Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - November 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/5)-(8/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (8/5)-(3/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-2   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7)-(7/5)-(6/2/4) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
MNR-3   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (7/5)-(6/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-4   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(7/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(4/3)-(4/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-7   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (4/3)-(4/3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-8   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLYESTER BRIDE Nov16 Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 Aug13 (poole c)AVILES YAN 120 10.00    
LADY NOGUEZ Nov13 Sep18 Aug20 Aug13 Jul18 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 10.00    
SCR  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Oct25 Sep20 Sep02 Aug05 Jul23 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 5.00    
FAIRY CAKES (GB) Nov15 Oct24 Oct13 Sep28 Sep18 (mcentee pau)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 4.50    
MAUREENLOVESFRANK Nov16 Oct18 Oct03 Sep12 Aug13 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 8.00 5% 18.30    
SUM KINDA PRETTY Nov14 Sep20 Sep09 Aug30 Aug11 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 120 10.00    
SCR  HIGH FASHION LADY Nov16 Oct31 Oct01 Aug11 Feb08 (morzan javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 20.00    
SASSY JUSTICE Oct24 Oct15 Oct03 Sep18 Aug30 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 1.60 69% 0.50    
LADRO DI FICHI Nov03 Oct21 Sep26 Aug19 Jul22 (caison )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
 
MNR-2   11/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE MILE LIMIT Nov01 Sep27 Sep13 Aug27 Aug14 (boyd l)VEGA L 120 15.00    
HAPPY CHAMP Nov19 Nov04 Oct11 Sep01 Aug11 (brown ronney )CEDILLO MAURO 120 1.60    
OVERBEARING Nov02 Oct11 Sep14 Sep01 Aug24 (musarro jos)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 3.50 51% 1.00    
ANOTHER BREEZE Nov14 Oct23 Oct08 Sep04 Aug22 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 5.00    
JULIE'S FERRARI Nov19 Oct24 Oct01 Sep03 Aug23 (welsh gary )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  HILLBILLY LOGIC Nov13 Nov01 Oct03 Sep17 Sep02 (howard)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00    
CRACK THE MOON Nov07 Oct15 Sep27 Aug13 Jul25 (poole c)BRACHO A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-3   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANG MEIN LIED Nov08 Oct22 Aug15 Jul29   (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 118 30.00    
STORY CHANNEL Nov08 Oct09 Jul09 Jun29 Jun08 (monday kevin)VEGA L 118 3.50    
SCR  REINA DEL BALI Sep27 Sep12 Aug27 Aug01 Jul09 (preston rand)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
SCR  ICY RAIN Nov19 Oct23 Sep27 Aug17 Aug01 (ratliff gob)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 4.00    
GIO'S MY DAD Nov19 Oct22 Oct10 Sep12 Aug09 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 123 4.50 30% 2.40    
STEPPINPERFECTION Nov08 Oct09       (monday )BRAVO MISAEL 116 6.00    
ONACOUNTA Nov14 Oct14 Sep05 Aug26   (zawitz )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
MNR-4   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELLY THE ROCKET Nov19 Nov06 Oct02 Sep19 Sep05 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
RIVERVIEW STEVIE Nov19 Nov06 Oct24 Oct07 Sep16 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
LELAWALA Oct01 Aug21 Jul17 Jul05 Jun19 (poole jami )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 20.00    
HERE COMES LOVIE Sep24 Sep10 Jul14 Jun09 Apr13 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  MAMALONA Nov19 Aug13 Jul31 Jul02 Jun19 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 12.00    
BRODY'S JESSICA Nov19 Nov01 Oct17 Sep26 Aug30 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
EGG NOG Nov13 Nov06 Oct24 Sep24 Sep10 (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
THE REIGN SONG Nov06 Oct24 Oct17 Sep23 Aug24 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 1.60    
 
