Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belterra Park
Thursday - April 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BTP-1   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BTP-2   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-3   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BTP-4   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-5   Win (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-6   Win (2/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BTP-7   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BTP-8   Win (6/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BTP-1   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EIDA'S STORM Mar17 Mar02 Oct06 Sep28 Sep20 (aguirre r)CANUTO THIAGO 123 5.00    
POQUITO ROSE Mar18 Mar02 Feb02 Jan19 Dec30 (estvanko richard)FELIX E 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
SHANNON'S GIRL Apr19 Mar18 Feb23 Feb02 Jan19 (andrade hugo)MARCANO Y 118 3.50    
QUIET DAWN Oct05 Aug09 Jul14 Jun22 May20 (grubbs jami)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 4.50    
MY ROSIE Mar18 Mar02 Feb02 Jan13 Dec11 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
BTP-2   04/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTEMUS SWEETHEART Mar23 Mar04 Feb08 Jan12 Dec22 (bush s)MOJICA JR 125 3.50 33% 2.00    
DOGWOODS BECCA Mar23 Jan13 Dec22 Nov17 Nov03 (scott l)CANUTO THIAGO 125 12.00    
BASILICA D ORO Mar16 Feb08 Jan13 Dec11 Oct21 (morelos mat)CORREA L 119 6.00    
SHE'S A KEEPER Mar23 Mar04 Feb03 Dec30 Dec15 (esquivel jesus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 2.00 15% 5.60    
RAINWATER Mar18         (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
LA CHAPEAU Feb05 Jan06 Dec15 Nov17 Oct13 (esquivel jesus)MARCANO Y 120 4.00    
 
BTP-3   04/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATE DATE Apr05 Mar02 Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 (lopez a)MARCANO Y 118 4.00    
1A  REYS PINA COLADA Apr05 Mar08 Feb16 Jan18 Dec12 (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00    
SOFT TALK Mar23 Nov15 Oct29 Sep21   (sharp joe)MCKEE J 117 2.00 62% 0.60    
NANA ROZE Nov16 Oct25 Sep27 Sep09 Aug24 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 12.00    
SPARKLING JEWEL Mar23 Oct29 Sep15 Aug13 Jul08 (hamm timoth)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 3.00 15% 5.60    
SWEETER THAN HONEY Feb01 Jan05 Dec21 Nov21 Nov07 (alamo miguel )MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 8.00    
SCR  SAVESOMEFORME Mar23 Feb23 Jan16 Dec30 Dec15 (gorham m)FELIX E 117 3.50    
 
BTP-4   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C V THUNDER Feb15 Jan21 Dec31 Dec11 Jul19 (hernandez j)CORREA L 121 10.00    
MY ANGELICA Jan21 Jan07 Dec29 Dec13 Nov14 (pinzon maria)ROMERO GREGORY 121 6.00    
SWEET TOOTSIE LU Dec11 Nov28 Nov15 Oct31 Oct10 (jackson jeffrey)CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00    
LUCKY US Mar17 Feb22 Jan27 Jan05 Dec09 (adams l)REYES R 121 3.50 7% 13.60    
MOON PARTY Mar17 Feb16 Jan13 Dec09 Oct28 (esquivel jesus)MARCANO Y 116 2.00 44% 1.30    
DANCE ON OVER Jan05 Dec05 Oct25 Oct06 Sep22 (green troy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00 21% 3.80    
LILLY CHROME Apr16 Mar15 Jan02 Nov27 Nov14 (aceved)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 115 4.50    
 
