Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - February 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/2)-(2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/2)-(2/5/4)-(1/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(1/2/3)-(8/3/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(8/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(8/3/2/6)-(5/10/2/6/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-4   WIN (8/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/2/6)-(8/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/2/6)-(8/3/2/6)-(8/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/2/6)-(5/10/2/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/2/6)-(5/10/2/6/1)-(11/2/7/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/10/2/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/2/6/1)-(5/10/2/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/2/6/1)-(5/10/2/6/1)-(5/10/2/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/10/2/6/1)-(11/2/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/10/2/6/1)-(11/2/7/3)-(4/6/7/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-6   WIN (11/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/2/7/3)-(11/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/2/7/3)-(11/2/7/3)-(11/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/2/7/3)-(4/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (11/2/7/3)-(4/6/7/2)-(11/3/2/9/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-7   WIN (4/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/2)-(11/3/2/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/2)-(11/3/2/9/6)-(7/9/1/12/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-8   WIN (11/3/2/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/3/2/9/6)-(11/3/2/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/3/2/9/6)-(11/3/2/9/6)-(11/3/2/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/3/2/9/6)-(7/9/1/12/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
AQU-9   WIN (7/9/1/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/1/12/5)-(7/9/1/12/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/1/12/5)-(7/9/1/12/5)-(7/9/1/12/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/08/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FOREVER TO GO Dec28 Nov22 Oct26 Sep02   (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 55% 0.80    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  VINO SAMARA Dec01 Oct20       (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SAMARA by HARD SPUN)
2  CRIMSON QUEEN         (bond jam)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of QUEEN VICTORIA by BOLD LACHEE)
3  MISS AMERICAN PIE Dec28         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 23% 3.40    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DOWNDRAFT by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
4  WILD MISCHIEF Dec28 Nov22 Oct26 Sep02 Aug04 (maker j)VIVES SOFIA 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of WILD BILL'S GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  MOONLIGHT READY         (clement )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CRYINTHEMOONLIGHT by STREET CRY)
6  ST. ADDIE         (kimmel c)CIVACI SAHIN 120 5.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of HALO DOLLY by JOLIE'S HALO)
7  MEGA CHANGER         (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 12.00    
  (by NAME CHANGER out of MEGAHERTZ by PIVOTAL)
 
AQU-2   02/08/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Damon Runyon Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOONTOBEKING Jan12 Dec14 Nov16 Oct27 Sep23 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of SWAYED by FREUD)
2  SAND DEVIL Jan02 Dec08       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.40 54% 0.80    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MINERALOGIST by MINESHAFT)
3  JUST LICORICE Jan17 Jan05 Nov15 Nov03 Sep22 (rice l)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of MARIA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  FIREBALLIN Jan12 Dec15       (maker michael )CIVACI SAHIN 118 10.00 10% 9.20    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of BARBIE ON A BUDGET by MINESHAFT)
5  NATIONAL IDENTITY Dec14 Nov02 Oct06     (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 13% 6.70    
  (by SOLOMINI out of CHEYENNE AUTUMN by FOUR SEASONS (GB))
 
AQU-3   02/08/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST East View Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAIVE MELODY Dec28         (ward wesley )DESORMEAUX J 118 1.20 43% 1.30    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of GOODS AND SERVICES by PAYNTER)
2  BOSTON'S PHINEST Dec14 Oct27 Sep20 Aug04   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 22% 3.60    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of ALL IN TIME by CURLIN)
3  STORM CHANGER Dec14 Nov16       (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NAME CHANGER out of STORMIN SISTAS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  BERNIEANDTHEROSE Nov24 Nov03 Oct05     (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 120 3.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
5  STRACA Dec01 Oct17 Sep20     (duggan dav)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of A CUT AHEAD by TIZ WONDERFUL)
 
AQU-4   02/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MESSI THE MAGICIAN Jan26 Jan11 Nov29 Nov15 Oct12 (shivmangal lo)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00    
2  PRINCE OF TRUTH Jan26 Apr19 Feb29 Dec30 Dec01 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.50 16% 5.40    
3  LIMIT UP Nov27 Nov05 Aug21 Jul08 Jun11 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 21% 3.80    
4  HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS Jan11 Jun16 May12 Apr14 Feb25 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.50    
5  KID BILLY Jan11 Nov15 Jan13 Dec16 Nov18 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50    
6  POP COYER Dec15 Nov05 Oct16 Sep16 Aug20 (englehart chris)VIVES SOFIA 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDEN ARM Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 Nov16 Nov05 (smith la)DAVIS A 121 50.00    
8  ON THE HILL Jan11 Nov20 Aug21 Jul20 Jun28 (bond jam)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
AQU-5   02/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLOMINI'S LEGACY         (ferraro jame)HARKIE K 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ONE VISION Jan17 Dec28 Nov29 Sep29 Sep02 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 10.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  SWEET JULIAN         (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 6.00    
4  MONOMOYS PARTNER Jan26 Jan05 Sep28     (chichakly amir)COA J 120 12.00    
5  STIMULI         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 32% 2.20    
6  SWAY THE JURY Jan18         (englehart jer)OLVER MADISON 120 8.00 6% 15.50    
7  GUNMAN JAYVO Jan26 Dec07 Nov23     (bhigroog)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 6.00    
8  RENEW THE BLUE Nov23 Oct27 Oct06     (donk david)VIVES SOFIA 120 8.00    
9  TEN RUN RULE Jan18         (englehart chri)LUZZI J 120 6.00    
10  GORZO         (brion keri)CIVACI SAHIN 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
 
