Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   EXA (6/7/5/9)-(6/7/4/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-7 $35.80 $19.80 124%
TUP-4   EXA (9/8/3/5)-(9/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-3 $15.50 $3.50 29%
    TRI (9/8/3/5)-(9/8/3/5)-(9/8/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-3-9 $17.85 $5.85 49%
TUP-6   EXA (1/7/8/5/2)-(1/7/8/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-5 $35.00 $15.00 75%
    TRI (1/7/8/5/2)-(1/7/8/5/2)-(1/7/8/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-5-2 $78.85 $48.85 163%
    SFT (1/7/8/5/2)-(1/7/8/5/2)-(1/7/8/5/2)-(1/7/8/5/2) 120 $0.10 $12.00  7-5-2-1 $58.93 $46.93 391%
TUP-8   TRI (2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-3-1 $15.45 $3.45 29%
    SFT (2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8) 24 $0.10 $2.40  8-3-1-2 $10.27 $7.87 328%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-2   01/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:13 1:26   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MOESAHANDFUL 4 1 2nk 1nk 11 1nk 1¼ (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 2.00 22% 3.60 0.20 W
2  EARTHLY TIGER 1 4 4¾ 41¼ 21 2nk 2¼ (gibson )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 15.30  
4  EDDIE'S WAVE 3 3 1nk 2nk 32 34 32¾ (crowe shelly)REYES R 124 4.00 5.60  
3  ZEN STATE 2 6 51¾ 52¼ 45 45½ 44½ (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 5.00 8.10  
6  LATER TAMARTATER 5 7 72¾ 76¾ 710½ 59½ 510 (story chad)CRUZ M 124 3.50 24% 3.20 7.50  
8  WE GOT SWAG 7 2 61¾ 63¼ 57 610 618¼ (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 124 20.00 14% 5.90 75.60  
7  ANTIBES 6 5 3½ 31 68½ 712½ 721 (willia)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 29.80  
SCR  CASSANO               (hedge rick)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00    
 
TUP-3   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:224 :46 :58     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SPENARD 6 2 2½ 1½   12 17½ (birdwell tena)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 65% 0.50 2.00 W
7  BOTTLE CAPS 7 3 53 53½   44½ 27½ (williams )IRONEYES R 121 12.00 6% 16.10 28.10 P
3  REBOSO 3 5 41½ 42   34½ 39¼ (silva l)CRUZ M 121 3.50 3.10  
5  ROADSWITCHER 5 7 77½ 75¼   66½ 410¾ (sepich f)CORBETT W 121 12.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
1  MAKIN MY FORTUNE 1 1 1½ 2½   22 511 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 5.00 15.40  
4  DA SMOKE 4 9 65½ 65   77½ 611¼ (wisdom anne)REYES R 121 4.50 ★ 2.00  
2  JUST GOTTA SHINE 2 8 812½ 810¼   89 713¼ (van debbie)MONTALVO C 121 20.00 59.40  
9  DUNVEGAN 9 4 31½ 32   55 813½ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
8  R C EXPRESS 8 6 914 918¼   923 927½ (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 121 5.00 7.10  
 
TUP-4   01/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
1:343         1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  KENNEBEC 7 4 65¼ 63¼ 42 4¼ 1½ (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 21% 3.70 2.00 W
3  WHAT A DUDE 2 2 21½ 2nk 21½ 1nk 2½ (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 5% 19.00 5.40 P
9  SALINE RIVER 8 7 33½ 32 31½ 2nk 3½ (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 50% 1.00 1.70 S
4  ST ANTHONY 3 3 43½ 42¼ 52½ 5½ 42 (drysdale neil)MOJICA O 122 2.00 2.30  
5  AMERICAN BLAZE 4 5 75¾ 74¾ 64½ 64½ 55½ (brinson clay)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
2  GOLDEN ALE 1 1 11½ 1nk 11½ 3.2 67½ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 15.00 33.40  
7  TENTH STREET DON 6 8 88¼ 86¼ 76 76½ 77¾ (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 12.00 50.10  
6  NEPTUNE'S STORM 5 6 53¾ 52¾ 89 814½ 820½ (leon alex)IRONEYES R 122 20.00 80.60  
SCR  THE BLACK STRAT               (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
 
