Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Century Downs Tb
Saturday - October 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTD-1   EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-5 $15.50 $3.50 29%
CTD-2   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $12.50 $6.50 108%
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-4 $31.10 $19.10 159%
    DD (2/3/5)-(1/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-5 $23.40 $5.40 30%
CTD-4   WIN (4/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $21.70 $13.70 171%
CTD-5   DD (4/8/2/6)-(3/1/7/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00  2-3 $45.80 $13.80 43%
    PK4 (1/4/5)-(6/7/4/1)-(4/8/2/6)-(3/1/7/2) 192 $1.00 $192  5-6-2-3 $263.45 $71.45 37%
CTD-7   WIN (3/2/1/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $11.00 $1.00 10%
    EXA (3/2/1/7/6)-(3/2/1/7/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  3-7 $65.70 $25.70 64%
    TRI (3/2/1/7/6)-(3/2/1/7/6)-(3/2/1/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-7-2 $36.87 $6.87 23%
    SFT (3/2/1/7/6)-(3/2/1/7/6)-(3/2/1/7/6)-(3/2/1/7/6) 120 $1.00 $120  3-7-2-1 $140.60 $20.60 17%

Simulator Race results

 
CTD-1   10/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:222 :47 1:141     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTY HOUSE 2 1 1½ 1nk   12 1 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 119 0.80 61% 0.60 0.65 W
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of KITTENISTIC by KITTEN'S JOY)
HOLMDEL HORNET 5 6 55 33   22 2 (smith )STEADMAN LEON 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of WINNING SCOOP by BERNARDINI)
ALLURING ALI 6 4 33 5   4 3 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 119 3.50 8.15  
  (by FED BIZ out of TRAIL OF LETTERS by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
SNEAKY SITUATION 3 2 2½ 2nk   3 410½ (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 119 3.00 13% 6.80 2.45  
  (by MO TOWN out of AFLEET LEXI by AFLEET ALEX)
HOPE SHINES 4 5 44 6   6 511 (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 119 20.00 51.25  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of NOON TIME SHOWER by NOONMARK)
TANSI 1 3 65 46   56 611½ (cone rodney)BECKLES JARELLE 119 20.00 22.50  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of WELLESLEY GIRL by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
 
CTD-2   10/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:24 :493 1:15     1:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIRTATION CARD 4 2 2½ 11   1 1 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 122 10.00 5% 19.00 5.25 W
SIRACHA 3 1 1½ 21   2 2 (pal)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 1.60 15% 5.80 0.75 P
RUN MYA RUN 2 4 3 35   3 3 (ward anderson)PARRIS SACHIN 115 15.00 20.15  
CHASUBLE 5 3 46 425   456½ 475½ (fantin caitlin)MARTIN ANDRE 122 50.00 47.25  
OOPS (GB) 1 5 5100 5100   5100 5100 (o'hagan coll)HUGHES RASHEED 122 0.60 64% 0.60 1.55  
SCR  SASSY PIPER               (tingle ken)MUIR SHAMAREE 122 20.00    
 
CTD-3   10/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:22 :47 1:144     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AH TOUCHE 6 2 2½ 1nk   11 11 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 119 1.20 69% 0.50 0.50 W
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of AMNESIAN by BOLD N' FLASHY)
ZIP IT WRIT 7 4 3 3½   21 21 (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 3.50 9% 9.90 3.15 P
  (by TAPWRIT out of PLEASE ZIP IT by CITY ZIP)
TANGO FOR THE SOUL 5 5 6 4   43 3 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 6.00 11.85  
  (by FED BIZ out of MAGIC TANGO by MAGIC PROSPECT)
DR BROKER 1 7 711½ 7   5 45 (rycroft)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00 11.95  
  (by FED BIZ out of KINDEST REGARDS by CONGRATS)
WORTHY SPIRIT 3 1 1½ 2nk   33 5 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 119 8.00 31.30  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BACKSIDE BELLE by STAY THIRSTY)
STONE HOUSE 8 6 5 5   6 611¾ (fantin caitlin)MARTIN ANDRE 122 20.00 62.45  
  (by LEMON DROP MOUSSE out of PURPLE BARBIE by FLATTER)
LOVINGTIME 4 8 813 814½   813½ 715 (tingle)PATTERSON R 119 30.00 5% 19.00 52.20  
  (by ROJANO TIME out of TEEAMARIA by TEEMAN)
BUCK SPRINGS 2 3 42 6   710½ 816 (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 122 10.00 16.35  
  (by THE FACTOR out of B R'S GIRL by PULPIT)
 
