Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Wednesday - August 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (2/4/3/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/6/9)-(2/4/3/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/6/9)-(2/4/3/6/9)-(2/4/3/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/3/6/9)-(6/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/6/9)-(6/5/3)-(4/2/7/6/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CNL-2   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(4/2/7/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(4/2/7/6/8)-(13/11/6/9/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CNL-3   WIN (4/2/7/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/6/8)-(4/2/7/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/6/8)-(4/2/7/6/8)-(4/2/7/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/7/6/8)-(13/11/6/9/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7/6/8)-(13/11/6/9/4)-(3/2/9/6/11) 125 $1.00 $125 
CNL-4   WIN (13/11/6/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (13/11/6/9/4)-(13/11/6/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (13/11/6/9/4)-(13/11/6/9/4)-(13/11/6/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (13/11/6/9/4)-(3/2/9/6/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (13/11/6/9/4)-(3/2/9/6/11)-(9/8/5/10/12) 125 $1.00 $125 
CNL-5   WIN (3/2/9/6/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/9/6/11)-(3/2/9/6/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/9/6/11)-(3/2/9/6/11)-(3/2/9/6/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/9/6/11)-(9/8/5/10/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/2/9/6/11)-(9/8/5/10/12)-(4/7/1/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-6   WIN (9/8/5/10/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/5/10/12)-(9/8/5/10/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/5/10/12)-(9/8/5/10/12)-(9/8/5/10/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/5/10/12)-(4/7/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/8/5/10/12)-(4/7/1/6)-(10/6/9/8/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-7   WIN (4/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/6)-(10/6/9/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/6)-(10/6/9/8/3)-(1/12/3/11) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-8   WIN (10/6/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/9/8/3)-(10/6/9/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/9/8/3)-(10/6/9/8/3)-(10/6/9/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/6/9/8/3)-(1/12/3/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CNL-9   WIN (1/12/3/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/12/3/11)-(1/12/3/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/12/3/11)-(1/12/3/11)-(1/12/3/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEARDROP TIARA Jul07         (asmussen stev)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00    
  (by UPSTART out of BODE ON TAP by BODEMEISTER)
2  STEAMPUNK         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of STEAM by STATE CRAFT)
3  THIRSTY ACCOUNTANT Jul11         (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 20.00 24% 3.20    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of THIRSTY MADAM by STAY THIRSTY)
4  BUBBLING UP         (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 3.00 25% 3.10    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SHAKEN by UNCLE MO)
5  CAT'S CAVE Jul01 Jun10       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 4.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of AWESOME MANEUVER by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  OSO         (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DESTIN out of RESERVATION BLUES by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  SPIRITUAL LADY         (brion ker)CARRASCO R 119 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SPIRIT LETS HEARIT by GIROLAMO)
8  LIGHTNIN QUEEN         (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 119 20.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of MY LIGHTNIN STRIKE by MINESHAFT)
9  OUTFACTORED         (godsey ka)HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of OUTRANK by COLONEL JOHN)
10  NICE AS PIE         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of HOW NICE by TALINUM)
SCR  TINA TINA TINA Jun17 May25       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.00    
  (by CONNECT out of COUSIN NEWYORK FAY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
CNL-2   08/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOIN THE DANCE May07 Mar25 Jan29 Oct01 Sep10 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 123 1.20    
2  TRAFFIC SONG May20 Mar25 Jan29 Dec29 Apr23 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.50    
3  CHACALOSA Jul12 Jun11 May15 Feb20 Jan10 (zook w)AVILES YAN 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OMIXOCHITL Jul20 Jun15 Feb04 Dec26 Nov04 (gutierrez fau)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50    
5  UNRULY JULIE Jul01 Jun17 Nov18 Oct23 Sep30 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  JUBILEE BRIDGE Jun10 Mar24 Mar02 Feb01 Jan04 (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 123 2.00 68% 0.50    
 
CNL-3   08/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTURE MY DREAMS Jun30 Jun02 Oct22 Sep17 Aug15 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 123 8.00    
2  AMUNET Jun01 Mar23 Jan05 Dec09 Oct27 (matz r)ROCCO S 123 2.00 21% 3.80    
3  BEDTIMEBOURBON Jul14 Aug29 Jul27 May20 Apr08 (morgan carla)RUIZ JORGE 123 30.00    
4  CORINNA Jun22 Oct30 Sep29 Sep01 Jul28 (matz michael)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 39% 1.60    
5  STORMIN' AMANDA Jul01 Jun09 May27 Mar17 Feb24 (salazar marco)AVILES YAN 116 30.00    
6  MOONSHINING Jul13 Jun30 Jun18 May13 Apr30 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  JOYA DEL SUR Jul15 Jun25 Sep06 Aug29 Aug08 (munoz carlos)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 1.80 17% 4.80    
8  KATIE GOT LUCKY Jul15 Feb03 Dec14 Oct28 Sep07 (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  BEASTIE GIRL May18 Apr26 Mar22 Mar08 Sep05 (rountree cat)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00    
 
