Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Saturday - March 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/5)-(4/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/5)-(4/8/5)-(4/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/5)-(10/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5)-(10/7/4)-(3/7/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-2   WIN (10/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/7/4)-(10/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/7/4)-(10/7/4)-(10/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (10/7/4)-(3/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/7/4)-(3/7/1/2)-(6/5/9/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-3   WIN (3/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/2)-(3/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/2)-(3/7/1/2)-(3/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/2)-(6/5/9/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/2)-(6/5/9/10/11)-(5/10/1/3/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-4   WIN (6/5/9/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/10/11)-(6/5/9/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/10/11)-(6/5/9/10/11)-(6/5/9/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/9/10/11)-(5/10/1/3/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/5/9/10/11)-(5/10/1/3/7)-(6/12/9/7/3) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TP-5   WIN (5/10/1/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/1/3/7)-(5/10/1/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/1/3/7)-(5/10/1/3/7)-(5/10/1/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/10/1/3/7)-(6/12/9/7/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/10/1/3/7)-(6/12/9/7/3)-(3/1/6/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-6   WIN (6/12/9/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/12/9/7/3)-(6/12/9/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/12/9/7/3)-(6/12/9/7/3)-(6/12/9/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/12/9/7/3)-(3/1/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/12/9/7/3)-(3/1/6/2)-(5/4/8/6/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-7   WIN (3/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/2)-(3/1/6/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/2)-(3/1/6/2/4)-(3/1/6/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/6/2)-(5/4/8/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-8   WIN (5/4/8/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/6/9)-(5/4/8/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/6/9)-(5/4/8/6/9)-(5/4/8/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAIYAS SONG Feb08 Jan05 Dec28 Nov20 Oct06 (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 15.00    
SCR  LIL BUT DELICIOUS Jan03 Dec11       (west aaron )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00    
3  CASTELMOLA Feb29 Feb08 Jan10 Nov29 Sep21 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 126 3.00    
4  MUSED (GB) Feb15 Jan04 Oct22 May29 Apr30 (gonzalez agu)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
5  BEAUTIFUL TEMPLE Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 Dec20 Nov29 (labra rogelio)PAULY SUMMER 114 8.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  STORM CHARGING Feb15 Jan04 Oct25 Oct26 Oct11 (hester haley)OUZTS W 124 8.00    
7  PINK PARTY PANTS Feb07 Nov13 Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 (sanchez j)SANJUR SANTO 124 10.00    
8  DANSEUR D'ORO Jan25 Dec27 Dec06 Sep24 Aug27 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
TP-2   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THUNDER APPEAL         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50    
SCR  DOUBLE DOUBLE Feb08 Jan26 Jan05     (hernandez)CORREA L 120 20.00    
3  HOG HEAVEN Mar06 Dec14 Oct24     (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
4  HEAVY HITTER Mar06 Feb01 Jan04 Dec06 Nov02 (fernandez edward)LEON SONNY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BAKERS PRIDE         (pino michael )LEAHEY HANNAH 120 10.00    
6  HOLD YOUR APPLAUSE Feb23 Jan27 Jan13 Dec16   (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00    
7  LIGHTNING STRIKING Mar01 Dec31       (trombetta )CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  BROADWAY RED Mar06 Feb08 Dec29 Dec08 Nov09 (delong ben)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00    
9  PERSUADE Dec20 Dec06 Nov18     (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00    
