Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Saturday - October 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-2   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-3   WIN (6/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/4)-(4/8/2/6)-(3/1/7/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CTD-4   WIN (4/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/2/6)-(3/1/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTD-5   WIN (3/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTD-6   WIN (6/5/4/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/9/1)-(6/5/4/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/9/1)-(6/5/4/9/1)-(6/5/4/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
CTD-7   WIN (3/2/1/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/7/6)-(3/2/1/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/7/6)-(3/2/1/7/6)-(3/2/1/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/7/6)-(7/8/6/5/2)-(3/7/10/8/6) 125 $1.00 $125 
CTD-8   WIN (7/8/6/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/5/2)-(7/8/6/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/5/2)-(7/8/6/5/2)-(7/8/6/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/6/5/2)-(3/7/10/8/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CTD-9   WIN (3/7/10/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/10/8/6)-(3/7/10/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/10/8/6)-(3/7/10/8/6)-(3/7/10/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-1   10/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TANSI Sep18         (cone rodney)BECKLES JARELLE 119 20.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of WELLESLEY GIRL by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
2  KITTY HOUSE Sep13 Aug23 Aug10 Jul17   (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 119 0.80 61% 0.60    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of KITTENISTIC by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  SNEAKY SITUATION Sep29 Sep03 Aug14 Aug06 Jul23 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 119 3.00 13% 6.80    
  (by MO TOWN out of AFLEET LEXI by AFLEET ALEX)
4  HOPE SHINES Sep29 Aug31       (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 119 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of NOON TIME SHOWER by NOONMARK)
5  HOLMDEL HORNET         (smith )STEADMAN LEON 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of WINNING SCOOP by BERNARDINI)
6  ALLURING ALI Sep13 Aug10       (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 119 3.50    
  (by FED BIZ out of TRAIL OF LETTERS by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
 
CTD-2   10/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OOPS (GB) Sep28 Sep13 Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 (o'hagan coll)HUGHES RASHEED 122 0.60 64% 0.60    
SCR  SASSY PIPER Sep28 Sep13       (tingle ken)MUIR SHAMAREE 122 20.00    
3  RUN MYA RUN Sep28 Sep13 Aug10 Jul26 Jul13 (ward anderson)PARRIS SACHIN 115 15.00    
4  SIRACHA Sep28 Sep07 Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 (pal)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 1.60 15% 5.80    
5  FLIRTATION CARD Sep28 Aug02       (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHASUBLE Sep13 Aug30 Jul14 Jun14 May18 (fantin caitlin)MARTIN ANDRE 122 50.00    
 
CTD-3   10/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR BROKER         (rycroft)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of KINDEST REGARDS by CONGRATS)
2  BUCK SPRINGS Sep29 Aug31 Aug03     (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 122 10.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of B R'S GIRL by PULPIT)
3  WORTHY SPIRIT Sep29         (smith rob)NELSON DANE 119 8.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BACKSIDE BELLE by STAY THIRSTY)
4  LOVINGTIME         (tingle)PATTERSON R 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROJANO TIME out of TEEAMARIA by TEEMAN)
5  TANGO FOR THE SOUL Sep14 Aug31 Aug10     (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 6.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of MAGIC TANGO by MAGIC PROSPECT)
6  AH TOUCHE Sep29 Sep14 Aug31     (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 119 1.20 69% 0.50    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of AMNESIAN by BOLD N' FLASHY)
7  ZIP IT WRIT Sep14 Aug31 Aug10     (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 122 3.50 9% 9.90    
  (by TAPWRIT out of PLEASE ZIP IT by CITY ZIP)
8  STONE HOUSE Sep14 Aug31       (fantin caitlin)MARTIN ANDRE 122 20.00    
  (by LEMON DROP MOUSSE out of PURPLE BARBIE by FLATTER)
 
CTD-4   10/12/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVERFOOT Sep21 Sep14 Aug23 Jul26 Jul05 (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.00    
2  ORANGE THEORY Sep28 Sep07 Aug31 Aug03 Jul16 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SMARTY RIVER PANTS Sep21 Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul17 (anderson g)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 10.00    
4  BARE BACK JACK Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 Aug02 Jun22 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00 52% 0.90    
5  CHARLIE'S COPY Sep28 Aug30 Jun28 Jun15 May17 (rycroft tom)POON ANDREW 122 5.00    
6  DANCING WILLIE Oct05 Sep13 Aug24 Jul31 Jul06 (anderson gonza)CHOW CHAVION 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  JUMEIRAH COAST Sep21 Aug24 Aug09 Jul17 Jun29 (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 125 6.00    
8  COMMON KNOWLEDGE Sep28 Sep14 Aug23 Jul19 Jun29 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.50 20% 3.90    
 
CTD-5   10/12/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lynn Chouinard Founders Distaff Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BURROW DOWN Sep18 Aug26 Aug05 Jul12 Jun21 (robert)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 2.50 13% 6.50    
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
2  MONOPOLIZE Sep29 Sep14 Sep07 Aug17 Aug02 (grieves ron)NATERA KEIHTON 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GAYEGO out of MONONO by WHYWHYWHY)
3  BIG HUG Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 Aug02 Jul12 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 126 1.20 46% 1.20    
  (by MR. BIG out of TEMEEKU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  MINE ME Aug30 Aug05 Jul12 May31 May10 (hedge rick)BECKLES JARELLE 120 20.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of FORGOTTEN MISS by QUEBEC DANCER)
5  PLUM BLUE Sep14 Aug30 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 (kettleson al)HUGHES RASHEED 121 15.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of POLITICAL AFFAIR by POLITICAL FORCE)
6  MAJESTIC OOPS Aug24 Aug02 Jul10 Jun22 May31 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 4.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of MISS OOPS by OLMODAVOR)
7  DANCE SHOES Sep14 Aug17 Jul26 Jul10 Jun22 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 120 12.00 11% 8.30    
  (by MANK out of DANCIN FOR DELLANA by WHYWHYWHY)
 
