Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - February 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3/6/1)-(2/4/3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(2/3/4)-(4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(4/2)-(7/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/6/1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/6/1/3)-(4/2/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(7/6/3)-(4/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-4   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3/4/2)-(7/6/3/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(4/5/6)-(1/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(1/7)-(1/7/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(7/6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/7)-(1/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(1/7/8)-(7/3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/8)-(1/7/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/8)-(1/7/8/3)-(1/7/8/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/8)-(7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8)-(7/3/1)-(6/2/4/9/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1/8)-(7/3/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(6/2/4/9/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-9   WIN (6/2/4/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/9/1)-(6/2/4/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/9/1)-(6/2/4/9/1)-(6/2/4/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZEEBEAR         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00 ★    
2  STEERAGE Jan01 Dec03 Nov11 Oct07 Aug27 (brown r)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 38% 1.60    
3  BOINTHEBACK Jan27 Jan05 Aug26 Jul31 Jul08 (diprima gre)MARTINEZ R 122 15.00 16% 5.20    
4  MAKART Jan21 Jan08 Dec01 Nov13 Oct14 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
5  NOAH'S DESTINY         (clarke d)DAVIS A 122 12.00    
6  TREVOR BARDETTE Jan21 Jan12 Dec15     (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.00 ★    
 
AQU-2   02/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DASHING DELLA Jan14 Nov19 Oct30     (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
2  TWO REDHEADS Jan19 Dec09 Nov05     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.00 36% 1.80    
3  KARA PARA Jan28 Dec16 Nov18 Nov04 Oct06 (ryerson james )PENNINGTON F 120 8.00 22% 3.50    
4  HYPNOCURRENCY Dec30 Dec11 Oct23 Sep17   (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  STRANGE FRUIT Jan20         (reynolds patric)DAVIS KATIE 120 5.00 13% 6.50    
6  CAUSE I'M ELEGANT Jan28 Nov19       (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
7  BERNT AGAIN Jan14 Nov26 Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 (sche)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-3   02/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOVEMBER REIN Nov26 Oct30 Aug06 Jul09 May30 (breen j)PENNINGTON F 124 8.00 ★    
  (by STREET BOSS out of JU JU EYEBALLS by GATORS N BEARS)
2  BETSY BLUE Jan21 Dec10 Dec03 Oct30 Sep16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.60 23% 3.30    
  (by TONALIST out of HONEST TO BETSY by YONAGUSKA)
3  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Jan19 Dec17 Nov04 Oct27 Oct09 (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 ★    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of KNOW IT ALL ANNA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
4  BANK STING Dec03 Oct30 Jun26 May30 May08 (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.20 51% 0.90    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BEE IN A BONNET by PRECISE END)
5  FUNNY HOW Jan07 Nov20 Oct22 Sep29 Aug26 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of HEAVENLY HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  HONEY MONEY Dec29 Dec11 Nov20 Oct19 Oct06 (atras rob)VARGAS A 118 12.00 ★    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BULLISH SENTIMENT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
AQU-4   02/12/2023 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED JET Jan29 Jan19 Dec11 Dec01 Nov13 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 122 30.00    
2  GOLDEN PURCHASE Feb02 Jan19 Jan08 Dec29 Dec09 (jones ed)DAVIS A 122 15.00 ★    
3  PAPI ON ICE Jan29 Jan19 Jan08 Dec17 Dec09 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  TIGER TOWN BOY Jan19 Dec17 Nov11 Oct09   (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 ★    
5  LEFTY'S WAR Feb02 Dec17 Oct06 Aug04 Jul10 (lee jo)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 5.00    
6  PROVEN HOPE Jan19 Dec29 Oct20 Aug24 Jun26 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40 23% 3.30    
7  NORTH POLE Feb02 Dec29 Dec17 Dec09 Nov25 (miceli michael)PENNINGTON F 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
AQU-5   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLS ON HER TOES Jan29 Dec30 Dec18 Sep23 Aug17 (metivier ric)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
SCR  IDAKA Jan12 Nov17 Oct08 Aug13 Jun04 (barker edwa)MARTINEZ R 123 12.00    
3  MORE MANGO Jan12 Dec18 Dec01 Oct13 Sep18 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
4  SWEET AS SUGAR Jan12 Sep23 Aug15 Jul13 Jun14 (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.20 33% 2.00    
5  QPIDSCARIZMATKQTEE Nov28 Oct25 Sep21 Sep06 Aug22 (trombetta mich)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  LONDON GOLD Jan29 Jan12 Dec18 Dec01 Nov04 (persaud )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  EASY PLAY Jan29 Jan15 Jun20 Jun06 May23 (noda)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 ★    
SCR  VILLAREGGIA Jan29 Dec18 Dec02 Nov24 Nov09 (chichakly amir)RICHARDS G 123 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
AQU-6   02/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BOURBON'S HOPE Jan01 Dec09 Nov10 Sep16 Aug15 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 49% 1.00    
SCR  PATRICK THE GREAT Jan27 Jan21 Dec11 Aug11 Jul10 (ric)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 1.60 ★    
2  B C GLORY DAYS Jan21 Jan01 Dec09 Nov11 Oct14 (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 ★    
3  CENTAVO Jan27 Jan21 Jan15 Dec29 Dec09 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00    
4  AVA K'S BOY Jan13 Dec29 Apr15 Mar06 Feb11 (martin carlos)CASTILLO AMIN 120 8.00    
5  KONG LOVES A FIGHT Jan21 Jan08 Dec15 Nov13 Nov05 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 ★    
6  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS Jan27 Dec15 Dec01 Nov13 Sep13 (bark)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 6.00 ★    
7  ROMANOATSEE Jan29 Dec31 Nov21 Nov09 Oct17 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 12.00 28% 2.60    
8  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Jan15 Dec31 Dec04 Nov10 Oct07 (ryerson james )PENNINGTON F 120 10.00    
 
