Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   12/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STYLISH ASH Oct21 Sep06 Aug10 Jul13 Jun02 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.00 14% 6.10    
GOLDEN TEMPLE Nov01 Oct10 Oct02 Aug15 Aug01 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC Nov14 Oct11 Sep20 Sep14 Aug17 (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 3.00 12% 7.30    
MANHATTAN LADY Nov01 Sep14 Aug16 Jul18 Jul06 (brown j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
HOMEROOM ANGEL Sep20 Aug30 May27 May13 Mar19 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
ROAD TEST Nov01 Oct04 Aug04 Jul15 Jun25 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
WOLF EYES Nov17 Nov01 Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 11% 8.00    
 
MVR-2   12/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KY HOT BROWN Nov21 Nov02 Oct06 Sep13 Aug22 (wilson j)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00    
1A  UNCLE CHARMING Nov23 Sep23 Sep07 Aug25 Jul19 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 121 2.00 5% 17.30    
THRU THE VINE Nov10 Oct31 Oct14 Sep21 Aug25 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
THE COOKIE MAN Nov29 Nov02 Oct23 Sep28 Sep01 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
GALACTIC Nov28 Jul18 Jun30 Jun16 May18 (mcdonald jam)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
NAUGHTY PRINCE Nov28 Nov09 Oct04 Sep15 Aug16 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 58% 0.70    
OL' L B Nov21 Nov09 Sep29 Sep15 Sep01 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 11% 8.20    
 
MVR-3   12/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHOVILLE Nov17 Nov01 Oct22 Oct03 Sep22 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00    
JILLY FROM JERSEY Nov17 Nov01 Sep01 Aug15 Jul25 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
CAROL'S ROYALTY Nov17 Oct25 Oct04 Sep19 Sep01 (romero jose )TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50    
ORBIT MARS Nov15 Nov01 Oct14 Sep28 Sep02 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 23% 3.30    
ORBETTE Nov27 Oct23 Oct16 Sep19 Aug17 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 12.00    
BLACK BUTTE Nov17 Nov01 Oct23 Oct12 Sep26 (bird dann)CORREA L 124 3.00 49% 1.10    
SCR  LOADED ONCE MORE Nov22 Nov09 Oct30 Oct03 Sep19 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.50    
 
MVR-4   12/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUD MAID MARIAN Nov17 Nov01 Oct04 Sep14 Aug30 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 126 15.00 6% 15.20    
LA MUNECA Nov02 Sep27 May17 May07 Mar31 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 126 8.00    
JOYFUL NOISE Nov03 Oct25 Sep23 Sep09 May14 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00    
MISS OVER THERE Oct03 Sep07 Aug24 Jul13 Jun28 (mann)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 15.00 6% 15.20    
COWGIRL KIMMIE Nov11 Oct25 Sep20 Jul21 Jun24 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
GO STELLAIRE Nov17 Jun13 May30 May07 Apr09 (vickers richar)DIAZ I 126 12.00    
CHARGAREE Oct10 Sep19 Aug15 May31 Apr29 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 28% 2.50    
SHE'S NOT BLUFFING Nov29 Nov16 Oct18 Oct05 Sep12 (maver e)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.00    
 
MVR-5   12/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENIE ROSE         (cline c)PAUCAR E 125 12.00    
AUGMENTING ASSETS Nov23 Nov16 Nov08 Sep15 Aug30 (romero jose )TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00    
THE BOOK OF RUTH Nov08 Oct25 Oct04     (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 6.00    
MISS ELLIE Jun13 May26 May12 Apr26 Mar16 (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 120 4.00 31% 2.30    
STORM OF NINETEEN Nov23         (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 125 2.50 46% 1.20    
UPTOWN MILLIE Nov23 Nov08       (gorost)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 10.00    
BIKINI SO TEENY Nov16 Nov08 Oct25 Sep15 Aug13 (rive)SALAZAR VICTOR 125 8.00    
DANZA MAGIC Nov23 Jul26 Jul12 Jun28 Jun13 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 3.00    
DIMPLED Nov23         (tucker jim)STANLEY O 125 20.00    
 
MVR-6   12/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP TAXI Nov13 Oct17 Sep28 Aug31 Jul13 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 10.00    
SCR  ROSAS WAY Jul05 Jun20 May21 May04 Apr11 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 10.00    
UPTOWN GUY Jun20 Jun01 May04 Apr25 Apr04 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 125 20.00    
SCR  FOREST CHATTER Jul20 Jun27 May25 May10 Apr27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00 24% 3.10    
BEACH FRONT May25 May09 Apr25 Apr11 Mar21 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 5.00    
DAD'S YANKEES Nov09 Oct04 Aug30     (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00    
POWERFUL MOON Nov14 Oct27 Sep27 Sep13 Aug22 (ray kev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 20.00    
GEHRIG Nov15 Oct31 Oct12 Sep19 Aug18 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 126 2.50 41% 1.40    
FREE SPEECH Oct04 Aug30 Jul28 Jun25 Jun08 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 3.50 10% 9.20    
 
MVR-7   12/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARRAZANO Nov21 Nov02 Oct10 Sep17 Aug14 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 25% 2.90    
LITTLE EMPIRE Oct05 Aug24 Aug10 Jul18 May31 (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
ALSANAH Nov23 Nov11 Oct29 Sep24 Aug26 (rone mike)RIVERA R 125 2.00    
YEARS AGO Nov21 Nov02 Sep10 Aug06 Jul08 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 118 3.50    
SILENCING Nov23 Oct31 Oct10 Sep24 Aug29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00    
VERY WEALTHY Nov21 Oct29 Sep30 Sep14 Aug29 (lucas )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 33% 2.00    
EXCEEDING Nov23 Oct25 May21 Apr26 Apr11 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 123 10.00 11% 7.90    
 
MVR-8   12/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUSHING BETTY Nov03 Oct10 Sep20 Aug16 Aug03 (trevino steph)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
BACKSPLASH Nov09 Oct25 Oct10 Sep27 Aug16 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
BAREBACK FUN Dec02 Nov03 Oct10 Sep20 Aug16 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 11% 8.30    
QUEENOFCATNIPHILL Nov03 Oct25 Sep20 Aug03 Jul13 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 12% 7.40    
L. A. STAR Nov21 Oct14 Sep28 Sep09 Aug25 (lucas )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
SHELLEY'S GEM Nov30 Oct25 Oct10 Sep20 Aug03 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00    
GENERAL GINNY Nov30 Nov02 Oct05 Sep21 Aug31 (dillion jim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.