10  ILLINI Feb01         (walden william)BRACHO GENIS 120 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
TP-3   03/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITERARY Feb22 Jan13 Dec22 Mar18 Feb15 (greenhill jeff)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 7% 12.70    
2  SPRAT Dec30 Dec06 Oct25     (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  QUEEN OF THE DANCE Feb03 Jul09 Jun12 May24   (stidham mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 126 2.50 36% 1.80    
4  TERRITORIALITY         (gowan willi)PETERSON FERRIN 126 12.00    
5  ALWAYS DREAM BIG Feb24 Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 May22 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 126 8.00    
SCR  PROUD LAURIE Feb03 Jan11       (perez car)AYALA ISAIAS 126 10.00    
7  PUT THE CRAZY AWAY Feb24 Feb02 Jan13 Dec21 Nov25 (paque)ULLOA PATRICIO 126 2.00 23% 3.40    
8  SNAP JUDGEMENT (IRE)         (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 126 12.00    
 
TP-4   03/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKYINKENTUCKY Mar02 Feb02 Dec22 Jul21 Jun29 (brafford michell)LEON SONNY 120 20.00    
2  NOT SO EASY Mar02 Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 Dec13 (adams l)HESS SARA 113 8.00    
3  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) Mar02 Feb07 Dec22 Nov10 Oct05 (salas felip)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
4  JUANITA'S EXPRESS Feb07 Jan12 Dec14 Oct04 Sep09 (deegan c)MOJICA JR 120 4.50    
5  COUNTY COURT Mar02 Feb07 Dec22 Dec13 Nov29 (brooks )DE CRUZ 120 5.00 15% 5.80    
6  MALTHAEL Jan05 Dec14 Dec01 Jun03 May01 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
7  SMOKEY LEE Feb21 Jan31 Jan03 Dec02 Oct24 (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 120 12.00    
SCR  CAROM Mar02 Feb07 Jan12 Dec22 Nov29 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 12.00    
9  DRIFTWOOD Feb22 Jan26 Jan03 Dec14 Oct25 (kordenbrock ma)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 8% 12.10    
10  HAIG POINT Feb07 Jan17 Jan03 Dec14 Nov30 (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00 7% 13.80    
11  VIOLIN MAKER Feb21 Jan25 Dec30 Oct04 Sep01 (hernandez deb)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-5   03/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOU'S LEGACY Nov25 Nov04 Aug28 Jun01 May04 (andrade hugo)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 4.00 12% 7.10    
  (by TAPITURE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  WICKED GUS Feb24 Nov14       (straub marvel)CANUTO THIAGO 125 20.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of YANKEE GLIDER by QUIET AMERICAN)
3  C V SHACKLES Feb07         (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of VICTORY POOL by VICTORY GALLOP)
4  TAPIT'S TALE         (correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 125 10.00    
  (by TAPIT out of VERVE'S TALE by TALE OF EKATI)
5  PAVED IN GOLD Feb10         (rutledge l)CORRALES GERARDO 125 5.00 51% 1.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of YAHILWA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  TIGER'S LEGACY Apr20 Mar12 Feb01     (davis christop)CEDILLO ABEL 125 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MY LADY LUCK by HARD SPUN)
7  POLSTER         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ENQUETE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
8  WARRING THUNDER Feb23         (toye lin)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
  (by TROJAN NATION out of ESTHER RISING by CONCORD POINT)
9  WHERE'S JACK         (hancock a)ELLIOTT JANE 118 10.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of MARILYZE L' TIETA by GRINDSTONE)
10  ACCIDENT Feb17 Feb03 Jan06 Dec09 Nov17 (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 125 3.00 13% 6.90    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
11  LEVANTER         (howell jessi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 10.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of RISING TORNADO by STORM CAT)
12  FRENCH BREAD Feb17 Dec28 Dec09     (bicknell )CORREA L 125 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
13  MOHTAFIL         (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 12.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of FAWAAREK by SMART STRIKE)
 
