Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (9/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/7)-(9/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/8/7)-(9/8/7)-(9/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/8/7)-(2/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/7)-(2/5/1/4)-(3/6/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/4)-(3/6/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/4)-(3/6/4/9)-(9/8/6/2/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/6/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/9)-(3/6/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/9)-(3/6/4/9)-(3/6/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/9)-(9/8/6/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/9)-(9/8/6/2/7)-(2/8/5/7/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
PEN-4   WIN (9/8/6/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/6/2/7)-(9/8/6/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/6/2/7)-(9/8/6/2/7)-(9/8/6/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/6/2/7)-(2/8/5/7/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/8/6/2/7)-(2/8/5/7/3)-(2/6/7/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/8/5/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/7/3)-(2/8/5/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/7/3)-(2/8/5/7/3)-(2/8/5/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/5/7/3)-(2/6/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5/7/3)-(2/6/7/5)-(6/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/5)-(6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/5)-(6/3/2)-(2/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(2/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-8   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/04/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TICK ALERT Jul19 Jul06 May12 Oct24 Sep29 (crane clovis)CORA D 120 15.00    
2  TEMPTRESS CALLING Jul19 Jul06 Jun17 Jun04 Jul10 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 4.00    
SCR  UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL         (stowers m)VARGAS L 122 10.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  MONTANA ROSE Jun10 May24 Apr16 Mar19 Mar05 (rubley ke)RODRIGUEZ R 122 15.00    
5  DENIM N LACE         (bedard alan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 15.00    
SCR  BANDONARUN         (merryman mic)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 8.00    
7  PRINCESS WIGGY Jul21 Jul06       (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 6.00 12% 7.40    
8  DON DIVA Jul19 Jun15 Jun03 Feb24 Jan01 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
9  TWO SIDES OF LOVE Jul07 Jun12 May19     (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 27% 2.60    
10  MY HUNNY BUNNY Jul10 Jun20 May30     (pattershall ma)CONNER TYLER 122 15.00    
 
PEN-2   08/04/2023 5490ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTOR ABBIE Jul21 Jun30 May26 Apr28 Apr12 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 6.00 18% 4.40    
2  MY THOUGHTS Jul12 Jul01 May28 Oct22 Aug19 (woolley tim)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  AEGEAN SEA Jul17 Apr11 Mar24 Feb22 Jan09 (brown howard )SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
4  ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM Jul11 Jun28 Jun12 May11 Apr27 (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 117 3.50 10% 9.00    
5  SHE'S DANCING Jul21 Jul05 May22 Oct26 Oct12 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 21% 3.70    
6  THEGODDESSOFSNAKES Jul17 Jul05 Jun26 May15 Apr24 (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
7  EIGHT DANZAS Jul15 Jun23 Jun02 May13 Apr27 (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 10.00    
8  INSTINCTIVE Jun07 May11 Dec16 Nov06 Oct18 (moore michael )CONNER TYLER 120 3.00    
SCR  BUCKS SOME Jul21 Jul03 Jun23 May17 May02 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 10.00    
 
PEN-3   08/04/2023 5490ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ECONOMIC POWER Jun29 Jun01 May12 Mar16 Mar02 (ramirez ric)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 8% 12.00    
2  SAKETUMI Jul19 Jun09 May06 Oct11 Sep25 (dowling w)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
3  SACHMO Jul20 Jul07 Jun21 May29 Nov29 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 45% 1.20    
4  CONDITION ONE Jul20 Jun21 May31 May10 Mar24 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SILK WAR Jul15 May29 Oct14 Jul30   (graham edward)CORA D 120 8.00    
6  LACCO AMENO Jun21 Jun02 May05 Jul27 Jul13 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 3.50 21% 3.90    
7  BAVARIA Jun22 Mar29 Mar17 Feb24 Feb15 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 15.00    
8  TIME TO CRUISE Jun26 May14 Apr15 Mar22 Mar06 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 118 4.50    
9  FED CHAIR Jul20 Jul07 Jun09 Apr26 Mar17 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  HOLY MOLY MOSES Jul20 Jun16 May23 Mar13   (crook-demas)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANTAFE EXPRESS Jul21 Jul09 Jun30 Jun02 May05 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 122 15.00    
2  UNION FOLLY Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 Apr29 Mar25 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MRS BELL Jul14 Jun22 May12 Apr30 Apr16 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
SCR  BAY AND GOLD Jul11 Jun30 May09 Apr19 Mar13 (dunn john)RUIZ ELISEO 113 8.00    
5  BE WATER Jul24 Jun28 May31 May02   (rodriguez migu)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
6  FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD Jul14 Jun02 Apr14 Feb18 Dec21 (gorham michael )MENA E 120 4.00 12% 7.20    
7  COSMOLOGICAL Jun30 Jun02 May12 Apr20 Apr10 (ramirez ricardo)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  HAPPY RIDE Jun30 Jun22 Jun10 May12 Apr21 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
9  OUR GAILYNN B Jun22 Jul27       (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 37% 1.70    
10  LET'S GO MO Jul12 Jun20 May18 Apr21 Mar30 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 115 30.00    
 
