Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - November 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(3/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(3/1/2/4)-(1/9/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/4)-(1/9/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/4)-(1/9/7/5)-(7/4/1/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/7/5)-(1/9/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/7/5)-(1/9/7/5)-(1/9/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/7/5)-(7/4/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/9/7/5)-(7/4/1/8)-(9/2/6/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (7/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/8)-(7/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/8)-(7/4/1/8)-(7/4/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/8)-(9/2/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/8)-(9/2/6/1)-(3/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (9/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/6/1)-(9/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/6/1)-(9/2/6/1)-(9/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/6/1)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/6/1)-(3/5/2)-(7/4/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(7/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(7/4/3/8)-(5/8/9/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/8)-(5/8/9/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/8/9/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/9/7/10)-(5/8/9/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/9/7/10)-(5/8/9/7/10)-(5/8/9/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   11/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EILAT Nov10 Oct29 Oct06 Sep24 Sep10 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
CASTLE MAGIC Oct21 Sep11 Jul18 May21 Nov15 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
SCR  RESOLUTION (FR) Nov02 Oct15 Sep26 Sep05 Jul25 (bahena fe)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 2.00    
OFFTHEROADAGAIN Nov10 Oct22 Oct14 Sep11 Aug16 (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
PINK PARTY PANTS Nov04 Sep02 Aug19 Jul23 Jun17 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
ROYAL ITCH Nov04 Oct04 Sep20 Sep12 Jul18 (wilson davi)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
LIVING IN STYLE Nov04 Oct21 Sep05 Aug22 Jan21 (morales m)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
 
MVR-2   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DICHOTOMY Oct28 Sep17 Aug15 Jul25 Jun28 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
GENERAL GINNY Nov04 Oct05 Sep25 Aug09 Jul12 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 3.00 8% 12.00    
PROSPECTIVE FORUM Sep24 Aug26 Oct13 Sep20 Aug17 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
YOGURT Oct22 Oct05 Sep27 Sep12 Aug16 (short billy)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
BLAZING ZENNA Nov04 Sep11 Jul22 Jul08 Jun13 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00    
JEN'S BATTLE Sep30 Sep04 Aug21 Jun22 Jun08 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
SWEET BELEN Nov04 Oct02 Sep11 Aug28 Aug20 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 10.00    
 
MVR-3   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
K P SILVER BULLET Nov04 Oct19 Oct07 Sep12 Aug21 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 126 1.60 69% 0.40    
SCR  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Oct14 Sep16 Aug20 Jul17 Jun26 (engleh)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
LOCK ON Nov04 Oct03 Sep13 Aug09 Jul19 (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 20.00    
SLIPPERY WHEN WET Oct02 Sep25 Sep10 Sep01 Aug20 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00    
TOYI Nov02 Oct22 Oct10 Sep24 Aug27 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
ROCK ON KITTEN Oct22 Jun24 Jun05 May06 Apr08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
UPTOWN GUY Nov04 Aug13 Jun05 May23 May13 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
ONEMORANDTHECHECK Oct29 Oct22 Sep30 Jul30 Jul08 (johnson gar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 10.00    
DYRDEK Nov03 Oct07 Sep04 Aug21 Aug12 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 6% 16.70    
 
MVR-4   11/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUARDIANSOF AUTISM Nov04 Oct07 Sep24 Sep11 Aug21 (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 124 12.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  BUCKET LIST Oct29 Oct09 Sep18 Sep04 Jul16 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00    
MAN WITH THE MOVES Oct16 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 Aug06 (swingley du)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.50    
MSHINDI Nov07 Oct23 Oct07 Sep16 Jan25 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 4.00 17% 4.90    
DOMI Jun27 Jun08 Apr24 Apr04 Mar19 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
MITOLE'S WISH Nov05 Oct21 Sep13 Apr05 Feb28 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
SCR  WHOLE LOTTA LUTE Oct13 Jun22 Apr13 Mar23   (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 124 1.80 38% 1.60    
WILLIE WANDO Sep18 Sep09 Aug11 Jul28 Jul17 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 7% 12.40    
 
