Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - July 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (4/6/7/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/10/1)-(4/6/7/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/10/1)-(4/6/7/10/1)-(4/6/7/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-2   WIN (5/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-3   WIN (4/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (1/3/4/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/6/7)-(1/3/4/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/6/7)-(1/3/4/6/7)-(1/3/4/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-5   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-6   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-7   WIN (8/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (3/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (9/5/2/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/2/6/7)-(9/5/2/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/2/6/7)-(9/5/2/6/7)-(9/5/2/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-10   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/01/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANGHAI WARRIOR Jun10 May21 Apr23 Apr08 Mar25 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  ABE HONESTLY Jun09 May28 May03 Apr22 Mar11 (stephens sha)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 15.00    
3  LIVING WATER Jun18 May18 Apr09 Mar16 Mar03 (ramirez silvin)RENDON JAIRO 120 20.00    
4  BALISTICO Jun10 Jan20 Nov26 Oct07 Sep23 (delgado h)FERRER C 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
SCR  BAYOU SHACK Jun17 Jun04 May28 May14 Apr29 (foglia )GONZALEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
6  VETERANS BEACH Jun10 Jan29 Jan11 Nov30 Oct22 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 31% 2.30    
7  CORDUROY ROAD Jun23 May25 Apr29 Apr07 Mar11 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 115 3.00 11% 8.20    
8  UNLEVERAGED May12 Apr14 Mar26 Feb25 Feb11 (martin f)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
9  TOWN OF GOLD May28 Feb18 Jan05 Nov06 Oct13 (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00    
10  FAIR CATCH Sep24 Aug14 Aug07 Jun12 May22 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SNEAKINESS Jun18 May21 May13 Apr19 Mar15 (flores-co)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
12  VALMONT May28 Oct07 Jun26 Jun04 Apr21 (brow)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00    
 
MTH-2   07/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 2 ALL PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARK VICTORY Jun03         (spina charles)RENDON JAIRO 117 5.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of BUSTIN OUT by BUSTIN STONES)
2  RUMAWAY         (hogan william )LUZZI J 117 10.00 6% 16.30    
  (by ALI out of BAY RUM by CABLE BOY)
3  FRANKIE G         (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of GINNY G by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  POST COMMAND         (spina charle)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 3.50 10% 8.80    
  (by IL POSTINO out of REQUESTED VOW by BROKEN VOW)
5  BINGO'S BOY         (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of MEL'S GONE WILD by WILDCAT HEIR)
6  J. T. THREE         (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of NOSUBSTITUTEFORLUV by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  SPIRITINTHENIGHT         (margotta antho)MOYA F 117 3.50 10% 8.80    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of POOCHY by OFFLEE WILD)
 
MTH-3   07/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANA FANNY Jun09 May14 Apr09 Feb03 Dec31 (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.50 9% 10.40    
2  TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE May19 Apr30 Apr02 Feb26 Feb12 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 5.00    
3  TIZ HER WAY Jun17 Feb20 Feb01 Jan25 Jan11 (king clarence)IORIO MELISSA 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  KASHAN Jun10 Apr01 Jan20 Nov29 Sep17 (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 57% 0.80    
5  STARSHIP REINA Jun14 May27 May12 Apr24 Mar24 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00 9% 10.80    
6  WICKED JANE Jun10 May27 Jan16 Jan04 Dec21 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00    
7  PRAIRIE TALES Nov23 Oct26 Sep20 Aug15 Jul19 (lake a)CAMACHO SAMY 124 4.00    
 
MTH-4   07/01/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONFLYER Jun15 May11 Dec29 Dec01 Nov06 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
2  LITTLE BANKER MAN Jun02 Sep18 Sep10 Aug29 Aug15 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
3  KEEP DEM TALKING Jun18 Jun04 May27 May14 Apr26 (king clarence)IORIO MELISSA 109 8.00 19% 4.20    
4  CONSTITUTIONAL BID Jan31 Oct22 Apr24     (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ A 123 6.00 8% 11.00    
5  EXCALIBRATE Mar11 Feb11 Jan29 Jan05 Oct20 (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 111 15.00    
6  THE GOLDEN ONE Jun11 May14 Apr23 Nov06   (chic)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  QUALITA DELL' ORO Jun04         (nunn dougl)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  LIOTTA Jun04 Feb18 Jan29 Dec17 Nov17 (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 118 4.50    
9  VIDA FINA Jun04 Apr21 Mar17     (pimental john )LUZZI J 118 10.00    
SCR  GO EAST Jun05 May03 Feb15 Jan24 Dec06 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 118 3.00    
 
MTH-5   07/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Regret Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SELF ISOLATION Jun16 May28 Mar17 Feb10 Jan21 (jacobson dav)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 2.50    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of LOAN SAVANT by SPRING AT LAST)
2  MY BEAUTIFUL BELLE Jun23 May25 May08 Mar07 Jan24 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 118 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of WINILISCIOUS by LAWYER RON)
SCR  CALIENTE RUM Jun16 May27 Aug29 Aug14 Jul30 (hogan william )LUZZI J 118 30.00    
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of BAY RUM by CABLE BOY)
4  OLIVIA DARLING May20 Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 Dec29 (delgado jorg)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 61% 0.70    
  (by PALACE out of HONKY TONK ANGEL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
5  SWEET WILLEMINA May27 May14 Apr13 Mar07 Jan01 (lake a)BOWMAN ADAM 118 6.00 5% 17.80    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of WILLIAMS BAY by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  OXANA May20 Apr29 Nov23 Oct29 Oct03 (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 118 4.50 13% 6.70    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ITS MY TOWN by COWTOWN CAT)
SCR  EDIE MEENY MINY MO May20 Dec31 Oct30 Aug16 Jul02 (hemingwa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00    
  (by UPSTART out of PLUM by PURE PRIZE)
 