BTP-5   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMBA TWENTY FOUR Oct20 Oct05 Sep06 Aug01 Jul18 (stephen ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 6.00 33% 2.00    
SARGEANT BARGER Apr01 Mar16 Feb23 Feb09 Jan06 (danner doug)CORREA L 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
HEY RAY Mar23         (sandy s)MCKEE J 121 8.00    
VASILEVSKIY (IRE) Mar15 Feb11 Feb04 Dec31 Nov06 (bahena ismael)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.00    
POUR ME A DOUBLE Feb23 Jan23 Jan07 Dec14 Nov30 (haehn r)FELIX E 121 8.00    
MISTER MAN Mar31 Mar16 Jan06 Dec08 Nov22 (blevins billy )ROMERO GREGORY 121 5.00    
BLACKSMITH STRONG Mar31 Mar15 Feb22 Jan21 Jun17 (green troy)OUZTS W 121 3.50 9% 9.80    
 
BTP-6   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMY SCOUT Mar16 Dec08 Oct24 Oct04 Sep14 (esquivel jesus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 10.00    
1A  EL BOHEMIO Mar13 Feb03 Jan04 Nov21 Oct23 (esquivel je)CORREA L 121 10.00    
ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Apr12 Mar30 Mar02 Feb07 Jan14 (shifflett cher)MARCANO Y 116 4.00 30% 2.30    
ZIP IT SCOTTY Mar18 Oct24 Oct05 Sep16 Aug26 (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 121 8.00    
FRISCO LINE Mar30 Feb03 Jan18 Dec16 Nov27 (locker timothy)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 10.00 5% 18.30    
CUT GLASS Mar31 Feb02 Jan18 Jan04 Dec17 (howard d)MCKEE J 121 5.00 11% 8.40    
FLAT FUN Mar30 Jan09 Dec12 Nov28 Nov02 (dillion jimmy)TAPARA BRANDON 121 2.50 30% 2.40    
D'MONEY HONEY Mar22 Mar01 Feb07 Jan23 Dec28 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.50    
LIMIT UP Mar02 Feb07 Jan18 Dec14 Nov21 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00    
 
BTP-7   04/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUDDHA BOY Apr05 Mar23 Feb22 Jan12 Dec24 (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 122 6.00    
SCR  GAMBI Mar15 Feb15 Dec29 Dec03 Nov06 (alessi james)HESS SARA 112 10.00    
LET IT RIDE CLYDE Mar10 Feb02 Jan19 Jan07 Dec11 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 117 3.50    
OUTSLEWTHEM Apr10 Mar22 Mar01 Dec30 Oct27 (gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
GOOD SOUL Feb10 Jan20 Dec09     (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 122 5.00    
DANG IT CAIN Mar23 Mar11 Feb09     (delong ben)CORREA L 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
RILEY BEE Mar17 Mar10 Nov09 Oct22   (kordenbrock mat)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 8.00    
 
BTP-8   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HINK'S PALADIN Mar24 Mar12 Feb10 Dec28 Dec10 (johnston rebecc)CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00    
CAPE MARCO DRIVE Jan16 Jan02 Dec13 Oct04 Sep21 (lopez carlos )MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 30.00    
FARZIN Mar16 Jan14 Dec07 Oct24 Sep30 (sandy s)MCKEE J 121 6.00 11% 8.20    
THREE MILE LIMIT Mar30 Feb03 Dec14 Nov19 Nov06 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.50    
SCR  BIGBADOX Aug17 Jul18 Jun26 Jun19 May07 (woodbury judy)AYALA ISAIAS 121 10.00    
MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Feb23 Jan12 Sep20 Sep02 Jul21 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00 41% 1.50    
CANTANKEROUS BOBBY Mar24 Mar16 Feb07 Jan28 Sep28 (alamo migue)CORREA L 121 30.00    
LILY'S TRUMPET Feb07 Nov23 Oct31 Sep28 Jul14 (reed r)FELIX E 121 10.00    
A LATE ONE Feb07 Jan12 Dec01 Oct30 Oct02 (matejka pavel)ACHARD ALEX 121 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Apr11 Mar24 Feb22 Jan11 Dec29 (wong jonathan)REYES R 121 10.00    
11  DUDLEY Apr04 Mar06 Jan05 Nov17 Nov08 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.