Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Thursday - February 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-2   Win (1/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-3   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-4   Win (1/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (1/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-8   Win (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   02/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYSTEMIC CHANGE Dec15         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.00    
1A  RESERVE CURRENCY Nov03 Sep18       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.00 62% 0.60    
MISTICAL CURLIN Dec15 Nov06 Oct03 Aug04 Jul16 (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 3.50 8% 11.00    
VODKA MARDINI Jan08 Dec15 Nov18     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80    
CORTON CHARLEMAGNE Apr09         (clement christoph)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
PREDICTED Dec15 May15 Apr21 Apr09   (dutrow ant)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 10.00    
 
AQU-2   02/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Jan13 Jan03 Dec09 Nov20 Nov06 (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
SECOND AND REED Jan05 Dec10 Oct28 Oct02   (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
PRACTICALLYMINE Jan19 Dec01 Oct28     (kantarmaci me)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 8.00    
STAR ATTITUDE Jan20 Aug25 Aug14 Jul03   (martin)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 1.80 20% 4.10    
STEADY PROGRESS Jan19 Jan13       (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 12% 7.20    
SARATOGA STRONG Jan05 Dec11       (handal raymond)OLVER MADISON 113 6.00    
 
AQU-3   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKING SPEED Jan19 Jan01 Oct07 Sep25 Sep16 (jones edua)DAVIS A 120 12.00    
STANDUP Jan13 Dec02 Oct21 Sep18 Sep11 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 30% 2.40    
MAGNIFICENT CHROME Jan19 Aug14 Jul20 Jun19 May27 (younghans will)HARKIE K 120 10.00    
BRONX BOMBER Jan01 Dec02 Nov17 Oct21 Sep17 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.50    
BREAKING STONES Jan19 Dec29 Nov26 Nov20 Oct18 (barrera s)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
REED KAN Jan01 Oct27 Sep06 Aug23 Jul27 (kantarmaci me)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 1.20 39% 1.60    
 
AQU-4   02/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OMERTA CODE Dec29 Nov25 Oct23 Sep04   (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 122 0.60    
1A  SMOKE AND HEAT Dec15 Sep29 Jul24 Jun24 May01 (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 122 0.60 48% 1.10    
MAD MAGIC Dec29 Nov06 Oct09 Aug24 Jul29 (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 5.00    
STJAMES Dec29 Nov10 Oct20 Jun18 May20 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 122 12.00 6% 15.60    
NORTH POLE Dec29 Dec17 Dec09 Nov25 Oct06 (klesaris p)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
LEFTY'S WAR Dec17 Oct06 Aug04 Jul10 May15 (lee jose)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00    
GOLDEN PURCHASE Jan19 Jan08 Dec29 Dec09 Nov18 (jones edua)DAVIS A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   02/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST A NYQUIST Jan22 Jun16 May21 May04 Apr08 (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 35% 1.80    
SCR  REDSTRIPE PRINCESS Dec29 Dec02       (reynolds patrick )DAVIS KATIE 122 20.00    
FLATTERING GAL Dec29 Dec08 Nov12 Oct13 Aug31 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 115 3.00 14% 6.00    
FROSTY INVASION Jan13 Dec08 Nov12 Sep24 Aug31 (schettino )DAVIS A 122 8.00    
TONIGHT WE LOVE Jan13 Jan05 Dec08 Nov12 Oct15 (martin)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 5.00    
WINE GODDESS Jan20 Dec29 Dec02 Aug31 Jun25 (klesaris p)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 17.70    
SPOOKY LADY Jan22 Dec16 Nov17 Sep25 Jul10 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
 
AQU-6   02/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD GATLING Jan14 Dec16 Nov12 Oct28 Oct14 (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00    
BUCKINGHAM PRINCE Aug03 Jun22 May07 Apr13 Mar12 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
CLASH A. J. Jan14 Jan01 Dec03 Nov27 Oct29 (jones e)GOMEZ O 123 20.00    
BIG VENEZUELA Jan20 Dec18 Nov19 May28 Apr23 (tessor)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  AMEDEUS MUSIC Jan12 Dec31 Dec04 Nov10 Sep17 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 6% 14.50    
NORGAY Jan19 Jan08 Dec09 Nov10 Oct26 (arenas marcelo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 6.00    
DRINK THE WIND Dec29 Nov18 Sep24 Sep03 Aug10 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
AQU-7   02/02/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN DISTRICT Jan14 Dec17 Nov13 Oct08 Aug10 (cash l)ACOSTA D 118 4.00    
1A  TREASURE TROVE Jan15 Dec31 Dec08 Nov24 Nov12 (cash l)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Jan07 Nov12 Sep29 Aug18 Jul02 (ryerson t)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 11% 8.50    
WAR STOPPER Jan07 Dec30 Nov06 Oct02 Sep05 (falcon)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 4.50    
SCR  NO BURN Jan20 Dec11 Nov12 Oct02 Sep03 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
EMPTY TOMB Nov23 Oct29 Oct07 Jan29   (falcone n)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
KINETIC SKY Jan01 Nov06 Oct14 Sep24 Aug10 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 38% 1.70    
 
AQU-8   02/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 4:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY SHYLOCK Nov27         (falcone )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
PEBBLE LANE Dec04 Oct23 Sep22 Aug10   (duggan p)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 19% 4.40    
MAGGIE T Jan06 Nov19 Oct23 Sep02 Aug04 (barker r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 6% 16.20    
BUSTIN HOT Jan28 Nov27 Oct30     (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
BELLA MICHELLE Jan06 Dec11 Nov27 Oct08 Sep17 (martin)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00    
SCR  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS Jan26 Jan06 Dec02 Nov26 Oct23 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
SHASI Jan12         (donk david)VARGAS A 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
FANCY AZTECA Jan22 Nov20       (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.