Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - August 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(5/6/7/2)-(1/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/2)-(1/6/2)-(6/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(6/1/3)-(5/7/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(5/7/6/1)-(1/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/1)-(5/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/1)-(5/7/6/1)-(5/7/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/1)-(1/5/6)-(6/7/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(6/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILES Jul10 Jun24 May24 May06 Apr03 (cline c)YARANGA Y 119 6.00 47% 1.10    
2  SAY HEY KID Jul03 Jun24 Jun01 May17 Apr13 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 6.00    
3  KARAMEL CORN Jul18 Jun07 Nov12 Oct12 Aug15 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.00    
4  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Jul24 Jul10 Jun13 May16 May01 (londono o)BRICENO M 114 5.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  VISKI JONES Jun05 May24 May16 Mar07 Jan25 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00    
6  AULD LANGE SYNE Jul10 Jun14 May24 May16 Apr13 (sondej)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.50 10% 9.00    
 
TDN-2   08/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURBIE Jul18 Jul04 Jun06 May16 Apr24 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 16% 5.30    
2  PASSINGTHEMISTERY Jul26 Nov27 Nov07 Aug03 Jul17 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 115 3.50    
SCR  MY DANCING QUEEN Jul13 Jun20 May25 Jan19 Dec29 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00    
4  JUMP INTO SANITY Jul18 Jun10 May25 Jan09 Dec13 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
5  DA JOURNEYGIRL Jun23 Mar22 Feb22 Jan20 Jan01 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 115 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  UNESCORTED Jul03 Jun10 May20 May06 Apr05 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 115 8.00 22% 3.60    
 
TDN-3   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET LEMON DROP Jul11 Jun07 May31 May08 Dec06 (jackson r)PAUCAR E 119 10.00    
2  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Jul11 Jun10 Apr25 Apr06 Mar22 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00 7% 13.10    
3  SHOW SLIDING HOME Jul11 Jun06 Apr26 Apr06 Mar22 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
4  NEBULOSA Jun13 May16 May09 Apr26 Mar27 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
5  RECKLESS L J Jul11 May24 Apr26 Mar09 Feb13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 1.80 32% 2.10    
6  CLASSIC MO Jun20 May31 May15 Mar23 Feb21 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00 22% 3.60    
7  OHIO EAGLE Jun26 Jun07 May22 May08 Sep15 (zielinski rich)HOUGHTON D 121 10.00 9% 9.70    
 
TDN-4   08/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE DEVIL'S DREAM Jul06 May30 Feb15 Jan19 Dec01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
2  DANZA MAGIC Jul13 Jun26 May24 Apr10 Apr03 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 3.00 13% 6.70    
3  PROPHETESS Jun15 May24 May03 Apr13 Apr04 (patton l)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50    
4  OUT FOR FUN Jul17 Jun07 May17 Oct10 Sep23 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00    
5  TWERK Jul13 Jun23 Jun02 May10 Oct06 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
6  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Jul17 Jun13 Feb15 Feb07 Jan16 (shanyfelt val)TOLEDO S 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
TDN-5   08/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR ENTERTAINER Jul05 Jun24 May29 Jan23 Dec22 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 4.00 18% 4.70    
2  R CARDINAL PRINCE Jul10 Jun24 Jun06 May16 Apr27 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 8.00    
3  CENTSOFWANDER Jul10 May30 Apr27 Mar29 Mar08 (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.50 9% 9.60    
4  BOSS BEAR Jul10 Jun06 May16 Oct14 Aug31 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
5  SCRATCHOFF Jul03 Jun18 May29 May09 Apr04 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
6  CYCLONE Jul10 Jun24 Jun05 May16 Apr01 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 1.80 45% 1.20    
 
TDN-6   08/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACROSS THE AISLE Jul18 Jun13 Mar02 Feb07 Jan30 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  WAR NOVEL Jul11 May30 May23 May08 Apr15 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.00    
3  MASTER OF WAR Jul24 Jun24 Jun13 May24 May06 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 10.00    
4  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Jul10 Jun13 May17 May06 Apr15 (du)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
5  WHISKEY ROAN Jun15 May27 Apr29 Apr15 Feb25 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 34% 2.00    
6  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Jul18 Jun27 Apr03 Mar09 Feb20 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00 12% 7.60    
7  NOT YET CHARLIE Jul13 Jul01 Jun12 Mar02 Feb07 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
TDN-7   08/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROTHER SKYE Jul17 Jun05 May16 Dec15 Dec07 (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 119 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  LUCKY STREAK Jul22 Jun24 May11 Apr26 Apr13 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
3  SUSIE'S KID Jul13 Jun24 Jun14 Jun01 May23 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 121 2.00    
4  MUTINY Jul13 Jun19 May31 May09 Apr26 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 6.00    
5  HOLY SAINT Jul03 Jun15 May08 Apr15 Apr03 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 116 2.50 23% 3.40    
6  DARK TIMBER Jul13 Jun15 May04 Mar24 Mar12 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 17% 4.80    
 
TDN-8   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Jul19 Jun05 May16 May06 Mar21 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
2  MAP TO MY HEART Jul24 Jul06 May15 Apr21 Feb20 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.00    
3  MARGARITA CINCO Jul24 Jul04 May24 May06 Apr24 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT Jun05 May15 Apr25 Apr10 Mar30 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 6.00 7% 14.30    
5  THE KID'S PRAYER Jul19 Jul05 Jun19 May31   (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
6  SERGER Jul24 Jul04 May24 Nov30 Oct29 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 115 2.50 43% 1.30    
7  STEALTH MODE Jul04 Jun05 May25 Apr25 Jul08 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.