CNL-4   08/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAVERN Jul01 May05 Apr19     (lusk r)MARTIN MATTIE 117 12.00    
2  LOOKIN AT KISSES Jul01 Jun03 Apr15 Mar01 Feb08 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 124 4.50    
3  MIDNIGHT IN PRAGUE Dec01 Oct05       (morris r)AVILES YAN 124 12.00    
4  GLACIE INHERITANCE Jul01 May19 Apr01     (cascallares n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  EXAGGERATED HUMOR May05 Feb19 Feb04 Jan21 Jan05 (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 124 6.00    
6  BRAIZER         (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  WICKED KITTEN Jul08 Dec11 Nov21 Oct27 Sep05 (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  ALTER THE STARS Jul08         (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
9  THE MONSTER IRUS Jul20 Jul01 Apr05     (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  QUARANTINI Jul02 Jun10       (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00    
11  GATHER THE FACTS Jul03 May28 Apr22 Mar18 Aug19 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 5.00 10% 9.40    
12  HERECOMESPUDD Jul13 Apr27 Jan14 Nov18   (oxendine adam)RIQUELME J 124 12.00    
13  JAYLEE Jul08 Jun15 May22     (brion ker)CARRASCO R 118 2.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  QUEEN ROCKET May12 Mar30 Feb16 Jan22 Dec04 (aro micha)CARRASCO R 118 3.00    
 
CNL-5   08/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HERE'S PERFECTION May21 Mar24 Dec17     (chain pearl)ROCCO S 119 12.00    
2  LILY'S LEAD Apr26 Mar26 Feb15 Jan18 Dec16 (carlisle john )ARAUJO DENIS 123 2.50 19% 4.40    
3  SATISFIED Jul21 Jul08 Jun15 Nov06 Oct14 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 125 3.00 38% 1.60    
4  CASH ON FIRST May23 Mar08 Feb22 Jan24 Jan16 (aro michae)SANCHEZ J 119 30.00    
5  AMORE MOON Jul15 Apr26 Apr08 Mar15 Mar01 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 15.00    
6  THEUNCAPTUREDLADY Jul15 Jun30 Jun02 Apr26 Apr01 (o'connell kath)BOYCE FOREST 123 12.00 8% 12.30    
7  MORETHANASTORM Jul12 Jun10 May25 Nov06 Oct20 (bentley fenneka)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
8  FEMINISTA Jul15 Jun20 May26 Nov13 Nov05 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 123 8.00    
9  CONFER Jun02 May12 Apr27 Mar17 Jan15 (cazares )GALLARDO A 118 5.00 12% 7.10    
10  EARLEY ROSE Jul12 May06 Apr15 Feb11 Feb03 (frock cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 15.00    
11  BRAVO REGINA Jul16 Apr27 Apr07 Mar19 Feb19 (romero rafael)RUIZ JORGE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  LUCIDITY Jan08 Nov19 Oct13 Oct01 Aug23 (williams g)ALONSO LUIS 118 30.00    
 
CNL-6   08/02/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISPUTED CLAIM Jun16 May25 Apr14 Feb26 Feb05 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 119 2.50    
2  TIZ A TALE Apr30 Apr12       (gilliam kare)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
3  BLAME B B Jul12 Jun16 May29 May04 Nov05 (aguirre anthony )AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
SCR  SWIFT DANCER Jul14 Jun16 Jun01 May04 Mar23 (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00    
5  HEART OF JOY Jul01         (manchan bertra)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 9% 10.50    
6  MO TOWN BLUES Jul22 Jul01 Jun04 Apr06 Mar15 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 30.00    
7  PERFECT MOON Jul13 Jun30 Jun03 May20 May06 (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 20.00    
8  DISCREET DEVIL Jul14 Jul06 May03 Apr15 Mar12 (ochoa gerard)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.00 14% 5.90    
9  GIANTSBANE Jul09 Jun17 Oct09 Aug19 Jul13 (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
10  MUNNIS PRETTY Jul14 Jul03 May18 May07 Apr16 (cooney s)RIQUELME J 114 15.00 7% 13.20    
11  HIT THE JACKPOT Jul14 Jun09 May19 Apr13   (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 119 20.00    
12  EL BAILADOR Jan08 Dec11 Nov12 Oct02 Aug31 (vigil ja)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MO EH HENNESSY Jul15 Jun24 Jun01 Dec07 Nov04 (farrior anthon)ROCCO S 119 30.00    
SCR  TO LIVE IS TO LOVE Mar23 Feb15 Jan27 Dec17 Aug17 (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 124 30.00    
 
