Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Thursday - October 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (2/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/9)-(2/6/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/9)-(2/6/8/9)-(2/6/8/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/9)-(10/1/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/9)-(10/1/9/7)-(11/12/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-2   WIN (10/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/9/7)-(10/1/9/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/1/9/7)-(10/1/9/7/5)-(10/1/9/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/1/9/7)-(11/12/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/1/9/7)-(11/12/10/2)-(6/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-3   WIN (11/12/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/12/10/2)-(11/12/10/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/12/10/2)-(11/12/10/7/2)-(11/12/10/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/12/10/2)-(6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/12/10/2)-(6/5/1)-(2/7/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-4   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(2/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(2/7/5/8)-(3/10/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-5   WIN (2/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/8)-(3/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/8)-(3/10/9)-(6/4/10/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (3/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/10/9)-(3/10/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/10/9)-(3/10/9)-(3/10/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/10/9)-(6/4/10/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/10/9)-(6/4/10/1/3)-(1/4/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-7   WIN (6/4/10/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/10/1/3)-(6/4/10/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/10/1/3)-(6/4/10/1/3)-(6/4/10/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/10/1/3)-(1/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LRL-8   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   10/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BESSIE BLUE Sep30 Sep06 Aug24 Aug17 Jul21 (davis g)CRUZ ANGEL 126 15.00    
2  VANILLA BEAN Sep06 Aug21 Jul24 Jun19 May30 (merryman eliz)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  CALL ME VIVIAN Aug06 Jun23 Nov04 Oct16 Sep10 (merryma)BRICENO GREGOR 122 6.00    
4  LITTLE NUTTER Aug24 Nov05 Oct28 Sep10 Aug13 (klesaris rober)BOYCE FOREST 126 10.00    
5  PASTA SALAD RHONDA Sep21 Jul22 Jun08 Mar25 Jan22 (robertson m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00    
6  AMUNET Aug02 Jun01 Mar23 Jan05 Dec09 (matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 3.50 24% 3.20    
7  HOPEFUL CURE Oct06 Sep22 Sep09 Jul21 Jul13 (ashby lynn)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 50.00    
8  DETERMINED LILLY Sep21 Aug16 Jul13 May24 May04 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 123 5.00 ★    
9  CUSH EFFECT Oct06 Aug05 Jul15 Jun25 May27 (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  LAKESIDE GETAWAY Sep09 Jul23 May27 Apr08 Mar16 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00    
SCR  CHEZ SOLEIL Oct06 Aug23 Aug03 Jul01 Jun17 (lawrence jame)ALVELO C 122 20.00    
SCR  NEON CITY Oct10 Aug22 Aug05 Jun07 May24 (carango an)RIVERA R 121 12.00    
SCR  TOTAL BLISS Jun24 Apr28 Mar30 Mar01   (kelly blak)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 20.00    
SCR  TANKA TOUGH Sep15 Aug26 Aug18 Jul09 Jun23 (mcdermott sean)RUIZ JORGE 126 8.00    
 
LRL-2   10/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KBCYA LATER Sep17 Jul29 Oct09 Sep08 Aug14 (sharp joe)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 1.80 20% 4.00    
SCR  ICE COLD FROSTY Aug11 Jul22 Jun11 May19 Feb12 (mancilla carl)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 8.00    
3  PRINS FIRE Sep29 Sep01 Aug20 Aug11 Jul30 (serey mario )LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 15.00    
4  FLIGHT OF BOURBON Sep29 Sep03 Aug18 Jun10 Jul15 (salzman timot)ROJAS MARTINA 118 30.00    
5  BY ITS ABSENCE Oct07 Sep17 Sep10 Jul15 Jun10 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 123 6.00 ★    
6  BOLD HONOR Sep29 Sep10 Aug11 Jul09 Jun18 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 30.00    
7  DISPUTED NOTION Sep29 Sep08 Aug11 Oct06 Sep03 (tapscot)BRICENO GREGOR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  STEELE MONEY Aug10 May18 Apr16 Mar03 Dec17 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 15.00    
9  TUNA N STAMPS Oct04 Sep21 Aug16 Jul21 Jun01 (alvarado di)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00 13% 6.90    
10  LANDON JACK Sep03 Jul15 Jun10 Mar04 Jan28 (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  DUCKPINS Oct07 Sep08 Aug06 Dec30 Nov27 (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 123 20.00    
12  DR RAGS Mar03 Jan13 Dec30 Dec04 Nov14 (walters henry)ROSADO JOHAN 126 30.00    
 
LRL-3   10/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE HAUNTED ROOM Sep28 Sep14 Aug12 Jul05 Apr30 (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 123 30.00    
2  GLOSSAMER Aug31 Aug17 Jul07 Jun22 May25 (ashby lynn)ACOSTA D 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  EARLEY ROSE Sep07 Aug18 Aug02 Jul12 May06 (frock charles)ROJAS MARTINA 114 30.00    
SCR  OSA Aug18 Jul15 May26 Aug02 Jul20 (morgan )BRICENO GREGOR 123 30.00    
5  QIA Sep22 Aug26 Aug04 Jul06 Jun08 (moysey e)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
6  TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK Aug03 Jul23 Jul13 May18 Jan15 (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 20.00    
7  MARIA'S HONOR Jul27 Jul13 Jun03 Mar26 Feb24 (cibelli jane)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.50 ★    
8  HOT CHOICE Sep30 Aug04 Jul23 Jun17 May28 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 20.00    
9  DAILY PLANET Oct01 Aug11 Jul14 Jun24 Jun03 (milosevic m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 8.00    
10  WATER WITCH Sep30 Sep01 Jul23 Jul07 Jun17 (casey jam)HERNANDEZ F 119 6.00 10% 8.60    
11  MARY JANE CHROME Sep30 Aug19 Aug03 Jun09 Aug21 (geralis ema)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
12  BODE'S HERITAGE Sep06 Aug04 Jul15 Apr02 Feb24 (delacour )CARRASCO R 120 4.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  INSIDE THE BOX Sep20 Aug17 Aug04 Oct14 Sep06 (fout dougla)KARAMANOS A 119 20.00    
SCR  GETAWAY PALACE Sep19 Aug21 Jul12 Jun10 May31 (perez ruperto )CORREA JULIO 123 10.00    
 
