Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - September 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(7/6)-(3/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
PEN-2   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/5/10/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/5/10/4/6)-(7/5/10/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6)-(3/5/1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(3/5/1/4)-(4/6/5/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/4)-(4/6/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/4)-(4/6/5/1)-(1/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/1)-(1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/1)-(1/7)-(6/3/2/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/6/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/7)-(6/3/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(6/3/2/7)-(2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/2/7)-(2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/7)-(2/3/6)-(9/2/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6/10)-(2/3/6/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(9/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-8   WIN (9/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/6/7)-(9/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/6/7)-(9/2/6/7)-(9/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   09/22/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIPPY JO Sep14 Jul13 Oct19 Oct07 Sep23 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00    
2  QUEEN'S DREAM Aug16 Jul14 Jun21 May25 Mar22 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
3  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN Aug30 Aug03 Jul14 Jun20 Jun04 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  TRIXIE'S TIME Sep14 Sep23 Sep17 Sep08 Jul27 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.50 9% 9.60    
5  SHATTER ME Aug17 Jul14 May17 Apr21 Mar31 (beattie cody)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  B B'S ROCKET Sep05 Aug23 Jul25 Jul11 Mar15 (bouchard lesly)CORREA JULIO 118 15.00    
SCR  LET'S BE HONEST Aug16 Jul22 Jul13 Jun14 May24 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00    
8  MACRELLETTA Sep14 Aug25 Aug16 May29 May15 (montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 118 50.00    
 
PEN-2   09/22/2023 5490ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOVEREIGN WARRIOR Aug19 Aug02 Jun20 May22 Oct01 (guerrero j )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 3.50    
2  BAVARIA Sep08 Aug23 Aug10 Aug04 Jun22 (rozell ron)CORA D 120 20.00    
3  TITRATE Aug25 Aug12 Jul20 Jun24 Oct18 (mancill)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 6.00    
4  JO JO KATZ Sep01 Aug24 Aug02 Jul12 Jun20 (graci a)AGUILAR M 118 8.00 ★    
5  CRAZY KATER Sep01 Aug02 Jul12 Jun15 Jun05 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 ★    
6  FORECLOSURE Aug31 Aug02 Jul12 May17 Apr26 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  PREFECT Sep08 Aug12 May12 Apr15 Mar25 (kirby t)OCASIO M 118 6.00 71% 0.40    
8  COLONIST Sep07 Aug11 Jun29 Jun15 Apr20 (moreno-barb)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 20.00    
9  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Sep01 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jul07 (santaella-c)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 20.00    
10  KASIM Sep01 Aug23 Jul05 Mar11 Feb17 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  CHRIS AND DAVE Sep08 Jul12 Jun22 Jun01 May11 (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.60    
 
PEN-3   09/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIBACHI Sep11 Aug23 Jul26 Jul13 Jun16 (perez to)RUIZ ELISEO 113 8.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  SON OF A BEAST Aug23 Jul27 Jul06 Jun09 May18 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
3  SUPER DUDE Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Aug04 Jul18 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 5.00 52% 0.90    
4  UNCLE YUDI Aug02 Jun14 May19 May10 Apr26 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  A T M AWESOME Sep01 Aug08 Jul05 Jun21 Jun01 (zalalas michae)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 12% 7.00    
6  PECOS BILL Jul13 Jun02 May06 Apr20 Mar29 (bartoni p)VIVES SOFIA 113 10.00    
7  BOYS OF QUEENS Dec13 Oct26 Oct05 Sep09 Jul27 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
8  BUCK WILD Sep07 Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 Jun30 (jacavone john)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
9  HOLD THE IRISH Sep01 Aug08 Jul12 Jun14 May11 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
SCR  LONG TOM Sep07 Aug24 Aug04 Jun29 Jun09 (salinas jose)TUNON JORDANO 120 30.00    
11  PURPLE SHIRT Sep13 Sep01 Aug08 Jul26 Jul13 (harige)SMITH DANIEL 110 50.00    
SCR  INDIAN BUZZ Sep02 Aug11 Jul28 Jul02 Jun09 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50    
 
