Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Thursday - April 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-2   Win (7/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-3   Win (6/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-4   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-5   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-6   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT Mar10 Feb16 Jan26 Dec27 Nov30 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 5.00    
ZIGGY MON         (mcmahon demelza)ACOSTA D 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  MIZZEN MONEY Mar30 Feb16 Jan25 Dec28 Aug11 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 15.00    
A T M AWESOME Mar03 Feb10 Jan19 Dec21 Nov30 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00    
JUMPMASTER Mar23 Mar10 Feb16 Jan26 Dec27 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 41% 1.50    
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Mar18 Mar01 Jan26 Dec09 Nov15 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
SCR  SMILEFORME Mar16 Feb20 Dec04 Sep25 Sep02 (jacobson davi)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 4.00    
 
PEN-2   04/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED DEVOLUTION Feb23 Jan04 Dec16 Nov20 Jul30 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.00 13% 6.70    
BROBRO CORMAN Feb25 Feb03 Nov30 Nov18 Oct28 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00 12% 7.00    
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Apr19 Mar31 Mar15 Feb01 Jan13 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 15.00    
RIVERBOAT BANDIT Mar29 Mar02 Feb16 Dec07 Nov23 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 121 4.50    
BUFF AND SHINE Mar22 Jan13 Dec30 Nov18 Nov02 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  COMMUNICATION FAIL Mar08 Feb02 Jan20 Dec30 Dec14 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.00    
MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) Mar22 Feb16 Feb01 Nov16 Oct07 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
PEN-3   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE Mar30 Mar18 Jul27 Jul04 Jun27 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 8% 11.40    
SCR  SKIPOVER Mar29 Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 Jan11 (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00    
UNCAPTURED GRACE Mar30 Mar09 Feb24 Feb16 Jan27 (lingenfelter thomas)BAKER J 122 8.00    
BUSTIN WIDE OPEN Mar31 Mar10 Feb15 Jan29 Nov07 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 119 3.50 20% 3.90    
MISS REMMIA Mar01 Feb09 Dec10 Nov07 Oct07 (gonzalez claudi)ALVELO C 122 10.00 8% 11.40    
SHELLEY'S SONG Mar10 Feb10       (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 41% 1.40    
THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Mar30 Mar15 Feb24 Jan27 Dec13 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00    
 
PEN-4   04/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLD THE IRISH Mar15 Feb22 Jan19 Dec20 Nov25 (martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
WHAT SAY YOU Mar30 Mar05 Jan21 Jan01 Dec11 (shuman mark)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 12% 7.30    
FACTOTUM Mar15 Mar02 Feb09 Jan11 Dec20 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00    
ONCE A GIANT Mar15 Feb17 Jan13 Dec20 Dec02 (davis jr)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  ICE BAR Mar31 Mar04 Feb19 Jan27 Jan18 (pickett cry)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 10.00    
SCR  SASSY LAD Mar23 Feb23 Feb09 Jan12 Dec28 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-5   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOP TO A DECISION Oct05 Sep15       (houghton thom)INIRIO J 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
TELL ME IM AWESOME Mar30 Feb15 Feb08 Jan04 Dec12 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00    
CATALENA Sep14         (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 123 10.00    
TRAJEC HOLIDAY Mar29 Mar08 Feb10 Dec14 Nov15 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 123 8.00    
HI HEELED WARRIOR         (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 24% 3.20    
FINISHING TOUCH Mar29 Mar10 Feb09 Dec14   (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 4.50    
LITTLE MOOJI Mar29 Mar08 Jan10 Dec12 Nov23 (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 123 4.00    
 
PEN-6   04/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EIGHT DANZAS Apr11 Apr03 Oct20 Oct01 Sep09 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 12.00    
SCR  JEANETTEO Feb22 Jan27 Dec28 Nov29 Apr29 (kulp brandon )INIRIO J 120 4.50 38% 1.60    
MELODIA Mar31 Jan26 Dec30 Dec02 Nov08 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
SWAN POINT Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 Sep09 Aug19 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.50 9% 9.80    
SOFIA'S SECRET Jan26 Dec20 Nov13 Oct06 Sep11 (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 2.50 7% 13.30    
PERFECT HIDEAWAY Mar24 Feb22 Jan19 Nov01 Oct13 (beattie todd )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
ONE MORE KELLY Mar24 Feb22 Feb07 Nov30 Nov09 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
 
PEN-7   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL May20 Apr29 Apr08 Mar15 Feb19 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
ONE TOUGH ROSE Mar24 Mar08 Feb24 Jan25 Dec20 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
SUSIKIN Mar31 Mar01 Feb09 Dec16 Nov04 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.50    
SCR  HILL VALLEY Mar17 Mar01 Jan26 Nov18 Nov01 (rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.00 39% 1.60    
GLOSSY MADRINA Mar24 Feb15 Jan25 Dec20 Dec06 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 124 20.00    
LUSCIOUS LOLA Feb10 Jan11 Nov29 Oct26 Oct05 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 12.00    
ROSES FROM HEAVEN Mar09 Feb09 Jan25 Dec02 Nov18 (stites w)ROJAS MARTINA 114 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.