MVR-5   11/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CODE ONE Nov05 Oct20 Jun23 May25 May10 (martinez kel)HALDAR J 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
SAILINGTHEISLANDS Nov05 Oct07 Sep17 Aug27 Aug12 (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 4.00 27% 2.60    
FLYHERBFLYHIGH Nov02 Oct22 Jul15 Jun19 Jun08 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 126 12.00    
THISISRIDICULOUS Jun07 May25 May11 Apr27 Dec28 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 124 10.00    
AMERICAN CAUSE Nov02         (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
KEYSER Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 Jun30 (gonzalez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
YOUNG ELVIS Oct21         (poole c)ZONETT KEYNER 124 20.00    
SCR  VINO VELOCE Oct05 Aug19 Aug05 Jul13 Jun19 (rivera xavie)BELISARIO JUAN 116 6.00    
CLASSIC RICHIE Jul09 Jun14       (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 124 1.20 50% 1.00    
SCR  KEEPING IT SIMPLE Oct21 Oct01       (rom)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOING IN STYLE Nov11 Oct30 Oct22 Oct02 Sep18 (bailey ri)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.50    
MORETHANREADYEDDIE Oct22 Oct07 Sep19 Aug12 Jun25 (winters miche)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 14% 6.00    
BIG ROWDY DAN Oct19 Sep24 Jun08 Jun01 May09 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 21% 3.90    
SEMINOLE BEACH Oct31 Oct22 Oct05 Sep24 Sep10 (blea jr)REYES FRANK 124 8.00    
PLATINUM GHOST Oct03 Sep12 Aug04 Jul04 May26 (hill j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  AYE AYE SIR Nov11 Oct22 Jul24 Jul10 Jun12 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 126 3.00    
SCR  BIG FIG Nov04 Oct30 Oct13 Sep25 Sep03 (rivera xavie)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 6.00    
OVER THE HILLS Nov05 Oct22 Oct06 May20 Apr25 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-7   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEMSHINE Nov05 Oct19 Sep30 Sep04 Aug07 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
COWGIRLS HUMOR Oct30 Oct01 Sep05 Aug15 Jul29 (schuster robi)ZONETT KEYNER 124 8.00    
MOST ADORABLE Oct19 Sep30 Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 13% 6.50    
PENNY'S TREASURE Oct19 Sep12 Jul31 Jul15 Feb22 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
SHAMANS IMAGE Sep13 Aug21 Aug02 Jul20 Jul03 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 122 10.00    
HALO EFFECT Oct19 Sep30 Jun19 May29 May13 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50    
EXTRA CRAFTY Oct19 Sep12 Jul31 Jul15 Jun19 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
WILD MARIAH Oct23 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 Jul03 (johnson gar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVERS RUN RED Oct30 Oct01 Sep05 Aug26 Aug07 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PERFECTON PRINCESS by ECTON PARK)
DRILLING Oct19         (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 20.00    
  (by DRILL out of EAST AND UNION by INTO MISCHIEF)
BOLD ZEE Nov06 Oct17       (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of MAMA ZEE by J BE K)
BOLD NICKY Nov06 Oct17 Oct03 Sep23 Sep04 (maddox rachae)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
MYSTICAL MOBIL         (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by MOBIL out of QUEEN OF SPRING by SPRING AT LAST)
PRINCESS EM Nov06 Oct19 Oct02 Sep17 Aug26 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of RECORD HIGH by TOUCH GOLD)
SHESTHEPERFECTSONG         (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00 7% 12.40    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MOONLIGHT FLITE by MINARDI)
THELMA LUCILLE Nov06 Oct19 Oct02 Sep17 Aug15 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
IT'S E Z Apr08 Feb05 Dec28 Jun15 Jun03 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 124 1.60 8% 12.10    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
10  SOMETHING LUCKY Nov06 Oct19 Oct01 Sep17 Aug26 (doering mark)ZONETT KEYNER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.