Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Saturday - February 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-2   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (8/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (5/10/2/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-6   Win (11/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-7   Win (4/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (11/3/2/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-9   Win (7/9/1/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   02/08/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 F PT-12:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FOREVER TO GO Dec28 Nov22 Oct26 Sep02   (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 55% 0.80    
SCR  VINO SAMARA Dec01 Oct20       (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40    
CRIMSON QUEEN         (bond james)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
MISS AMERICAN PIE Dec28         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 23% 3.40    
WILD MISCHIEF Dec28 Nov22 Oct26 Sep02 Aug04 (maker j)VIVES SOFIA 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MOONLIGHT READY         (clement ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
ST. ADDIE         (kimmel c)CIVACI SAHIN 120 5.00    
MEGA CHANGER         (synnefias dim)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 12.00    
 
AQU-2   02/08/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 Damon Runyon Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOONTOBEKING Jan12 Dec14 Nov16 Oct27 Sep23 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00    
SAND DEVIL Jan02 Dec08       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.40 54% 0.80    
JUST LICORICE Jan17 Jan05 Nov15 Nov03 Sep22 (rice lin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
FIREBALLIN Jan12 Dec15       (maker j)CIVACI SAHIN 118 10.00 10% 9.20    
NATIONAL IDENTITY Dec14 Nov02 Oct06     (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 13% 6.70    
 
AQU-3   02/08/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 East View Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 1:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAIVE MELODY Dec28         (ward a)DESORMEAUX J 118 1.20 43% 1.30    
BOSTON'S PHINEST Dec14 Oct27 Sep20 Aug04   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 22% 3.60    
STORM CHANGER Dec14 Nov16       (synnefias )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
BERNIEANDTHEROSE Nov24 Nov03 Oct05     (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 120 3.00    
STRACA Dec01 Oct17 Sep20     (duggan david)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
 
AQU-4   02/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MESSI THE MAGICIAN Jan26 Jan11 Nov29 Nov15 Oct12 (shivmangal loli)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00    
PRINCE OF TRUTH Jan26 Apr19 Feb29 Dec30 Dec01 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.50 16% 5.40    
LIMIT UP Nov27 Nov05 Aug21 Jul08 Jun11 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 21% 3.80    
HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS Jan11 Jun16 May12 Apr14 Feb25 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.50    
KID BILLY Jan11 Nov15 Jan13 Dec16 Nov18 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50    
POP COYER Dec15 Nov05 Oct16 Sep16 Aug20 (englehart chris)VIVES SOFIA 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDEN ARM Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 Nov16 Nov05 (smith lawr)DAVIS A 121 50.00    
ON THE HILL Jan11 Nov20 Aug21 Jul20 Jun28 (bond james)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
AQU-5   02/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 2:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLOMINI'S LEGACY         (ferraro james )HARKIE K 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
ONE VISION Jan17 Dec28 Nov29 Sep29 Sep02 (barrera)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 10.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  SWEET JULIAN         (sacco gre)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 6.00    
MONOMOYS PARTNER Jan26 Jan05 Sep28     (chichakly amira)COA J 120 12.00    
STIMULI         (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 32% 2.20    
SWAY THE JURY Jan18         (englehart jerem)OLVER MADISON 120 8.00 6% 15.50    
GUNMAN JAYVO Jan26 Dec07 Nov23     (bhigroog c)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 6.00    
RENEW THE BLUE Nov23 Oct27 Oct06     (donk david)VIVES SOFIA 120 8.00    
TEN RUN RULE Jan18         (englehart chris)LUZZI J 120 6.00    
10  GORZO         (brion keri)CIVACI SAHIN 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
 
AQU-6   02/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAXALUNA         (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
PAULA'S A STAR May27         (morley thomas)CIVACI SAHIN 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
SPITFIRE GAL         (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FORMAGGIO Nov08 Oct18 Sep22 Aug25   (maker michae)RIVERA R 120 8.00    
SHEER WILL Jun14         (rice lind)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 20.00    
TREMENDOUS BEE         (clement christoph)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
GAME LIKE REYANA Dec12         (bhigroog chetra)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 8% 12.30    
DELAWARE DEVIL Jan10         (rice linda)VIVES SOFIA 120 5.00    
SCR  LAST MANGO         (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
10  MAGNUM'S MICROBRST Jan10         (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
11  SHE'S COMPLICATED Dec27         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 50% 1.00    
 
AQU-7   02/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POSEIDON'S MIST Feb01 Jan04 Nov21 Oct17 Sep02 (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00    
PEONY Dec07 Nov03 Apr06 Mar22 Feb10 (clement ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00 8% 11.90    
CAROL T Dec15 Nov22 Nov01 Sep19 Aug02 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00    
LA BANQUERA Jan18 Dec14 Jul25 Jun09 May24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.60 25% 3.00    
BUSSIA Apr20 Feb17 Dec07 Oct12 Jul22 (bond kevin)COA J 121 20.00    
TOP OF THE TABLE Jan04 Dec01 Nov03 Oct12 Aug25 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 21% 3.80    
WALK WITH ME May10 Apr07 Feb18 Dec16 Nov09 (duggan p)CIVACI SAHIN 121 8.00 18% 4.70    
EASY PLAY Sep17 Sep02 Aug18 Jul25 Jul02 (d'alessand)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 12.00    
ARIANA RYE Jan04 Nov21 Oct20 Aug01 Jul19 (falcone n)VIVES SOFIA 123 3.00    
 
AQU-8   02/08/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPECTED VALUE Jan12 Mar09 Feb10 Jan13 Apr08 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00    
CLASSIC LEGACY Dec29 Nov23 Aug07 Jul13 Jun08 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 7% 13.50    
SKYLANDER Dec28 Nov14 Oct17 Sep19 Aug18 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 5.00 25% 3.00    
REDDINGTON Jan12 Dec06 Nov09 Sep21 Jul25 (barker e)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00    
CASCAIS May04 Apr06 Jan13 Dec02 Oct21 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00    
GENERAL BANKER Jan12 Dec29 Nov23 Oct12 Sep21 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
GUN IT Dec29 Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 Oct19 (kantarmaci)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 15.00    
SHERIFF BIANCO Jan04 Dec28 Nov24 Oct27 Sep19 (rice linda)CIVACI SAHIN 121 15.00    
WICO (IRE) Jan03 Nov23 Oct19 Apr06 Feb22 (ward a)DESORMEAUX J 121 6.00 5% 17.90    
10  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Jan18 Dec29 Nov24 Oct31 Jun23 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 121 20.00    
11  TREATY OBLIGATION Jan12 Dec07 Oct19 Aug24 Jun30 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50 38% 1.60    
 
AQU-9   02/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 4:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROOFER Jan04 Dec15 Nov23     (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
UNBROKEN CHAIN         (martin ca)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00    
SCR  STATE PARK Nov17         (lauer mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
DOMINICAN THUNDER Nov17 Sep07 Jul25 Jun06   (jimenez l)CEDENO CAROL 120 30.00    
MERICA'S BACK         (maker j)CIVACI SAHIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
MONTAUK MEMOIRS         (barrow paul)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
VEKINDA Jan11 Dec08 Oct27 Sep29   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 38% 1.60    
KISMEHOLDMETHRLME         (arriaga )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
SKYTOWN Nov23 Sep22 Aug21     (terranova p)DAVIS KATIE 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
10  SOLAR GLARE Jan05 Dec07 Nov01 Oct18 Sep02 (synnefias dim)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 20.00    
11  CONSIDER IT DONE         (clement christo)OLVER MADISON 120 12.00    
12  COUNTER MOVE         (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.