Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - April 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(3/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(3/4/7)-(1/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(1/5/3)-(3/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(3/2/1)-(5/3/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(5/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(5/3/7)-(8/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(8/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(8/2/3)-(2/3/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/3)-(8/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/3)-(8/2/3)-(8/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/3)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3)-(2/3/1/5)-(8/6/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/5)-(8/6/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (8/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/04/2025 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLLIE CAN DANCE Feb21 Jan25 Nov13 Oct21 Sep30 (ibrahim )DAVIS A 121 15.00    
2  PETROLO Jan17 Nov23 Oct09 Aug13 Jul09 (bond kevin)COA J 123 1.20 49% 1.10    
3  A LISTER Jan31 Jan17 Jan01 Dec15 Nov23 (pringle)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  BLAME IT ON DADDY Mar15 Jan24 Jan03 Nov16 Oct18 (de hor)RIVERA R 121 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  BOSS THREE O TWO Mar21 Feb22 Feb15 Jan11 Apr21 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.50    
6  LANDAUER Feb15 Jan17 Dec15 Nov30 Oct24 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 121 6.00    
 
AQU-2   04/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GO IRISH Jul13 Jun21 May11     (antonucci jena)COA J 124 15.00    
2  FACE THE FACTS Feb28 Dec12 Nov13 Oct10 Sep23 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
3  SILO RIDGE Feb28 Jan18 Feb10 Jan13 Dec09 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 0.60 60% 0.70    
4  CAMM' DUKE Mar09 Feb13 Jan19 Dec27 Nov01 (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00 14% 6.20    
5  ARI'S MAGIC Dec28 Nov30 Mar30 Feb03 Jan05 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 124 5.00    
6  ENDURING SPIRIT Jan04 Aug26 Aug11 Jun30 May16 (jimenez jose)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
7  CELTIC PRINCE Feb14 Jan17       (brion )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-3   04/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TABEGUACHE Feb06 Dec29 Nov24 Oct25 Sep26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  CHELONIAN Feb23 Jan29 Jan13 Dec16 Nov20 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50    
2  ALTERNATE REALITY Mar07 Feb13 Nov08 Oct19 Oct05 (englehart chri)LUZZI J 123 5.00    
3  LOST IN ROME Mar14 Feb23 Jan24 Oct13 Sep15 (potts wayne)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Mar14 Mar07 Jan24 Dec13 Nov23 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 2.00    
5  MISTICAL CURLIN Sep15 Jul05 May19 Apr06 Mar09 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 18% 4.40    
6  CENTAVO Mar15 Feb23 Feb15 Feb07 May18 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00    
7  COSTA TERRA Feb23 Jan04 Nov24 Nov07 Oct19 (cox h)CASTELLANO J 123 3.00    
 
AQU-4   04/04/2025 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OMEY ISLAND Feb23 Jan24 Dec29 Jun01 May05 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 123 8.00 5% 17.60    
2  TOMACON Feb28 Jan26 Dec28 Nov29 Nov03 (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 22% 3.60    
3  TIMAEUS Mar09 Jan24 Jan04 Jun22 May27 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  BERNING BEAUTY Feb22 Feb02 Jan03 Nov29 Oct31 (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00    
5  NEON BORDEAUX Mar07 Dec27 Nov17 Oct17   (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
6  MAD BANKER Mar07 Feb16 Jan25 Jun02 May12 (ness j)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.50    
 
AQU-5   04/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALO CITY Feb22 Jan19 Jan03 Nov08 Oct20 (rodriguez rudy)CEDENO CAROL 121 6.00    
2  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Mar14 Feb15 Jan31 Jan03 Nov13 (potts wayne)GONZALEZ MELVIS 114 15.00    
3  APRIL ANTICS Mar14 Mar07 Jan19 Jan05 Nov22 (barrera os)VILLALOBOS FRANK 121 10.00 8% 12.10    
4  COQUITO Mar08 Jan10 Nov18 Nov06 Sep09 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.00    
5  TRADE SECRET Mar28 Feb15 Jan03 Nov22 Oct20 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.60 59% 0.70    
SCR  FIND YOUR JOY Feb22 Jan23 Jan05 Dec12 Nov17 (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
7  EVERLYS GIRL Mar28 Mar14 Feb22 Jan31 Jan25 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   04/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Jan30 Jan17 Jan02 Dec14 Nov21 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 3.50    
SCR  BREW PUB Mar09 Feb09 Dec13 Nov22 Oct23 (kantarmaci ilk)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50    
2  HORSE BE WITH YOU Mar09 Feb09 Sep02 Jul23 May26 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 22% 3.50    
3  POP COYER Mar14 Feb08 Dec15 Nov05 Oct16 (engleh)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 12% 7.10    
4  STOP THE SPREAD Jan26 Jan11 Nov20 Oct30 Oct07 (caramor)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 30.00    
5  HEY TOBY Mar08 Jan31 Dec28 Nov27 Nov11 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00    
SCR  PROVISION Mar08 Feb15 Sep29 Aug29 Jul31 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00    
SCR  AMUNDSON Mar14 Feb21 Jul27 Jul06 May05 (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.50    
8  MONTEBELLO Mar09 Feb09 Jan18 Jan05 Dec08 (cox h)RIVERA R 123 2.00 31% 2.30    
 
AQU-7   04/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($86K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWER SEEKER Aug23 Aug02 Jul05 May19 Apr20 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 5.00 6% 14.60    
2  STAR OF WONDER Nov24 Oct24 Sep14 Jun02   (cox h)CASTELLANO J 123 1.80 51% 1.00    
3  BIG BLUE LINE Feb28 Jan18 Dec14 Oct11 Sep28 (walden william)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 18% 4.70    
4  NELSON AVENUE Mar07 Feb01 Dec31 Dec07 Oct26 (potts wayne)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00    
5  JAMIE DREAMS Mar03 Jan29 Jan13 Dec16 Nov06 (linder louis )OCASIO M 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  REPO ROCKS Mar14 Jan18 Dec31 Dec07 Oct26 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00    
7  CASTLE CHAOS Feb01 Aug23 Jul26 Jun08 Apr06 (falcone)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 12.00    
 
AQU-8   04/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY CARA MIA MINE Oct24 Sep22 Jul18 May19 Jul23 (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SANTAGATA Mar09 Mar01 Jul07 Jun16   (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50    
3  ALLEY'S SONG Mar07 Feb27 Feb02 Dec08 Nov29 (ferraro jam)GONZALEZ MELVIS 117 6.00    
4  DANNEEL Mar23 Feb28 Feb13 Nov25 Nov12 (schaue)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  EASTERN STAR Mar14 Feb27 Jan31 Jan12 May11 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00    
6  DESPO'S DREAM Mar22 Feb15 Jan23 Oct16 Sep25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
7  BIG HAZEL Feb27 Jan18 Dec27 Nov29 Nov10 (donk david)CEDENO CAROL 124 15.00    
8  SHAMAN PRINCESS Mar14 Feb02 Jan16 Nov20 Sep20 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.