CNL-7   08/02/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRUM AND DRUMMER Jun03 May16 Apr19 Mar25 Mar08 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 10.00 6% 14.50    
2  THANK YA PETE Jul14 Jul01 May29 May11 Sep07 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 114 6.00    
SCR  REIGNING CHAMPION Jul02 Jun21 Jun15 May26 Apr21 (silva pab)CASTANON L 123 30.00    
4  TAPIT BRIO Jul14 Jun03 May19 Apr08 Mar18 (kurtinecz )SANCHEZ J 123 1.00 41% 1.40    
5  VINDICATO Jul17 Jun12 Apr29 Apr02 Mar03 (pessanha )CARRASCO R 123 20.00    
6  GET THEM DIGITS Jul14 May27 Dec16 Nov07 Oct08 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 125 8.00 6% 15.00    
7  BOURBON BROWN Jul14 Jun20 May31 Apr28 Mar22 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
8  J T'S MY BOY May03 Apr16 Apr01 Mar15 Mar03 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
SCR  RUN WHITE RABBIT Jun23 May31 Oct26 Oct04 Aug08 (romero rafael)RUIZ JORGE 123 12.00    
SCR  FULL OF LIFE Jul10 Jun05 May30 Apr17 Mar06 (silva pabl)LEON A 123 30.00    
 
CNL-8   08/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMP (ARG) Jul15 May18 Apr20 Mar17 Feb17 (mancilla )CARRASCO R 123 15.00    
2  WHO'S COUNTING Jun25 May05 Oct15 Aug31 Aug08 (mcdermott sean)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
3  DIABLO DADDY Jul13 Jun11 May27 Aug22 Aug15 (zook jeff )SANCHEZ J 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROUTE RUNNER Jun30 May02 Apr01 Feb18 Sep10 (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 6.00    
5  SLIABH AUGHTY (FR) Jun06 Mar15 Feb09 Jan19 Dec08 (bourke m)ASHTON GAVIN 123 30.00    
6  PALIO (IRE) May31 Oct02 Sep07 Jul27 Jun01 (stidham )GALLARDO A 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
7  GUARANTEED SPECK Apr22 Mar30 Feb17 Feb08 Jan20 (russo anthony )CASTANON L 123 12.00    
8  ADMIRAL'S WAVE Jul14 Jun09 May18 Apr22 Feb04 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  CARRONADE Jul14 Jun23 May31 May05 Apr22 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 123 3.00 8% 11.30    
10  BASSANIO (GB) Jun25 May31 Apr15 Mar22 Jan22 (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 123 4.00 43% 1.30    
 
CNL-9   08/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREOLE Jun15 May24 Dec30 Nov19   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of LUTETIA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  BEAUTIFUL GORGEOUS Jun18 May27       (george lai)SANCHEZ J 124 20.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of KATARA by PULPIT)
3  APPEALINGTOTHE EYE Jun03 May12 Apr01 Mar10   (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.50 13% 6.80    
  (by MASTERY out of APPEALING MAGGIE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  REES Nov12 Oct22 Oct06 Sep03   (howard c)AVILES YAN 124 30.00    
  (by OXBOW out of CHEEKY CHARM by A.P. INDY)
5  DETERMINED EMPIRE Jun24 Jun03 May14 Apr16 Nov22 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 124 6.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of JOURNEY HOME by WAR FRONT)
6  GOOD ACCELEBRATE May24 May05 Mar18 Feb20 Jan27 (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 30.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ACCELEBRATE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
7  MAKAAN Jul14 Mar17 Feb04     (soldo elaine)ASHTON GAVIN 124 30.00    
  (by MORNING LINE out of LOTSA NOODLES by MASS MEDIA)
8  KRONE Jul09 Jun18 May27 May04 Mar29 (shuman mark)KARAMANOS A 124 10.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MISSTREATED by DEHERE)
SCR  VIROLOGIST         (bentley fennek)BOYCE FOREST 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of PATHOLOGIST by GONE WEST)
10  SILLY LILY Jun03 Apr30       (kurtinec)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BEAN PEACEFUL by WAR FRONT)
11  WARIDI CANDY Apr16 Mar10       (de horacio)ACOSTA D 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LA EXTRANA DAMA by CATCHER IN THE RYE)
12  LOVING LIFE         (motion h )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of OVERTURE by CONGRATS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.