PEN-4   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK'S LILLY Sep08 Aug10 Jul21 Jul05 Jun22 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 15.00 5% 18.20    
2  AMEN SYLVIA Sep06 Aug16 Aug08 Jul14 Jun02 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
3  POSITIVE FORCE Aug17 Aug08 Jul14 Jun28 Jun02 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 10.00    
4  CHARM ALARM Sep05 Aug03 Jul13 Jun15 Jun01 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
5  BOWTOTHEQUEEN Aug25 Aug03 Nov29 Nov02 Oct12 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 9% 10.70    
6  NEWSDLEY Aug31 Jul28 Jun20 Jun02 May06 (sinnefia pauli)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00 9% 9.60    
7  WORST BEHAVIOUR Aug29 Aug06 Jul11 Jun12 Apr30 (servis c)BOWMAN ADAM 118 6.00    
8  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Sep08 Aug31 Aug03 Jul20 Jun30 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00    
 
PEN-5   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAPA Aug24 Aug03       (houghton )VARGAS L 119 1.80 65% 0.50    
2  BULLET BREEZE Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul06 Jun15 (murillo rica)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00    
3  SHARP STYLE Jan25 Jan13       (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 15.00    
4  PRALINESALLSHOOKUP Sep01         (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 117 8.00    
5  LETSGETLUCKYTONITE Sep07 May26 May05     (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
6  BANJO Sep01 Aug09 Jul13 Jun30   (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.00 ★    
7  MAKE ME LUCKY         (stites will)INIRIO J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   09/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SYNONYM Sep07 Jul27 Jul13 Jun21 Jun02 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00    
2  LIONESQUE Aug25 Aug04 Jul19 Jul06 Jun16 (cooper stacey)CORA D 120 6.00 11% 8.10    
3  BEAST OR FAMINE Aug25 Aug04 Jul06 Jun01 May10 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Aug25 Jul19 Jul06 Jun16 May18 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
5  SCYNTZ Aug25 Aug04 Jul06 Jun20 May04 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00    
6  ZOOMSTER Sep07 Aug26 Jul29 Jul12 Jun30 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
7  ABHAR Sep07 Aug25 Jul19 Jul06 Jun20 (bobadilla f)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  PEAKY BLINKERS Aug24 Jul19 Jul06 Jun16 May24 (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 110 12.00    
9  DANCIN IN DUBAI Aug05 Jul28 Jul14 Jun20 May05 (brown kelto)INIRIO J 122 5.00    
10  BUFF AND SHINE Sep07 Aug25 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 (salinas j)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00    
 
PEN-7   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEYSTONE WARRIOR Sep14 Aug30 Aug03 Dec28 Dec02 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 118 8.00    
2  DOWSER Jan12 Dec28 Nov30 Nov22 Nov02 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 61% 0.60    
3  MRS BELL Sep08 Aug25 Aug04 Jul14 Jun22 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 6% 14.50    
4  MASKED HEROINE Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul12 Jun29 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00    
5  JUSTICE OR APPEAL Aug31 Aug02 Jul13 Jun20 May16 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 118 8.00    
6  SCOREBOARD LILY Aug31 Jul26 Jul12 Jun30 Jun22 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 6% 16.40    
7  DALLAS Sep13 Aug05 Jul29 Jul14 Jun16 (salinas jos)INIRIO J 120 20.00    
SCR  SWEET HEIDELBERG Aug31 Jul04 May29 May05 Apr09 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00    
9  SEVEN YEARS LATER Sep06 Aug23 Jul18 Feb28 Feb01 (nicholson juni)MOYA F 120 15.00    
10  SUPER DUPER FLY Sep14 Sep04 Jul22 Jun03 May13 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 120 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-8   09/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FANTASY FROST         (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00    
2  DOCTOR TEE Sep14         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
3  CHIMING IN Aug23 Jul21       (albright )VARGAS L 124 5.00    
4  WAHINE MEANIE Sep14 May19 May06 Apr04   (fields kevi)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00    
5  MISS MIA LIA Sep06 Aug23 Aug08 Jul21 Jul07 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00    
6  FAIRVIEW May24 May11 Apr26 Mar10 Feb09 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 8% 12.10    
7  TRAJEC HOLIDAY Aug23 Aug08 Jul07 Jun16 May11 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  MADISON COUNTY Sep06 Jul13 Jun27 Dec02 Oct26 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.50    
9  A J'S TOWN         (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00 50% 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.