Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Friday - June 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (4/5/6/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/8/9)-(4/5/6/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/8/9)-(4/5/6/8/9)-(4/5/6/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/6/8/9)-(5/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/8/9)-(5/1/2/3)-(7/9/4/6/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-2   WIN (5/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/3)-(7/9/4/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/3)-(7/9/4/6/2)-(9/10/4/8/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-3   WIN (7/9/4/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/4/6/2)-(7/9/4/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/4/6/2)-(7/9/4/6/2)-(7/9/4/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/4/6/2)-(9/10/4/8/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/9/4/6/2)-(9/10/4/8/7)-(8/5/6/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-4   WIN (9/10/4/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/4/8/7)-(9/10/4/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/4/8/7)-(9/10/4/8/7)-(9/10/4/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/4/8/7)-(8/5/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/10/4/8/7)-(8/5/6/7)-(6/9/8/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-5   WIN (8/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/7)-(8/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/7)-(8/5/6/7)-(8/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/6/7)-(6/9/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6/7)-(6/9/8/5)-(3/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-6   WIN (6/9/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/8/5)-(6/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/8/5)-(6/9/8/5)-(6/9/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/8/5)-(3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9/8/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/1/9/11/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-7   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(3/1/9/11/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(3/1/9/11/4)-(6/8/9/5/11) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CD-8   WIN (3/1/9/11/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/9/11/4)-(3/1/9/11/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/9/11/4)-(3/1/9/11/4)-(3/1/9/11/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/9/11/4)-(6/8/9/5/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CD-9   WIN (6/8/9/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/9/5/11)-(6/8/9/5/11/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (6/8/9/5/11)-(6/8/9/5/11/7)-(6/8/9/5/11/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/06/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICALLY FAMOUS         (lynch a)JUAREZ NIK 119 6.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MARY OF BETHANY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  NANZIG May15 Apr16       (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of COUNT TO ELEVEN by GRAND SLAM)
3  LILIES N PARADISE         (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50    
  (by MAXFIELD out of WHY OH YOU by YES IT'S TRUE)
4  PULSTAR         (ward a)BRAVO J 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by KANTHAROS out of BELLERUE by QUALITY ROAD)
5  SPA PROSPECTOR         (amoss thom)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of PRAY FOR LESLIE by BERNARDINI)
6  A P SWEETHEART         (corrigan jim)MURGIA A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SORORITYSWEETHEART by DISCREETLY MINE)
7  WHAT'S A GOOD NAME         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of THAT'S THE IDEA by DIABOLICAL)
8  MURIEL SAX         (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CODE OF HONOR out of STETSON GOLD by UNCLE MO)
9  MY RAQUEL         (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONNECT out of CHARLIE B by WAR CHANT)
 
CD-2   06/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEBEDOURO May01 Apr09 Feb15 Jan26 Nov27 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 123 4.00 18% 4.60    
2  GOD OF WINE May10 Apr16 Mar28 Mar08 Feb08 (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 8.00 13% 6.80    
3  HEAVY HITTER May17 May08 Apr13 Mar28 Mar07 (hester haley)CEDILLO ABEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHIPMAN May18 Apr30 Apr09 Mar15 Feb26 (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 123 3.00    
5  MANABI May10 Apr30 Mar29 Mar21 Mar05 (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  EL DANDI May19 Apr08 Feb08 Jan18 Dec18 (acevedo israe)ORANTES CESAR 108 8.00    
7  PURSE THIEF May09 Mar14 Feb26 Jan31 Oct17 (foster eric)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00    
8  KIGALI Feb22 Feb07 May25 Apr27 Nov15 (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 123 5.00    
 
