Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - February 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/1/4/2/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/1/4/2/7)-(6/1/4/2/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6)-(2/7/8) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6)-(2/7/8)-(4/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/8)-(2/7/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/8)-(2/7/8/6)-(2/7/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/8)-(4/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8)-(4/3/7/2)-(5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2/5)-(4/3/7/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/7/2)-(5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/2)-(5/1)-(10/11/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/3/8/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/3/8/9)-(5/1/3/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1)-(10/11/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(10/11/3)-(8/5/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (10/11/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/11/3)-(10/11/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/11/3)-(10/11/3/5)-(10/11/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/11/3)-(8/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/11/3)-(8/5/7/1)-(6/5/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-6   WIN (8/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/7/1)-(6/5/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2/1)-(6/5/3/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   02/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE A. PLUS Jan18 Dec28 Dec06 Nov02 Oct14 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50    
SIR ROCKPORT Jan05 Dec16 Nov29 Nov04 Oct14 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
ROCKIN COWBOY Jan11 Dec09 Sep21 Aug31 Aug11 (nicholso)FLORES JR 122 15.00    
CARGO SHIP Jan18 Dec30 Dec21 Sep07 Aug17 (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50    
ROCKET BLAST Jan11 Dec16 Nov23 Oct25 Sep23 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
VENOMOUS STATE Nov25 Nov04 Sep23 Sep14 Aug19 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 69% 0.50    
WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Nov29 Nov04 Oct14 Aug31 Jul27 (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00    
 
PEN-2   02/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHO HONCHO Dec21 Dec02       (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
IMPETUD Jan03 Dec10 Sep17     (avila carl)OLIVERO A 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
CHARLIES MEDAL Jan05 Dec13 Nov23 Nov07 Oct19 (sells rac)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
LIGHTNING RIDGE Jan03         (brion keri)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 8.00    
SCR  MASSIVE DYNAMIC         (russell t)ROSE J 122 5.00 37% 1.70    
BOOK RUNNER Jan12 Dec21 Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 (salinas jose)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00    
ON AN ISLAND Jan12 Dec21 Dec02 Nov09   (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
UPFOR PAROLE Jan12 Nov23 Nov09     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 6% 15.10    
 
PEN-3   02/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURELY SILVER May20 Apr27 Apr01 Mar11   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
UNION RALLY Jan11 Jul01 Jun11 May20 May05 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00 9% 10.50    
RUN LAURA RUN Jan11 Dec16 Nov30 Nov02 Jan28 (king lawren)INIRIO J 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
SHANIA SEA Dec20 Nov09 Oct24 Aug18 Jul22 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
DENALI RAE Jan11 Dec30 Nov22 Oct26 Oct12 (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 120 4.50    
GONE DREAMING Jan03 Dec06 Nov22 Nov01 Oct11 (whylie herold)MILAN GERARDO 122 8.00    
SEVEN YEARS LATER Jan10 Dec21 Nov25 Oct11 Sep13 (nicholson jun)PEREZ M 120 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
PEN-4   02/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONDON LADY Apr14 Mar25 Mar10 Feb18 Jan22 (lucas bon)VARGAS L 124 2.00 16% 5.40    
LORDHEARMYPRAYER Jan13 Jan01 Dec15 Nov25 Oct13 (maroun dougla)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00    
SCOREBOARD LILY Jan13 Oct05 Sep16 Aug18 Jul20 (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 3.50    
GOLDEN PHASE Dec14 Nov23       (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 15.00    
SUNSHINE LINDA Jan13 Dec27 Nov23 Nov01   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
LET'S GO MO Jan13 Dec14 Nov22 Sep14 Aug18 (miller marlin )CONNER TYLER 124 12.00    
JOURNEY OF FIVE         (sells rachel)BEATO INOEL 124 15.00    
BABY BLUE Jan13 Oct01 Sep11     (rodriguez frank)RODRIGUEZ E 122 15.00    
DUST BUNNY Jan13 Dec27 Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 10.00    
 
PEN-5   02/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Jan13 Dec09 Nov25 Nov08 Oct12 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
THE MAN TO SEE Dec03 Oct23 Oct15 Jul15 Jun04 (dowling w)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
D'STORM Jan13 Dec09 Nov08 Oct14   (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
GRATITUDE ATTITUDE Jan11 Dec07 Nov18 Oct09 Sep15 (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
BUSTER BRUNO Jan13 Aug10 Jul13 Jun24 May11 (bentley fennek)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  YANKEE EMPIRE Jan11 Dec14 Oct04 Sep07 Aug12 (carpio er)VARGAS L 120 8.00 20% 4.00    
MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) Nov16 Oct07 Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00    
SOUL PROVIDER Jan17 Jan02 Dec14 Nov30 Nov15 (whylie herold)MILAN GERARDO 122 15.00    
GOSIGNAL Dec30 Nov15 Mar09 Feb11 Jan04 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 10.00    
10  CHROME DIXIE Jan18 Dec20 Nov21 Oct29 Sep30 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
11  CASH IN A FLASH Jan01 Nov19 Oct08 Aug07 Jul21 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
PEN-6   02/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOCKDOWN KID Jan20 Dec30 Dec14 Nov29 Nov16 (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
ICHIGO Jan13 Dec20 Dec02 Mar09 Mar01 (meister wil)INIRIO J 122 20.00    
SCR  ADY'S MUNNY Jan11 Dec20 Nov16 Oct26 Oct04 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
HE CAME TRUE Jan11 Dec20 Oct28 Oct07 Sep15 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 4.50    
TRIPLE TITOS Jan20 Jan04 Dec20 Nov05 Oct22 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
JUMP FREE Jan13 Dec30 Dec14 May21 Apr27 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00    
HAYROLL Jan13 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 Sep23 (chircop steve)DAVID MICHAEL 122 3.50 6% 17.10    
GIVE IT A GO Jan16 Dec29 Nov24 Nov11 Oct27 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 122 2.50 27% 2.80    
 
PEN-7   02/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTY HEIR Jan19 Dec01 Nov11     (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 5.00    
FIFTH ELEMENT Jan19 Nov25 Oct25 Oct12 Sep07 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 10.00 9% 10.40    
FLAT BUSTED Jan13 Dec09 Nov25 Nov08 Jan25 (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 10.00 12% 7.40    
FIRE D'ROCKET Jan13 Dec09 Nov05 Sep18 Aug21 (colgan kel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 10.00    
SUMMER MIST Jan19 Dec06       (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 17% 4.70    
JACK SLYE Dec28 Oct23 Sep30     (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  BRADY Sep18         (rodriguez franklin)FLORES E 124 8.00    
LIGHT WORK Jan17 Jan09 Dec14 Nov29 Nov03 (simone v)AGUILAR M 124 15.00    
MR. REDOLFO Jan13 Dec09 Sep06 Aug16   (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.