MNR-5   11/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PISTOL JERRY Sep20 Aug23       (sanders melinda)VIGIL NOEL 123 30.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of DANCE SOMEWHERE by DANCE MASTER)
GUARDIANSOF AUTISM         (kocijan marcus)GILBERT KYLE 123 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FOR SURE FOR SURE by OLD TOPPER)
LEFTLANEOUTLAW Nov09 Sep11       (lopez jacinto)VELEZ J 118 5.00    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of BELLE'S CACHET by TREASURE BEACH (GB))
BALLOT BOX Nov21 Nov05 Oct18 Aug23 Jun19 (pizzur)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SECRET BALLOT by COURAGEOUS CAT)
CAB BEEF Oct30 Oct17 Sep17     (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of OURNAUGHTYESCAPADE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
ENOUGH ICE Nov27 Nov01 Oct14 Sep27 Sep14 (pease harry)YARANGA Y 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by KEEN ICE out of ADESTE by MONTBROOK)
STUNNING HERO Nov05 Oct18 Sep25 Aug23 Aug13 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 1.20 29% 2.40    
  (by HERO OF ORDER out of SID'S KID by SMART STRIKE)
 
MNR-6   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO BIT KID Nov15 Dec13 Nov23 Oct19 Sep24 (hetrick kri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC FLAG Oct30 Oct05 Sep06 Jul31 May12 (flores chris)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
SCR  RAD PAISLEY Nov01 Oct11 Sep04 Aug11 Jun30 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.00    
INSIDE RISK Nov03 Oct21 Sep30 Sep21 Sep04 (caison l)BARBARAN ERIK 120 10.00    
CASANOVA KITTEN Oct25 Oct03 Sep13 Sep01 Aug16 (ginter raymon)BRACHO A 120 3.50    
VINNIE VAN GO Oct16 Sep12 Sep04 Jul31 Jul16 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
OBIWAN Nov05 Oct15 Aug29 Aug06 Jul24 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 4.50    
 
MNR-7   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CRYSTAL BANDIT Nov12 Oct28 Oct01 Sep04 Aug21 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 20.00    
CALL ME LATER Nov15 Oct26 Oct10 Oct03 Sep13 (grace john)CCAMAQUE M 120 15.00    
ALLEN CAN DO IT Nov04 Oct12 Sep13 Aug21 Aug04 (brown w)HOUGHTON D 120 4.00 13% 6.50    
ENERGIZER Oct24 Sep04 Jul16 Jun11 May16 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 54% 0.80    
DAVID'S GEM Oct11 Sep04 Aug08 Jun27 May29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 120 2.00    
SCR  DOCTOR WU Oct24 Sep17 Aug16 Jul25 Jul01 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 120 8.00    
GREENRIDGE THUNDER Oct18 Sep27 Sep13 Jul03 Nov07 (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
SCR  FREEDOM RIDER Nov05 Oct02 Sep17 Aug25 Jul31 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00    
 
MNR-8   11/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPA DEL CIELO Nov22 Oct25 Sep19 Sep05 Aug23 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.50    
SCR  WILDCAT HAGRID Nov14 Nov01 Oct22 Oct08 Nov20 (smith r)VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00    
JOR EL Nov01 May26       (matejka pavel)YARANGA Y 118 5.00 13% 6.60    
PHILBIN ROAD Nov22         (si)DA FAUSTO 123 2.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  GALLAZO Nov20 Nov01 Oct17     (stanoszek sara)JURADO EDDIE 118 30.00    
SCR  ALPHA LEA Nov13 Oct21 Oct06 Sep27 Aug12 (howard a)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00    
CAPTAIN BERNARDO Nov14 Oct22 Oct08 Sep17 Sep05 (poole jami )WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
KATZ ULTIMO Nov16 Nov05       (gotera ju)GONZALEZ J 108 30.00    
SCR  ALLABOUTTHEBEACH Nov05 Oct18 Nov05 Oct19 Jul23 (echenique santia)CCAMAQUE M 123 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.