CD-3   06/06/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE REINBOW FACTOR         (thompson mic)MONCADA IRVING 113 12.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of LIFEFULLOFREINBOWS by ARCHARCHARCH)
2  GLOBAL PROSPERITY Apr13 Mar08 Feb01 Jan04 Nov24 (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of PROSPERITE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  SHADOW COAST May15 Apr26 Mar12 Feb15 Jan18 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of OVERPREPARED by QUALITY ROAD)
4  WHITE WHALE Apr25 Mar09 Jan11 Dec01 Nov01 (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 10% 8.90    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of ELUSIVE DIVA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  TAP ME A SONG May10 Apr06 Aug24     (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of GWITHIAN by STREET SENSE)
6  RIPPED Apr19 Mar28 Feb23 Jan25 Nov30 (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of FLY TIME by MR SPEAKER)
7  MONTEREY BAY (NZ) Jul04 Apr25       (ward a)BRAVO J 118 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BOLA DE CRISTAL by GALILEO)
8  FOND FAREWELL         (walden wi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of COUNTY CLARE by UNCLE MO)
9  SHIP SHIP HOORAY May18 Apr08 Feb08 Jan04 Dec01 (danner ke)TORRES A 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of RITHM AND RAP by ALGORITHMS)
10  EDIFICE Sep28         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MADISON SQUARE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  BELLA BLUEGRASS Aug15         (anderson sus)TORRES A 113 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of BECKY'S BLUEGRASS by MACHO UNO)
SCR  MORE THAN PRADA May10         (spicer t)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MAGGI O'PRADO by PADDY O'PRADO)
SCR  OUR STARRY NIGHT May08         (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BERNCREDIT by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  STORMTOWN May08 Feb16       (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 6.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of DANCIN IN A STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  NYTTIME STORY May08 Jun27       (michael bria)CALLEJA ANDRES 124 12.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of TIGRESS TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  OUTOFPI May09 Apr26 Mar12 Feb23 Jan25 (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of PAHIATUA by TRIBAL RULE)
 
CD-4   06/06/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($64K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINSTON WOLF May23 Apr13 Feb13 Jan27 Jan04 (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00    
2  TRES SOLES May09 Apr17 Mar04 Feb06 Jan12 (atras rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50    
3  ALEJANDRO Jun17 Jun08 May27 May07 Apr21 (cash norman )TORRES A 118 15.00    
4  LAUGHING BOY May25 Feb28 Jan05 Dec22 Nov16 (jacobson dav)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 13% 6.80    
5  ICARUS May11 Mar29 Feb14 Nov20 Oct24 (van tho)RAMOS D 118 15.00    
6  ACT A FOOL Nov26 Aug05 Jun25 Jun04 Apr09 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00    
7  AMERICAN BLAZE May09 Mar08 Jan16 Nov19 Oct12 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 6% 14.60    
8  HUGE BIGLY May23 May03 Feb14 Jan05 Nov16 (shorter a)TORRES A 118 10.00 9% 9.60    
9  TIGER MOON May18 Feb06 Jan11 Dec07 Oct18 (cook b)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 22% 3.60    
10  CYBERTOWN May03 Mar30 Mar01 Jan26 Dec21 (amoss m)LANERIE J 118 3.00 20% 3.90    
 
CD-5   06/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGAL REY May01 Apr12 Mar26 Aug25 Aug10 (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00    
2  TEXAS RED HOT Jun15 May18 Mar16 Mar01 Dec02 (morse l)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
3  SUGA STEVE Mar27 Jan24 Dec27 Dec06 Oct06 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00    
4  GILCREASE Apr19 Jan18 Nov17 Sep28 May02 (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
5  TAGLIATELLE May01 Apr12 Mar05 Dec06 Nov03 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
6  GOODASIWONSWAS May17 Feb23 Jan25 Jan04 Dec14 (hancock dana)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 11% 8.20    
7  GET HER NUMBER May03 Apr24 Apr04 Sep02 Jul29 (miller pe)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  PAYNE May11 Apr12 Apr04 Mar22 Feb24 (ramsey nol)ASMUSSEN J 118 1.80 34% 2.00    
 