TUP-5   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:222 :451 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSMYBIRTHDAY 1 4 1½ 1½   12½ 14¼ (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 3.00 35% 1.80 0.20 W
8  TIME TO FLY 7 1 51¾ 2½   22½ 24¼ (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 119 5.00 10% 8.70 9.10 P
3  EZ IZ ONZAWAY 3 3 3½ 4¾   33 35¾ (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 114 4.00 27% 2.70 4.40 S
10  BUTTERMAKER 9 7 72 3½   45 49 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 119 10.00 6% 15.00 23.70  
9  NASTIKA'S SECRET 8 8 94 85¾   69½ 512½ (essex charles)CRUZ M 119 12.00 71.10  
4  CLOUD BLITZ 4 6 82 75¼   710½ 613½ (martin)ASENCIO MARIANO 119 12.00 51.40  
5  CANDY CRUSHER 5 9 61¾ 53¾   59 715½ (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 20.10  
2  SHANKADOPOLOUS 2 5 41½ 914¾   930½ 841¼ (bean robe)JENSEN P 119 20.00 ######  
6  WEST COAST BULL 6 2 2½ 65¼   830½ 9100 (bullock steve)REYES R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 33.80  
SCR  FOOLS CONVERSATION               (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 119 6.00    
 
TUP-6   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DELIA 6 6 74¾ 75¾   64½ 1¼ (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00 13% 6.70 0.80 W
5  CHROME'S BEST COPY 4 1 31 3½   1nk 2¼ (buffalo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 21.60 P
2  CONFIDENCE BUILDER 2 8 54 42½   53 31 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.60 S
1  JUSTIN'S LADY 1 3 1nk 1½   2nk 43¾ (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 5.00 51% 1.00 5.10  
8  A DIME FOR ME 7 5 84¾ 85¾   96¼ 54½ (tamayo isidro)REYES R 124 8.00 9% 10.60 31.30  
9  ORANGE THEORY 8 4 43½ 65½   74¾ 64¾ (anderson gonzalo)MOJICA O 124 6.00 6.70  
4  LADY ATHENA 3 2 2nk 2½   3½ 74¾ (williams )VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 15.00  
10  TIZ A TIGER 9 7 95¾ 54   41½ 85¼ (nunnally jennif)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 13.20  
6  LADY CRUISER 5 9 64½ 96¼   84¾ 97¼ (toye joe)MONTALVO C 124 3.00 8.80  
SCR  NIGHT FLYER               (brown )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 15.00    
 
TUP-7   01/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:22
See original race card.
1:351         1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ALICESHOUSEOFHEART 6 6 88¾ 77¼ 68 43½ 1¼ (essex charles)REYES R 122 10.00 30.60  
5  LOOPY 5 1 11½ 11½ 11½ 11½ 2¼ (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00 43% 1.40 1.40 P
3  CRYSTAL COAST 3 4 43½ 42½ 31½ 21½ 31 (mckinney )IRONEYES R 122 5.00 25.90  
4  SMOOCHING 4 3 21½ 21½ 21½ 31½ 42¾ (kenney)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 12.00 28.30  
2  IF YOU WANT IT 2 5 55½ 55 78½ 75¾ 53¼ (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 11% 8.10 9.10  
9  YOGYA 8 7 65½ 65¼ 57½ 55 63¾ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00 12% 7.30 5.10  
1  LOCK IT DOWN 1 2 32½ 32½ 46 65½ 76½ (martinez )VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 12% 7.70 1.30  
10  EVEN PANDURA 9 8 78½ 810¼ 812 89¼ 89½ (sanderson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 57.80  
7  EMERALD SEA 7 9 912¼ 912¼ 915½ 913¾ 913¼ (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 122 12.00 24.20  
SCR  MAGIC LIGHT               (drysdal)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00    
SCR  MASTERY KAT               (thomas jam)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.50    
 
TUP-8   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:224 :453 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BIG BEAUTY 6 1 21 2nk   1½ 11 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 1.60 W
3  MISS UNION 3 3 31 52½   42½ 21 (ferguson curt)CRUZ M 124 3.50 24% 3.20 3.20 P
1  TWELVE STARS 1 5 42 3½   3½ 31¼ (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 15% 5.50 4.90 S
2  DIPLOMATICA 2 2 11 1nk   2½ 43 (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 124 4.00 37% 1.70 9.10  
6  DADS ESTRELLA 4 6 62¾ 63   64¼ 53¾ (kemper kas)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 2.40  
7  GO GO SADIE 5 7 73¼ 41   52¾ 64¾ (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 124 15.00 15.80  
10  COASTLINE HOTTIE 7 4 52¼ 73¼   74¾ 75 (sepich ed)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00 27.00  
SCR  DOMINEERING               (perkinson c)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 12.00    
SCR  NEVER SWAY               (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 4.50    
SCR  WE ALL AGREE               (alcoverde er)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.