AQU-7   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SENOR JOBIM Nov06 Sep24 Jul31 Jun03 Apr30 (jacobson )VARGAS A 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  HANDSOME CAT Jan27 Jan13 Dec17 Nov08 Sep18 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00    
2  F F ROCKET Jan19 Dec08 Nov26 Nov05 Oct16 (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 12.00    
3  CARIBBEAN (AUS) Jan01 Dec04 Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 113 10.00 ★    
SCR  MOTION TO STRIKE Jan05 Dec10 Nov20 Oct23 Jul03 (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 ★    
5  STRIKING SPEED Feb02 Jan19 Jan01 Oct07 Sep25 (jones ed)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
6  CAERUS Feb05 Jan19 Jan01 Nov25 Nov08 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00    
7  RAGTIME BLUES Dec04 Nov12 Oct21 Sep01 Aug05 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
8  PRINTRACK Dec16 Oct25 Sep24 Aug03 Jul18 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00 13% 6.70    
 
AQU-8   02/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOEY LOOSE LIPS Jan14 Dec29 Oct16 Sep24 Aug19 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 11% 7.80    
2  DATESFREEDOM Jan28 Jan05 Dec15 Nov16 Nov01 (delau)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 20.00    
3  SAFALOW'S MISSION Jan08 Dec11 Jun11 May14 Apr28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 25% 2.90    
SCR  UNO Jan26 Jan08 Nov02 Oct03 Sep05 (dela)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 8.00 ★    
5  STORIED FELLA Jan27 Jan13 Dec10 Nov04 Oct08 (boniface )VARGAS A 120 10.00    
6  ALITE Jan28 Jan14 Dec11 Nov05 Oct14 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 120 30.00    
7  LATE NIGHT LARRY Jan14 Nov24 Sep24 Jun25 May26 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 41% 1.50    
8  SON OF AN EX Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 Jun30 May28 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-9   02/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARREBATO         (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SWAY'SINMYDNA Jan20 Jan14       (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
2  FINANCIAL STRENGTH Sep03         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 7% 12.80    
3  GOLDEN BIRD FOREST Jan14 Nov19 Nov06 Oct13   (goberdhan chand)FRET STEVEN 120 20.00    
4  CHESS SPECTACULAR Nov19 Oct22 Sep18     (baker cha)VARGAS A 120 2.50 5% 19.00    
5  BEAR'S CORRECT Jan19 Dec29 Dec10 Nov20 Oct07 (jones e)GOMEZ O 120 30.00    
6  SUPER COACH FRED Jan20         (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 61% 0.60    
7  PAROS Jan28 Nov19 Oct22 Sep24   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
8  BELLA COSA Aug05         (mart)HUAYAS (JASON) 108 10.00    
9  BRASS MONKEY         (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.