Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Saturday - March 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(2/7/6/1)-(7/5/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-2   WIN (2/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/1)-(7/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(2/3/7/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-3   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/3/1)-(2/3/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/1)-(2/3/7/4)-(1/5/2/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-4   WIN (2/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/4)-(1/5/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/4)-(1/5/2/3)-(8/10/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (1/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/3)-(8/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/3)-(8/10/6)-(5/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-6   WIN (8/10/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/10/6)-(8/10/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/10/6)-(8/10/6)-(8/10/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/10/6)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/10/6)-(5/1/3)-(6/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-7   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(6/2/3)-(9/4/3/10/11) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-8   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(9/4/3/10/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FG-9   WIN (9/4/3/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/10/11)-(9/4/3/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/10/11)-(9/4/3/10/11)-(9/4/3/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARPER GAL Feb28 Jan31 Jan01 Dec08 Nov21 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00    
2  MISS SHIPMAN Jan23 Nov26 Nov09 Aug22 Jul12 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 121 2.50 19% 4.40    
3  MISS MAXIMUS Feb13 Jan09 Aug23 Jul11 Jun01 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 3.00    
4  DAY FOR THE GRAY Feb08 Jan25 Dec19 Nov16 Oct10 (govea cesar)TORRES A 121 4.50    
5  SHELLEY'S MONEY Jan01 Nov09 Jul12 May29 Feb03 (duhon jose)WELLINGTON KYLIE 121 8.00 18% 4.50    
6  SHE'S INTHEARMYNOW Feb16 Dec27 Sep05 Aug17 May16 (catalano wayn)CANNON DECLAN 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
FG-2   03/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($75K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THRILLA Feb08 Jan11 Dec21 Nov30 Oct19 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  OUR FAVORITE SON Jan25 Nov01 Sep27 Aug31   (bauer phil)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.50 34% 2.00    
3  TOWNER TOO Feb02 Oct12 Sep21 Aug31 Aug18 (robertson mc)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.00    
4  SHOOT THE NICKEL Feb02 Jan09 Nov28 Nov01 Sep28 (devaux adria)TORRES A 119 3.00    
SCR  OTTER CREEK Jan18 Nov22       (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 20.00    
6  MR. WALLBANGER Feb08 Dec28       (landry ray)FUSILIER C 119 10.00 17% 4.70    
7  CARAMBASO Feb02 Jan09 Dec19 Nov09 Sep21 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.00 19% 4.40    
8  ALLIED COMMANDER Feb07 Jan09 Dec22     (roberson k)RIQUELME J 119 8.00    
 
FG-3   03/08/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLATINUM MINIT Jan30 Jan04 Dec15 Jun14 Mar23 (ducoing s)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SWEET ALEXIS Feb17 Jan30 Dec15 Nov22 Oct11 (devereux p)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00    
3  GRABIQ Jul13 Jun20 Mar21 Feb10 Jan18 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00 8% 11.70    
4  JUS PRESS STAR Jan25 Oct16 Feb29 Feb09 Nov25 (cohn g)TORRES A 121 12.00    
5  JET ROCKET Feb20 Jan11 Dec27 Nov24 Oct18 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 3.00 19% 4.30    
6  IN B. J.'S HONOR Feb20 Dec27 Nov30 Nov09 Oct25 (foster jo)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00    
7  UNDERCOVER GIRL Dec21 Nov30 Aug17 Dec09 Nov18 (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 51% 1.00    
8  APRIORITY CATCH Feb06 Jan24 Dec21 Nov29 Nov08 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 121 5.00    
 
FG-4   03/08/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZTEC EMPRESS Feb02 Jan09 Dec08 Sep16 Jul22 (duke steven)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
2  OUT TOO LATE (GB) Feb02 Jan04 Dec12 Nov16 Sep21 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
3  LA NINA DORADA Feb01 Dec22 Nov30 Nov13   (brinkman brett)CURTIS BEN 119 6.00 28% 2.50    
4  BEADS Jan25 Jan02 Dec12 Oct23 Oct01 (tracy tann)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  FROM SCRATCH Feb01 Dec20 Nov29 Sep11 Aug15 (forster t)COHEN DAVID 117 6.00    
SCR  TWIRL AROUND Aug24 Jul06 May16 Apr20 Jan26 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
7  TWIRLING GOOD TIME Jul29 Jun15 May03 Apr07 Sep27 (bauer philip )CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 8% 11.20    
8  LA FORET Feb06 Nov22 Oct16 Sep15 Aug29 (catalano way)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 4.00    
SCR  UNHIDDEN GEM (IRE) Oct20 Sep11 Aug22     (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
SCR  PROBLEMATICA Feb01 Jan01 Dec08 Oct17 Sep26 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
 
