Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - November 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (8/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/6)-(8/7/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/7/6)-(8/7/1/6)-(8/7/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/7/6)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/7/6)-(3/4/1)-(10/1/8/9/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-2   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(10/1/8/9/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(10/1/8/9/5)-(3/7/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-3   WIN (10/1/8/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/8/9/5)-(10/1/8/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/8/9/5)-(10/1/8/9/5)-(10/1/8/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/8/9/5)-(3/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/1/8/9/5)-(3/7/4)-(3/11/9/10/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-4   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(3/11/9/10/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(3/11/9/10/2)-(1/7/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-5   WIN (3/11/9/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/11/9/10/2)-(3/11/9/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/11/9/10/2)-(3/11/9/10/2)-(3/11/9/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/11/9/10/2)-(1/7/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/11/9/10/2)-(1/7/4/5)-(6/8/7/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-6   WIN (1/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/5)-(6/8/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/5)-(6/8/7/2)-(5/6/1/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-7   WIN (6/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/7/2)-(5/6/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/2)-(5/6/1/10)-(4/7/8/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-8   WIN (5/6/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/10)-(5/6/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/10)-(5/6/1/10)-(5/6/1/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/10)-(4/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-9   WIN (4/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/3)-(4/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/3)-(4/7/8/3)-(4/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCRAPBOOK Nov03 Sep09 Aug26 Jul17 Feb11 (beavin judy)MELANCON JANSEN 116 3.50 ★    
2  SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Nov08 Oct12 Aug28 Jul17 Jul03 (wilson shan)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 5.00    
3  WA WA WEE WA Oct25 Oct07 Sep03 Aug05 Jul09 (silva walter)BARRERA J 115 6.00    
4  CAYMAN QUEEN Oct28 Oct12 Sep22 Aug13 Jul14 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 6.00    
5  PIPPA'S PROSPECT Oct21 Sep25 Sep10 Aug20 Nov04 (birzer bonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00    
6  TRUE RED SLEW Oct25 Jun30 Nov09 Oct26 Oct07 (west henry)STOKES A 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SODDY DAISY Oct14 Aug27 Jul30 Jul02 Jun17 (villafranco)MORALES ROBERTO 119 8.00 7% 13.20    
8  MIDNIGHT'S GIRL Oct28 Jun03 May20 Mar10 Feb24 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 1.80 65% 0.50    
 
DED-2   11/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 6:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAINT ISABEL         (antwine michae)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 8.00 14% 6.10    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of RAVEN FLYER by BIRDSTONE)
2  STAND BY TIME Aug04         (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 118 12.00    
  (by STEALCASE out of ARKANSAS ALLEY by JIMMY CREED)
3  BIKINI BOTTOM Sep23 Aug01       (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 1.20 36% 1.80    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BIKINI BEAUTY by BERNARDINI)
4  FLOATING BEAUTY         (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 121 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PEA by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
5  UNLUCKY IN LOVE Nov02 Oct11       (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 121 4.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of COWGIRL IN LOVE by COWBOY CAL)
6  GOOD BY FAITH Nov10 Oct18 Aug28 Aug14 Jun11 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 116 6.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CIRCUMSTANCE by PROCIDA)
 
