Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - December 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/4)-(2/8/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(2/8/7/6)-(4/3/11/12/8) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FG-2   WIN (2/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/7/6)-(4/3/11/12/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/7/6)-(4/3/11/12/8)-(7/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-3   WIN (4/3/11/12/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/11/12/8)-(4/3/11/12/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/11/12/8)-(4/3/11/12/8)-(4/3/11/12/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/11/12/8)-(7/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/11/12/8)-(7/4/3)-(4/5/11/13/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-4   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(4/5/11/13/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(4/5/11/13/6)-(4/2/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-5   WIN (4/5/11/13/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/11/13/6)-(4/5/11/13/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/11/13/6)-(4/5/11/13/6)-(4/5/11/13/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/11/13/6)-(4/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/11/13/6)-(4/2/5)-(14/8/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-6   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(14/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(14/8/9)-(7/1/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-7   WIN (14/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (14/8/9)-(14/8/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (14/8/9)-(14/8/9)-(14/8/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (14/8/9)-(7/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FG-8   WIN (7/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEARCH Nov01 Aug23 Jul24 Jul05 Jun01 (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50    
2  CHAPELLETE Oct30 Sep26 Aug31 Aug14 Jul15 (foster jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 115 4.00    
3  BIKINI BOTTOM Sep14 Jun28 May29 Apr18 Mar24 (duhon o)RIQUELME J 118 4.50    
4  IM SINGLED UP Dec08 Aug24 Jul27 Jul12 Jun14 (claire alexis)CURTIS BEN 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
5  ESME Dec08 May11 Mar30 Mar13 Feb23 (king l)TORRES A 121 3.00 ★    
6  SISTER SEEK Aug14 May22 May04 Jan04 Aug12 (duhon joseph)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
 
FG-2   12/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTHDINI Nov23 Jul04 May17 Mar24 Mar01 (hartman ch)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 3.00    
2  UNCLE BERLEY Nov15 Sep29 Sep12 Aug03 Jul14 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  SENDEMDOWNTHEROAD Oct19 Sep19 Aug29 Aug11 Jul21 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00    
SCR  LATE BLACKSMITH Dec06 Oct29 Oct15 Sep28 Sep05 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 15.00    
5  CRIMINAL DEFENSE Nov27 Nov10 Oct22 Sep29 Sep10 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 121 15.00    
6  OVER CALENDARED Dec16 Dec06 Nov14 Oct13 Sep15 (dorochenko ge)CANNON DECLAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  COASTAL DEFENSE Dec05 Sep30 Sep20 Aug06 Jun22 (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 17% 4.90    
8  MOR JAZZ Dec05 Nov14 Oct12 Sep24 Aug26 (gibson jonas)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
FG-3   12/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MACKADOO Oct30 Sep25       (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
2  WAYLLEN RICHARD Dec06 Nov13       (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
3  ACT YOUR WAGE         (hamilton sar)TORRES A 120 15.00 25% 3.00    
4  DATE THE PRINCE Oct27 Sep23       (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
5  TWO DOLLARS Dec06 Oct23       (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00    
6  DOES NOT COMPUTE Nov30 Sep26       (burkes bob)ALBERT S 120 30.00    
SCR  SAND CAST Nov28 Oct27 Oct12 Sep05 Aug11 (leonard ge)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
8  CONSECRATED Dec06 Nov24 Nov08 Oct16 Sep27 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  BIGFOOT SIGHTING Nov30 Oct19       (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 12.00    
SCR  ALL RIZZ         (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
11  BATTER UP Oct17 Aug22 Jul18     (troiani nicco)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  JUSTAWALKINTHEPARK Dec07         (lopez elias)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOTOWN STAR Nov30 Sep25       (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
 
FG-4   12/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINSLEY GRACE Dec14 Oct12 Sep02     (balderas )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of TWINS PLUS A DOT by GIO PONTI)
2  REESE'S WORLD         (zeringue w)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 8.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of CASANOVA KIDDO by LANGFUHR)
3  DIVA BEACH Nov15         (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MISSY'S ADVANTAGE by TACTICAL ADVANTAGE)
4  THE RAIN IS GONE         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of VICOLA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  T D Z ZODIAC QUEEN Dec14         (eschete nason)FUSILIER C 120 8.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of FENDER BABY by STAR GUITAR)
SCR  A WICKED NUMBER Dec12         (ducoing stur)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 2.50    
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of NICE NUMBER by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
7  INCOGNITO BURRITO Dec06         (landry allen)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 42% 1.40    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HOMEMADE SALSA by TWO STEP SALSA)
 
