Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - September 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(2/4)-(6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(6/2)-(2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(2/3/6)-(1/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(1/6/4)-(1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(1/5)-(1/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(1/5/4)-(6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAY BEAU Aug14 Jul20 Jul03 Jun21 Jun12 (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 119 5.00 13% 6.80    
2  TURBIE Aug03 Jul18 Jul04 Jun06 May16 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 1.80 39% 1.60    
3  VAVITE Aug24 Aug07 Jul18 Jul04 Jun12 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.00 14% 6.40    
4  FALL CAMPAIGN Aug14 Jun26 Jun12 May16 May08 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
5  SKY Aug07 Jul20 Jun21 Apr10 Mar07 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
6  DANZING CHICK Jul03 Jun10 May29 May10 Apr25 (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 15.00    
7  DREAM TO WIN Jul20 Jul03 Jun14 May23 May10 (brown glenroy)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   09/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO DA BOSS         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of COME SUNDAY by WIND AND WUTHERING)
2  IRONCLAD ALIBI Aug15         (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 2.00 67% 0.50    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of MUSIC MISS by PROSPECTOR'S MUSIC)
SCR  NOAH MY BABY         (poole m)GONZALEZ A 118 3.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of UKNOWI'MBUSY by CONCORD POINT)
4  RAMBLER         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of HOPEFAITHJOY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
5  ROMANIAN PRINCE Aug15         (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 118 12.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MASTIC by HARLINGTON)
6  KINDERHOOK         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 ★    
  (by KLIMT out of RADIANT BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
7  GRAY TORMENTOR Aug15         (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 12.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CIRCLE CAN RUN by KENTUCKY DANE)
8  TADZIO Aug15 Jul27 Jul13     (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 8.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of VICTORIAVANQUISHER by WITH DISTINCTION)
 
TDN-3   09/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YEARS AGO Aug17 Jul27 Jul17 Jul03 Jun10 (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00    
2  GRAN MAMIBELLA Jul27 Jun21 Jun01 May02 Apr10 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 4.00 13% 6.50    
3  BAREBACK FUN Aug17 Jul04 Mar28 Mar15 Feb20 (urieta johann)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50    
SCR  LA REINA DEL NORTE Aug21 Oct18 Sep27 Sep08 Aug24 (rotunno sydney)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
5  JEN'S BATTLE Aug17 Oct20 Sep23 Sep18 Aug11 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
6  INCESSANT Aug08 Jul16 Jul03 May15 Mar14 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 1.80 45% 1.20    
 
TDN-4   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEART OF AN ANGEL Aug08 Jul11       (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00    
2  INSACIABLE PRINCE Aug24 Aug08 Jul17 Jun19 Jun06 (romero jose )ROSARIO L 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  LOCKDOWN LOVER Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 Mar29 Aug03 (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 1.80 23% 3.30    
4  ANGEL'S SOUPERSTAR Aug24 Jul31 Oct05 Sep21 Jul25 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00    
SCR  FAIR TO MIDDLIN Sep11 Jul10 Jun18 May15   (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00    
6  ALTAIR Aug24 Jul31 Jul12 Jun27 Jun02 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 9% 10.70    
7  SECOND LIEUTENANT Aug23 Jul31 Dec09     (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 15.00    
8  EL BURRITO Aug23 Feb22 Jan14 Dec17   (lopez jac)HERNANDEZ H 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   09/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTY BELLE Aug15 Aug02 Jul11 Jun13 May31 (londono odin )BRACHO A 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
2  NO SNIVELING Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 Jun12 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
3  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Aug15 Aug02 Jul20 Jun19 May31 (skerrett jeff)TOLEDO S 121 5.00    
4  RIGHT TRAPPE Jul25 Jul03 Jun19 May31 May09 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 1.80 13% 6.90    
5  CANDY ISLAND Aug15 Jul19 Jun24 May15 Feb20 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00    
6  DUNVEGAN DOLL Aug15 Jun19 May09 Apr26 Mar15 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
TDN-6   09/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR MABEE Aug10 Jul19 Jul04 May29 May10 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  DIVA POWER Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Jun15 May20 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.00    
3  TALE OF THE LYON Aug14 Jul26 Jul08 Jun05 May24 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 3.50    
4  LADY ABRIL Aug10 Jul04 Jun12 May25 May11 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
5  CARMEN OHIO Aug22 Aug08 Jul04 May29 May10 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
6  APPEALING SENORITA Aug21 Aug10 Aug01 Jul24 Jul06 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 8.00    
 
TDN-7   09/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD TO PLEASE Aug03 Jun13 May24 Apr28   (harty eoin)BOWEN ROCCO 116 2.00 56% 0.80    
  (by HARD SPUN out of PACIFY by NORTHERN BABY)
2  ZINFATUATION Aug07 Jul22 Jun26 Jun04 Feb16 (norris ste)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 15.00    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of SKY LADY by SKY CLASSIC)
3  POT COMMITTED Aug07 Jul10 Jun19 Dec21 Nov25 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00    
  (by BAYERN out of MIDNIGHT EMBRACE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
4  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Jul10 Jun19 May25 May16 May06 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
5  MAJESTIC FLAG Jul31 May12 Mar12 Jan13 Dec18 (flores chri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 1.80 21% 3.80    
  (by TIZNOW out of MISS PERSONALITY by EL PRADO (IRE))
6  EAST BY WEST Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 May23 Feb04 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 10.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of NORMANDY'S NELL by MT. LIVERMORE)
 
TDN-8   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DUKE OF FENWAY Jan05 Dec13 Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00    
2  PERMAFROST Aug21 Jul26 Jul05 Jun24 May29 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.50 21% 3.80    
3  ALTMEISTER Aug15 Aug06 Jul10 Jun27 Jun18 (norris stephani)PAUCAR E 119 12.00    
4  FLAWLESS CAT Aug21 Jul26 Jun24 May29 May09 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 8.00    
5  QUARANTINO Aug21 Jul05 Jun24 May29 May11 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 115 2.50    
6  CITY OF CLOUDS Aug24 Jul26 Jun21 Jun06 May17 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.