CTD-6   10/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED WIZZY Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 Aug16 Aug09 (ward anderson)PARRIS SACHIN 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  EL CORRECAMINOS Sep29 Sep13 Aug30 Aug24 Jul27 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 122 3.50    
3  SPOT ON JOLEE Sep13 Aug31 Aug16 Aug09 Jul17 (heggie rod)CHOW CHAVION 122 20.00    
4  MILITARY SASS Oct06 Aug31 Aug09 Jul26 May24 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.50 14% 6.30    
5  ALBERTA Sep29 Sep13 Aug16 Aug09 Jul13 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.50 16% 5.20    
6  KARDINAL ROSE Sep29 Aug26 Jul05 Jun22 May31 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 122 3.00 32% 2.20    
7  EVERYTHING TO GAIN Sep29 Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 (rumsey )CHASE RICHARD 125 30.00    
8  SMOKIN JOY Oct06 Sep29 Sep13 Aug16 Jul06 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 8.00    
9  TENDER LOVE Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 Aug10 Jul26 (leech willi)BECKLES JARELLE 125 15.00 8% 11.90    
 
CTD-7   10/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAK BAY QUALITY Sep22 Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
2  LAHUN Sep22 Aug31 Aug16 Jul26 Jul06 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00 19% 4.20    
3  THISCATSGOTSPEED Sep22 Aug30 Aug10 Jul31 Jul19 (hedge rick)BECKLES JARELLE 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
4  TRUE ALYBYE Sep21 Aug17 Aug02 Jul06   (roberts)CHASE RICHARD 122 20.00    
5  JUST LOUIE Jul12 Oct10 Sep25 Sep11 Aug21 (ladouc)STEADMAN LEON 125 50.00    
6  BOBS BUDDY Sep22 Oct22 Oct14 Sep17 Sep01 (ward anderso)NATERA KEIHTON 125 15.00 5% 18.50    
7  REMARKABLE ELI Sep22 Aug31 Aug09 Jul24 Jun28 (gilkyson ashley)BRYAN D 5 12.00 10% 9.50    
8  LEGAL ASSASSIN Aug30 Aug03 Jul19 Jul06 Jun08 (heggie rod)CHOW CHAVION 122 10.00    
9  TAPFERSURE Sep07 Aug16 Jul05 Jun08 May25 (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.00    
 
CTD-8   10/12/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNINFORCOVER Sep29 Sep13 Aug10 Aug02 Jul17 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 6.00    
2  MONEY MUNCHER Oct05 Sep21 Sep06 Aug24 Jul31 (cone rodney)NATERA KEIHTON 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  C C'S KITTEN Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 115 3.50    
SCR  FORGOTTEN VOWS Aug10 Jul28 Jul14 Jun15 Jun01 (fantin caitlin)MARTIN ANDRE 125 30.00    
5  LIL ZAPPER Oct06 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 (gilkyson ash)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  JOKER MATT Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 Aug24 Aug09 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 8.00 14% 6.30    
7  PODEROSO EQUS Sep16 Sep04 Aug14 Aug05 Jul23 (gardip)PATTERSON R 125 4.00 30% 2.40    
8  ROCK CHALK Sep21 Sep06 Aug16 Jul31 Jul12 (rycroft tim)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00 29% 2.40    
9  INDEPENDENCE NEIGH Sep28 Sep22 Sep06 Aug16 Jul24 (reid c)STEADMAN LEON 125 20.00    
10  FLASHIN ACES Sep28 Aug11 Jul28 Jun29 Jun14 (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 125 20.00    
 
CTD-9   10/12/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Don Getty Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR BREGOVIC Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Jul31 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 117 30.00    
  (by SIR GALLOVIC out of TRIPPI BREE by TRIPPI)
2  NEIGHBOR Sep22 Sep07 Jul27 Jul13 Jun21 (kingston c)BRYAN D 116 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of HOOKY by SKIP AWAY)
3  VARATTI Aug24 Aug09 Jul12 Jun29 Jun08 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 126 1.60 29% 2.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ARTEMIS by CRUSADER SWORD)
4  COOLWIND Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 Jul19 Jul05 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 118 30.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of FALLSEED by FOREST WILDCAT)
SCR  CLASSY CITY Sep14 Aug24 Jul19 Jul06 Jun07 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 117 20.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CITY SECTION by CITY ZIP)
6  FLASHFORDANI Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 Jul17 Jun28 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of AVE'S HALO by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  DECOY Sep28 Sep13 Aug24 Jul12 Jun21 (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 125 4.00 29% 2.40    
  (by AIKENITE out of WINE GLOW by TIZNOW)
8  BIG NICK Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 (smith ro)CHOW CHAVION 122 4.50 5% 18.30    
  (by BAYERN out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
9  AMERICAN BLAZE Sep14 Aug24 Jul12 Jun15 May18 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of BEAUTY N BALANCE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
10  MAGIC TIGER Sep24 Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 (cone rodney)BECKLES JARELLE 123 6.00 10% 9.10    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
11  RIVERSIDE Sep28 Sep06 Aug24 Jul12 Jun21 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 119 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of RAINIER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
12  AL REICHERT Sep14 Aug13 Jul13 Jun28 May25 (zielke madis)NATERA KEIHTON 119 20.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of AMALGAMATION by LEMON DROP KID)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.