FG-5   03/08/2025 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCAT FREE Jan12 Dec26 Nov30 Oct04 Aug12 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 41% 1.50    
2  NATIONAL ECLIPSE Jan18 Jan04 Dec07 Nov13 Oct06 (williamson b)TORRES A 122 8.00 5% 18.50    
3  UXMAL Feb22 Feb01 Jan05 Dec26 Dec07 (guillory henry)THORNTON G 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BRICKLAYER Aug05 Jul14 Jun27 Jun07 Apr30 (diodoro rob)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00    
5  TOWERING STORM Feb22 Dec26 Oct13 Aug25 Aug04 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00 16% 5.20    
6  WILL TAKE IT Feb01 Jan04 Nov23 Oct18 Sep19 (stewart dalla)MORALES EDGAR 120 1.20    
7  GLEN AIRY Feb01 Jan04 Nov24 Sep19 Jul21 (mcgee pau)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00    
 
FG-6   03/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWIFT AS I AM Feb15 Jan18 Dec13 Oct13 Sep11 (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00    
SCR  FELIX Feb07 Dec02 Sep02 Aug05 Nov06 (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
SCR  BOLTAGE Feb01 Dec07 Nov22 Oct09 Feb17 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 4.50    
SCR  DEMOLITION DUKE Feb15 Jan18 Dec14 Nov08 Sep11 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00    
5  PETCOFF Feb07 Jan03 Dec08 Oct11 Aug31 (russell brit)TORRES A 120 3.50    
6  RECKER POINT Nov28 Sep12 Jul22 Jun09 May05 (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  GILDED RULER Feb15 Dec13 Nov15 Oct17 Feb25 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.50    
8  BANNED FOR LIFE Jan10 Nov23 Oct04 Aug10 Jun30 (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
9  CALL ME ANDY Feb07 Jan01 Dec06 Oct13 Sep14 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50    
10  GUNNER BAY Feb13 Jan10 Nov16 Oct12 Sep02 (margolis r)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
11  LUDWIG Feb22 Jun30 May27 Apr21 Sep02 (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00    
 
FG-7   03/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARIOUSH         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 125 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SEVEN STARS by INDYGO SHINER)
2  INTO THIN AIR Sep27         (amoss thomas )CANNON DECLAN 117 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TIZ BREATHTAKING by TIZNOW)
3  FLAME ROCK FIRE Feb02 Jan05 Dec08 Oct31 Sep26 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MISSILETOE KISS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
4  FIRE IN MY SUL         (asmussen ste)TORRES A 125 5.00 ★    
  (by JUSTIFY out of POOL LAND by SILVER DEPUTY)
5  CHASES MAGIC Dec26 Nov28       (amoss tho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 3.50 48% 1.10    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of NARROW SEA by BODEMEISTER)
6  BEECHMONT         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 5.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of NIKKI BEACH by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  SOCO AND LIME Jul21 Jun21       (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 8.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of LIME TRYST by LIMEHOUSE)
8  THIS IS YOUR TIME Jan16         (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 117 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SCONNIE by TIZNOW)
 
FG-8   03/08/2025 5610ft TURF RC11 GOOD Allen Black Cat LaCombe Memorial Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE AND POETRY Jan04 Oct26       (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of GRACE AND DIGNITY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
2  PLAY WITH FIRE Jan19 Nov30       (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of STREAMING FIRE by STREET SENSE)
3  LADY ORIENT Jan20 Dec22 Nov30 Nov01 Aug28 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SECOND COMING by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  ATERRADORA (IRE) Feb01 Jan04 Nov30     (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of LAST GOLD by GOLD AWAY (IRE))
5  MERRY AND BRIGHT Aug28 Jul26       (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MAKE MERRY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  FIONN Feb07 Dec16 Sep26     (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of GAELIC GOLD by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  EXCLUSIVE STAR Jan20 Nov30 Oct24     (kenneally )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of IMPERTINENT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
FG-9   03/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRACEFUL STAR Feb01 Jan08 Nov16 Oct19 Sep02 (robbins h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 15.00    
2  BELLA SORELLA Dec29 Aug02 Jun28 Jun14   (devereux pat)BARRERA J 119 30.00    
3  BAYOU CHICK Feb21 Jan31 Jan15     (breaux samue)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00 9% 9.80    
4  BAYTOWN BOUJEE Feb08 Jan16 Nov14 Jul13 Jun09 (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 22% 3.50    
5  CLEARLY CREDO Feb12 Feb01 Jan10 Dec14 Oct25 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 8.00    
6  WELL ACCUSTOMED Feb12 Jan10 Dec19     (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
SCR  C C SHORT DRIVE Jan18 Dec29       (scherer ga)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00    
8  TDZ DANCINLILSLEW Feb15 Feb01 Dec14 Dec06   (eschete nas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 122 8.00    
9  LIAM'S MIST Feb01 Jan18 Dec14 Nov22   (bourgeois ke)TORRES A 119 8.00 28% 2.60    
10  PRECIOUS MONEY Feb06 Oct19 Aug09     (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 9% 10.60    
11  FAST FLAME Feb08 Jan16 Dec14 Nov22   (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 6% 15.30    
SCR  BET TOWINIT Feb12 Jan16 Dec29 Dec06   (landry r)THORNTON G 119 40.00    
SCR  LA PALABRA Jan25 Jan08 Dec06 Oct25   (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.