Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - May 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (7/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/2/4)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/4)-(1/4/3)-(2/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(2/1/5)-(4/1/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(4/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(4/1/6/2)-(9/10/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (4/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/2)-(9/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/2)-(9/10/4)-(5/7/3/2/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (9/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/4)-(9/10/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/10/4)-(9/10/4)-(9/10/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/10/4)-(5/7/3/2/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/10/4)-(5/7/3/2/11)-(7/5/2/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (5/7/3/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/2/11)-(5/7/3/2/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/2/11)-(5/7/3/2/11)-(5/7/3/2/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/3/2/11)-(7/5/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/2/11)-(7/5/2/1)-(9/2/4/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (7/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/1)-(9/2/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (9/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/6)-(9/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/6)-(9/2/4/6)-(9/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   05/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMMIGRATION LAW Apr25 Mar23 Oct17 Sep20   (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 5.00    
2  TWIRLY Apr24 Mar16 Feb22     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 11% 8.10    
3  CALLING AN AUDIBLE Apr25 Apr06 Feb28 Jan31 Dec13 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 125 5.00 26% 2.90    
4  HOUDINI'S BRIDE May03 Apr03 May16 Apr14   (nevin m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  GABBY'S LEGACY Apr18 Feb28 Jan05 Dec14 Oct20 (morley thomas)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.00    
6  MALIBU'S DYNAMITE May08 Apr06 Sep02 Aug18 Aug01 (keithan )VILLA FAVINHO 125 12.00    
7  GIANT AT WORK Mar16 Feb07 Dec29 Dec01   (clement )SANTANA JR 118 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
BAQ-2   05/15/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLS BEACH Apr03 Feb23 Jan11 Nov16 Jul12 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 28% 2.60    
2  TONED UP Mar28 Mar02 Jan30 Jan12 Oct19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
3  KISS ME HARDY Apr18 Jan30 Dec31 Nov06 Sep05 (morley thomas)SILVERA RUBEN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRIDES CROSSING Apr10 Mar08 Jan11 May25   (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00 26% 2.80    
5  INTO AMORE Apr10 Mar08 Jan25 Dec11   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.00    
SCR  GOLD LIGHTNING Apr26 Apr03 Dec11 Sep20 Jul07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.50    
 
BAQ-3   05/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNAPPIN BUTTONS May02 Apr05 Mar14 Feb09 Jan24 (arriaga anton)ORTIZ JR 126 8.00 26% 2.80    
2  TOUR JETE Nov15 Oct26 Sep02 Jul17 Jun09 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  BEING BETTY Oct13 Sep22 Jun14 Apr27 Nov17 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50    
SCR  BROCKNARDINI Oct13 Sep07 Aug14 Jul13 Sep30 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00    
5  BERNT AGAIN Feb27 Jan17 Nov15 Aug22 Jul24 (schettin)SANTANA JR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SNOWY EVENING Nov15 Oct13 Sep26 Aug22 Jul24 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50    
SCR  FAST AND FRISKY Apr05 Feb27 Jan17 Dec15 May25 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50    
SCR  RACING COLORS Apr18 Mar15 Feb27 Jan17 Jan02 (follett )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00    
SCR  EMBRACEABLE GAL Apr26 Mar23 Mar01 Jan24 Jan04 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 126 8.00    
10  GONE AND FORGOTTEN May01 Apr18 Apr04 Jan30 Jan17 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 126 4.50    
11  CALL HER BLUFF Apr18 Mar15 Feb23 Dec27 Dec07 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50    
 
BAQ-4   05/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEURSAULT Apr11 Feb14       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by TAPIT out of LASY W by WAR FRONT)
2  HERE'SYOURTROUBLE Apr09 Mar14 Jan09 Nov21 Aug26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of IN KELLY'S DEFENSE by FIRST DEFENCE)
3  HIGH NOTE Apr06 Feb22       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of ENCHANTED ROCK by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  SNOWYTE Apr11 Nov01 Oct05 Sep01   (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.80 38% 1.60    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SNOW FALL by WAR FRONT)
5  LESLIE'S STAR Sep01         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FREEDOM STAR by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  MAZAYAAT Apr17 Mar01       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 14% 6.40    
  (by BERNARDINI out of RUBIES ARE RED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  SHEER WILL Mar23 Feb08 Jun14     (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of UNDERESTIMATE by BROKEN VOW)
 
