Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Monday - January 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/4)-(3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/4)-(3/6/5)-(4/9/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-2   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(4/9/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(4/9/2/6)-(4/2/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (4/9/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/2/6)-(4/9/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/2/6)-(4/9/2/6)-(4/9/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/2/6)-(4/2/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/9/2/6)-(4/2/1/8)-(4/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (4/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/8)-(4/2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/8)-(4/2/1/8)-(4/2/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/8)-(4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/8)-(4/2/1)-(11/14/15/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(11/14/15/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(11/14/15/10)-(8/2/4/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-6   WIN (11/14/15/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/14/15/10)-(11/14/15/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/14/15/10)-(11/14/15/10)-(11/14/15/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/14/15/10)-(8/2/4/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/14/15/10)-(8/2/4/9/6)-(14/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (8/2/4/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/9/6)-(8/2/4/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/9/6)-(8/2/4/9/6)-(8/2/4/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/4/9/6)-(14/9/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4/9/6)-(14/9/11)-(6/10/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-8   WIN (14/9/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (14/9/11)-(14/9/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (14/9/11)-(14/9/11)-(14/9/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (14/9/11)-(6/10/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FG-9   WIN (6/10/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/2/3)-(6/10/2/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/10/2/3)-(6/10/2/3/1)-(6/10/2/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT GOLDEN GIRL Jan01 Dec18 Oct29 Aug15 Jul19 (prejean r)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00    
2  REAL DEAL RYAN Jan10 Dec20 Dec06 Nov20 Nov09 (cormier cardel)MCMAHON J 124 2.50 7% 13.20    
3  BITSY PERFECTMATCH Jan01 Dec19 Nov29 Jun08 May28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00 64% 0.60    
4  STEAL ME OVER Jan01 Nov28 Sep18 Sep03 Aug13 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BLESS D'SOUTH Aug15 Jul17 Jul01 May24 Apr27 (larrosa jua)ASTUDILLO FELIX 116 10.00    
6  SUM CHARM Jan01 Nov28 Sep18 Aug23 Jul19 (ney john)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00 7% 13.70    
7  MRS. NECAISE Dec16 Nov28 Aug24 Aug02 Jun21 (larrosa juan )MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00    
 
FG-2   01/27/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA BOUCANE Jan02 Dec20 Nov29 Mar22 Feb10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 5.00    
2  SHAKO Jan02 Dec20 Oct25     (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 12.00    
3  NUMERO SIETE Dec15 Nov24 Oct29 Sep29   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 124 0.80 73% 0.40    
4  PUCKSTER Jan02 Dec15 Sep22 Sep09 Jun23 (troiani n)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 3.00 ★    
5  RAYFIELD Jan02 Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 Oct06 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROSENOW Nov06 Sep20       (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MUSIC MILL Nov29         (duhon joseph)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 20.00    
 
FG-3   01/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER SAINT Dec27 Sep26 Sep02 Jul31 Jul03 (burkes bobby)MURRAY M 122 20.00    
2  TRIBEST (ARG) Dec27 Nov29 Oct31 Oct13 Sep19 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
3  BIKINI BOTTOM Dec29 Sep14 Jun28 May29 Apr18 (duhon o)RIQUELME J 122 8.00    
4  MISS HARMONIC Jan02 Dec12 May24 Apr21 Mar08 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 1.80 29% 2.40    
SCR  CABO COWGIRL Dec08 May29 Jan26 Dec29 Jun11 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 30.00    
6  TROUBLE FREE Dec27 Feb23       (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 6% 15.20    
7  OAK HILL SENIORITA Nov22 Oct17 Jul19 Jul09 Jun18 (govea ces)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 20.00    
8  LOFTY HEIGHTS Dec27 Oct24 Sep18 Aug29 Apr28 (duke steven)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00    
9  ESME Dec29 Dec08 May11 Mar30 Mar13 (king l)TORRES A 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
FG-4   01/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATTER UP Dec29 Oct17 Aug22 Jul18   (troiani nicco)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 16% 5.10    
2  STORM THE STREETS Nov21 Oct15 Sep11 Aug08 Jul12 (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  NOTHINGBUTBLUESKY         (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 122 15.00    
4  PASSION RULES         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
5  RAISING KANE Dec19 Dec07       (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00    
SCR  RETEKO Dec22 Nov10 Oct03 Aug21 Jul12 (morley thoma)TORRES A 122 3.50    
7  SOLE LUTE         (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
8  TESTED Dec22 Nov22 Oct17     (schultz li)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 8.00 9% 10.70    
9  JUSTAWALKINTHEPARK Dec29 Dec07       (lopez elia)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00    
10  FROSTY BLUE Dec22 Nov22 Sep25     (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 122 15.00    
SCR  PORCHES Jan26 Oct23       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00    
SCR  OUR FAVORITE SON Jan25 Nov01 Sep27 Aug31   (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00    
 
FG-5   01/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCHYALATER Dec07 Jun08 May22 Mar22 Feb25 (munoz yovani)TORRES A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of JUST A CATCH by JUSTIN PHILLIP)
2  MARTINGALE Jul12 Jun21 Jan27 Dec07 Sep17 (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
  (by CURLIN out of SI SI TEQUILA by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  J BEAR BEACH         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 122 3.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CARMEL BEAUTY by ARCH)
4  DARING HOPE Nov03         (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of EAST TO WEST by FLASHBACK)
5  REYA SUNSHINE         (hartman ch)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 4.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of WEEKEND IN MALIBU by OLD FORESTER)
6  TAPIT QUICK Jan04 Nov09 Sep29     (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of INSPEIGHTOF by ORB)
 
