Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fair Grounds
Sunday - December 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-2   Win (7/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-3   Win (2/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-4   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-5   Win (1/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-6   Win (9/3/4/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-7   Win (8/3/12/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-8   Win (3/2/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FG-1   12/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($59K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIV'S WILD ACES Nov30 Aug05 Jun25     (wilson shane)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 11% 8.10    
LA NINA DORADA Nov30 Nov13       (brinkman brett)TORRES A 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
MO FOR US Nov29 Nov09 Sep29 Jun16 May25 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 122 1.20 30% 2.30    
MIA ANTONIA Jun17 May06 Mar08 Feb08 Jan05 (west patric)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 10.00    
GOOD N SASSY Nov30 Jun20 May22 Apr13 Mar24 (schwandt emi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
TAP GALORE Nov30 Jul19 Jul06 Feb22 Jan18 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 119 5.00    
 
FG-2   12/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 2 ALL PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSTACHEUAQUESTION Nov16 Sep14       (litfin veronica)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHRINER Aug29         (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 120 6.00    
DAN D'ORO Dec06 Nov24       (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 120 6.00    
GOOD TO BE PRINCE Dec07 Nov22 Sep26 Sep08   (rodriguez ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
FINAL DECREE Nov30 Sep14 Aug19     (duhon o)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
NINE OH ONE         (west henry)PARKER L 120 10.00 7% 13.20    
ALLIED COMMANDER         (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
FG-3   12/22/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($59K) 2 F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. MENDELSSOHN Nov08 Oct26       (landry ray)CURTIS BEN 117 6.00 31% 2.20    
SERVING TIME (GB) Nov23 Oct13 Aug19     (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
WAUNEKA Nov24 Oct04 Aug26 Jul27   (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 3.50 7% 12.40    
ANAKARINA Nov24 Sep12 Aug04 Jun26 May17 (stewart dal)HERNANDEZ J 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
AFTERNOON DIVA Nov24 Oct18 Oct09 Aug17 Jun29 (gustafson a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.50    
CARSON BAY Oct26 Sep26 Aug31 Aug18 Aug03 (scherer gary)GEROUX FLORENT 117 8.00    
LADY ORIENT Nov30 Nov01 Aug28 Jul13   (amoss m)CANNON DECLAN 117 6.00    
THEHILLONWOODSIDE Nov24 Oct09 Sep16 Aug14 Jul16 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 8.00    
 
FG-4   12/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LYRIC STREET Nov29 Oct18       (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50    
BEAMER Nov23         (calhoun willia)MURRAY M 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
ROMANY ROAD Dec06 Nov14       (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
COMMANDED Nov23 Oct26       (calhoun b)MCMAHON J 120 3.50    
CRUZIN VAN NUYS Dec12         (hartman chri)WELLINGTON KYLIE 113 5.00    
SMALL TOWN HEROINE Nov23 Sep25 Sep10 Aug17 Jul27 (jeansonne justin)CURTIS BEN 120 2.00 70% 0.40    
 
FG-5   12/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT BELLA Aug27 Jul16 Jun17 Dec30 Oct14 (wilson shane)TORRES A 120 5.00 44% 1.30    
I HAD THAT ONE TOO Nov14 Oct13 Sep01 Aug14 Jul11 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
LAKOTA SPIRIT Oct14 Aug03 Apr27 Mar03 Jan21 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50    
TRAIL RIDGE ROAD Nov23 Oct10 Aug18 Jul14 Jun16 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 6.00 15% 5.70    
BA DEE YAH Jul20 Jun08 Mar30 Mar09 Jan20 (amoss m)CANNON DECLAN 117 4.50    
JOCASTA Nov23 Oct30 Sep28 Aug17 Aug04 (scherer gary)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
PAINT ME PERFECT Nov23 Oct04 Aug26 Jul28 Jun20 (margolis r)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 11% 7.80    
MUCHO MACHO GIRL Nov14 Oct20 Sep13 Apr26 Mar30 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
SCR  LADY JEOPARDY Sep17 Jul16 Jun17 Jan15 Dec16 (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 120 5.00    
SCR  MERCY WARREN Nov27 Nov08 Sep15 Jun06 Feb09 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
SCR  ANN ALEE Oct17 Sep25 Aug18 Aug04 Jul07 (scherer gary)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50    
 
FG-6   12/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONEGAL MOONSHINE Nov05 Jun28 May31     (noel dane)VARGAS P 122 20.00    
PARTYVICIOUS Nov22 Feb24       (leonard geor)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00    
SPIELMAN Nov24 Nov05 Sep21 Aug19 Nov26 (desormeaux j )CONCEPCION AXEL 124 8.00 23% 3.30    
GOOD LORD Oct31 Sep22 Aug10 Dec23 Nov24 (amoss m)TORRES A 122 4.50 11% 8.20    
MAP TO THE STARS Nov22 Apr21 Mar13 Feb13   (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
BRUHN Nov04         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00    
DONEGAL FREEDOM Nov05 Aug14 Jan26     (noel dane)MCMAHON J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
FROST MOUNTAIN Mar02 Feb03 Aug03     (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 124 4.00 11% 8.40    
DARROW         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
FG-7   12/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEQUILA N' SALT Oct27         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
LEMON SOHN Nov28         (schultz lin)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
TOM'S MAGIC Nov28         (stidham michae)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
TESTED Nov22 Oct17       (schultz lind)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 20.00    
KAYAAN         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00    
EL MAXIMO Nov22         (amoss m)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00 10% 9.30    
AMBRIDGE Nov28 Nov07 Oct11     (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
LEBOWSKI Nov09 May16       (asmussen ste)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
RETEKO Nov10 Oct03 Aug21 Jul12   (morley thomas)TORRES A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  FROSTY BLUE Nov22 Sep25       (hartman chri)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00    
11  WINDTALKER Aug24         (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00    
12  SUSAN'S BOY         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  HIGH CEILING Oct27 Oct04       (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
SCR  EL MUHEET Nov28 Oct12       (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
 
FG-8   12/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIL WOADIE Nov30 Aug20 Jul30 Jul02 May20 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 121 15.00    
CIGAR VAN Nov30 Oct23 Aug15 Jul26 Jun28 (charles keith)MCMAHON J 124 4.50 14% 5.90    
DIXIE STREET Nov30 Sep26 Aug05 Jul09 Jun11 (ducoing j)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 30% 2.40    
JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT Nov30 Feb03 Jan13 Dec17 Nov24 (pennino fran)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 20.00    
CHEATIN CHARLIE Nov30 Nov15 Oct23 Sep11 Aug23 (terre david)COHEN DAVID 121 4.50    
KAHAAL Dec06 Aug03 Jul04 May31 Feb07 (mouton j)PARKER L 121 20.00    
COUNTRY GUY Nov24 Jul28 Jul07 May05 Apr20 (rodriguez ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00    
GOLD PUNCH Nov24 May25 Apr20 Mar16 Feb23 (bourgeois ke)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.00 12% 7.60    
MUCHO MARVIN Nov30 Nov07 Oct12 Aug02 Jul06 (chevis vincent)MAGNON H 121 10.00 7% 12.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.