DED-3   11/25/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEAUXLIT Nov02 Jun17 Jun08 May04 Apr14 (landry r)THORNTON G 122 4.00 12% 7.20    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of THREEHITS N A MISS by CONCERTO)
2  POPPA MAGIC Nov09 Aug10 Jul15     (chatters ben)BARRERA J 117 10.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of REDREAMIT by TAPIT)
3  IRON N STEEL Nov04 Oct12 Jul21 Jun29 Apr21 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 10.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of OH WISE ONE by DUNKIRK)
4  CATCH ME T Nov09 Aug10 Jun24     (noel dane)VARGAS P 122 6.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SHEILA TEQUILA by INDEFATIGABLE)
5  BEAUDEAN Nov11 Oct21 Aug10 Jul06 Jun01 (granger randall)STOKES A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOM out of ZARLA by RUN PRODUCTION)
6  DYNAMIC MOON Nov09         (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 122 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SHORT IRON by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  ALL TOGETHER Nov08 Oct11 Sep11 Aug19 Jun15 (beavin judy)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 10.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of FLATTER YOU by FLATTER)
8  APRIORITY AVENGER Nov11 Oct18 Sep03 Aug10 Jul15 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 5.00 11% 8.10    
  (by APRIORITY out of IRISH AVENGER by IRISH OPEN)
9  SUIT OF WANDS Aug20 Feb02 Jan05     (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 15.00 8% 11.20    
  (by MO TOM out of COTEAU KITTEN by TALE OF THE CAT)
10  BAILEYS BRO Nov11 Oct26       (lara jorge)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
  (by MISTER DANCE out of BAILEYS LOVER by SILENT PLEASURE)
 
DED-4   11/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN THE RED Aug13 Jul21 Jul03 May20 Mar29 (pierce mich)MELANCON JANSEN 119 5.00    
2  SWEET LAURA Nov09 Sep04 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 8.00    
3  ALL GOOD TIMES Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul01 Jun02 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.00 57% 0.70    
4  SAENZ Aug26 Jun10 May06 Mar25 Jan28 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 118 12.00 7% 13.50    
5  BAR TAP Nov01 Sep11 Aug05 May27 May05 (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 119 20.00    
SCR  CARPE HORSESHOE Nov17 Nov03 Oct19 Oct07 Aug12 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 1.20    
7  TEASIN' TESLA Jul01 Apr15 Feb15 Dec22 Nov12 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 119 6.00 8% 11.70    
 
DED-5   11/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEATHER'S REQUEST Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 Aug20 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 20.00    
2  FORGED IN STEEL Oct28 Sep10 Jul28 Jun15 May19 (broberg karl)BARRERA J 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  ITELLYOUTHEFACTS Oct28 Sep10 Aug14 Jul13 Jun09 (larrosa a)ROSIER R 119 5.00 35% 1.90    
4  PLAY MASTER Jul13 Jun09 May21 May06 Apr21 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00    
5  QUARTER RAT Oct27 Jul28 Jul07 Jun10 May08 (delahoussaye)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  SARAH'S VISION Oct28 Jul23 Jun10 May20 Apr21 (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 119 2.50    
7  PINK HIGGINS Aug12 Jun24 Jun04 May20 Jan25 (dunn ra)VARGAS P 118 15.00    
8  NOCOMET Oct28 Jul28 Jun30 Jun08 May26 (senegal dalt)MAGNON H 119 12.00    
9  IT'S A BIRD Oct19 May12 Jan21 Dec17 Nov30 (ali andrea )MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00 11% 7.90    
10  MY LIL DUDE Nov04 Aug05 Jun09 May13 Apr22 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 3.50 9% 9.90    
11  MR ELVIN Nov09 Oct18 Jul28 Jun29 Jun09 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 119 10.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  XANTHUS WRATH Nov09 Oct13 Sep11 Aug29 Jan14 (melancon don)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00    
 
DED-6   11/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN CATALINA Aug03 Jul20 Jun17 Apr13 Feb03 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  FIRE VISION Oct18 Aug11 Jul27 Jun23 May27 (giangrosso )MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00    
3  AFLEET CHARLENE Nov08 Oct12 Jul10 Jun24 May28 (beene linda)BOREL H 119 8.00    
4  TDZ CORRIENDA STAR Nov02 Jul29 Jun24 May19 May03 (roberts kenneth)FUSILIER C 118 10.00 10% 9.40    
5  MIDNIGHT FAITH Oct06 Aug05 Jul20 Jun04 Apr15 (briley lonni)TAYLOR BETHANY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BEULAH K Nov02 Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 Jun24 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 6.00    
7  DR STRICKLANDS ACE Nov02 Aug11 Jul22     (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.50 26% 2.80    
8  DAT GUITAR Nov08 Jul22 Jun16 May05 Apr12 (derousselle p)VARGAS P 118 5.00    
 
