAR Jan12 May11 Apr13 Mar22 Feb24 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CALLING AN AUDIBLE Dec13 Aug24 Apr21 Apr06 Mar07 (barker r)VIVES SOFIA 122 4.50    
 
AQU-2   01/31/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIRL'S DELIGHT May09 Apr04 Feb23 Dec15 Nov19 (martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
SANDI'S SATIRE Dec15 Nov16       (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
SHOP LIFTING Dec01 Oct31 Sep21 Aug22 Jun30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.00 55% 0.80    
TIPPLE Aug14 Jul27       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60    
SCR  SHE'S WICKED SMART Jan24 Dec15 Nov10 Aug02 Jun06 (falcone r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 10.00    
 
AQU-3   01/31/2025 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUNDBITE Jan10 Dec14 Nov16 Oct10 Aug05 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00    
1A  MAGIC EIGHT BALL Dec27 Nov10 Oct24 Sep20 Aug16 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 47% 1.20    
LOOKS FIRST Jan16 Dec13 Nov16 Apr19 Mar09 (samsundar)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00    
SCR  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Jan23 Dec01 Nov21 Jul15 Jun14 (chichakl)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.00    
SOUTHAMPTON DOCK Nov25 Oct29 Sep20 Aug24 Jul08 (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 121 8.00 12% 7.20    
DAZZY Jan08 Dec29 Dec08 Nov18 Oct23 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
BACKSTRETCH ROSE Dec29 Nov14 Sep28 Aug30 Aug07 (abreu r)CIVACI SAHIN 123 1.80 15% 5.70    
 
AQU-4   01/31/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE VINO Jan16 Dec06 Nov21 Nov03 Oct19 (goberdhan chandra)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
NARCISO DALI Apr04 Mar10 Feb10 Jan14 Dec16 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50    
AUGUSTINE RED Jan11 Nov24 Jun21 Apr26 Apr06 (kantarmaci ilkay)CIVACI SAHIN 123 3.50    
CASTLE ISLAND Jan16 Dec06 Jun08 May17 Apr19 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 35% 1.90    
SCR  COLLECT FROM IKE Jan04 Dec06 Nov02 Oct13 Sep27 (pregman jr)CEDENO CAROL 123 30.00    
LIBERTE DE BAYEUX Dec28 Nov30 Nov09 Oct03 Sep26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 39% 1.60    
 
AQU-5   01/31/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SISTER LINDA Jan05 Dec08 Nov08 May25 May10 (schettino dominic)VIVES SOFIA 121 10.00    
EVERLYS GIRL Jan25 Jan12 Dec08 Nov21 Nov07 (chatterpaul naip)CEDENO CAROL 123 5.00    
WAITWAITDONTTELLME Jan03 Nov13 Oct21 Oct14 Sep17 (ferraro anthon)COA J 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  CONDIMENT GIRL Jan05 Dec14 Nov07 Oct10 Sep15 (potts wayn)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 10.00    
SCR  FIND YOUR JOY Jan23 Jan05 Dec12 Nov17 Oct18 (atras rob)ADORNO ABNER 123 2.00    
RAW POWER Jan05 Dec14 Nov26 Nov12 Oct30 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 123 6.00 20% 4.10    
LAUGHTER Jan12 Dec14 Nov11 Oct23 Oct07 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
 
AQU-6   01/31/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRESS RELIEVER Dec15 Apr07 Mar07 Feb10   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
STREET VIEW Dec29 Dec08 Nov16 Oct19 Aug08 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL BOLT Dec18 Nov13 Oct19 Mar30 Feb22 (lake scott)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
SAUCY SIX Jan12 Dec27 Nov22 Oct27 Sep29 (keithan rachael)CEDENO CAROL 123 10.00 10% 9.00    
PATTY BROWN EYES Nov29 Oct21 Aug23 Aug02 Jul04 (morley thomas)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50    
SCARLET'S DREAM Dec15 Nov22 Jul24 Jul07 May25 (giddings)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 4.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  DESPO'S DREAM Jan23 Oct16 Sep25 Aug18 Jul21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00    
 
AQU-7   01/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 4:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAMONOS VAMONOS Jan18 Dec28 Nov14 Aug01 Jun20 (toscano t)DAVIS KATIE 120 3.50    
WESTERN WOLF Dec15 Nov22 Oct24 Sep28   (friedman mitchel)LUZZI J 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
JUST CLARITY Nov23 Oct19 Sep22     (donk david)CIVACI SAHIN 120 3.00    
SOBIESKI Jan03 Dec07 Nov18 Oct23 Oct08 (dixon li)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
TAPWRITS TEMPER Jan17 Jan03 Nov14 Oct24 Aug31 (potts wayn)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 4.50    
TYCOON MOGUL Dec27 Nov29       (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  STRAND ROAD Jan17 Dec17 Nov02 Jul24   (catalano )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00    
 
AQU-8   01/31/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIN NOMBRE Jan17 Dec06 Nov24 Nov09 Oct12 (romero jes)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
WAKE SURF Jan16 Dec12 Dec06 Oct24 Sep05 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  HOURS IN A DAY Nov30 Oct25 Sep28 Aug17 Jul24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00    
STJAMES Dec28 Apr06 Mar15 Feb11 Jan12 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 123 5.00 10% 8.70    
AZ U CHASE ME Jan17 Jan03 Nov29 Nov11 Oct21 (englehart chris)VIVES SOFIA 123 6.00    
HEY TOBY Dec28 Nov27 Nov11 Oct25 Sep16 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
ICE TIME Jan16 Dec12 Nov15 Oct19 Sep29 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
A LISTER Jan17 Jan01 Dec15 Nov23 Nov03 (pringle e)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.