Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(5/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(5/2/7/4)-(1/4/6/7/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-2   WIN (5/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/4)-(5/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/4)-(5/2/7/4)-(5/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/7/4)-(1/4/6/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/4)-(1/4/6/7/10)-(9/8/7/10/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-3   WIN (1/4/6/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/7/10)-(1/4/6/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/7/10)-(1/4/6/7/10)-(1/4/6/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/6/7/10)-(9/8/7/10/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/7/10)-(9/8/7/10/3)-(5/3/2/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-4   WIN (9/8/7/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/7/10/3)-(9/8/7/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/7/10/3)-(9/8/7/10/3)-(9/8/7/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/7/10/3)-(5/3/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/8/7/10/3)-(5/3/2/6)-(2/9/10/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-5   WIN (5/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/6)-(2/9/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/6)-(2/9/10/6)-(3/1/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-6   WIN (2/9/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/10/6)-(2/9/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/10/6)-(2/9/10/6)-(2/9/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/10/6)-(3/1/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/9/10/6)-(3/1/2/7)-(10/8/9/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-7   WIN (3/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/7)-(10/8/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CD-8   WIN (10/8/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/9/1)-(10/8/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/8/9/1)-(10/8/9/1)-(10/8/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC CAR WASH Mar14 Jan17 Dec13 Aug24 May18 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  WILL TAKE IT Apr25 Mar08 Feb01 Jan04 Nov23 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
3  FROSTED DEPARTURE Apr24 Mar21 Jan05 Dec01 Sep25 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 124 5.00    
4  ARRO SMASH May01 Feb13 Jan17 Dec20 Nov09 (bauer philip)TORRES A 122 12.00    
5  TUMBARUMBA May04 Jan25 Dec21 Nov02 Sep28 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
6  DRAGOON GUARD Sep21 Aug04 Jul06 Jun02 Apr21 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.00 51% 0.90    
SCR  INJUNCTION Apr06 Feb28 Dec01 Sep21 Aug11 (cowans willia)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50    
 
CD-2   05/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MI COMPADRE Feb20         (williamson b)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 12.00    
2  HALFWAY TEMPTED May03 Mar16 Jan31 Nov22 Nov02 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 3.00 16% 5.40    
3  HARD SPUN TO RUN Apr23 Mar13       (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
4  LUCKY SEVEN May07 Dec21 Nov24 Oct30 Oct03 (spraggins kenn)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  ARMY HERO Apr10 Mar05 Feb13 Dec07 Nov10 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 125 1.80 59% 0.70    
6  TOUGH CUSTOMER Apr13 Mar14 Feb14     (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50    
7  DAN D'ORO Apr29 Mar14 Jan10 Dec22 Dec06 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIC CHECK         (hughes g)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
 
CD-3   05/22/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAKUDA Apr30         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 35% 1.80    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SIMPLY SOVEREIGN by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
2  CLOWNING AROUND Apr06         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 5.00    
  (by HOOTENANNY out of AVENTURE LOVE by ORPEN)
3  MY SWEETHEART         (casse mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MY DARLING by MUGHAADIR)
4  NANINA (GER)         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of NASEEJ by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  RED BERETTA Apr30         (douaihy michel)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of DONTGETINMYWAY by MACHIAVELLIAN)
6  MOTHER OF PEARL Apr25         (wojczynsk)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 18% 4.40    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of LA PEREGRINA by HARD SPUN)
7  CAROOM'S CROUPIER May08         (pomier chasey)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HAMAZING DESTINY out of PADDLE OUT by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
8  MUNCHKIN Apr25         (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of GLINDA by STREET SENSE)
9  FLAMING MAMA         (sands shan)HERNANDEZ N 119 20.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MONEY FOR MAMA by STRONG MANDATE)
10  PURELY ZEN Apr16         (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of ETERNAL PEACE by WAR FRONT)
SCR  LEXGO Apr11         (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of AMERICAN HEIRESS by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
SCR  LEWINSKY         (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
  (by REGAL CLASSIC out of ENTANGLE by PIVOTAL)
SCR  A ROSE FOR SKYLER May01 Apr17       (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 20.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of LET RIGHT BE DONE by WAR FRONT)
SCR  MISS CLARKE         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 15.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GIGI JEAN by TEMPLE CITY)
 
CD-4   05/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIERCE ELEVATED May08 Mar07 Feb07 Jan24 Jun14 (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00    
2  SPOONIE Apr29 Apr04 Mar15 Feb28 Feb13 (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 20.00    
3  STANDARD OF PROOF Apr12 Mar22 Jan21 Nov05 Sep03 (vaccarezza nic)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  SANDINI Apr24 Mar28       (medina ro)TORRES A 120 15.00    
5  INFINITE LUCK May03 Mar18 Jan31 Dec06 Nov28 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
6  SHATTUCK Mar28 Mar09 Feb03 Dec22 Dec06 (ramsey nolan)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
7  GOLDEN PLATE Apr10 May23 May05 Apr20 Mar10 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50 7% 12.40    
8  STELLAR VINO May03 Mar28 Mar02 Jan24 Dec01 (cunningham s)GEROUX FLORENT 124 4.50 22% 3.50    
9  METALHEAD Apr10 Mar19 Feb05 Jan04 Dec06 (claire alexis)CURTIS BEN 124 6.00 36% 1.70    
10  RIVETAGE Apr27 Mar28 Mar09 Mar01 Jan05 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 8.00 5% 18.50    
 