FG-5   12/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEPPER JACK Dec05 Oct30 Oct19 Oct04 Sep11 (govea cesar)TORRES A 118 20.00    
SCR  CHANNEL WON Sep19 Jul07 May25 Feb02 Jan11 (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 121 3.50    
3  BANKROLL Oct30 Oct17 Aug24 Jul26 Jul09 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 118 15.00    
4  MESA SPIRIT Dec13 Jul13 Jun14 May16 Apr24 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 5.00 48% 1.10    
5  TWIRLING ROSES Dec13 Oct13 Aug15 Aug01 Jun29 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00 13% 6.90    
6  ATRAS Dec06 Nov16 Nov07 Sep25 Jul12 (hewitt micha)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNIFIED REPORT Sep25 Aug01 Jul11 Jun11 May04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00    
SCR  PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) Nov27 Nov10 Oct06 Oct02 Sep04 (ramirez-r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.00    
9  SAINT CHARLES Nov15 Sep28 Sep05 Aug10 Jul24 (scherer gary)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
10  APPEAL DENIED Nov14 Oct09 Jul15 Dec01 Nov05 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00    
11  PREMIUM Dec05 Oct23 Sep11 Jul30 Jun26 (hargrave ke)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 15.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  MUSICAL SPELL Sep26 Sep02 Aug16 Jul18 Jun21 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
13  PICO D'ORO Oct16 Oct07 Sep04 Aug19 Jul19 (russell br)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5% 17.90    
SCR  X J RASCAL (IRE) Dec03 Nov05 Oct09 Sep04 Aug13 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00    
15  PRINCE JAMES Nov14 Sep29 Sep01 Jul31 Jun29 (handal raymond)CURTIS BEN 121 12.00    
16  INDIA INK (ARG) Dec13 Oct10 Sep04 Jul11 Jun14 (sanchez j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00    
 
FG-6   12/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Louisiana Futurity Purse ($120.97K) 2 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TDZ HINT OF POWER Dec14 Nov22 Aug31 Jul22   (eschete nason)FUSILIER C 122 4.50    
  (by IMPERIAL HINT out of TDZ MANDYCORRIENDA by EL CORREDOR)
2  VOILA MAGIC Dec14 Nov22 Oct25     (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by VOLATILE out of TOUCH MAGIC by LION HEART)
3  JONAS GRUMBY Dec14 Aug31       (dandridge )ALBERT S 122 30.00    
  (by LONE SAILOR out of CINDY SAYS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  SMOKEN WICKED Dec14 Nov02 Oct05 Sep02 Aug10 (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 122 0.60 50% 1.00    
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of STREET SMOKE by STREET BOSS)
5  STAR ROCK STAR Dec14         (castille carro)THORNTON G 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of AFTER THOUGHT by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  ROMEO SPIKES Dec07 Nov08 Oct18     (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 12.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of MIMI'S BELLA ALARM by SOUND THE ALARM)
 
FG-7   12/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SKY LOW LOW Oct20         (devaux adr)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of DAPHNE MOON by CAIRO PRINCE)
SCR  EXPECTO PATRONUM         (beckman wh)TORRES A 120 6.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BALLETTE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  DARING DAME         (amoss thomas )CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of STRIKING STYLE by SMART STRIKE)
4  SHE'S A SWEDE Aug04 Jun28       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of COURTEOUS by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  GIN RUN Dec13         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 30.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of TANQURETTE by STREET BOSS)
SCR  GOLDENAGEACTRESS Nov30         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of APPEALING AUDREY by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  ATERRADORA (IRE) Nov30         (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of LAST GOLD by GOLD AWAY (IRE))
SCR  D'AURUM Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 Jun29 May26 (scherer gary)COHEN DAVID 120 10.00 18% 4.40    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of AUSUS by INVASOR (ARG))
9  CALAMITY Nov23         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MIGHTY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  RATHER DISTINCT Oct06 Aug19       (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of RATHER SPECIAL by GALILEO)
SCR  GOOD CONDUCT Nov30 Oct06 Aug23 Jul18   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
  (by WITHOUT PAROLE out of CHURCH ON TIME by HONOR CODE)
SCR  LOVE AND POETRY Oct26         (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of GRACE AND DIGNITY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
13  MISS AUTHENTIC Nov24         (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 15.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of VERTICAL VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
14  NANA GRACE Dec06 Aug25       (amoss tho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 47% 1.10    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FROST DANCE by SHACKLEFORD)
15  MAP OUT Nov30 Oct18       (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of O SERAPHINA by CONGRATS)
 
FG-8   12/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Louisiana Futurity Purse ($124.37K) 2 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEF PRINCESS Nov23 Sep24 Jul23     (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 10% 9.50    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of GYPSY PRINCESS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  PLATINUM MIDNIGHT Dec07 Nov22 Oct24 Sep27   (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of PLATINUM LADY by IRON RULER (IRE))
3  C C SHORT DRIVE         (scherer ga)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of CHERUB HEART by DEHERE)
4  BET TOWINIT Dec06         (landry ray)FUSILIER C 122 6.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of GIAGIAJOE by WILDCAT HEIR)
5  WANNAWHOLELOTTALUV Dec14 Aug31 Aug12     (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of WANNA SNUGGLE by MASS MEDIA)
6  FACTOR OF TIME Nov16 Oct19 Aug17 Jul19   (castille carro)THORNTON G 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SWEET DREAMS DIVA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
7  SECRET FAITH Dec14 Nov23 Oct11 Aug02 Jul13 (gelner jayde)GEROUX FLORENT 122 0.40 59% 0.70    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of ST. JEAN by MACHO UNO)
8  BELLA SORELLA Aug02 Jun28 Jun14     (devereux j)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of SIBLING WAR by BROTHER DEREK)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.