FG-6   01/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GORILLA TREK Jan04 Nov28 Sep26 Sep01 Jul20 (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00    
SCR  C'EST MAGNIFIQUE Jan01 Nov22 Oct13 Aug04 Jun16 (simpson dani)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00    
SCR  EZ ROLL Jan01 Nov16 Oct18 Sep21 Aug15 (claire ale)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00    
SCR  KAKE'S ARROW Jul06 May17 Apr13 Feb15 Dec22 (russell br)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50    
5  MODDASSAH Dec20 Nov01 Oct11 Sep27 Aug31 (scherer ga)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00    
SCR  WICKED SECRET Jan03 Dec14 Aug10 Jul13 Jul02 (zeringue j)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00    
7  IF I WERE YOU Dec07 Oct26 Sep18 Jul06 Jun15 (rubley kelly)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00    
SCR  MAX IS G MONEY Dec20 Dec07 Oct17 Sep24 Sep04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 20.00    
SCR  KICK A BUCK Nov09 Oct26 Sep19 Aug31 Aug04 (rice linda)TORRES A 122 4.00    
10  FAITH RUNNER Jan01 Jun13 May23 May04 Mar23 (stewart dalla)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  NOW AND LATER Jan01 Oct31 Oct12 Sep12 Aug04 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  MALIBU RAIN Dec20 Dec07 Feb03 Dec23 Nov18 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 20.00    
SCR  GOROSTIETA'S LOVE Jan05 Dec07 Sep14 Aug28 Jul19 (mouton cha)ALBERT S 122 30.00    
14  CLOUD FOREST Sep01 Jan12 Dec02 Oct20 Sep14 (handal raymond)CURTIS BEN 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
15  CONCENTRATION Jan09 Dec08 Oct28 Oct18 Sep23 (claire alexis)MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
FG-7   01/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  M L BRODY'S GEM Jan02 Dec13 Nov23 Nov05   (lorefice matt)SINGH R 120 8.00    
2  GOLD THIEF Jan02 Dec13 Aug31 Aug10 Jul13 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 11% 7.70    
3  LAST RESOLVE Dec28         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
4  FINAL HALF Jan02 Dec08 Nov23     (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.50 9% 10.20    
5  WATCHINGTIME         (sanchez jua)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00    
6  JONAS GRUMBY Dec29 Dec14 Aug31     (dandridge )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ME PROMESA Oct18 Sep16       (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 5.00    
8  DUBAIAN MONEY Jan02 Dec08 Nov09 Oct25 Aug10 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 51% 1.00    
9  BIG MARV Dec08 Sep26 Sep16     (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-8   01/27/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMERICAN HOPE Dec21 Feb11 Dec29 Nov12 Oct08 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00    
SCR  SMOKEY MANDATE Dec26 Nov28 Oct07 Dec23 Nov26 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
SCR  TOWERING STORM Dec26 Oct13 Aug25 Aug04 Jun30 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00    
SCR  EFF THIRTY FIVE Nov28 Nov02 Oct14 Sep25 Aug28 (russell t)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
5  LE GRIS Dec28 Nov28 Apr21 Mar23 Feb03 (stall albe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
SCR  TIDE OF THE SEA Nov17 Oct31 Sep28 Sep05 Jul16 (sharp joe)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00    
SCR  TOUGH LITTLE NUT Dec28 Nov22 Oct25 Oct06 Sep05 (block chri)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
SCR  IDRATHERBEBLESSED Jan18 Dec21 Nov29 Nov01 Oct16 (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 120 3.50    
9  RELAMPAGO VERDE Dec26 Jul14 Jun14 May24 Apr24 (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  NO WHITE FLAGS Dec26 Nov30 Oct17 Aug14 Jan12 (woodley c)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 30.00    
11  WINSTON WOLF Jan04 Nov21 Sep26 Aug18 Jul21 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  DAI VERNON Dec13 Nov09 Sep21 Jul05 May01 (casse norm )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00    
13  WINTERS LION Jan05 Dec01 Oct18 Sep07 Jul22 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
14  LIGHTLINE Nov28 Apr12 Mar02 Feb03 Dec31 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 46% 1.20    
 
FG-9   01/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEAL OF FAITH Jan01 Dec12 Nov24 Aug22   (bourgeois ke)TORRES A 125 4.00 ★    
2  HERB ELIAS Sep18 Aug07 Jun26 Jun08 May18 (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 117 5.00 8% 11.20    
3  DR SPECK Dec12 Sep11 Aug28 Jul25 Jun06 (wilson shane)CURTIS BEN 125 10.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  FOREST BEAST Oct23         (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 125 20.00    
5  CAT COUNTY Jan01 Dec12 Nov24 Jan04 Nov25 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 4.50    
6  BOBBY TWO SHOT'S Apr17 Mar23 Mar08 Feb09 Jan20 (sanchez juan)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 3.00 52% 0.90    
7  BATTLE FACE Dec28         (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 117 20.00    
8  TWICE AS SASSI Nov16 Oct29 Jun21 May25   (thomas lee)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 30.00    
9  COMPUTERIZED Jan01 Dec12 Jul29 Jun26 Jun05 (west g)GRAHAM J 125 6.00    
10  MACKAY BOY Sep17 Sep04 Aug22 Aug01 Jun14 (larrosa juan )CANNON DECLAN 125 8.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  CAUGHTUPNDAMOMENT Jan03 Dec12 Nov24 Aug17 Jul26 (peterson j)ALBERT S 125 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.