PEN-5   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. TUTTLE Jul19 Jun12 May30 May15 May06 (pattershall m)PEREZ M 120 12.00    
2  MINISTER QUINN Jul27 Jul07 May27 Apr29 Apr02 (machado antonio)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
3  LONG TOM Jun29 Jun09 Jun02 May24 May06 (salinas jose)TUNON JORDANO 120 50.00 5% 19.00    
4  ON THE EDGE Jul19 Jun29 Jun15 May25 May10 (kreiser c)CORA D 118 10.00    
5  LIONESQUE Jul19 Jul06 Jun16 Jun01 May19 (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 10% 9.40    
6  BUCK WILD Jul20 Jun30 Jun14 Jun02 May17 (jacavone john)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00    
7  MR. AGRO Dec13 Nov27 Nov11 Oct27 Sep18 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 6% 16.20    
8  BEAST OR FAMINE Jul06 Jun01 May10 Jan28 Jan11 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 25% 3.00    
9  SCYNTZ Jul06 Jun20 May04 Mar08 Feb23 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00    
10  DYNAMITE DUKE Jun30 Jun14 May25 Apr26 Apr03 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00    
SCR  MR BOLDACIOUS Jul26 Jun29 Jun09 May17 May05 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00    
 
PEN-6   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BROBRO CORMAN Jun30 Jun14 May25 Apr27 Feb25 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
2  LUCKILY LEYTON Jul15 Jun22 May19 Mar21 Jan24 (russell t)ROSE J 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
3  MR DUBAI Nov29 Nov02 Oct14 Sep09 Aug05 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
4  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Jul20 Jul06 Jun02 May17 Apr27 (bobadilla f)BEATO INOEL 122 20.00    
5  LOOKIN BACK LUCKY Jul20 Jun29 Jun20 Oct19 Sep02 (crane clovi)INIRIO J 120 8.00 7% 14.20    
6  EL POLICIA Jul06 Apr01 Feb17 Feb03 Jan28 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
7  BUFF AND SHINE Jul20 Jul06 Jun14 May17 Apr27 (salinas jose)CORA D 122 3.50 11% 8.30    
SCR  TEQUILA JR Jul17 Jun10 May31 Feb22 Feb13 (romero alex)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 30.00    
9  NOTORIOUS REY Jul06 Jun20 May19 Feb23 Jan13 (ippolito )HERNANDEZ A 122 15.00    
10  WICKED IRISHMAN Jul14 Jun29 Oct14 Sep16 Aug31 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 10.00    
 
PEN-7   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONDONDERRY Jul26 Jul14 Jun28 May31 May09 (rodriguez m)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00    
2  ONE TOUGH ROSE Jul05 May31 May12 Apr27 Mar24 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 13% 6.80    
3  RUN LAURA RUN May31 May05 Feb24 Feb01 Jan11 (king lawren)INIRIO J 124 2.00 18% 4.40    
4  HIT A HOMER HONEY Jul14 Jul05 Jun16 May25 May12 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00    
5  HALLIGIRL Jul05 Jun20 Apr26 Apr19 Mar28 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 4.00    
6  FIELD LETTERS Jul23 Jul05 Jun16 May31 May16 (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 117 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-8   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLENT PASS Jul12 Jun21 May28 Apr15 Mar23 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 124 5.00    
2  SUPER DUDE Jul18 Jul05 Jun26 May30 May20 (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 50% 1.00    
3  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN Jul24 Jun28 Jun14 Jun06 May24 (diaz jorge)CASTILLO A 122 2.50    
SCR  HIDE THE RANSOM Jul20 Jul10 Jun28 Jun13 May29 (perez a)RUIZ ELISEO 117 3.50 23% 3.40    
5  WILD CARAMELO Jun20 May31 May06 Jan18 May26 (fields ke)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00    
6  TOMATER GATOR Jul12 Jun21 Jun06 Apr25 Apr05 (rodriguez )HENRY JR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  U U STAR Jun28 Jun06 May10 Apr12 Mar09 (perez )GONZALEZ JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.