LRL-4   10/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH EXIT Sep26 Sep06 Jul28 Jul17 Jun17 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MOSE PERFECT Feb04 Jan14 Dec16 Nov24 Oct29 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.50    
3  FEELING WOOZY Sep29 Sep03 Jul29 Jun24 May20 (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00    
4  JOHN THE BEAR Sep09 Aug24 Jun11 May25 Apr29 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 20.00    
5  IT'S VIPER Sep24 Jul29 Jun25 May27 May14 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 2.00 12% 7.30    
6  UNCLE IRISH Sep15 Oct13 Sep24 Aug19 Aug03 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 60% 0.70    
7  SHACKLED LOVE Apr07 Jan16       (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 3.50    
 
LRL-5   10/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEEP COVER Aug20 Jun02 Nov18 Oct22 Aug21 (morley thomas)BOYCE FOREST 119 5.00    
2  DESTIN'S MISSION Oct12 Aug11 Jul20 Jul02 Jun18 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
3  SUE LOVES BARBADOS Oct01 Aug04 Jul13 Jun09 May11 (capuano)BRICENO GREGOR 123 15.00    
4  TAUBER Jul23 Jun11 May20 Dec11 Nov21 (dilodo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 20.00    
5  BY THE SEY SHORE Aug18 Aug10 Jul09 Jun09 Nov04 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  ALEXIS S Oct07 Sep23 Aug22 Jul15 May29 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 119 4.00    
7  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Aug24 Aug02 Jun04 Mar10 Dec24 (jacobson dav)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 3.50 19% 4.10    
8  EMBOLDEN Oct10 Aug19 Jul15 Jun07 Nov27 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 12.00 7% 12.90    
9  INDIAN LAKE Sep22 Aug20 Jul09 Jun11 May25 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 20.00    
10  JUSTWAVEANDSMILE Nov06 Oct20 Sep24 Sep06 Jul30 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 123 12.00    
 
LRL-6   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHAMPLAIN'S DREAM Sep29         (motion h )CARRASCO R 123 15.00    
2  GOLDEN CHARM Sep24 Sep08 Aug12 Jun16 Jun04 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 10.00    
3  CONCEPTUALIZE Mar25         (beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  COOKIE BANK Sep20 Sep06 Aug17 Jul30   (bedard alan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 30.00    
SCR  NOT A BOTHER         (graham l)BOYCE FOREST 123 20.00    
6  QUIT QUAY Sep29 Jul22 Jun17 May25 Mar19 (ambrogi)BRICENO GREGOR 123 20.00    
7  TEA ROSE Sep29 Sep08 Aug12 Jun04   (burdick barba)ALVELO C 123 20.00    
8  GRACEFUL UNION Aug03 Jun03 May13 Mar25 Feb04 (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 3.00    
9  BONDIVA Sep29 Aug17       (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
10  FLITTER Aug26 Jul22       (vera miguel)KARAMANOS A 126 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
LRL-7   10/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAN LAKE Aug23 Jun03 May06 Apr08 Mar26 (simoff andrew)KARAMANOS A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  Q F SEVENTY FIVE Aug23 Jul01 May27 May04 Jun30 (delacour )CARRASCO R 123 5.00    
3  ELDEST SON Sep24 Aug13 Aug05 Jul21 Jun24 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  THE ADDISON POUR Aug19 Jul14 Jun17 May05 Apr20 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  MARCHED Sep28 Sep15 Aug18 Jul20 Jun25 (kee wil)BRICENO GREGOR 123 50.00    
6  THERE ARE NO WORDS Sep04 Aug13 Jul09 May27 Sep11 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.00 40% 1.50    
7  WOW WHATA SUMMER Sep02 Aug23 Aug12 Jul14 Jun30 (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 15.00    
8  LADY OUTOFTHE BLUE Sep06 Aug16 Jun22 Oct17 Sep23 (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 123 30.00    
9  TOM HAGEN Oct12 Jul14 May19 Dec03 Nov04 (meyers madi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 30.00    
10  WISH ME HOME Aug19 Jul15 Jun04 Nov04 Oct16 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 12% 7.70    
11  SPYCRAFT Sep13 Aug19 Jul09 May23 May03 (sharp joe)ACOSTA D 123 6.00    
 
LRL-8   10/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOOD FOODIE Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Jul30 Jul06 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 1.60 23% 3.40    
SCR  DREAM OF BLESSINGS Sep15 Aug26 Jul29 Jul14 Jul01 (haughton donnova)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00    
3  ESPRESSO LUNGO Aug19 Jul21 Jun24 Jun11 May31 (salaza)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00    
4  HELLMAN Sep21 Aug19 Jul30 Jun23 May25 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.50 19% 4.30    
5  TRANSFER THE FUNDS Sep30 Sep09 Aug03 Jul08 Jun22 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 119 10.00 18% 4.70    
6  GAMBLING TZAR Oct05 Sep07 Aug04 Jul20 Jun30 (alvarado di)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00    
7  DAREDAVITE Oct07 Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 (albert )BRICENO GREGOR 123 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.