CD-6   06/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($141K) 3 ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JET SWEEP JOE May24 Apr30 Nov01 Oct06 Aug16 (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 118 20.00    
2  STAR'S IMAGE Jan04 Dec16 Nov22     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
SCR  HOMIE Sep23 Jun05       (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
4  DREAMINBLUE Mar21 Feb23 Jan25 Dec29 Dec07 (morse ran)TORRES A 118 15.00    
5  COMING IN HOT Apr30 Mar22 Feb22 Jan04 Dec18 (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BRIDLE A BUTTERFLY Apr30 Mar14 Nov02 Oct11 Sep01 (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  GUY SMILEY May08 Feb15 Jan16     (ward a)LANERIE J 118 3.50    
8  DREAMAWAY May10 Apr11 Oct05 Jul28 Apr21 (ward a)BRAVO J 117 4.00 22% 3.60    
9  GOVERNOR SAM Apr30 Nov01 Oct06 Sep07 Aug03 (weaver georg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 1.80 27% 2.70    
 
CD-7   06/06/2025 5940ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELAKA May10 Mar22 Feb22 Feb08 Dec07 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 4.50    
2  WARRIOR RICHARD May09 Apr19 Mar04 Jan12 Dec20 (sharp joe)TORRES A 126 2.00 22% 3.50    
3  GUN PARTY May10 Apr19 Mar29 Mar01 Jun30 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  RUN QUIET RUN FAST May05 Mar19 Jan18 Dec20   (rodriguez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00    
5  REAL MEN VIOLIN May10 Nov02 Sep14 Aug24 Jul06 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  EL MAGNIFICO May09 Apr13 Feb21 Jan04 Oct31 (sharp joe)LOPEZ PASCACIO 126 2.50    
 
CD-8   06/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YES IT TIZ Apr13         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  DEFIANT LASS May02 Apr11 Oct25     (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00    
SCR  LOVE YOU ANYWAY Apr17 Mar08 Feb09     (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  POEMA May08 Oct27 Sep05 Jul30   (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  GOOD TEMPER Apr19 Mar04 Feb07 Oct13 Sep26 (walden willi)TORRES A 118 10.00    
SCR  BREAD TO RUN Apr26 Apr07 Jan31 Dec18 Oct06 (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
7  LADY ORIENT Mar08 Jan20 Dec22 Nov30 Nov01 (amoss tho)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  FLIP FLOPS May02 Mar08 Feb08 Jan10 Oct11 (casse mar)TORRES A 118 8.00    
9  GOWELLS DELIGHT May02 Mar22 Feb15 Jan25 Dec26 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 9% 10.40    
10  CLASSIC APPEAL Feb23 Dec18 Oct24     (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00    
SCR  SCATTITUDE May08 Mar23 Aug12     (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  BIRKIN GIRL May08 Apr12 Mar01 Jan26 Nov30 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
SCR  WEDDING MOOD (IRE) May10 Apr12       (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50    
14  GOOD LONG CRY Apr25 Mar30 Jan04 Nov14 Oct06 (weaver geor)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00    
SCR  EUNOMIA May17 Apr12 Nov15 Oct10 Sep13 (oliver victor)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
 
CD-9   06/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL LUCKY LADY May11         (calhoun will)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 15.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of LUCKY BE A LADY by ITSMYLUCKYDAY)
2  GOTH Apr26         (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ROSE MINE by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  TRULY POSSIBLE         (oliver victori)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of VERDAD by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  NYAATA         (lovell miche)TORRES A 118 15.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of SOME MIGHT SAY by NYQUIST)
5  MACLEAN'S LULLABY May11 Apr16 Mar06 Feb08 Jan23 (matejka )RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 7% 14.10    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JOYFUL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  ORDER RESTORED May11 Apr18 Feb15 Jan03   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 57% 0.80    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of GRAMMAJO by STREET SENSE)
7  COTE FLEURIE (ARG)         (david a)JUAREZ NIK 118 10.00 ★    
  (by LYPHMAS out of NOTHING BUT TOM by STREET CRY (IRE))
8  HEARTBEAT May02         (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 7% 12.40    
  (by JACK MILTON out of PICK OF THE PACK by LIL'S LAD)
9  DARK THIRTY (IRE) Sep26         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 7% 13.50    
  (by OUTWORK out of SUNNYSIDE GAL by SUNGOLD)
10  SWIFT KELCE May16 Apr18       (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of IGLESIAS by DOMINUS)
11  LADY OF LIGHT May11 Mar30       (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of D J'S FAVORITE by UNION RAGS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.