Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - April 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (7/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/6)-(2/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/6)-(2/5/6/1)-(5/4/7/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-2   WIN (2/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/1)-(5/4/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/1)-(5/4/7/2)-(4/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-3   WIN (5/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/2)-(4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/2)-(4/2)-(3/4/1/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-4   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/2)-(3/4/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(3/4/1/6)-(5/8/6/7/9) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/6)-(5/8/6/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/6)-(5/8/6/7/9)-(7/1/8/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-6   WIN (5/8/6/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/7/9)-(5/8/6/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/7/9)-(5/8/6/7/9)-(5/8/6/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/6/7/9)-(7/1/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6/7/9)-(7/1/8/9)-(9/3/1/4/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
HAW-7   WIN (7/1/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/9)-(7/1/8/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/9)-(7/1/8/2/9)-(7/1/8/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/8/9)-(9/3/1/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/9)-(9/3/1/4/7)-(9/10/2/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-8   WIN (9/3/1/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/1/4/7)-(9/3/1/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/1/4/7)-(9/3/1/4/7)-(9/3/1/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/1/4/7)-(9/10/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HAW-9   WIN (9/10/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/2/1)-(9/10/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/2/1)-(9/10/2/1)-(9/10/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   04/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUM KINDA PRETTY Nov29 Nov14 Sep20 Sep09 Aug30 (ramos fran)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
IZZY'S MONSTER Jan18 Dec20 Nov13 Oct10 Sep21 (villa francisc)COLON H 122 8.00 7% 12.80    
SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) Feb09 Jan12 Dec06 Oct07 Sep10 (villa francisco)FELIX E 122 5.00    
HOT DAME Dec30 Dec02 Oct10 Sep20 Aug20 (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00 9% 10.40    
DIALED INNA Mar20 Sep30 Aug20 Jul12 Jun01 (rodriguez jose )REYES FRANK 122 3.00    
APRIL'S GEM Mar23 Oct23 Sep28 Sep18 Sep03 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00 7% 13.00    
BLESSED ANNA Mar02 Feb15 Jan20 Dec19 Nov30 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.80 43% 1.40    
MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Dec28 Oct25 Sep20 Sep02 Aug05 (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
 
HAW-2   04/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROBLEMATICA Feb25 Feb04 Jan13 Dec08 Oct22 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 111 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOYCE'S BANDITA Jun13         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
TRIBEST (ARG) Feb23 Feb04 Jan25 Jan06 Nov08 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 124 4.50    
HER SPEAKER'S ON Nov18 Nov07 Oct17 Sep19 Sep05 (lynch harry)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 15.00    
WRITTEN CONSENT Mar22 Feb29 Dec30 Dec02 Jul27 (meraz ant)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 1.60 20% 4.00    
SISTER SWEDE         (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 6.00 13% 6.70    
AKARI Jan17         (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00    
 
HAW-3   04/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP STICK Mar01 Dec30 Aug28 Jun29 Jun14 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 124 1.80    
DEFIANT MALICE Mar23 Feb17 Dec08 Nov24 Nov15 (arnett jon)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
IRISH COAST         (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 118 5.00    
THE RIDGE         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 25% 3.10    
SPANISH DOUBLOON Feb10 Dec28 Nov24 Oct21 Sep17 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
NAGY AND DA BEARS Mar23 May21 Apr22 Mar09 Dec30 (zawitz joel)NAVAS YOEL 117 20.00    
ALIBI IKE Mar22 Mar01 Feb17 Nov25 Jun18 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 8.00 13% 7.00    
 
HAW-4   04/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOP AWAY HOTTIE Sep30 Sep15 Sep02 Jul16 Jun09 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
PINK LADY LU SHA Mar08 Jan26 Jan06 Oct10 Sep21 (lopez elias)FELIX E 116 3.00 5% 19.00    
HEAVENLY SCENT Oct31 Sep12 Sep04 Aug17 Aug06 (pompell rob)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 8.00    
JERSEY JET Aug01 Jun27       (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 116 2.00 73% 0.40    
POSITIONDUMONI Mar24 May21 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
COWGIRL FRANKIE Nov07 Oct24 Sep12 Jul30 Jul06 (rednour john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
COCKTAIL CUTIE Jan27 Jan01 Dec01 Nov19 Oct20 (manley steve)EMIGH A 116 8.00    
 
HAW-5   04/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZ RECKLESS Mar31 Jun22 May25 Apr18 Apr02 (rodriguez )GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
PALAGO Mar23 Nov14 Oct14 Sep26 Sep16 (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 5.00    
PLAY TWENTY Mar23 Aug29 Aug13 Jul26 Jun22 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 1.80 50% 1.00    
GO STORMIN GIRL Mar31 Jan03 Oct23 Sep26 Aug31 (cook brian)EMIGH A 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
WITCHING Oct21 Sep26 Sep09 Aug29 Aug08 (lynch e)REYES FRANK 122 12.00    
MISS WINDY SLEW Mar23 Mar03 Feb04 Dec29 Oct10 (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LADY ATLANTIC Mar23 Mar23 Oct29 Oct15 Sep25 (ryan chris )BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 15.00    
MY LADY SLEW Mar23 Oct03 Sep16 Aug16 Jul30 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
 
