Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Friday - May 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(5/4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(5/4/9/1)-(8/4/9/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/4/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/9/1)-(5/4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/9/1)-(5/4/9/1)-(5/4/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/9/1)-(8/4/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/9/1)-(8/4/9/10)-(4/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-3   WIN (8/4/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/9/10)-(8/4/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/9/10)-(8/4/9/10)-(8/4/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/9/10)-(4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/4/9/10)-(4/2)-(7/4/2/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(7/4/2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(7/4/2/5)-(4/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (7/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/5)-(4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/5)-(4/2/1)-(3/1/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-6   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(3/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/5)-(3/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/5)-(3/1/2/5)-(3/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   05/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE A. PLUS May06 Mar29 Mar15 Feb01 Jan18 (salinas jose)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
CHARGING LION May06 Mar17 Mar03 Feb10 Jan18 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  HOLD THE IRISH May11 Apr27 Mar15 Feb22 Jan19 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00    
THE GREAT CASBY Mar29 Feb24 Feb02 Jan18 Dec30 (moreno tito)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
COLONEL MOORHEAD Mar16 Feb10 Jan19 Nov23 Nov02 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
SAMARONTI May04 Mar17 Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 12% 7.40    
 
PEN-2   05/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARN SWALLOW May11 Apr28 Apr19 Mar29 Mar09 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
QUINCY ADAMS Apr28 Apr19 Mar29 Mar09 Feb24 (kravets bru)INIRIO J 121 6.00    
JEALOUS RED Mar16 Jan19 Dec13     (cifarelli frank)LLOYD W 124 12.00    
DAGDA Aug22 Jul20 Jun30 Jun12   (saville niall)HIRALDO JOHN 121 4.00 15% 5.60    
WARRIOR'S CAUSE May11 Nov09       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  ABBY'S SPIRIT May05         (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 111 10.00    
SYLVIA I AM May05 Apr21 Mar24     (shea lydee)AGUILAR M 122 5.00    
FIERCE AND STRONG May11 Mar31 Mar02 Feb10 Jan02 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50    
HE AROSE May11         (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
PEN-3   05/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY OF GOD Apr21 Feb02       (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
ALWAYS THERE May05 Mar31 Sep13 Sep06 Aug22 (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 121 15.00    
LIGHTNING RIDGE Feb01 Jan03       (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 10.00    
LA PAZ Jan19 Dec06 Nov15 Oct05 Sep08 (smith thoma)INIRIO J 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
LETSGETLUCKYTONITE May05         (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 8.00    
WINNING CANDY         (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 121 6.00    
FIFTH ELEMENT Mar08 Feb01 Jan19 Nov25 Oct25 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 20.00    
DOUBLE O OTTO Apr21 Mar29 Aug20 Jul21 Jun25 (lawrence jame)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 6.00 42% 1.40    
HANFORD Nov04 Oct21 Oct05 Sep08 Jul25 (bennett juanit)CEDENO CAROL 124 3.00 6% 15.60    
10  BOOK RUNNER Mar31 Feb24 Feb01 Jan12 Dec21 (salinas jose)BEATO INOEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SENSE OF IRELAND May05         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AWESOME STRIKE Apr15 Apr01 Feb25 Nov30 Oct02 (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 124 1.60    
 
PEN-4   05/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GINGERS WISH Apr28 Mar10 Jan10 Dec20 Nov28 (smith donov)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 8.00    
DOCTOR ABBIE Apr28 Apr12 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  ISTHATYOURHARLEY Mar22 Feb09 Sep28 Sep06 Aug17 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00    
WILL TAKE ROSES May06 Mar31 Feb23 Feb02 Dec28 (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
MELODIA Apr27 Mar31 Jan26 Dec30 Dec02 (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00    
SCR  PEPPERMINT CLASS Mar10 Nov23       (alvarado diane)CEDENO CAROL 120 2.00    
 
PEN-5   05/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKS ARE MOVING May02 Apr03 Mar15 Feb06 Jan17 (arce josue)RAMOS C 122 3.50    
LILTONYTWOPHONES May04 Mar31 Mar10 Feb17 Jan19 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 7% 12.60    
MAJOR THOMAS May10 Dec07 Oct21 Feb01   (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.00    
CAPTAIN CHAZZ May08 Mar01 Feb06 Jan16 Dec05 (noble jam)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
ON THE RIM Apr28 Mar17 Feb23 Jan19 Dec30 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
GET DOWN BROWN May10 Apr28 May11 Apr08 Feb18 (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 5.00    
SHY DA RUNNER May05 Mar28 Mar02 Feb02   (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.50 35% 1.80    
 
PEN-6   05/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OBROTHER ITSYLVIA May12 Apr28 Dec21 Oct21 Aug31 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
GUSHING OIL Mar29 Mar06 Feb21 Jan23 Jan03 (martinez jo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
COAST TO COAST Apr28 Apr20 Mar29 Mar03 Feb02 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00    
WOLFINBARGER Apr28 Mar23 Jan19 Dec27 Dec09 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.40 51% 1.00    
WHO YOU SAY I AM May12 Mar09 Feb23 Dec09 Nov18 (smith thomas )ROJAS MARTINA 114 10.00    
LEAVE 'EM LOADED Apr28 Dec21 Nov22 Sep22 Sep01 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 3.00    
 
PEN-7   05/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARY'S LITTLE MAN         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 10.00 16% 5.30    
FLETCHER STATION May11         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 8.00 16% 5.30    
HE'S FANCY FREE May05 Apr19 Mar24 Mar09   (albright r)AGUILAR M 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
WHISKIED UP Apr19 Feb16 Jan26 Dec21 Oct27 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
REIGNING CHAMPION Apr21 Mar08       (moreno ti)VARGAS L 124 12.00 16% 5.30    
DON'T QUESTION ME May05 Apr19 Mar29 Mar02 Feb02 (jacavone j)CHIAPPE R 121 4.00    
SIR STEELE May05 Mar16 Mar08 Feb02 Dec09 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 124 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.