AQU-6   02/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAXALUNA         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of UPPERCUT by DISCREET CAT)
2  PAULA'S A STAR May27         (morley thomas)CIVACI SAHIN 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
  (by TAPITURE out of SEEKING A STAR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  SPITFIRE GAL         (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of A WILLFUL GAL by WILLCOX INN)
SCR  FORMAGGIO Nov08 Oct18 Sep22 Aug25   (maker mich)RIVERA R 120 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LAQUEZZA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  SHEER WILL Jun14         (rice li)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 20.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of UNDERESTIMATE by BROKEN VOW)
6  TREMENDOUS BEE         (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SECRETARIAT HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  GAME LIKE REYANA Dec12         (bhigroog chet)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 8% 12.30    
  (by GAME WINNER out of HERE TO STAY by TOSSOFTHECOIN)
8  DELAWARE DEVIL Jan10         (rice linda)VIVES SOFIA 120 5.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of AKRONISM by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  LAST MANGO         (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of CAUSEY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  MAGNUM'S MICROBRST Jan10         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of MATTY'S MAGNUM by EVEN THE SCORE)
11  SHE'S COMPLICATED Dec27         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 50% 1.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of REPEAL AND REPLACE by LEA)
 
AQU-7   02/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POSEIDON'S MIST Feb01 Jan04 Nov21 Oct17 Sep02 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00    
2  PEONY Dec07 Nov03 Apr06 Mar22 Feb10 (clement )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00 8% 11.90    
3  CAROL T Dec15 Nov22 Nov01 Sep19 Aug02 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00    
4  LA BANQUERA Jan18 Dec14 Jul25 Jun09 May24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.60 25% 3.00    
5  BUSSIA Apr20 Feb17 Dec07 Oct12 Jul22 (bond kevin)COA J 121 20.00    
6  TOP OF THE TABLE Jan04 Dec01 Nov03 Oct12 Aug25 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 21% 3.80    
7  WALK WITH ME May10 Apr07 Feb18 Dec16 Nov09 (duggan p)CIVACI SAHIN 121 8.00 18% 4.70    
8  EASY PLAY Sep17 Sep02 Aug18 Jul25 Jul02 (d'alessa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 12.00    
9  ARIANA RYE Jan04 Nov21 Oct20 Aug01 Jul19 (falcone robert )VIVES SOFIA 123 3.00    
 
AQU-8   02/08/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPECTED VALUE Jan12 Mar09 Feb10 Jan13 Apr08 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00    
2  CLASSIC LEGACY Dec29 Nov23 Aug07 Jul13 Jun08 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 7% 13.50    
3  SKYLANDER Dec28 Nov14 Oct17 Sep19 Aug18 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 5.00 25% 3.00    
4  REDDINGTON Jan12 Dec06 Nov09 Sep21 Jul25 (barker)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00    
5  CASCAIS May04 Apr06 Jan13 Dec02 Oct21 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00    
6  GENERAL BANKER Jan12 Dec29 Nov23 Oct12 Sep21 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  GUN IT Dec29 Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 Oct19 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 15.00    
8  SHERIFF BIANCO Jan04 Dec28 Nov24 Oct27 Sep19 (rice linda)CIVACI SAHIN 121 15.00    
9  WICO (IRE) Jan03 Nov23 Oct19 Apr06 Feb22 (ward wesley )DESORMEAUX J 121 6.00 5% 17.90    
10  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Jan18 Dec29 Nov24 Oct31 Jun23 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 121 20.00    
11  TREATY OBLIGATION Jan12 Dec07 Oct19 Aug24 Jun30 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50 38% 1.60    
 
AQU-9   02/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROOFER Jan04 Dec15 Nov23     (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of MEMORIES OF MOM by INCLUDE)
2  UNBROKEN CHAIN         (martin )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of TAPA LIATH by PADDY O'PRADO)
SCR  STATE PARK Nov17         (lauer mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of WRIGLEY IVY by PLEASANT TAP)
4  DOMINICAN THUNDER Nov17 Sep07 Jul25 Jun06   (jimenez l)CEDENO CAROL 120 30.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of SASSY SIENNA by MIDSHIPMAN)
5  MERICA'S BACK         (maker michael )CIVACI SAHIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GOLDEN MYSTERY by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  MONTAUK MEMOIRS         (barrow paul)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ILLGIVEYOUWATTEVER by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
7  VEKINDA Jan11 Dec08 Oct27 Sep29   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 38% 1.60    
  (by VEKOMA out of VINDA by VINDICATION)
8  KISMEHOLDMETHRLME         (arriag)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MOOLAH SCHMOOLAH by UNION RAGS)
9  SKYTOWN Nov23 Sep22 Aug21     (terranova john )DAVIS KATIE 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of TROUBLE FOR SKYLAR by INTO MISCHIEF)
10  SOLAR GLARE Jan05 Dec07 Nov01 Oct18 Sep02 (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 20.00    
  (by UPSTART out of UNGH by FLASHBACK)
11  CONSIDER IT DONE         (clement chris)OLVER MADISON 120 12.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of CAUGHT BY YOU by STANISLAVSKY)
12  COUNTER MOVE         (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of GYPSY ANGEL by SILVER TRAIN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.