HAW-6   04/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTIE AND JESSIE Mar24 Jul26 Jun14 Aug19 Jul31 (horvath fran)GILES EMMANUEL 124 30.00    
GRAND FESTIVAL Mar24 Feb23 Feb09 Jan13 Dec13 (campbell joel)FELIX E 124 5.00    
CHERRY ORCHARD Mar24 Nov14 Oct28 Oct21 Oct14 (hughes earl)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 20.00    
GUYDON Mar24 Mar16 Mar08     (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 118 15.00    
CHARTED Feb10 Nov14 Oct21 Oct02 Sep08 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 1.40 50% 1.00    
RAISERICHIESRANSOM Mar24 Jan04 Dec27 Dec14 Oct17 (hughes w)MOJICA O 118 8.00 10% 9.20    
LARRY'S LUNCHBOX Mar24 Mar02 Feb09 Dec31 Dec10 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 117 12.00 6% 17.00    
LUCKY PAL Jun24         (winebaugh )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 14% 6.40    
BLACK RUSSIAN Jul30 Jul13 Jun25 Jun07 May25 (perez manny)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-7   04/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPALINE Aug03 Jul16 Jun08 May20 May04 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
ONACOUNTA Mar24 Feb12 Feb01 Jan25 Dec10 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
GABRIELLA ATTACK Mar31 Nov18 Sep12 Aug27 Jun20 (childers v)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 20.00    
HOLY IMAGE Mar24 Sep13 Sep04 Aug20 Jul23 (weir geor)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
SEQUAYA Mar31 Oct31 Sep04 Aug23 Aug17 (cook brian)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 15.00    
EVIE JEAN Sep04 Aug20 Aug09 Jul23 Jul09 (ryan a)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
HEART OF HANISCH Mar16 Jul25       (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
SUNDAY SPEIGHT Mar24 Oct24 Oct09 Sep12 Jun27 (schlen)BAILON JADHIR 116 5.00 6% 16.90    
SAPPHIRE NIGHTS Mar31 Feb23 Feb12 Oct24 Oct03 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 109 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-8   04/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROW STRIKE Nov18 Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 Aug26 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
U S HONOUR NAP Nov18 Oct24 Sep09 Aug26 Aug08 (zawitz joel)NAVAS YOEL 115 20.00    
ACTION SEEKER Mar07 Feb16 Jan13 Nov30 Oct16 (hernandez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
ATKINS Mar07 Jan12 Dec17 Nov11 Jun15 (kenneally eddie)MOJICA O 122 4.00 7% 12.50    
STORM'S REFLECTION Nov13 Oct24 Sep28 Sep07 Aug27 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00    
CATEGORY TEN Mar01 Feb01 Dec22 Nov27 Nov14 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
BLOOMING GARDEN Nov11 Nov04 Aug20 Aug03 Jun25 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOURBON LIFE Mar02 Feb02 Dec15 Nov25 Sep05 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 8.00    
RED HORNET Mar24 Oct24 Sep07 Jul21 Jun23 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
 
HAW-9   04/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REALISTIC GOAL Aug10 Jul23       (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of REALGOODLOOKIN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
PACIFIC VIEW Mar31 Jan05 Dec08 Oct25 Sep04 (clay pat)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 15.00 10% 8.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of INDIA'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
MULSANNE (IRE) Nov30 Nov11 Oct23 Oct12 Aug29 (horvath fran)GILES EMMANUEL 124 30.00    
  (by HARZAND out of BONNEFIO by TEOFILO (PER))
ELODINE Mar08 Feb02       (lopez elias)FELIX E 118 8.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of BELIEVE YOU WILL by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  ABSOLUTE MIRACLE Mar31 Mar02 Jan20     (roussel louis )COLON H 118 10.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SPEIGHTLASS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
MISCHIEF MY WAY Mar23         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BROOKLYNSWAY by GIANT GIZMO)
REDHEADEDSTRANGER Mar20 Feb23 Feb07 Jan13 Dec01 (nesbitt a)ULLOA JOAN 118 10.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of TOTAL ECLIPSE by LIL E. TEE)
SCR  STARINA Jan18 Dec21 Nov24 Sep30   (catalano m)MOJICA O 118 5.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of REBRIDLED DREAMS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
BOLTORO Feb21 Jan10 Dec17 Oct14 Sep07 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ELANDESS by SCAT DADDY)
10  TWAS LOLA         (rivelli la)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 4.00 31% 2.30    
  (by VIOLENCE out of DOTING by FLATTER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.