Handicappers' Racing Form

"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Friday - January 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/5/4)-(1/6/3/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(6/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(6/1/8)-(7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-2   WIN (6/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/8)-(6/1/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8)-(6/1/8/4/5)-(6/1/8/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/8)-(7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8)-(7)-(3/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-3   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (7)-(3/6/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (7)-(3/6/7)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7/5/1)-(3/6/7/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(4/2)-(1/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/6/8)-(4/2/6/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/2)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(1/4/6)-(9/8/1/3/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/5/2)-(1/4/6/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(9/8/1/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(9/8/1/3/7)-(2/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
AQU-7   WIN (9/8/1/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/3/7)-(9/8/1/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/3/7)-(9/8/1/3/7)-(9/8/1/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/1/3/7)-(2/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (9/8/1/3/7)-(2/3)-(9/4/5/10) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
AQU-8   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/8/5)-(2/3/8/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(9/4/5/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
AQU-9   WIN (9/4/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/10)-(9/4/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/10)-(9/4/5/10)-(9/4/5/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   01/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCORRELATED         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 33% 2.10    
  (by ARROGATE out of HARLAN'S ROMANCE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
REGISTER         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of CHAMPAGNE SUE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
EE YAH Dec10 Sep18 Aug25 Jun04   (jac)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TRUE JEAN by YES IT'S TRUE)
PAXSATIONAL Dec16         (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BROWSE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
WHENLOVETAKESOVER         (lakeman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of LADY JUNE BUG by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
MO THAN LUCK Dec10         (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 27% 2.80    
  (by ACCELERATE out of MO SHOPPING by UNCLE MO)
 
AQU-2   01/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTING ON A STONE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
DARKNSTORMY Nov26 Sep25 Sep02 Jul20   (rodri)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 10.00    
MISS BARB Dec16 Nov04       (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
AMANDA'S FOLLY Nov26 Oct23 Sep15 Aug03 Jun25 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00    
JOEY THE FISH Nov18 Oct08 Sep25 Aug10   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
JESSICA'S RACE Dec18 Oct26 Oct05 Sep16 Jun16 (mart)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.50 43% 1.30    
DENIECE OF DEGRACE Nov26 Nov04       (nod)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
MAIZE LOVED LAFFY Nov30 Nov07 Oct26 Oct12   (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 110 6.00 10% 9.40    
 
AQU-3   01/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA MICHELLE Dec11 Nov27 Oct08 Sep17 Aug28 (mart)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.50    
SCR  HONEST BANKER Dec16         (atras rob)VARGAS A 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
MAGIC MISS Oct16 Oct02       (ryerson )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00    
SCR  CURLINS CHOIR Dec10         (martin carlos)OLVER MADISON 110 3.50 36% 1.80    
LUNA LOCA Nov26 Oct08 Aug18 Jul27   (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS Dec02 Nov26 Oct23 Sep15 Aug24 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
MAGGIE T Nov19 Oct23 Sep02 Aug04   (barker edwa)MARTINEZ R 120 8.00 11% 8.40    
 
AQU-4   01/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WYNN GIANT Nov11 Oct27       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00    
  (by FREUD out of ELROSE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
MAMA BANNED ME Dec08 Nov11       (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of MAMA MAXINE by MORE THAN READY)
BOURBON CHASE Dec08 Nov13 Oct09     (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.40 36% 1.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of UTANA by CURLIN)
IN MY SHADOW Dec11         (fisher linda)CASTILLO AMIN 120 30.00    
  (by DESTIN out of FOLLOW MY LUCK by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
WANNA WINNA Dec08 Nov13 Sep29     (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
  (by BLAME out of PLEASED by BERNARDINI)
LIFETIME OF CHANCE Dec17 Nov12 Oct27     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 22% 3.50    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of JANETSTICKETTOCATS by STORM CAT)
QUICK CHAOS Dec10 Jul29 Jun24     (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by UNIFIED out of RUBICON by MINESHAFT)
 