CD-5   05/22/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTONIA'S FLOWERS Apr26 Mar28       (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of PARIS AMOUR by FROSTED)
2  BULLET BABY Dec18 Nov27 Oct23     (radcliffe robe)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of PULLED THE GOALIE by PARADING)
3  EZ TREE ATES May01 Apr04 Mar09 Feb16 Nov21 (atras rob)TORRES A 118 6.00 28% 2.60    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of IRISH JASPER by FIRST DEFENCE)
4  ASHES AND DIAMONDS Apr26 Apr09 Sep01     (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of REGAL PASSAGE by VIOLENCE)
5  LOLO LE PLUME May02 Apr06 Feb14 Jan03 Dec07 (hess b)LEPAROUX R 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of LE PLUME by SMART STRIKE)
6  MANY MO KISSES Apr24 Mar28 Mar06 Jan23   (michael b)BEALMEAR C 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MOONLIGHT KISS by MALIBU MOON)
7  MADDIENLIZZYSHONOR Apr26 Mar16 Feb17 Jan03   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of BUSY LISTENING by DEHERE)
8  CHURNING BERNI Apr26 Apr11 Jan25 Dec28 Nov14 (jacobson dav)MONCADA IRVING 120 4.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ABUNDANT FLURRY by MIDSHIPMAN)
 
CD-6   05/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($86K) 3 F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EXINGTON Mar28 Mar03 Nov29 Oct26 Aug29 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
2  AORAKI Apr04 Aug24 Jul11 Jun06 May10 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.00 30% 2.30    
3  COMMANDED Apr04 Dec22 Nov23 Oct26   (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  MISS TIFEYE Nov28 Oct31 Oct09 Sep15 Aug25 (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00    
5  MEZCALIFORNIA Apr07 Mar06 Feb14 Dec20 Nov23 (baker james)MONCADA IRVING 113 15.00    
6  ALWAYS PRACTICAL May08 Apr19 Mar20 Mar04 Feb06 (claire alexis)CURTIS BEN 118 10.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  ANAKARINA May10 Jan20 Dec22 Nov24 Sep12 (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 118 3.00    
8  SWEET BEBSI Apr16 Mar20 Feb26 Feb01 Nov15 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
SCR  EMPIRICAL MISCHIEF Apr17 Oct04 Sep14 Aug03 Jun26 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
10  SWEET NOTE Mar07 Jan01 Nov30 Oct27   (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 17% 5.10    
 
CD-7   05/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORPOSO Apr20 May17 Apr06 Mar08 Feb18 (eurton peter)GEROUX FLORENT 124 2.50 18% 4.60    
2  AUTUMN RHYTHM (GB) Apr12 Mar03 Feb06 Jan17 Nov06 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 12% 7.60    
3  STIPULATE Apr26 Mar01 Feb08 Dec28 Nov30 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 39% 1.60    
4  CRUSHED ICE Nov20 Oct28 Oct17 Aug31 Jul28 (quartarol)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00    
5  ISLANDER Dec01 Oct30 Oct04 Aug14 Jun20 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 124 5.00    
6  VIABLE Jan17 Dec01 Oct24 Sep14 Jul13 (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
7  STEAMPUNK Nov03 Sep15 Aug29 Aug10 Jun12 (davis christophe)CURTIS BEN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  CE LA VI CHARLI Mar01 Feb09 Dec28 Nov30 Oct06 (blair jordan)TORRES A 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON MY HONOR Apr10 Feb21 Jan04 Nov27 Nov07 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  REWIRE Apr18 Mar14 Feb07 Dec20 Nov20 (shorter aaron)GRAHAM J 123 12.00    
3  HASTEN Apr30 Mar15 Dec20 Nov07 Oct17 (simms jr)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
4  PENROD Apr30 Mar28 Mar01 Jan31 May11 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00    
5  GLOBAL LEGEND Mar28 Mar07 Dec13 Oct19 Aug31 (casse mar)TORRES A 118 3.00    
6  BOTTOMS UP Sep07 Jul18 May18 Apr10   (mccutchen jas)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  GRAYDARIA May10 Mar27 Mar14 Feb21 Jan16 (garcia genaro)CEDILLO ABEL 118 6.00    
8  CANAVERO Apr22 Apr10 Mar14 Feb06 Jan01 (salas marcelin)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 12.00 13% 6.90    
9  SHRINER Apr22 Mar13 Jan30 Dec22 Aug29 (heitzman eric)ROCCO S 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  DEVILISH DESIRE May01 Apr06 Mar07 Feb16 Jan31 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 3.50 57% 0.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.