BAQ-5   05/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DETERMINEDLY Apr27 Oct25 Sep23 Jul23 Jun04 (casse ma)SANTANA JR 123 3.00    
SCR  INTO DIAMONDS Feb09 Jan09 Jul19 Apr25   (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00    
SCR  MAYA PRINCE Apr19 Nov02 Oct05 Sep07 Aug22 (trombetta mic)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50    
SCR  FLUID SITUATION Mar15 Feb22 Feb02 Nov15 Oct17 (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00    
4  HEAVEN STREET Oct25 Sep21 Aug15 Jul04 May27 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ISOMARSHALL Jan17 Jan04 Dec12 Nov22 Nov15 (keithan rachael)DAVIS KATIE 123 50.00    
SCR  TAP TO MISCHIEF Jul06         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
SCR  HILARIOUS AFFAIR Apr09 Mar22 Jan29 Dec20 Nov16 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.00    
SCR  KORRONGO Nov02 Sep15 Jul21 Jun28 May31 (reynol)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00    
9  COLD AS HELL Apr17 Mar07 Jan30 Jan19 Dec14 (rice li)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 1.60 46% 1.20    
10  LASER SHARP Apr23 Mar08 Feb09 Nov24 May19 (terranova p)RIDER TBA 123 3.50 30% 2.40    
11  MASTERWORK Apr19 Apr05 Mar21 Mar07 Feb14 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 123 15.00    
 
BAQ-6   05/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLITICAL SPIN Apr18 Mar07 Feb02 Jan03 Dec13 (rodrigue)VILLA FAVINHO 125 30.00    
2  LAST MANGO Apr25 Feb23       (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CITY BLOCKS Nov20 Oct22 Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 (barker e)SANTANA JR 123 5.00 19% 4.20    
4  BUSSIA Mar01 Feb08 Apr20 Feb17 Dec07 (bond ke)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00    
5  BLUE EYED SCOUT Apr23 Feb13 Dec28 Nov16 Sep20 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
6  NO FACTOR Mar08 Feb07 Jan17 Nov18 Nov06 (charlerie grego)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
7  CDAKHAT (IRE) Apr23 Mar12 Feb13 Jan16   (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
8  SHAMAN PRINCESS Apr04 Mar14 Feb02 Jan16 Nov20 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00    
9  EASTERN STAR Apr24 Apr04 Mar14 Feb27 Jan31 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 15.00    
SCR  BELLA VOCE Nov30 Oct20 Jul18 Jun25 May28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
11  JUST WORDS Apr24 Apr06 Mar09 Dec06 Nov23 (ryerson jam)GONZALEZ MELVIS 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUCKPHAT Dec08 Nov14 Sep19 Aug29 Jul24 (corrao james)LUZZI J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  GRACE REFORMED Mar23 Feb06 Nov19 Oct23 Oct09 (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 2.50 18% 4.50    
3  CHASING DAYLIGHT Apr26 Apr03 Mar02 Jan24 Jan12 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 6.00    
4  AMY'S LIGHT Mar22 Feb06 Dec15 Nov17 Nov01 (pringle ed)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 119 12.00    
5  INTO STARDOM Apr06 Feb22       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
6  LIKA ROLLING STONE May01 Apr19 Mar19 Feb22 Jan31 (arriaga antoni)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 5.00    
7  PRETTY MAGICAL Apr10 Feb28 Jan05 Dec14 Nov16 (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
BAQ-8   05/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTISOCIAL Oct12 Sep07       (duarte j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SOCIABLE by BOLD BIDDING)
2  CUANDO Apr19 Feb27 Oct05 Sep01 Aug15 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 17% 4.80    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
3  SHADOW BANKING         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of COOL by CALEB'S POSSE)
4  DISCOTHEQUE Apr06 Feb22 Jan25 Nov07 Oct09 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 16% 5.20    
  (by CONNECT out of NEW HOPE ROAD by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  SNARE Dec28 Nov15       (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of KERI BELLE by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  TODO MEN Mar18 Feb13 Jan16 Dec19   (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GOLDEN CROWN by T. H. APPROVAL)
SCR  NOD TO TRAN Mar29 Dec28 Nov15 Oct26 Sep20 (diprima gregor)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SEA HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  MAKE ME Mar29         (duggan dav)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of AMARANTH by MR. GREELEY)
9  BENNY THE WAITER (IRE) Apr12 Mar15       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 17% 4.80    
  (by BLUE POINT out of NEWTON'S ANGEL by DARK ANGEL (IRE))
10  HENRY'S HOPE Apr24 Apr05 Mar07 Dec28 Nov22 (jones edua)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 111 15.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SKY GESTURE by TIZNOW)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.