AQU-5   01/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INFRINGEMENT Dec30 Dec18 Dec08 Nov17 Nov04 (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 12.00    
SHE CAUGHT MY EYE Dec08 Oct20 Sep05 Aug06   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  VILLAREGGIA Dec18 Dec02 Nov24 Nov09 Oct26 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 7% 13.90    
VALLARAND Dec10 Nov13 Oct13 Jul15   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  GAGLIANO Dec10 Oct28 Sep16 Aug20 Jul04 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
MISS CHAMITA Dec18 Dec09 Nov19 Nov04 Oct29 (cash norman )BATISTA A 120 5.00    
PAVE MY WAY Dec04 Nov07 Oct24 Sep07 Aug23 (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
PURRFECT MISTRESS Nov01 Oct04 Aug29 Jul26 Jul03 (lake a)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
 
AQU-6   01/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MAX FOSTER Dec11 Oct27 Sep29 Aug26   (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 52% 0.90    
SCR  TATER AND TOT Dec17 Oct21 Sep29 Sep04   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 1.80    
DERRICKS MEDALLION         (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
BOBBO'S BOY         (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 12.00    
ZUCCARACE Dec11         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
EAST COAST GIRL Nov26         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50    
BARON'S LEGACY         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 8% 11.30    
CHASIN' YOU Dec17 Oct22 Sep23 Sep04   (lynch nat)VARGAS A 120 10.00    
ETERNAL GLORY         (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00    
 
AQU-7   01/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD BANKER Dec08 Oct16 Sep13 Aug27 Aug11 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 13% 6.50    
SUNDAESWITHSANDY Dec08 Nov11 Oct07 Sep04 Jul21 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
FULL MOON FEVER Dec09 Nov16 Oct10 Sep19 Aug24 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 12% 7.00    
DURKIN'S CALL Dec02 Nov18 Oct08 Aug31 Jun18 (bak)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 10.00    
ADVANCED STRATEGY Nov17 Oct27 Sep24 Jul09 May30 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
THERISASTORMBREWIN Oct16 Sep24 Aug12 Jul10 May29 (giangiulio mich)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00    
BOURBON BAY Dec08 Nov05 Oct21 Apr09 Mar27 (arr)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00 10% 9.40    
SIX PERCENT Oct16 Sep05 Jul15 May29 May08 (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 18% 4.60    
BALDIZAR Dec08 Oct14 Sep23     (bond ja)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
AQU-8   01/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTIVATING CARA Oct01 Aug26 Jun25 May28 Apr30 (frie)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 30.00    
CARBON Dec15 Nov18 Oct01 Mar20   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 52% 0.90    
KANT HURRY LOVE Nov18 Oct22 Oct01 Aug26   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 18% 4.40    
KEEN DANCER Dec15 Dec02 Nov10 Oct28 Oct13 (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Dec15 Nov16 Nov04 Aug28 Jul22 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
SCR  FANCY FELINE Nov18 Oct22 Sep05 Jul22 Apr30 (bond ja)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
TEMPERMENTAL Dec09 Nov27 Nov06 Sep26 Aug24 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00    
ROYAL CURRENCY Nov17 Sep17 Aug20 Jul31 Jul09 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Dec01 Nov12 Oct13 Sep12 Aug05 (handal ra)VARGAS A 120 10.00    
 
AQU-9   01/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NO BURN Dec11 Nov12 Oct02 Sep03 Jul21 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 8% 11.10    
OUTLIER Dec11 Dec03 Nov17 Nov12 Oct20 (cash norman )BATISTA A 118 10.00    
UNCLE MOONLIGHT Jun11 Apr22       (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00    
I AM THE LAW Dec02 Oct02 Sep05 Aug12 Jul21 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 19% 4.30    
WINIT Nov27 Oct29 Sep29 Aug18 Jul08 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 13% 6.50    
SENIOR INVESTMENT Dec09 Nov12 Oct18 Sep28 Sep03 (lake a)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
MANOR HOUSE Jun25 Mar11 Mar05     (tessore bruno)ADORNO ABNER 118 8.00    
LOST IN ROME Dec08 Nov05 Oct15 Oct01 Sep01 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 118 30.00    
CURLIN'S WISDOM Dec18 Dec02 Oct30 Oct16 Oct06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
10  BOURBON CALLING Nov18 Nov07 Oct07 Sep28 Aug19 (arriaga anton)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.