DED-7   11/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOPHIE'S PRAYER Oct26 Jun10 May28 May13 Feb26 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 111 15.00    
2  AKASI Nov09 Aug20 Apr10 Mar28 Mar13 (troiani nic)MELANCON JANSEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  WATERS OF MEROM Nov09 Oct19 Aug04 May02 Mar17 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50    
4  GEORGIA DAWN Nov04 Aug26 Jul14 Jun08 May18 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 116 8.00    
5  INAWIC Aug07 Jul01 Jun17 May28 Apr27 (ward ronnie)FUSILIER C 116 8.00    
6  BLAZING CHARM Feb15 Dec30 Dec02 Nov05 Sep04 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.50 36% 1.70    
7  FOUR PRINCESSES Nov04 Jun29 Jan28 Nov23 Aug13 (landry ray)STOKES A 119 4.50 8% 11.80    
8  KATIE'S KARAT Nov03 Oct11 Sep05 Aug03 Jul06 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 119 6.00 35% 1.80    
9  FASTED Nov09 Oct20 Oct07 Jul03 Apr28 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 15.00    
 
DED-8   11/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAWLESS TAKEOVER Nov08 Oct19 May20     (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 6.00 14% 6.10    
2  QUEEN OF THE MOON Oct26 Aug03 Jul07 Jun23 Jun04 (antwine michael)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00    
3  MEGANS MILLIONS Oct28 Jul31 Feb10 Jan19 Dec22 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 118 10.00    
4  ZEEROCK Oct28 Sep05 Aug07 Jul24 Jul09 (tillis e)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00    
5  NEW DESTINY Nov01 Jun03 May05 Mar25 Feb25 (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
6  CRYSTAL D'ORO Oct28 Oct07 Jul22 Jul08 Jun03 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 2.50 23% 3.30    
7  BAYOU BEAUTY Oct27 Sep02 Jul29 Mar12 Feb12 (rangel raul)BARRERA J 113 12.00    
8  MOLLI WAY Nov01 Feb18 Jan21 Jan04 Dec17 (romero j)STOKES A 119 20.00    
SCR  THE CALLING STONE Nov01 Aug12 Aug03 Jun03 May12 (woodley j)THORNTON G 119 5.00    
10  SHEZA SALTY GAL Nov02 Oct12 Jul22 Jun12 May22 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EVERLYN'S ANGEL Nov01 Feb23 Feb04 Jan13 Dec31 (landry allen)MAGNON H 118 15.00    
SCR  ARMS APRIORITY Aug10 Apr26 Apr07 Feb18 Jan21 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 6.00    
 
DED-9   11/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'LL RAISE YOU Nov02 May12 Apr29 Apr08 Feb25 (reeves jeffe)MAGNON H 116 15.00    
2  SLITHER Oct07 Aug21 Aug12 Jul29 Jun05 (ward ronnie)FUSILIER C 116 15.00    
3  NOT ROCKET SCIENCE Oct08 Sep29 Sep17 Aug26 Aug14 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  HAIL STATE Nov17 Oct19 Sep12 Jun30 May20 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 2.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  HALF OURS N STORMY Oct11 Aug13 Jul27 Jun15 Feb16 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 116 3.50    
6  GRAND PRADO Nov01 Aug04 Jul14 May26 Apr15 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50    
7  WONDER RUN Nov11 Nov01 Sep04 Jun18 May14 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 111 6.00 20% 3.90    
8  SCRUTINIZER Nov01 Sep17 Aug26 Aug14 Jul02 (arnett jon )MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00 12% 7.20    
9  DIABLO CAT Nov01 Sep02 Dec10 Nov30 Nov10 (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 116 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.