MTH-6   07/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREETHIRTYTHREE Mar29 Feb25 Jan29 Jan23 Dec05 (hernandez jose)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  NEW JERSEY HEIST Jun10 May21 Sep05     (margotta anthony)FERRER C 118 15.00 11% 8.10    
3  STAFF SERGEANT Feb27 Feb15 Jan17 Jan09 Dec19 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 15.00    
4  CRACK THE CODE Jun18 May14 Nov20 Oct30 Sep18 (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  PERSPICACIOUS BOY May13         (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00    
6  MAD MAGIC May11 Apr15 Mar24 Feb02 Dec29 (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.00    
SCR  LIDIA'S PRAYER Jun16 May20 Mar28 Feb28 Jan02 (avil)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 6.00    
 
MTH-7   07/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT BRITAIN May29 May05 Apr08 Mar18 Feb26 (david a)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
2  SOUPER ENERGIZER Jun11 Apr02 Mar15 Feb26 Feb08 (pantaleo josep)LUZZI J 120 12.00 5% 17.60    
3  RONSTADT May14 Apr16 Feb26 Feb10 Jan20 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  TYCOON (GB) Jun06 May10 Apr25 Mar20 Feb28 (linder lou)RIVERA R 115 20.00    
5  TIZ A PRINCE Jun11 May29 Dec16 Oct28 Sep14 (margotta antho)MOYA F 120 10.00    
6  EL DE CHIMI Mar06 Jan03 Oct29 Sep17 Aug21 (avila car)TORRES JOMAR 115 10.00    
7  FOREVER SOUPER May14 Jul16 Jun10 Apr09 Mar06 (trombetta mich)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00 7% 14.30    
8  BULLET FORCE (IRE) Feb12 Jan18 Dec30 Dec07 Nov05 (delgado jorg)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  AFFABLE MONARCH Jun10 May18 Nov27 Nov08 Sep29 (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50    
SCR  LIVE IS LIFE Jun23 May29 Mar18 Feb04 Dec18 (delgado jorge)CAMACHO SAMY 115 4.50    
 
MTH-8   07/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER CHOCOLATE Jun18 Jun03 May21 Aug28 Aug12 (huston rory )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50    
2  NOON TIME GEM Jun03 May14 Apr14 Mar31 Nov30 (gomez pom)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROYAL COUP May28 Feb22 Jan24 Nov30 Nov09 (servis tyler)BOWMAN ADAM 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
4  PAL Jun18 May28 Sep30 Sep10 Aug22 (frange)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
5  KAZ SWEET HEIST Jun03 May14 Sep30 Aug14 Jul31 (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
6  CASH KID May28 Mar11 Feb19 Jan27 Dec29 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 120 2.50    
7  COUNTRY MILES Jun18 May28 May14 Oct17 Sep30 (huston k)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
 
MTH-9   07/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO VALLA Jun03 Nov13 Sep30 Sep10 Aug21 (sweezey kent)JUAREZ NIK 120 6.00    
2  KITTEN'S COLLUSION May13 Sep23 Aug15 Jul09 Jun12 (motio)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SIEMPRE ELEGANTE Mar05 Jan28 Nov04 Sep02 May01 (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50    
4  PENTAGON Jun03 Apr27 Mar23 Jan28 Apr09 (mcgaughe)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
5  STANDOFF Feb26 Jan15 Sep02     (breen kelly )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ANADOR (FR) Jun03 May05 Mar17 Feb18 Jan15 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  EXCULPATE Jun02 Sep17 Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 (sweezey kent)LUZZI J 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  UNRULY JULIE Jun17 Nov18 Oct23 Sep30 Sep07 (contreras javi)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00    
9  UNCORKED (AUS) Jun17 May28 May27     (russell britta)RENDON JAIRO 120 4.00 71% 0.40    
10  COCOA ICING Jun03 Apr23 Sep10 Jul01 Jun10 (orseno f)FERRER C 120 6.00    
11  RUDA Jun02 Mar01 Feb08     (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 8.00    
SCR  MY MAGGIE MOO May13 Apr23 Mar29 Aug12 Jul23 (farro patricia)RENDON JAIRO 120 10.00    
 
MTH-10   07/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING SHARK Jun02 Apr30       (gomez po)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
2  VEGAS PLAYBOY Jun02 May13 Apr07     (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00 36% 1.70    
3  BARFLY Jun11 May28 Apr27 Sep24   (hills timothy)IORIO MELISSA 111 3.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  WEST STAR Jun11 May05 Apr16 Mar18 Mar03 (sweezey j )RIVERA R 113 4.00    
5  BODONTKNOW Jun02 May11       (d'angelo jose)OLVER MADISON 111 2.00 21% 3.70    
6  OBSCURED BY CLOUDS Jun04 May27 Feb27 Dec02 Oct28 (ryerson t)JUAREZ NIK 118 8.00    
7  BIG POPPER Jun21 Jun03 May21 Apr22 Mar23 (crowell susan )LUZZI J 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.