TP-6   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Queen Purse ($125K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BREEZE EASY (GB) Feb13 Jan06 Dec08 Aug11 Jul15 (catalano )HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of POLAR CIRCLE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
2  SOUPER MUNNINGS Feb14 Jan12 Oct14 Sep07 Aug05 (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MYLITTA by SKY MESA)
3  AWESOME TREAT Jan11 Dec02 Nov11 Oct14 Sep30 (wojczynski jus)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00 7% 13.90    
  (by AWESOME PATRIOT out of TIZ A TREAT by TIZ WONDERFUL)
4  LINGUISTIC Feb14 Oct15 Sep24 Aug31 Aug05 (foster )DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
  (by FLATTER out of TRANSLATOR by STRAVINSKY)
5  SWALL Feb08 Nov26 Oct21 Sep17 Aug25 (damato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CAT DANCER by STORM CAT)
6  B G WARRIOR Jan27 Jan12 Dec02 Oct15 Sep23 (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
7  VICTORIOUS Feb07 Jan04 Nov26     (mccarthy mi)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 7% 13.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CASHING TICKETS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
8  PRINCESS ADALEIGH Aug27 Jul28 May27 Apr22 Feb20 (damato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DARING DARLING by TIZ WONDERFUL)
9  RAVELLA Jan27 Dec23 Nov30 May09 Apr21 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 9% 9.70    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DANCING RAVEN by TOMAHAWK)
10  BABY NO WORRIES Jan27 Dec23 Dec02 Oct12 Sep24 (girten t)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of PAJAMA BOTTOM by INCLUDE)
11  CURRENT CLIMATE Jan12 Dec07 Nov16 Oct22 Sep24 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 120 5.00    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of MULLINS BAY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
12  HONEY PANTS Jan14 Dec02 Sep01 Jul22 May20 (thomas jonatha)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of QUEENS CAROUSEL by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
13  HIT THE WOAH Feb14 Jan12 Dec03 Apr14 Nov27 (beckman whi)GARCIA MARTIN 120 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of CHRISTIE'S READY by MORE THAN READY)
 
TP-7   03/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLECT A LIL Feb28 Jan31 Jan03 Nov22 Feb24 (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 125 2.50 22% 3.50    
2  VOGELSANG Feb03 Oct05 Sep08 Jul29 Jun27 (reed r)MCKEE J 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  JENNY LIND Feb14 Dec15 Nov17 Oct18 Sep13 (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 125 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  PILLOW DROP Feb03 Jan13 Dec20 Dec02 Oct05 (meredith charl)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 15.00 ★    
5  LASERJET Feb14 Feb03 Jan06 Dec23 Nov09 (antonuik j)CORRALES GERARDO 125 12.00    
6  THREE COINS Dec02 Oct10 Sep13 Aug19 Jul23 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 125 4.00 13% 6.80    
7  IN A PEACH Feb15 Jan24 Dec23 Dec02 Nov08 (evans mic)CORREA L 125 15.00    
8  AMERICANA ANNA Feb03 Dec23 Nov10 Aug22 Jul20 (elliott michelle)LEON SONNY 125 12.00    
9  LUCKY LESSON Nov17 Oct09 Sep25 Jun08 May27 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 15.00    
 
TP-8   03/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESTILO PELIGROSO Feb15 Jan31 Jan10 Sep08 Jul12 (kordenbrock matt)LEON SONNY 120 15.00    
2  GIVE GOD PRAISE Oct30 Oct03 Aug31 Aug03 Jul19 (bush s)MOJICA JR 120 20.00    
3  BUZZER Jan31 Dec30 Dec21 Dec01 Nov10 (sanchez j)SANJUR SANTO 120 30.00    
4  POET OF LIFE (IRE) Feb07 Dec07 Oct25 May25 May03 (garcia genar)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 8.00 23% 3.30    
5  BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL Feb15 Feb01 Dec13 Jan16 Dec20 (dunham bernard)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
6  IOYA AGAIN Nov17 Sep03 Aug09 Jul13 Jun29 (van thoma)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 7% 13.80    
7  AGADOR SPARTACUS Feb28 Feb10 Jan25 Jan13 Dec30 (adams nan)CORREA L 120 20.00    
8  LINK TO DESTINY Feb07 Oct06 Sep09 Jan14 Dec07 (ward wesley )CRUZ JUAN 120 6.00 8% 11.10    
9  THALBERG Mar07 Feb07 Jan11 Dec27 Nov29 (brooks geral)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  LORD REVELSTOKE Feb02 Dec14 Oct10 Sep21 Sep05 (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 8.00    
11  JOB SECURITY Feb21 Jan12 Dec22 Dec13 Nov29 (stinson willia)ROMAN A 120 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.