CTD-4   10/12/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:13 1:27   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORANGE THEORY 2 3 1nk 1nk   1 1 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00 9.85 W
JUMEIRAH COAST 7 7 7 6   4 2 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 11.80  
DANCING WILLIE 6 4 4 4   2 3 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 125 20.00 5% 19.00 22.50 S
BARE BACK JACK 4 8 8 8   6 4 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00 52% 0.90 2.00  
COMMON KNOWLEDGE 8 5 3.2 2nk   3 5 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.50 20% 3.90 2.40  
SILVERFOOT 1 1 2nk 5   56 611 (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.00 4.10  
SMARTY RIVER PANTS 3 2 5 7   7 711½ (anderson g)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 10.00 26.45  
CHARLIE'S COPY 5 6 6 3   8 817¼ (rycroft tom)POON ANDREW 122 5.00 8.25  
 
CTD-5   10/12/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lynn Chouinard Founders Distaff Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:142 1:391   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG HUG 3 3 32 33 1nk 1 1 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 126 1.20 46% 1.20 0.45 W
  (by MR. BIG out of TEMEEKU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
MAJESTIC OOPS 6 2 53 54 3 2 2 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 4.00 9.70  
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of MISS OOPS by OLMODAVOR)
BURROW DOWN 1 4 2½ 2 2nk 3 38 (robert)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 2.50 13% 6.50 5.90 S
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
MINE ME 4 6 7 7 6 4 413 (hedge rick)BECKLES JARELLE 120 20.00 28.15  
  (by MINESHAFT out of FORGOTTEN MISS by QUEBEC DANCER)
MONOPOLIZE 2 5 43 44 55 511½ 518¾ (grieves ron)NATERA KEIHTON 117 15.00 5% 19.00 11.05  
  (by GAYEGO out of MONONO by WHYWHYWHY)
PLUM BLUE 5 7 64 65 7 716½ 624¾ (kettleson alivia)BRYAN D 121 15.00 13.65  
  (by IMPERIALISM out of POLITICAL AFFAIR by POLITICAL FORCE)
DANCE SHOES 7 1 1½ 1 43 616 726¾ (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 120 12.00 11% 8.30 14.40  
  (by MANK out of DANCIN FOR DELLANA by WHYWHYWHY)
 
CTD-6   10/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:141     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL CORRECAMINOS 2 1 6 45   1nk 1¾ (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 122 3.50 2.95  
ALBERTA 5 5 75 56   6 2¾ (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.50 16% 5.20 3.90 P
EVERYTHING TO GAIN 7 8 87 78   5 31 (rumsey )CHASE RICHARD 125 30.00 9.65  
MILITARY SASS 4 3 4 3   4¾ 4 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.50 14% 6.30 6.20  
TENDER LOVE 9 7 31 2½   2nk 5 (leech willi)BECKLES JARELLE 125 15.00 8% 11.90 7.70  
KARDINAL ROSE 6 6 11 1½   3.2 6 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 122 3.00 32% 2.20 3.05  
SPOT ON JOLEE 3 2 54 6   7 7 (heggie rod)CHOW CHAVION 122 20.00 31.45  
WICKED WIZZY 1 9 9 910½   9 8 (ward anderson)PARRIS SACHIN 115 30.00 5% 19.00 49.60  
SMOKIN JOY 8 4 21 8   8 9 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 8.00 12.25  
 
