Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(6/4/5)-(1/6/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(1/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(1/6/2/5)-(4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/5)-(4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/5)-(4/6)-(7/11/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/6)-(7/11/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(7/11/6)-(1/2/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-5   WIN (7/11/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/11/6)-(7/11/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/11/6)-(7/11/5/6/1)-(7/11/5/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/11/6)-(1/2/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/11/6)-(1/2/9/10)-(5/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/2/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/9/10)-(1/2/6/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/9/10)-(1/2/6/9/10)-(1/2/6/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/9/10)-(5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/9/10)-(5/7/2)-(2/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD NICKY Nov20 Nov06 Oct17 Oct03 Sep23 (maddox rachael)STOKES J 126 6.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
2  SOMETHING LUCKY Nov20 Nov06 Oct19 Oct01 Sep17 (doering mark)ZONETT KEYNER 125 12.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  J. P INDY Nov06 Oct21 Oct07 Sep17 Aug28 (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 8.00 7% 13.10    
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  EXPONENTIALLY Nov06         (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 125 1.20    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ADJULATE by FLATTER)
5  SMARTASSET Nov06 Oct21 Oct07 Sep17 Aug28 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
6  PRINCESS EM Nov20 Nov06 Oct19 Oct02 Sep17 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of RECORD HIGH by TOUCH GOLD)
 
MVR-2   12/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL BANDIDO Nov25 Nov07 Oct28 Oct01 Sep18 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00    
2  IF WE GET LUCKY Nov19 Nov02 Oct09 Aug27 Aug20 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 126 3.00    
3  MARLEY LUCK Nov04 Oct19 Sep30 Sep09 Jul30 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 126 4.50    
4  LAZARUS PROJECT Nov11 Oct09 Sep24 Aug27 Aug05 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 5.00 12% 7.20    
5  ROCK ON KITTEN Nov20 Oct22 Jun24 Jun05 May06 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  RED HURRICANE Nov04 Oct13 Jan08 Dec04 Oct30 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.00 56% 0.80    
 
MVR-3   12/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWN Nov04 Jul09 Jun07 May14 Apr25 (rone mik)MARTINEZ A 124 1.60 52% 0.90    
2  GONE IN A FLASH Sep26 Sep10 Aug12 Jul30 Jun13 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Nov25 Nov11 Oct22 Sep26 Sep04 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
4  CONTROLLER Sep17 Aug22 Jul18 Jun22 May29 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 2.50    
5  DERBY INCLUDED Nov18 Nov04 Oct10 Sep26 Dec26 (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  OAKS HONEY Aug22 Jul16 Jun10 May14 Apr22 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 4.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  SCRIMPER Nov05 Oct03 Sep02 Aug12 Jul18 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 123 6.00    
8  ROMANTIC COWBOY Oct03 Sep12 Aug20 Jul09 Jun22 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
 
MVR-4   12/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS LITTLE BIT Nov25 Oct30 Sep30 Sep09   (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 122 4.50    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of HIP NINETY THREE by HARLINGTON)
2  ROSE'S WISH Nov11 Sep20 Jul31     (urieta jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.00 ★    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CHANNEL REGATTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  MERCY OTIS Nov07 Oct07 Sep19 Aug25 Jul21 (barret)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 122 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of CALL ME BABA by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  GOLDENEYE MAGIC         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of LIL MISS RICHIE by HALF OURS)
5  LOVEBUG Oct30 Oct11 Aug10 Jul13 Jun09 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 122 2.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of BEACON OF LIGHT by POINT OF ENTRY)
6  SOLO SURPRISE         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 25% 2.90    
  (by SOLOMINI out of HALO'S SURPRISE by HALO'S IMAGE)
 
MVR-5   12/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIN DOCTOR Nov02 Oct08 Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00 ★    
2  HOTROD BOBBY Nov21 Oct29 Oct08 Sep04 Feb14 (morales s)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 12.00    
3  THE PINK Z Nov02 Oct02 Sep07 Aug30 Aug17 (silva fernando)HERMAN NOEL 119 20.00    
SCR  NICK CAN FIX Oct30 Oct11 Sep19 Aug29 Aug12 (shanyfelt v)NUNEZ Y 124 8.00    
5  PRIVATE DRIVE Nov02 Sep25 Sep10 Aug12 Jul31 (winter)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 ★    
6  WILDCAT BILL Nov18 Oct29 Sep26 Sep09 Aug20 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ROYAL'D Oct19 Aug21 Jul25 Jul03 May27 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 75% 0.30    
8  MUCHO PRIMO Nov19 Oct29 Oct11 Oct02 Sep10 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 124 15.00    
9  SPIRIT OF AKRON Nov13 Oct26 Oct03 Sep18 Sep04 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 6.00    
10  DOUGS MORNING PICK Nov19 Aug12 Jun26 Jun11 May23 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 20.00    
11  GOLDEN MONEY Nov13 Oct26 Oct11 Oct02 Sep04 (pappada a)STOKES J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  STUNT MAN Nov18 Oct10 Sep26 Jun18 May18 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   12/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REINVESTEDINTEREST Nov19 Oct26 Oct11 Aug06 Jul17 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 4.00 52% 0.90    
2  SHANGHAI PRINCE Nov11 Oct26 Oct02 Sep10 Aug12 (cline c)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  DR. ZARNETT Oct26 Oct11 Oct03 Sep18 Aug30 (meyers shane)STOKES J 124 3.00    
4  EAGLE NEST Oct08 Sep18 Aug27 Jul10 Jun17 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
5  OUR BUCKWHEAT Nov11 Oct10 Jun10 Apr01 Feb28 (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
6  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Nov02 Oct02 Sep17 Aug27 Aug12 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 5.00 ★    
7  NEBULOSA Nov19 Oct26 Oct11 Sep18 Aug27 (johnson gar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 8.00    
8  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Jul27 May22 Apr02 Mar14 Feb29 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
9  STONE COLD CAT Nov13 Oct26 Oct08 Sep18 Aug29 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  NAMBITI Nov13 Nov02 Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   12/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXONERATED PREZ Nov05 Oct21 Aug29 Jul30 Jun26 (tumblin andrew)REYES FRANK 124 2.50    
2  JARLIAN Nov05 Sep25 Aug29 Aug03 Jul24 (castil)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  BLESS THE KITTEN Nov06 Sep19 Aug29 Aug12 Jul30 (johnson gar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 10.00    
4  ROSAS WAY Nov11 Oct23 Oct15 Oct06 Sep22 (ortiz-ru)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
5  HAD RIGHT Nov05 Oct23 Oct10 Sep12 Aug26 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  MAJOR CONTENDER Oct31 Oct17 Oct08 Sep03 Aug10 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00    
7  T MONEY Nov11 Oct19 Sep16 Aug11 May30 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00 19% 4.30    
 
MVR-8   12/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOLD LUCY Sep25         (drury thomas )BRACHO A 123 1.00    
2  COWGIRL SARA Nov05 Oct19 Oct02     (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 123 3.00 60% 0.70    
3  VICTORIA COMMAND Nov05 Oct23 Sep17 Jul17 Jun12 (lopez jacinto)AVILES YAN 123 20.00    
4  BOLD RUBY Nov06 Oct19 Oct02 Aug26 Aug07 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 125 5.00 10% 9.40    
5  MY DANIELA Nov24 Nov05 Oct23 Oct08 Sep18 (blackhurst)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 3.50    
6  BEAUTIFUL SCORE Nov05 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 (winters michelle)PEREZ A 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.