CTD-7   10/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:221 :47 1:132     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THISCATSGOTSPEED 3 9 911¼ 6   1nk 1 (hedge rick)BECKLES JARELLE 122 3.50 28% 2.60 4.50 W
REMARKABLE ELI 7 2 32 2   3.2 2 (gilkyson ashley)BRYAN D 5 12.00 10% 9.50 3.25 P
LAHUN 2 8 7 4   4 33 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00 19% 4.20 1.65 S
OAK BAY QUALITY 1 6 56 5   5 4 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 122 2.50 18% 4.60 5.80  
LEGAL ASSASSIN 8 3 12 1   2nk 5 (heggie rod)CHOW CHAVION 122 10.00 21.50  
BOBS BUDDY 6 1 22 3   6 622 (ward anderso)NATERA KEIHTON 125 15.00 5% 18.50 13.60  
JUST LOUIE 5 4 8 815¾   713¼ 724¼ (ladouc)STEADMAN LEON 125 50.00 52.05  
TAPFERSURE 9 5 44 713¾   814¼ 829 (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.00 10.20  
TRUE ALYBYE 4 7 68 915¾   916¼ 931¾ (roberts)CHASE RICHARD 122 20.00 58.75  
 
CTD-8   10/12/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:132 1:271   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK CHALK 7 5 4 33   12 1½ (rycroft)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 3.00 29% 2.40 2.50 W
RUNNINFORCOVER 1 9 911½ 78   33 2½ (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 6.00 4.30  
PODEROSO EQUS 6 8 7 4   22 3 (gardip)PATTERSON R 125 4.00 30% 2.40 7.25 S
JOKER MATT 5 4 56 54   5 4 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 8.00 14% 6.30 5.05  
10  FLASHIN ACES 9 7 66 64   43 5 (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 125 20.00 41.55  
MONEY MUNCHER 2 2 23 21   6 6 (cone rodney)NATERA KEIHTON 125 10.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
INDEPENDENCE NEIGH 8 6 8 89   7 710 (reid c)STEADMAN LEON 125 20.00 45.25  
LIL ZAPPER 4 1 13 11   8 813 (gilkyson ash)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 15.00 5% 19.00 5.55  
C C'S KITTEN 3 3 3 910½   912¼ 920½ (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 115 3.50 6.60  
SCR  FORGOTTEN VOWS               (fantin caitlin)MARTIN ANDRE 125 30.00    
 
CTD-9   10/12/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Don Getty Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:124 1:383   1:53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VARATTI 3 6 43 4 11 1 1 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 126 1.60 29% 2.40 1.35 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ARTEMIS by CRUSADER SWORD)
12  AL REICHERT 11 1 10 9 52 2 2 (zielke madis)NATERA KEIHTON 119 20.00 24.35  
  (by IMPERIALISM out of AMALGAMATION by LEMON DROP KID)
COOLWIND 4 11 1112¼ 11 9 4 3 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 118 30.00 17.55  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of FALLSEED by FOREST WILDCAT)
AMERICAN BLAZE 8 7 7 64 4 3 46 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 20.00 8.35  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of BEAUTY N BALANCE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
DECOY 6 5 5 10 8 69 511½ (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 125 4.00 29% 2.40 3.35  
  (by AIKENITE out of WINE GLOW by TIZNOW)
11  RIVERSIDE 10 8 9 75 7 8 611½ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 119 15.00 10.30  
  (by BERNARDINI out of RAINIER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
BIG NICK 7 2 6 5 63 7 712½ (smith ro)CHOW CHAVION 122 4.50 5% 18.30 21.15  
  (by BAYERN out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
SIR BREGOVIC 1 3 1½ 1½ 21 59 815¼ (anderson gon)TAVARES DANIEL 117 30.00 28.35  
  (by SIR GALLOVIC out of TRIPPI BREE by TRIPPI)
FLASHFORDANI 5 9 8 85 10 912¾ 920½ (kingston )ZENTENO JR 120 15.00 5% 19.00 19.35  
  (by TAPITURE out of AVE'S HALO by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
10  MAGIC TIGER 9 4 2½ 2½ 31 1014¾ 1021 (cone rodney)BECKLES JARELLE 123 6.00 10% 9.10 15.45  
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
NEIGHBOR 2 10 32 3 11 1118¾ 1127¼ (kingston c)BRYAN D 116 15.00 21.25  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of HOOKY by SKIP AWAY)
SCR  CLASSY CITY               (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 117 20.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CITY SECTION by CITY ZIP)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.